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Canberra W vs Hornsby S. W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 May 2025
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 88-87
25-27 20-18 21-18 22-24
Position#9
Record2-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#13
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game78.2
AustraliaNBL1 East Women
Women2025
Meetings · Canberra W v Hornsby S. W
03 May 2025
CANB88
HORN87
27 Apr 2024
CANB100
HORN78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canberra W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hornsby S. W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Canberra WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maitland Mustangs W
#13
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H22/06
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H29/06
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#8
W
101-98 OT
101
98
+3
H06/07
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#14
W
92-78
92
78
+14
A14/07
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
L
60-83
60
83
-23
A20/07
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#4
L
87-95
87
95
-8
A29/03
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#8
W
97-68
97
68
+29
H05/04
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#2
L
62-101
62
101
-39
A12/04
NBL1 East Women
BA CoE W
#5
L
68-83
68
83
-15
H25/04
NBL1 East Women
Penrith P. W
#15
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H27/04
NBL1 East Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-6
21-16
23-23
19-17
24-18
23-20
12-25
20-21
24-31
22-15
15-21
22-16
23-22
32-20
18-18
19-18
13-26
11-18
22-23
14-16
17-23
21-20
22-29
27-23
27-13
31-20
17-24
22-11
22-28
11-31
26-17
3-25
19-19
17-12
8-27
24-25
18-10
17-15
14-16
17-17
160.3Avg total
79.3Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.081.0157.0-5.040%
Season at home (3)77.069.7146.7+7.367%
Season away (2)74.598.0172.5-23.50%
Last 10 (10)79.381.0160.3-1.750%
Last 5 (5)76.081.0157.0-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)68.995.6164.5-26.80%
vs Similar (10)77.480.6158.0-3.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)84.662.6147.2+22.075%
This opponent (Hornsby S. W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hornsby S. WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BA CoE W
#7
W
87-79 OT
87
79
+8
A15/06
NBL1 East Women
Penrith P. W
#11
L
56-86
56
86
-30
H22/06
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#8
L
85-101
85
101
-16
H29/06
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
64-81
64
81
-17
H06/07
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#6
L
68-96
68
96
-28
H12/07
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#10
L
78-92
78
92
-14
H14/07
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#16
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H29/03
NBL1 East Women
Bankstown Bruins W
#6
W
75-62
75
62
+13
H05/04
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#11
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H13/04
NBL1 East Women
Maitland Mustangs W
#7
L
71-91
71
91
-20
A25/04
NBL1 East Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
20-20
21-22
16-14
11-23
16-29
8-12
21-22
17-34
22-26
20-18
26-23
16-21
14-22
25-17
9-21
16-17
13-40
24-21
15-18
22-23
20-32
18-18
18-19
17-19
27-21
21-21
25-18
18-23
16-15
19-13
22-11
24-17
24-26
19-19
18-19
20-28
16-21
21-22
14-20
160.7Avg total
75.9Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.278.2158.5+2.075%
Season at home (3)83.374.0157.3+9.3100%
Season away (1)71.091.0162.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)75.984.8160.7-8.940%
Last 5 (5)79.881.0160.8-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)66.993.2160.0-26.313%
vs Similar (4)80.083.8163.8-3.875%
vs Weaker (3)82.067.3149.3+14.767%
This opponent (Canberra W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -6.4-6.4Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -6.4-6.4Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
Canberra WHornsby S. W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Canberra WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maitland Mustangs W
#13
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H22/06
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H29/06
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#8
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H06/07
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#14
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A14/07
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A20/07
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A29/03
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#8
W
58-33
58
33
+25
H05/04
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#2
L
33-59
33
59
-26
A12/04
NBL1 East Women
BA CoE W
#5
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H25/04
NBL1 East Women
Penrith P. W
#15
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H27/04
NBL1 East Women
79.4Avg total
41.1Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.339.477.7-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.438.377.7+1.162%-
Last 30 away (14)37.140.677.6-3.536%-
Last 10 (10)41.138.379.4+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.278.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.649.683.2-16.012%-
vs Similar (10)38.339.377.6-1.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.432.674.0+8.883%-
This opponent (Hornsby S. W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hornsby S. WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BA CoE W
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A15/06
NBL1 East Women
Penrith P. W
#11
L
27-52
27
52
-25
H22/06
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#8
L
39-60
39
60
-21
H29/06
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H06/07
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#6
L
29-57
29
57
-28
H12/07
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#10
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H14/07
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#16
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H29/03
NBL1 East Women
Bankstown Bruins W
#6
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H05/04
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#11
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H13/04
NBL1 East Women
Maitland Mustangs W
#7
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A25/04
NBL1 East Women
84.3Avg total
36.7Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.148.683.7-13.520%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.750.184.8-15.418%-
Last 30 away (13)35.746.682.3-10.923%-
Last 10 (10)36.747.684.3-10.920%-
Last 5 (5)40.845.085.8-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)33.750.784.4-16.99%-
vs Similar (4)40.247.888.0-7.525%-
vs Weaker (3)39.034.073.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Canberra W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Canberra W wins
0
Hornsby S. W wins
DateGameScore
14/07/24Hornsby S. W v Canberra W78-92
27/04/24Canberra W v Hornsby S. W100-78
22/04/23Hornsby S. W v Canberra W38-84
Canberra Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25HPenrith P. W66-58
25/04/25HBA CoE W68-83
12/04/25ANorths Bears W62-101
05/04/25HInner West Bulls W97-68
29/03/25AAlbury W87-95
20/07/24ASutherland Sharks W60-83
14/07/24AHornsby S. W92-78
06/07/24HSydney Comets W101-98 OT
29/06/24HSutherland Sharks W79-84
22/06/24HMaitland Mustangs W81-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/25AMaitland Mustangs W71-91
13/04/25HSydney Comets W85-81
05/04/25HBankstown Bruins W75-62
29/03/25HCentral Coast W90-79
14/07/24HCanberra W78-92
12/07/24HCentral Coast W68-96
06/07/24HNewcastle Falcons W64-81
29/06/24HSydney Comets W85-101
22/06/24HPenrith P. W56-86
15/06/24ABA CoE W87-79 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canberra W
NBL1 East Women 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game76.077.074.5
Allowed / game81.069.798.0
Point differential-5.0+7.3-23.5
Avg total157.0146.7172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hornsby S. W
NBL1 East Women 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game80.283.371.0
Allowed / game78.274.091.0
Point differential+2.0+9.3-20.0
Avg total158.5157.3162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Newcastle Falcons W550100%84.257.0+27.2
2 Norths Bears W770100%91.964.9+27.0
3 Maitland Mustangs W54180%79.669.8+9.8
4 Albury W54180%87.883.0+4.8
5 BA CoE W43175%79.069.2+9.8
6 Hornsby S. W43175%80.278.2+2.0
7 Manly W. W64267%83.267.8+15.3
8 Inner West Bulls W42250%74.083.8-9.8
9 Canberra W52340%76.081.0-5.0
10 Sydney Comets W62433%71.073.7-2.7
11 Penrith P. W62433%63.369.8-6.5
12 Hills Hornets W51420%71.281.4-10.2
13 Sutherland Sharks W51420%69.682.6-13.0
14 Illawarra Hawks W51420%63.082.2-19.2
15 Bankstown Bruins W71614%63.479.3-15.9
16 Central Coast W5050%59.278.2-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Canberra W2520212288
Hornsby S. W2718182487
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