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Centauros vs Toros de Aragua Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 64-56
15-14 18-17 17-9 14-16
Position#12
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game74.7
vs
Position#20
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game83.3
VenezuelaSuperliga· Gimnasio Lara Figueroa (Portuguesa)
Other2023
Meetings · Centauros v Toros de Aragua
26 Mar 2023
CENT64
TORO56
21 Aug 2022
CENT75
TORO69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Centauros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toros de Aragua winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CentaurosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCentauros
Date
Competition
Broncos
#8
W
95-92
95
92
+3
no box
A28/09
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
L
96-99
96
99
-3
no box
A06/10
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
W
65-63
65
63
+2
no box
A07/10
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
L
66-79
66
79
-13
no box
H09/10
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
W
96-72
96
72
+24
no box
H10/10
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
L
78-85
78
85
-7
no box
H11/10
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
L
66-88
66
88
-22
no box
A14/10
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
70-74
70
74
-4
62avg 61
A18/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
87-82
87
82
+5
72avg 61
A19/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
L
64-68
64
68
-4
50avg 61
H24/03
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
21-25
25-23
27-17
19-16
25-29
18-25
34-29
15-19
18-11
12-23
20-10
14-19
18-16
18-16
16-28
28-17
25-21
18-24
25-10
14-23
20-26
22-17
22-19
22-18
18-22
11-24
15-24
17-16
24-15
15-20
14-23
26-27
21-17
20-18
20-20
19-28
19-10
12-9
14-21
158.5Avg total
78.3Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.774.7148.3-1.033%
Season at home (1)64.068.0132.0-4.00%
Season away (2)78.578.0156.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)78.380.2158.5-1.940%
Last 5 (5)73.079.4152.4-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)70.074.0144.0-4.00%
vs Similar (20)79.978.6158.5+1.360%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)85.174.2159.3+10.9100%
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros de AraguaVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAragua
Date
Competition
Centauros
#2
L
69-75
69
75
-6
no box
A21/08
Superliga
Llaneros
#12
L
69-85
69
85
-16
no box
H24/08
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#13
L
61-75
61
75
-14
no box
A26/08
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
L
73-74
73
74
-1
no box
H28/08
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#11
L
70-81
70
81
-11
no box
H30/08
Superliga
Piratas de La Guaira
#9
L
77-98
77
98
-21
no box
A01/09
Superliga
Broncos
#8
L
62-73
62
73
-11
no box
A02/09
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
75-70
75
70
+5
no box
H19/03
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
75-87
75
87
-12
63avg 66
H22/03
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
79-93
79
93
-14
69avg 66
H23/03
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
18-17
19-18
16-21
13-22
19-25
19-24
18-14
10-24
18-17
17-21
16-13
24-16
12-21
21-26
16-11
18-22
15-13
16-26
21-20
24-33
12-24
21-19
20-22
14-24
15-21
13-19
20-9
18-12
12-17
23-29
22-12
24-19
20-28
16-26
15-14
16-26
17-21
20-28
26-18
152.1Avg total
71.0Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.383.3159.7-7.033%
Season at home (3)76.383.3159.7-7.033%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.081.1152.1-10.110%
Last 5 (5)73.684.2157.8-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)68.481.4149.8-13.08%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)75.070.0145.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Centauros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +3.6+3.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +3.6+3.6
CentaurosToros de Aragua
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CentaurosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Broncos
#8
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A28/09
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A06/10
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A07/10
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H09/10
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H10/10
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H11/10
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A14/10
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A18/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A19/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H24/03
Superliga
80.7Avg total
40.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.138.577.6+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.238.276.4-0.147%-
Last 30 away (13)40.238.979.2+1.354%-
Last 10 (10)40.540.280.7+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.480.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.031.072.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar (20)39.140.079.1-0.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)38.736.274.9+2.467%-
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros de AraguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Centauros
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A21/08
Superliga
Llaneros
#12
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H24/08
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#13
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A26/08
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H28/08
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#11
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H30/08
Superliga
Piratas de La Guaira
#9
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A01/09
Superliga
Broncos
#8
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A02/09
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H19/03
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H22/03
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H23/03
Superliga
75.6Avg total
33.5Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)32.440.472.8-8.016%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.841.276.0-6.315%-
Last 30 away (12)29.839.669.4-9.817%-
Last 10 (10)33.542.175.6-8.610%-
Last 5 (5)34.445.079.4-10.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)32.540.973.4-8.312%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)30.029.059.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Centauros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Centaurostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Centauros: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.016.0
47.1%
50.8%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.07.3
25.3%
31.3%22.0
🏀 Free throws25.318.3
72.4%
65.6%18.3
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toros de Araguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toros de Aragua: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.521.0
49.4%
50.8%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.56.5
35.1%
31.3%19.5
🏀 Free throws27.515.5
56.4%
65.6%15.5
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/2 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Centauros
LWLLLWLWLW
Toros de Aragua
LLWLLLLLLL
#12
League position
#20
-2.2
Net rating
-14.6
94.3
Offensive rating
102.3
96.4
Defensive rating
116.9
42.9%
Effective FG%
50.4%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
58.8%
17.0%
Turnover %
22.6%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
40.5%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.45
25.3%
3-point %
35.1%
55.7%
Assist %
43.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence94.3 · 102.3Defence96.4 · 116.9Shooting42.9% · 50.4%3-point %25.3% · 35.1%Ball care17.0% · 22.6%Off. rebounds25.2% · 40.5%Free throws0.40 · 0.45Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Centauros   ■ Toros de Aragua
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Centauros wins
0
Toros de Aragua wins
DateGameScore
21/08/22Centauros v Toros de Aragua75-69
Centauroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/23HLlaneros64-68
19/03/23ALlaneros87-82
18/03/23ATrotamundos70-74
14/10/22ATrotamundos66-88
11/10/22HTrotamundos78-85
10/10/22HTrotamundos96-72
09/10/22HTrotamundos66-79
07/10/22ATrotamundos65-63
06/10/22ATrotamundos96-99
28/09/22ABroncos95-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/23HHeroes de Falcon79-93
22/03/23HGuaros de Lara75-87
19/03/23HFrontinos75-70
02/09/22ABroncos62-73
01/09/22APiratas de La Guaira77-98
30/08/22HHeroes de Falcon70-81
28/08/22HTrotamundos73-74
26/08/22AGuaros de Lara61-75
24/08/22HLlaneros69-85
21/08/22ACentauros69-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Centauros
Superliga 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game73.764.078.5
Allowed / game74.768.078.0
Point differential-1.0-4.0+0.5
Avg total148.3132.0156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toros de Aragua
Superliga 2023
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWLL33%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %33%33%-
Points / game76.376.3-
Allowed / game83.383.3-
Point differential-7.0-7.0-
Avg total159.7159.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Broncos330100%97.369.3+28.0
2 Cocodrilos440100%76.861.0+15.8
3 Piratas de La Guaira440100%81.869.2+12.5
4 Guaiqueries43175%93.280.5+12.8
5 Gladiadores43175%85.877.8+8.0
6 Trotamundos43175%79.077.8+1.2
7 Guaros de Lara43175%82.082.0+0.0
8 Brillantes32167%88.778.0+10.7
9 Heroes de Falcon32167%92.084.7+7.3
10 Centauros31233%73.774.7-1.0
11 Toros de Aragua31233%76.383.3-7.0
12 Gaiteros del Zulia31233%77.787.0-9.3
13 Marinos31233%75.785.0-9.3
14 Panteras41325%68.272.0-3.8
15 Llaneros41325%74.079.0-5.0
16 Cangrejeros41325%80.087.0-7.0
17 Gigantes41325%77.585.2-7.8
18 Diablos41325%68.084.0-16.0
19 Spartans3030%63.773.7-10.0
20 Frontinos4040%74.592.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Centauros1518171464
Toros de Aragua141791656
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