PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Canada W vs USA W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 02:10
Final 63-67
17-22 12-17 21-15 13-13
Position#2
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game53.4
Canada W
vs
USA W 🏆
Position#3
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game54.0
EuropeAmeriCup WomenAmeriCup Women - Semi-finals· Domo de la Feria
Women2023Neutral venue
Meetings · Canada W v USA W
09 Jul 2023
CANA63
USA 67
30 Sep 2022
CANA43
USA 83
30 Sep 2019
CANA46
USA 67
12 Aug 2016
CANA51
USA 81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canada W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
USA W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Canada WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Australia W
#3
L
72-75
72
75
-3
no box
H26/09
World Cup Women
Mali W
#15
W
88-65
88
65
+23
no box
A27/09
World Cup Women
Puerto Rico W
#12
W
79-60
79
60
+19
no box
A29/09
World Cup Women
USA W
#1
L
43-83
43
83
-40
no box
H30/09
World Cup Women
Australia W
#3
L
65-95
65
95
-30
no box
A01/10
World Cup Women
Mexico W
#9
W
83-57
83
57
+26
68avg 80
H03/07
AmeriCup Women
Puerto Rico W
#4
W
84-47
84
47
+37
83avg 80
A04/07
AmeriCup Women
Colombia W
#5
W
89-55
89
55
+34
95avg 80
H04/07
AmeriCup Women
Dominican Republic W
#10
W
88-48
88
48
+40
92avg 80
A05/07
AmeriCup Women
Argentina W
#7
W
68-60
68
60
+8
61avg 80
H07/07
AmeriCup Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
10-24
24-13
15-24
33-16
20-13
17-17
18-19
26-11
18-12
16-19
19-18
7-27
14-18
8-22
14-16
21-27
22-24
11-20
11-24
23-7
11-14
27-14
22-22
19-16
15-12
25-14
25-5
22-14
25-19
23-9
19-13
22-7
19-18
23-10
24-13
18-20
20-10
16-21
14-9
140.4Avg total
75.9Scored
64.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.453.4135.8+29.0100%
Season at home (3)80.057.3137.3+22.7100%
Season away (2)86.047.5133.5+38.5100%
Last 10 (10)75.964.5140.4+11.470%
Last 5 (5)82.453.4135.8+29.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)56.580.0136.5-23.50%
vs Similar (2)63.566.0129.5-2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)78.558.2136.8+20.383%
This opponent (USA W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USA WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
South Korea W
#11
W
145-69
145
69
+76
no box
A26/09
World Cup Women
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#13
W
121-59
121
59
+62
no box
H27/09
World Cup Women
Serbia W
#4
W
88-55
88
55
+33
no box
H29/09
World Cup Women
Canada W
#6
W
83-43
83
43
+40
no box
A30/09
World Cup Women
China W
#2
W
83-61
83
61
+22
no box
A01/10
World Cup Women
Venezuela W
#8
W
80-54
80
54
+26
83avg 74
H01/07
AmeriCup Women
Argentina W
#7
W
65-56
65
56
+9
62avg 74
A02/07
AmeriCup Women
Brazil W
#1
L
54-67
54
67
-13
43avg 74
H04/07
AmeriCup Women
Cuba W
#6
W
106-44
106
44
+62
113avg 74
A05/07
AmeriCup Women
Colombia W
#5
W
68-49
68
49
+19
68avg 74
H07/07
AmeriCup Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-21
36-19
38-12
39-17
33-15
30-16
29-13
29-15
25-23
25-10
16-7
22-15
27-7
18-14
22-8
16-14
18-13
25-20
25-14
15-14
20-5
26-11
20-14
14-24
19-18
14-11
16-11
16-16
12-15
13-20
14-14
15-18
27-14
33-4
23-10
23-16
23-11
20-18
10-12
15-8
145.0Avg total
89.3Scored
55.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.654.0128.6+20.680%
Season at home (3)67.356.7124.0+10.767%
Season away (2)85.550.0135.5+35.5100%
Last 10 (10)89.355.7145.0+33.690%
Last 5 (5)74.654.0128.6+20.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (1)54.067.0121.0-13.00%
vs Weaker (29)90.259.3149.5+30.9100%
This opponent (Canada W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: +9.4+9.4Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +9.7+9.7Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +9.8+9.8Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +4.7+4.7
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: +9.4+9.4Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +9.7+9.7Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +9.8+9.8Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +4.7+4.7
Canada WUSA W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Canada WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Australia W
#3
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H26/09
World Cup Women
Mali W
#15
W
53-29
53
29
+24
A27/09
World Cup Women
Puerto Rico W
#12
W
44-23
44
23
+21
A29/09
World Cup Women
USA W
#1
L
21-45
21
45
-24
H30/09
World Cup Women
Australia W
#3
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A01/10
World Cup Women
Mexico W
#9
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H03/07
AmeriCup Women
Puerto Rico W
#4
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A04/07
AmeriCup Women
Colombia W
#5
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H04/07
AmeriCup Women
Dominican Republic W
#10
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A05/07
AmeriCup Women
Argentina W
#7
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H07/07
AmeriCup Women
71.1Avg total
38.8Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.429.466.9+8.073%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.329.866.2+6.567%-
Last 30 away (12)39.128.867.9+10.383%-
Last 10 (10)38.832.371.1+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)38.827.466.2+11.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)30.242.072.2-11.80%-
vs Similar (2)32.031.563.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)39.127.266.2+11.988%-
This opponent (USA W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USA WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Korea W
#11
W
68-40
68
40
+28
A26/09
World Cup Women
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#13
W
63-31
63
31
+32
H27/09
World Cup Women
Serbia W
#4
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H29/09
World Cup Women
Canada W
#6
W
45-21
45
21
+24
A30/09
World Cup Women
China W
#2
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A01/10
World Cup Women
Venezuela W
#8
W
46-16
46
16
+30
H01/07
AmeriCup Women
Argentina W
#7
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A02/07
AmeriCup Women
Brazil W
#1
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H04/07
AmeriCup Women
Cuba W
#6
W
60-18
60
18
+42
A05/07
AmeriCup Women
Colombia W
#5
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H07/07
AmeriCup Women
76.1Avg total
47.6Scored
28.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.630.175.7+15.587%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.230.175.3+15.288%-
Last 30 away (14)46.130.176.2+15.986%-
Last 10 (10)47.628.576.1+19.190%-
Last 5 (5)41.425.466.8+16.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (1)25.035.060.0-10.00%-
vs Weaker (29)46.329.976.3+16.490%-
This opponent (Canada W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Canada Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Canada W: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 67.0 points a game
52%
28%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.622.4
46.1%
39.1%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.2
30.5%
29.0%21.6
🏀 Free throws24.015.2
63.3%
65.9%15.2
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
USA Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

USA W: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 67.0 points a game
52%
28%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.620.6
41.5%
39.1%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.04.8
30.0%
29.0%14.4
🏀 Free throws27.418.2
66.4%
65.9%18.2
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 09 Jul 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Canada W
WWWWWLLWWL
USA W
WWLWWWWWWW
#2
League position
#3
+38.3
Net rating
+26.4
106.3
Offensive rating
94.6
68.0
Defensive rating
68.2
46.0%
Effective FG%
42.4%
32.2%
Opp. effective FG%
31.9%
17.7%
Turnover %
24.8%
41.9%
Off. rebound %
44.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.42
30.5%
3-point %
30.0%
73.6%
Assist %
62.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 94.6Defence68.0 · 68.2Shooting46.0% · 42.4%3-point %30.5% · 30.0%Ball care17.7% · 24.8%Off. rebounds41.9% · 44.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Canada W   ■ USA W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Canada W wins
5
USA W wins
DateGameScore
30/09/22Canada W v USA W43-83
30/09/19Canada W v USA W46-67
12/08/16Canada W v USA W51-81
21/07/15USA W v Canada W73-81
07/08/12USA W v Canada W91-48
27/09/10USA W v Canada W87-46
Canada Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/07/23HArgentina W68-60
05/07/23ADominican Republic W88-48
04/07/23HColombia W89-55
04/07/23APuerto Rico W84-47
03/07/23HMexico W83-57
01/10/22AAustralia W65-95
30/09/22HUSA W43-83
29/09/22APuerto Rico W79-60
27/09/22AMali W88-65
26/09/22HAustralia W72-75
USA Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/07/23HColombia W68-49
05/07/23ACuba W106-44
04/07/23HBrazil W54-67
02/07/23AArgentina W65-56
01/07/23HVenezuela W80-54
01/10/22AChina W83-61
30/09/22ACanada W83-43
29/09/22HSerbia W88-55
27/09/22HBosnia & Herzegovina W121-59
26/09/22ASouth Korea W145-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canada W
AmeriCup Women 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.480.086.0
Allowed / game53.457.347.5
Point differential+29.0+22.7+38.5
Avg total135.8137.3133.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
USA W
AmeriCup Women 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game74.667.385.5
Allowed / game54.056.750.0
Point differential+20.6+10.7+35.5
Avg total128.6124.0135.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Canada W550100%82.453.4+29.0
2 Brazil W660100%78.862.2+16.7
3 USA W54180%74.654.0+20.6
4 Puerto Rico W64267%69.371.3-2.0
5 Colombia W52340%59.063.6-4.6
6 Cuba W41325%62.091.8-29.8
7 Argentina W51420%58.462.2-3.8
8 Venezuela W51420%75.680.4-4.8
9 Mexico W51420%58.671.4-12.8
10 Dominican Republic W4040%53.275.0-21.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Canada W1712211363
USA W2217151367
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.