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CBK Mersin W vs Virtus Bologna W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 64-61
23-19 13-13 15-15 13-14
Position#7
Record7-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game67.2
vs
Position#10
Record6-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game72.7
EuropeEuroleague WomenRound 12· Servet Tazegül Spor Salonu
Women2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CBK Mersin W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CBK Mersin WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
ESB Villeneuve W
#5
L
54-70
54
70
-16
50avg 76
H20/12
Euroleague Women
Fenerbahce W
#1
L
54-76
54
76
-22
41avg 76
A23/12
KBSL W
Izmit Bld. W
#3
L
73-76
73
76
-3
60avg 76
H26/12
KBSL W
Hatay W
#15
W
77-43
77
43
+34
80avg 76
A29/12
KBSL W
Galatasaray W
#7
W
76-65
76
65
+11
78avg 76
A02/01
Turkish Cup Women
Besiktas W
#3
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
no box
H04/01
Turkish Cup Women
Fenerbahce W
#1
L
76-79 OT
76
79
-3
no box
A05/01
Turkish Cup Women
Botas W
#8
L
79-83
79
83
-4
75avg 76
H07/01
KBSL W
Polkowice W
#11
W
66-59
66
59
+7
59avg 76
A10/01
Euroleague Women
Danilo's Pizza W
#11
W
85-54
85
54
+31
92avg 76
A13/01
KBSL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
15-20
10-14
10-18
15-18
11-18
15-19
13-21
29-24
14-25
15-19
15-8
24-7
14-12
17-16
22-8
19-22
18-15
17-15
22-13
16-19
17-20
28-20
15-17
15-19
13-18
22-19
21-15
20-21
18-23
18-15
23-24
24-20
18-18
6-11
18-10
23-10
19-27
22-9
21-8
141.6Avg total
72.7Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)69.567.2136.7+2.464%
Season at home (5)72.469.4141.8+3.060%
Season away (6)67.265.3132.5+1.867%
Last 10 (10)72.768.9141.6+3.850%
Last 5 (5)78.671.8150.4+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)65.775.3141.0-9.70%
vs Similar ◀ (11)73.572.5145.9+1.055%
vs Weaker (15)83.666.9150.5+16.793%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus Bologna WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Venezia W
#1
L
69-80
69
80
-11
65avg 66
H03/12
Serie A1 W
Polkowice W
#11
L
78-81 OT
78
81
-3
65avg 66
A06/12
Euroleague Women
Sassari W
#7
L
69-74
69
74
-5
63avg 66
A09/12
Serie A1 W
UNI Gyor W
#16
W
76-70
76
70
+6
70avg 66
H13/12
Euroleague Women
San Giovanni W
#4
W
71-67
71
67
+4
69avg 66
H16/12
Serie A1 W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#9
W
62-58
62
58
+4
57avg 66
A20/12
Euroleague Women
Schio W
#2
W
79-76
79
76
+3
78avg 66
A27/12
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#2
L
67-76
67
76
-9
60avg 66
H07/01
Coppa Italia Women
ESB Villeneuve W
#5
W
65-62
65
62
+3
49avg 66
H10/01
Euroleague Women
Ragusa W
#6
W
69-60
69
60
+9
71avg 66
A14/01
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
18-18
18-17
14-16
22-24
13-15
14-14
20-16
22-13
19-23
13-18
15-20
28-17
18-23
18-13
12-17
27-16
11-22
17-15
16-14
13-17
15-9
9-17
25-15
30-15
14-32
15-14
20-15
16-19
18-19
18-25
15-13
22-16
16-20
15-14
12-12
17-21
24-17
18-8
10-14
140.9Avg total
70.5Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)72.672.7145.4-0.155%
Season at home (6)74.073.2147.2+0.867%
Season away (5)71.072.2143.2-1.240%
Last 10 (10)70.570.4140.9+0.160%
Last 5 (5)68.466.4134.8+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)69.090.0159.0-21.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)73.874.7148.5-0.945%
vs Weaker (16)73.663.6137.2+10.181%
This opponent (CBK Mersin W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +0.7+0.7
CBK Mersin WVirtus Bologna W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CBK Mersin WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ESB Villeneuve W
#5
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H20/12
Euroleague Women
Fenerbahce W
#1
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A23/12
KBSL W
Izmit Bld. W
#3
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H26/12
KBSL W
Hatay W
#15
W
38-19
38
19
+19
A29/12
KBSL W
Galatasaray W
#7
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A02/01
Turkish Cup Women
Besiktas W
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H04/01
Turkish Cup Women
Fenerbahce W
#1
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A05/01
Turkish Cup Women
Botas W
#8
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H07/01
KBSL W
Polkowice W
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A10/01
Euroleague Women
Danilo's Pizza W
#11
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A13/01
KBSL W
73.5Avg total
36.1Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.935.176.0+5.860%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.238.582.8+5.754%-
Last 30 away (17)38.432.570.9+5.865%-
Last 10 (10)36.137.473.5-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)36.639.075.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.333.764.0-3.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.537.276.7+2.445%-
vs Weaker (15)44.333.878.1+10.580%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus Bologna WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia W
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H03/12
Serie A1 W
Polkowice W
#11
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A06/12
Euroleague Women
Sassari W
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A09/12
Serie A1 W
UNI Gyor W
#16
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H13/12
Euroleague Women
San Giovanni W
#4
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H16/12
Serie A1 W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#9
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A20/12
Euroleague Women
Schio W
#2
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A27/12
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#2
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H07/01
Coppa Italia Women
ESB Villeneuve W
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H10/01
Euroleague Women
Ragusa W
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A14/01
Serie A1 W
76.7Avg total
38.2Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.235.974.1+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.436.676.0+2.957%-
Last 30 away (16)37.135.372.4+1.862%-
Last 10 (10)38.238.576.7-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.037.074.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)25.050.075.0-25.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.239.276.4-2.036%-
vs Weaker (16)39.832.772.4+7.181%-
This opponent (CBK Mersin W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CBK Mersin Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CBK Mersin W: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.117.7
47.7%
46.7%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.6
32.3%
32.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws15.911.8
74.2%
75.3%11.8
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bologna Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna W: 69.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.3
50.9%
46.7%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.07.1
35.5%
32.1%21.3
🏀 Free throws13.49.8
73.1%
75.3%9.8
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CBK Mersin W
WWLLWWWLLL
Virtus Bologna W
WWLWWWWLLL
#7
League position
#10
+6.6
Net rating
+0.4
96.5
Offensive rating
100.1
89.9
Defensive rating
99.7
48.0%
Effective FG%
51.7%
43.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
22.0%
Turnover %
19.1%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
22.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.3%
3-point %
35.5%
71.1%
Assist %
63.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence96.5 · 100.1Defence89.9 · 99.7Shooting48.0% · 51.7%3-point %32.3% · 35.5%Ball care22.0% · 19.1%Off. rebounds30.3% · 22.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ CBK Mersin W   ■ Virtus Bologna W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
CBK Mersin W wins
0
Virtus Bologna W wins
DateGameScore
01/11/23Virtus Bologna W v CBK Mersin W65-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24ADanilo's Pizza W85-54
10/01/24APolkowice W66-59
07/01/24HBotas W79-83
05/01/24AFenerbahce W76-79 OT
04/01/24HBesiktas W87-84 OT
02/01/24AGalatasaray W76-65
29/12/23AHatay W77-43
26/12/23HIzmit Bld. W73-76
23/12/23AFenerbahce W54-76
20/12/23HESB Villeneuve W54-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24ARagusa W69-60
10/01/24HESB Villeneuve W65-62
07/01/24HRagusa W67-76
27/12/23ASchio W79-76
20/12/23APerfumerias Avenida W62-58
16/12/23HSan Giovanni W71-67
13/12/23HUNI Gyor W76-70
09/12/23ASassari W69-74
06/12/23APolkowice W78-81 OT
03/12/23HVenezia W69-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CBK Mersin W
Euroleague Women 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW64%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%60%67%
Points / game69.572.467.2
Allowed / game67.269.465.3
Point differential+2.4+3.0+1.8
Avg total136.7141.8132.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna W
Euroleague Women 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW55%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game72.674.071.0
Allowed / game72.773.272.2
Point differential-0.1+0.8-1.2
Avg total145.4147.2143.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 USK Prague W1110191%75.464.3+11.1
2 Fenerbahce W1210283%85.165.8+19.3
3 Zaragoza W118373%66.560.7+5.8
4 DVTK W139469%66.261.8+4.3
5 Schio W117464%70.365.6+4.6
6 CBK Mersin W117464%69.567.2+2.4
7 Polkowice W138562%72.172.1+0.0
8 ESB Villeneuve W116555%72.568.4+4.1
9 Virtus Bologna W116555%72.672.7-0.1
10 BA London Lions W21150%60.567.5-7.0
11 Perfumerias Avenida W115645%67.369.4-2.1
12 Valencia W115645%66.869.3-2.5
13 Sepsi SIC W134931%66.575.1-8.5
14 Landes W113827%69.674.4-4.7
15 Lyon W113827%69.076.0-7.0
16 Lublin W1221017%56.870.8-14.0
17 UNI Gyor W111109%72.481.6-9.3
18 TTT Riga W2020%58.061.0-3.0
19 Besiktas W2020%60.568.0-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CBK Mersin W2313151364
Virtus Bologna W1913151461
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