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Cape Town vs Petro Atletico Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 84-78
23-21 24-20 17-19 20-18
Position#11
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Position#3
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game64.0
EuropeBAL· SunBet Arena
Other2024
Meetings · Cape Town v Petro Atletico
16 Mar 2024
CAPE84
PETR78
10 Apr 2022
CAPE61
PETR90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cape Town winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Petro Atletico winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cape TownLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTown
Date
Competition
Monastir
#2
L
67-106
67
106
-39
no box
A22/05
BAL
SLAC
#10
W
75-68
75
68
+7
no box
A27/04
BAL
Petro Atletico
#2
L
48-87
48
87
-39
no box
A30/04
BAL
Al Ahly
#1
L
75-91
75
91
-16
no box
H02/05
BAL
Ferroviario Beira
#9
L
76-82
76
82
-6
no box
A03/05
BAL
City Oilers
#11
W
80-70
80
70
+10
no box
H06/05
BAL
Stade Malien (Mli)
#4
L
69-78
69
78
-9
no box
A20/05
BAL
Dynamo
#10
L
73-86
73
86
-13
no box
H09/03
BAL
Petro Atletico
#3
L
88-100
88
100
-12
70avg 58
A10/03
BAL
FUS Rabat (Mar)
#1
L
58-84
58
84
-26
46avg 58
H12/03
BAL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
15-22
26-27
8-35
16-22
18-17
13-8
28-21
12-28
12-20
9-26
15-13
20-30
22-16
14-28
19-17
22-23
17-16
26-17
11-26
20-17
17-20
26-19
17-14
15-31
15-17
22-16
17-14
15-21
14-23
24-22
20-20
14-31
28-16
19-30
27-23
18-24
16-20
10-27
14-13
156.1Avg total
70.9Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.090.0163.0-17.00%
Season at home (2)65.585.0150.5-19.50%
Season away (1)88.0100.0188.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)70.985.2156.1-14.320%
Last 5 (5)73.683.6157.2-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)70.486.7157.1-16.427%
vs Similar (4)80.283.5163.8-3.225%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Petro Atletico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petro AtleticoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtletico
Date
Competition
Cape Town
#8
W
87-48
87
48
+39
no box
H30/04
BAL
SLAC
#10
W
95-78
95
78
+17
no box
A03/05
BAL
Al Ahly
#1
W
91-90
91
90
+1
no box
H05/05
BAL
Abidjan
#6
W
88-84
88
84
+4
no box
H21/05
BAL
Douanes
#3
L
86-92
86
92
-6
no box
H24/05
BAL
Stade Malien (Mli)
#4
L
65-73
65
73
-8
no box
H26/05
BAL
FUS Rabat (Mar)
#1
L
73-82
73
82
-9
61avg 79
H09/03
BAL
Cape Town
#11
W
100-88
100
88
+12
97avg 79
H10/03
BAL
Dynamo
#10
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
A12/03
BAL
FUS Rabat (Mar)
#1
W
89-86
89
86
+3
80avg 79
A14/03
BAL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-12
20-12
26-9
13-15
22-20
34-21
23-17
16-20
26-18
24-26
21-25
20-21
23-16
18-25
23-22
24-21
19-20
26-29
18-20
23-23
15-20
19-16
20-14
11-23
17-23
14-18
24-25
18-16
31-14
16-28
30-19
23-27
–
–
–
–
25-25
21-9
29-23
14-29
151.5Avg total
79.4Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)70.564.0134.5+6.575%
Season at home (2)86.585.0171.5+1.550%
Season away (2)54.543.097.5+11.5100%
Last 10 (10)79.472.1151.5+7.370%
Last 5 (5)69.465.8135.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.583.0163.5-2.550%
vs Similar (4)77.280.2157.5-3.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)83.467.3150.7+16.086%
This opponent (Cape Town) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.9-7.9Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -3.7-3.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.9-7.9Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -3.7-3.7
Cape TownPetro Atletico
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cape TownLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monastir
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A22/05
BAL
SLAC
#10
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A27/04
BAL
Petro Atletico
#2
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A30/04
BAL
Al Ahly
#1
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H02/05
BAL
Ferroviario Beira
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A03/05
BAL
City Oilers
#11
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H06/05
BAL
Stade Malien (Mli)
#4
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A20/05
BAL
Dynamo
#10
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H09/03
BAL
Petro Atletico
#3
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A10/03
BAL
FUS Rabat (Mar)
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H12/03
BAL
78.0Avg total
34.4Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)35.141.276.3-6.120%-
Last 30 at home (6)35.841.877.7-6.017%-
Last 30 away (9)34.740.875.4-6.122%-
Last 10 (10)34.443.678.0-9.20%-
Last 5 (5)34.444.078.4-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)34.042.276.2-8.218%-
vs Similar (4)38.238.576.8-0.225%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Petro Atletico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petro AtleticoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cape Town
#8
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H30/04
BAL
SLAC
#10
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A03/05
BAL
Al Ahly
#1
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H05/05
BAL
Abidjan
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H21/05
BAL
Douanes
#3
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H24/05
BAL
Stade Malien (Mli)
#4
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H26/05
BAL
FUS Rabat (Mar)
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H09/03
BAL
Cape Town
#11
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H10/03
BAL
FUS Rabat (Mar)
#1
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A14/03
BAL
83.3Avg total
44.2Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.036.580.5+7.579%-
Last 30 at home (20)43.735.779.4+8.080%-
Last 30 away (9)44.738.383.0+6.378%-
Last 10 (9)44.239.183.3+5.156%-
Last 5 (5)40.640.481.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.241.883.0-0.550%-
vs Similar (4)41.237.879.0+3.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)45.035.380.3+9.886%-
This opponent (Cape Town) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cape Towntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cape Town: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.516.0
41.6%
48.0%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.5
28.8%
27.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws28.517.5
61.4%
67.5%17.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Petro Atleticotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petro Atletico: 68.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.3 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.716.7
54.3%
48.0%33.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.06.7
37.0%
27.9%20.0
🏀 Free throws20.315.0
73.8%
67.5%15.0
They take 48.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/3 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cape Town
LLLLWLLLWL
Petro Atletico
WWWLLLWWWW
#11
League position
#3
-23.9
Net rating
+10.4
86.2
Offensive rating
108.5
110.2
Defensive rating
98.1
42.2%
Effective FG%
54.8%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
18.1%
Turnover %
15.3%
20.7%
Off. rebound %
36.2%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.42
28.8%
3-point %
37.0%
51.1%
Assist %
51.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence86.2 · 108.5Defence110.2 · 98.1Shooting42.2% · 54.8%3-point %28.8% · 37.0%Ball care18.1% · 15.3%Off. rebounds20.7% · 36.2%Free throws0.44 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Cape Town   ■ Petro Atletico
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cape Town wins
3
Petro Atletico wins
DateGameScore
10/03/24Petro Atletico v Cape Town100-88
30/04/23Petro Atletico v Cape Town87-48
10/04/22Cape Town v Petro Atletico61-90
Cape Townlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/24HFUS Rabat (Mar)58-84
10/03/24APetro Atletico88-100
09/03/24HDynamo73-86
20/05/23AStade Malien (Mli)69-78
06/05/23HCity Oilers80-70
03/05/23AFerroviario Beira76-82
02/05/23HAl Ahly75-91
30/04/23APetro Atletico48-87
27/04/23ASLAC75-68
22/05/22AMonastir67-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/24AFUS Rabat (Mar)89-86
12/03/24ADynamo20-0
10/03/24HCape Town100-88
09/03/24HFUS Rabat (Mar)73-82
26/05/23HStade Malien (Mli)65-73
24/05/23HDouanes86-92
21/05/23HAbidjan88-84
05/05/23HAl Ahly91-90
03/05/23ASLAC95-78
30/04/23HCape Town87-48

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cape Town
BAL 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game73.065.588.0
Allowed / game90.085.0100.0
Point differential-17.0-19.5-12.0
Avg total163.0150.5188.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Petro Atletico
BAL 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game70.586.554.5
Allowed / game64.085.043.0
Point differential+6.5+1.5+11.5
Avg total134.5171.597.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FUS Rabat (Mar)43175%68.055.0+13.0
2 Petro Atletico43175%70.564.0+6.5
3 Dynamo31233%28.737.7-9.0
4 Cape Town3030%73.090.0-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cape Town2324172084
Petro Atletico2120191878
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