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Cebu Classic vs Davao Tigers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 65-57
15-12 13-15 15-12 22-18
Position#20
Record11-18
FormWLLLW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game79.9
vs
Position#19
Record12-17
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game82.1
PhilippinesMPBLMPBL - Semi-finals
Other2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cebu Classic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Davao Tigers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cebu ClassicPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ilagan Isabela Cowboys
#15
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A17/07
MPBL
GenSan Warriors
#13
W
100-94
100
94
+6
A02/08
MPBL
Marikina Verdiamonds
#27
W
104-86
104
86
+18
H07/08
MPBL
Pasig City
#18
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A12/08
MPBL
Bulacan Kuyas
#29
W
87-71
87
71
+16
H16/08
MPBL
Valenzuela City Darkhorse
#25
W
97-93
97
93
+4
A23/08
MPBL
Zamboanga Sikat
#14
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H28/08
MPBL
Pangasinan Heatwaves
#9
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A08/09
MPBL
Davao Tigers
#19
L
59-64
59
64
-5
A15/09
MPBL
Bacolod Masskara
#26
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A22/09
MPBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-8
14-27
15-15
21-30
23-23
23-23
27-23
27-25
33-22
15-16
27-26
29-22
14-16
11-20
28-17
23-17
19-23
23-15
24-13
21-20
28-21
20-21
13-23
36-28
18-10
15-23
15-18
22-23
13-18
18-17
24-18
22-30
14-22
15-12
18-8
12-22
17-12
25-27
22-17
16-15
160.2Avg total
81.6Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)74.879.9154.8-5.138%
Season at home (10)74.984.8159.7-9.930%
Season away (19)74.877.4152.2-2.642%
Last 10 (10)81.678.6160.2+3.060%
Last 5 (5)76.677.0153.6-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)72.084.1156.1-12.118%
vs Similar ◀ (5)73.876.8150.6-3.040%
vs Weaker (7)82.472.0154.4+10.486%
This opponent (Davao Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Davao TigersPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ilagan Isabela Cowboys
#15
L
73-88
73
88
-15
A02/08
MPBL
San Juan Knights
#3
L
79-95
79
95
-16
H08/08
MPBL
Basilan Viva Portmasters
#11
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A14/08
MPBL
Valenzuela City Darkhorse
#25
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H30/08
MPBL
Batangas City
#8
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A02/09
MPBL
Cebu Classic
#20
W
64-59
64
59
+5
H15/09
MPBL
Pampanga Giant Lanterns
#7
L
83-102
83
102
-19
A19/09
MPBL
Manila Batang Quiapo
#28
W
124-93
124
93
+31
A23/09
MPBL
Abra Weavers
#1
L
56-92
56
92
-36
A25/09
MPBL
Quezon City
#24
W
97-91
97
91
+6
H29/09
MPBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
19-34
23-21
14-13
10-19
31-29
19-14
19-33
14-30
23-14
16-15
10-23
13-13
19-19
22-25
30-26
7-14
11-22
22-17
22-13
22-14
12-15
8-18
22-12
26-24
27-38
18-24
12-16
23-25
34-21
31-25
36-22
6-20
15-28
14-21
21-23
23-14
22-18
27-29
25-30
163.6Avg total
78.5Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)76.582.1158.6-5.641%
Season at home (12)77.082.2159.2-5.250%
Season away (17)76.282.1158.2-5.935%
Last 10 (10)78.585.1163.6-6.640%
Last 5 (5)84.887.4172.2-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)72.887.0159.8-14.212%
vs Similar ◀ (6)77.074.7151.7+2.367%
vs Weaker (6)86.575.7162.2+10.8100%
This opponent (Cebu Classic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
Cebu ClassicDavao Tigers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cebu ClassicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ilagan Isabela Cowboys
#15
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A17/07
MPBL
GenSan Warriors
#13
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A02/08
MPBL
Marikina Verdiamonds
#27
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H07/08
MPBL
Pasig City
#18
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A12/08
MPBL
Bulacan Kuyas
#29
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H16/08
MPBL
Valenzuela City Darkhorse
#25
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A23/08
MPBL
Zamboanga Sikat
#14
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H28/08
MPBL
Pangasinan Heatwaves
#9
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A08/09
MPBL
Davao Tigers
#19
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A15/09
MPBL
Bacolod Masskara
#26
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A22/09
MPBL
75.0Avg total
37.4Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.239.374.6-4.128%-
Last 30 at home (10)35.341.076.3-5.730%-
Last 30 away (19)35.238.573.7-3.326%-
Last 10 (10)37.437.675.0-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.636.673.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)33.840.774.5-6.912%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)32.040.472.4-8.40%-
vs Weaker (7)41.135.376.4+5.986%-
This opponent (Davao Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Davao TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ilagan Isabela Cowboys
#15
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A02/08
MPBL
San Juan Knights
#3
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H08/08
MPBL
Basilan Viva Portmasters
#11
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A14/08
MPBL
Valenzuela City Darkhorse
#25
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H30/08
MPBL
Batangas City
#8
L
18-36
18
36
-18
A02/09
MPBL
Cebu Classic
#20
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H15/09
MPBL
Pampanga Giant Lanterns
#7
L
53-62
53
62
-9
A19/09
MPBL
Manila Batang Quiapo
#28
W
57-46
57
46
+11
A23/09
MPBL
Abra Weavers
#1
L
21-48
21
48
-27
A25/09
MPBL
Quezon City
#24
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H29/09
MPBL
80.5Avg total
37.4Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.040.175.1-5.231%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.538.574.0-3.033%-
Last 30 away (17)34.641.375.9-6.729%-
Last 10 (10)37.443.180.5-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)42.043.485.4-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)34.142.876.9-8.618%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)34.335.870.2-1.550%-
vs Weaker (6)38.037.075.0+1.050%-
This opponent (Cebu Classic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cebu Classic wins
1
Davao Tigers wins
DateGameScore
15/09/25Davao Tigers v Cebu Classic64-59
Cebu Classiclast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/09/25ABacolod Masskara80-71
15/09/25ADavao Tigers59-64
08/09/25APangasinan Heatwaves77-83
28/08/25HZamboanga Sikat70-74
23/08/25AValenzuela City Darkhorse97-93
16/08/25HBulacan Kuyas87-71
12/08/25APasig City76-70
07/08/25HMarikina Verdiamonds104-86
02/08/25AGenSan Warriors100-94
17/07/25AIlagan Isabela Cowboys66-80
Davao Tigerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/25HQuezon City97-91
25/09/25AAbra Weavers56-92
23/09/25AManila Batang Quiapo124-93
19/09/25APampanga Giant Lanterns83-102
15/09/25HCebu Classic64-59
02/09/25ABatangas City62-66
30/08/25HValenzuela City Darkhorse84-83
14/08/25ABasilan Viva Portmasters63-82
08/08/25HSan Juan Knights79-95
02/08/25AIlagan Isabela Cowboys73-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cebu Classic
MPBL 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW38%
HomeLLWWL30%
AwayWWLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291019
Win %38%30%42%
Points / game74.874.974.8
Allowed / game79.984.877.4
Point differential-5.1-9.9-2.6
Avg total154.8159.7152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%20%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Davao Tigers
MPBL 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW41%
HomeWLWWW50%
AwayLLLWL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291217
Win %41%50%35%
Points / game76.577.076.2
Allowed / game82.182.282.1
Point differential-5.6-5.2-5.9
Avg total158.6159.2158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%8%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)80% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %10%8%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Abra Weavers2928197%90.869.4+21.4
2 Nueva Ecija Vanguards2927293%91.070.3+20.7
3 San Juan Knights2926390%82.769.9+12.8
4 Quezon Huskers2824486%83.067.5+15.5
5 Pasay Voyagers2921872%82.774.2+8.5
6 Batang Kankaloo2921872%78.571.7+6.8
7 Pampanga Giant Lanterns2820871%85.276.8+8.4
8 Pangasinan Heatwaves3021970%86.676.4+10.2
9 Batangas City2920969%78.269.9+8.2
10 Rizal Golden Coolers29191066%84.975.9+9.0
11 Basilan Viva Portmasters29181162%79.574.4+5.1
12 GenSan Warriors28171161%83.073.8+9.2
13 Zamboanga Sikat29171259%78.873.0+5.8
14 Binan Tatak Gel29171259%76.570.8+5.7
15 Mindoro Tamaraws29151452%81.179.9+1.2
16 Ilagan Isabela Cowboys30151550%79.875.3+4.5
17 Bataan Risers30141647%84.078.7+5.3
18 Pasig City29121741%77.782.0-4.3
19 Davao Tigers29121741%76.582.1-5.6
20 Cebu Classic29111838%74.879.9-5.1
21 Muntinlupa Cagers27101737%73.878.2-4.4
22 Sarangani Marlins29101934%80.788.5-7.9
23 Imus Braderhood2992031%75.785.2-9.6
24 Quezon City2972224%74.882.6-7.8
25 Valenzuela City Darkhorse2972224%75.687.2-11.6
26 Bacolod Masskara2942514%72.582.4-9.9
27 Marikina Verdiamonds2942514%74.087.8-13.8
28 Manila Batang Quiapo2832511%79.6108.3-28.7
29 Bulacan Kuyas2932610%71.796.3-24.6
30 Paranaque Patriots281274%70.997.8-26.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cebu Classic1513152265
Davao Tigers1215121857
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