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Capitanes de Arecibo vs Mets de Guaynabo Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 84-101
20-26 19-20 25-28 20-27
Position#6
Record4-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game79.8
Capitanes de Arecibo
Puerto Rico
vs
Mets de Guaynabo 🏆
Puerto Rico
Position#10
Record3-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game92.8
Puerto RicoBSN· Coliseo Manuel Petaca Iguina
Other2025
Meetings · Capitanes de Arecibo v Mets de Guaynabo
03 Apr 2025
CAPI84
METS101
27 Jun 2024
CAPI108
METS96
26 Jun 2023
CAPI86
METS92
22 Jun 2023
CAPI77
METS93
21 May 2023
CAPI85
METS89
16 Apr 2022
CAPI79
METS71
15 Nov 2021
CAPI100
METS70
09 Nov 2021
CAPI97
METS88
07 Nov 2021
CAPI95
METS68
19 Jul 2021
CAPI101
METS88
01 Mar 2020
CAPI93
METS74
08 Jun 2015
CAPI85
METS89
07 May 2015
CAPI85
METS78
14 Apr 2015
CAPI90
METS78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Capitanes de Arecibo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mets de Guaynabo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Capitanes de AreciboPuerto RicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArecibo
Date
Competition
Osos de Manati
#4
L
87-116
87
116
-29
83avg 87
A21/07
BSN
Osos de Manati
#4
W
97-83
97
83
+14
95avg 87
H23/07
BSN
Osos de Manati
#4
L
82-89
82
89
-7
76avg 87
A25/07
BSN
Osos de Manati
#4
L
87-89
87
89
-2
78avg 87
H28/07
BSN
Cangrejeros
#2
L
66-72
66
72
-6
57avg 87
A20/03
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
W
78-77
78
77
+1
68avg 87
H22/03
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
L
77-79
77
79
-2
71avg 87
A26/03
BSN
Osos de Manati
#12
W
95-90
95
90
+5
91avg 87
H28/03
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#11
W
97-93
97
93
+4
96avg 87
A30/03
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
W
73-68
73
68
+5
63avg 87
A02/04
BSN
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-30
30-30
16-26
16-30
27-12
20-23
30-29
20-19
23-25
13-23
17-17
29-24
23-26
22-23
26-21
16-19
25-18
21-9
11-24
9-21
17-17
19-18
22-26
20-16
16-19
27-20
16-22
18-18
31-13
24-17
18-27
22-33
26-29
27-13
22-23
22-28
15-17
18-14
25-21
15-16
169.5Avg total
83.9Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.079.8160.8+1.267%
Season at home (2)86.583.5170.0+3.0100%
Season away (4)78.278.0156.2+0.250%
Last 10 (10)83.985.6169.5-1.750%
Last 5 (5)84.081.4165.4+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (29)90.993.3184.2-2.352%
vs Weaker (1)95.090.0185.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Mets de Guaynabo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mets de GuaynaboPuerto RicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuaynabo
Date
Competition
Leones De Ponce
#7
L
75-89
75
89
-14
64avg 79
A19/07
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#7
W
83-81
83
81
+2
72avg 79
H21/07
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#7
L
86-91
86
91
-5
68avg 79
A23/07
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#7
L
89-96
89
96
-7
57avg 79
H25/07
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#7
L
70-87
70
87
-17
48avg 79
A27/07
BSN
San German
#8
W
81-80
81
80
+1
71avg 79
A16/03
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
W
106-89
106
89
+17
107avg 79
H20/03
BSN
Osos de Manati
#12
W
105-99
105
99
+6
97avg 79
H23/03
BSN
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#1
L
84-94
84
94
-10
77avg 79
A27/03
BSN
Cangrejeros
#2
L
90-102
90
102
-12
79avg 79
A29/03
BSN
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
21-25
25-12
15-29
29-25
19-9
15-23
20-24
18-27
20-14
21-22
27-28
30-19
28-25
14-20
17-32
20-22
10-22
17-28
23-15
15-13
23-22
25-25
18-20
27-21
29-13
27-24
23-31
25-18
23-27
27-23
30-31
20-22
22-20
17-27
25-25
18-26
19-27
31-24
22-25
177.7Avg total
86.9Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)93.292.8186.0+0.460%
Season at home (2)105.594.0199.5+11.5100%
Season away (3)85.092.0177.0-7.033%
Last 10 (10)86.990.8177.7-3.940%
Last 5 (5)93.292.8186.0+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.098.0185.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (28)89.389.2178.5+0.157%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Capitanes de Arecibo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -4.0-4.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -4.0-4.0
Capitanes de AreciboMets de Guaynabo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Capitanes de AreciboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osos de Manati
#4
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A21/07
BSN
Osos de Manati
#4
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H23/07
BSN
Osos de Manati
#4
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A25/07
BSN
Osos de Manati
#4
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H28/07
BSN
Cangrejeros
#2
W
46-27
46
27
+19
A20/03
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H22/03
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A26/03
BSN
Osos de Manati
#12
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H28/03
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#11
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A30/03
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A02/04
BSN
84.5Avg total
44.9Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.944.689.5+0.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.942.690.6+5.371%-
Last 30 away (16)42.246.388.5-4.144%-
Last 10 (10)44.939.684.5+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)44.035.479.4+8.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (29)44.545.189.6-0.655%-
vs Weaker (1)55.030.085.0+25.0100%-
This opponent (Mets de Guaynabo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mets de GuaynaboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leones De Ponce
#7
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A19/07
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#7
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H21/07
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A23/07
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#7
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H25/07
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#7
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A27/07
BSN
San German
#8
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A16/03
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H20/03
BSN
Osos de Manati
#12
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H23/03
BSN
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A27/03
BSN
Cangrejeros
#2
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A29/03
BSN
85.0Avg total
43.0Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.143.286.4-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.242.189.2+5.177%-
Last 30 away (17)40.144.184.2-4.129%-
Last 10 (10)43.042.085.0+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)44.241.886.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.547.587.0-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (28)43.442.986.3+0.554%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Capitanes de Arecibo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Capitanes de Arecibotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Capitanes de Arecibo: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.4
51.8%
53.8%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.2
36.7%
36.0%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.212.5
68.7%
75.6%12.5
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mets de Guaynabotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mets de Guaynabo: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.424.2
52.2%
53.8%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.78.3
30.0%
36.0%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.712.6
71.2%
75.6%12.6
They take 74.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Capitanes de Arecibo
WWWLWLLLWL
Mets de Guaynabo
LLWWWLLLWL
#6
League position
#10
-2.9
Net rating
-5.1
109.7
Offensive rating
106.7
112.6
Defensive rating
111.8
53.0%
Effective FG%
49.5%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
17.3%
Turnover %
12.0%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
36.7%
3-point %
30.0%
57.8%
Assist %
56.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 106.7Defence112.6 · 111.8Shooting53.0% · 49.5%3-point %36.7% · 30.0%Ball care17.3% · 12.0%Off. rebounds31.1% · 26.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Capitanes de Arecibo   ■ Mets de Guaynabo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Capitanes de Arecibo wins
6
Mets de Guaynabo wins
DateGameScore
28/06/24Capitanes de Arecibo v Mets de Guaynabo108-96
17/04/24Mets de Guaynabo v Capitanes de Arecibo92-90
27/06/23Capitanes de Arecibo v Mets de Guaynabo86-92
25/06/23Mets de Guaynabo v Capitanes de Arecibo111-96
23/06/23Capitanes de Arecibo v Mets de Guaynabo77-93
20/06/23Mets de Guaynabo v Capitanes de Arecibo96-82
21/05/23Capitanes de Arecibo v Mets de Guaynabo85-89
31/03/23Mets de Guaynabo v Capitanes de Arecibo84-93
05/05/22Mets de Guaynabo v Capitanes de Arecibo90-98
17/04/22Capitanes de Arecibo v Mets de Guaynabo79-71
Capitanes de Arecibolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/25APiratas de Quebradillas73-68
30/03/25AAguada Santeros97-93
28/03/25HOsos de Manati95-90
26/03/25AIndios de Mayaguez77-79
22/03/25HPiratas de Quebradillas78-77
20/03/25ACangrejeros66-72
28/07/24HOsos de Manati87-89
25/07/24AOsos de Manati82-89
23/07/24HOsos de Manati97-83
21/07/24AOsos de Manati87-116
Mets de Guaynabolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25ACangrejeros90-102
27/03/25AVaqueros de Bayamon84-94
23/03/25HOsos de Manati105-99
20/03/25HGigantes de Carolina106-89
16/03/25ASan German81-80
27/07/24ALeones De Ponce70-87
25/07/24HLeones De Ponce89-96
23/07/24ALeones De Ponce86-91
21/07/24HLeones De Ponce83-81
19/07/24ALeones De Ponce75-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Capitanes de Arecibo
BSN 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game81.086.578.2
Allowed / game79.883.578.0
Point differential+1.2+3.0+0.2
Avg total160.8170.0156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mets de Guaynabo
BSN 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game93.2105.585.0
Allowed / game92.894.092.0
Point differential+0.4+11.5-7.0
Avg total186.0199.5177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vaqueros de Bayamon65183%82.274.7+7.5
2 Cangrejeros64267%85.284.0+1.2
3 Capitanes de Arecibo64267%81.079.8+1.2
4 Gigantes de Carolina53260%93.290.8+2.4
5 Piratas de Quebradillas53260%83.080.6+2.4
6 Mets de Guaynabo53260%93.292.8+0.4
7 Indios de Mayaguez74357%83.984.9-1.0
8 Osos de Manati52340%92.695.4-2.8
9 San German41325%86.584.5+2.0
10 Leones De Ponce41325%85.292.8-7.5
11 Criollos de Caguas51420%89.091.2-2.2
12 Aguada Santeros4040%75.583.2-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Capitanes de Arecibo2019252084
Mets de Guaynabo26202827101
← all games of the day
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