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Casale Monferrato vs Leonis Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 80-71
18-19 24-12 17-24 21-16
Position#7
Record7-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#12
Record7-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game75.3
ItalyA2 - WestRound 13
Other2018-19
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Casale Monferrato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leonis Roma winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Casale MonferratoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#13
W
90-60
90
60
+30
H21/10
A2 - West
Trapani
#10
L
92-98
92
98
-6
A24/10
A2 - West
NPC Rieti
#6
W
70-55
70
55
+15
H28/10
A2 - West
Virtus Roma
#2
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A04/11
A2 - West
Tortona
#14
L
77-82
77
82
-5
H11/11
A2 - West
Capo d'Orlando
#1
W
96-82
96
82
+14
H18/11
A2 - West
Treviglio
#3
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A25/11
A2 - West
Legnano
#15
W
88-84
88
84
+4
A02/12
A2 - West
Agrigento
#11
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H09/12
A2 - West
Scafati
#9
L
89-101
89
101
-12
A16/12
A2 - West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
20-20
30-13
14-10
23-33
27-30
16-19
26-16
18-14
15-11
14-19
23-11
18-13
19-23
19-19
10-19
15-17
21-21
18-23
23-21
24-16
27-21
24-29
21-16
26-15
20-27
10-10
11-18
30-22
24-17
18-26
16-19
18-22
12-12
12-11
24-11
30-27
18-21
19-35
22-18
156.3Avg total
80.1Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.477.2159.7+5.258%
Season at home (6)82.269.3151.5+12.883%
Season away (6)82.785.2167.8-2.533%
Last 10 (10)80.176.2156.3+3.950%
Last 5 (5)81.278.6159.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)71.276.5147.7-5.436%
vs Similar (10)79.074.3153.3+4.760%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)82.474.4156.9+8.078%
This opponent (Leonis Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leonis RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Agrigento
#11
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H20/10
A2 - West
Virtus Roma
#2
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A24/10
A2 - West
Scafati
#9
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H27/10
A2 - West
Treviglio
#3
L
62-92
62
92
-30
A02/11
A2 - West
Legnano
#15
W
90-73
90
73
+17
H10/11
A2 - West
Bergamo
#4
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A18/11
A2 - West
Biella
#5
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H24/11
A2 - West
Virtus Cassino
#16
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A01/12
A2 - West
Capo d'Orlando
#1
L
81-93
81
93
-12
H08/12
A2 - West
NPC Rieti
#6
W
87-80 OT
87
80
+7
H15/12
A2 - West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
18-20
18-16
25-22
14-12
15-24
18-24
29-21
16-20
28-21
18-15
12-10
5-20
15-24
20-26
22-22
21-19
16-15
28-20
25-19
22-22
17-20
12-16
18-17
15-15
16-18
17-18
23-11
14-11
16-19
16-18
17-13
19-16
11-30
24-22
27-25
25-23
8-20
24-12
16-18
151.8Avg total
75.7Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.875.3151.2+0.558%
Season at home (7)81.073.0154.0+8.086%
Season away (5)68.678.6147.2-10.020%
Last 10 (10)75.776.1151.8-0.460%
Last 5 (5)74.274.2148.4+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)74.181.0155.1-6.929%
vs Similar (4)82.069.0151.0+13.0100%
vs Weaker (1)63.061.0124.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Casale Monferrato) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +3.6+3.6
Casale MonferratoLeonis Roma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Casale MonferratoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#13
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H21/10
A2 - West
Trapani
#10
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A24/10
A2 - West
NPC Rieti
#6
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H28/10
A2 - West
Virtus Roma
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A04/11
A2 - West
Tortona
#14
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H11/11
A2 - West
Capo d'Orlando
#1
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H18/11
A2 - West
Treviglio
#3
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A25/11
A2 - West
Legnano
#15
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A02/12
A2 - West
Agrigento
#11
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H09/12
A2 - West
Scafati
#9
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A16/12
A2 - West
83.0Avg total
43.1Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.437.876.1+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.537.375.8+1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)38.338.276.5+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)43.139.983.0+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.840.085.8+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.837.573.4-1.736%-
vs Similar (10)39.538.477.9+1.170%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.237.377.6+2.944%-
This opponent (Leonis Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leonis RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Agrigento
#11
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H20/10
A2 - West
Virtus Roma
#2
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A24/10
A2 - West
Scafati
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H27/10
A2 - West
Treviglio
#3
L
20-44
20
44
-24
A02/11
A2 - West
Legnano
#15
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H10/11
A2 - West
Bergamo
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A18/11
A2 - West
Biella
#5
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H24/11
A2 - West
Virtus Cassino
#16
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A01/12
A2 - West
Capo d'Orlando
#1
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H08/12
A2 - West
NPC Rieti
#6
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H15/12
A2 - West
72.3Avg total
33.4Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)34.538.272.7-3.742%-
Last 30 at home (7)36.438.174.6-1.757%-
Last 30 away (5)31.838.270.0-6.420%-
Last 10 (10)33.438.972.3-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)32.638.871.4-6.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)31.940.472.3-8.614%-
vs Similar (4)40.236.276.5+4.0100%-
vs Weaker (1)30.030.060.0+0.00%-
This opponent (Casale Monferrato) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Casale Monferrato wins
0
Leonis Roma wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/18AScafati89-101
09/12/18HAgrigento66-56
02/12/18ALegnano88-84
25/11/18ATreviglio67-70
18/11/18HCapo d'Orlando96-82
11/11/18HTortona77-82
04/11/18AVirtus Roma66-74
28/10/18HNPC Rieti70-55
24/10/18ATrapani92-98
21/10/18HSiena90-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/18HNPC Rieti87-80 OT
08/12/18HCapo d'Orlando81-93
01/12/18AVirtus Cassino63-61
24/11/18HBiella71-62
18/11/18ABergamo69-75
10/11/18HLegnano90-73
02/11/18ATreviglio62-92
27/10/18HScafati74-66
24/10/18AVirtus Roma76-81
20/10/18HAgrigento84-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Casale Monferrato
A2 - West 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL58%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%83%33%
Points / game82.482.282.7
Allowed / game77.269.385.2
Point differential+5.2+12.8-2.5
Avg total159.7151.5167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%83%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Leonis Roma
A2 - West 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW58%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %58%86%20%
Points / game75.881.068.6
Allowed / game75.373.078.6
Point differential+0.5+8.0-10.0
Avg total151.2154.0147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Roma129375%79.477.7+1.8
2 Bergamo128467%81.177.2+3.8
3 Casale Monferrato127558%82.477.2+5.2
4 Capo d'Orlando127558%87.282.5+4.8
5 Biella127558%75.270.6+4.6
6 Agrigento127558%80.678.4+2.2
7 NPC Rieti127558%72.671.8+0.8
8 Leonis Roma127558%75.875.3+0.5
9 Latina127558%88.489.2-0.8
10 Siena127558%78.279.0-0.8
11 Treviglio126650%82.183.0-0.9
12 Scafati125742%79.981.7-1.8
13 Trapani125742%83.786.0-2.3
14 Tortona124833%71.572.7-1.2
15 Legnano1221017%72.281.0-8.8
16 Virtus Cassino121118%76.083.0-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Casale Monferrato1824172180
Leonis Roma1912241671
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