PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Central Arkansas vs Samford Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 77-84 (OT)
41-30 27-38 9-16
Position#83
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game83.3
vs
Samford 🏆
USA
Position#149
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game81.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Central Arkansas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Central ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Florida
#228
W
84-83 OT
84
83
+1
H15/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#143
L
72-89
72
89
-17
A19/02
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A21/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#56
L
70-93
70
93
-23
H25/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
L
60-78
60
78
-18
A27/02
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
77-72
77
72
+5
A03/03
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
L
66-84
66
84
-18
A04/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
54-94
54
94
-40
A04/11
NCAA
Champion Christian Tigers
#678
W
110-63
110
63
+47
H08/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
56-93
56
93
-37
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-49
38-21
31-42
41-47
36-35
46-36
35-48
35-45
26-35
34-43
32-37
45-35
24-46
42-38
23-51
31-43
53-38
57-25
34-43
22-50
155.1Avg total
73.1Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.383.3156.7-10.033%
Season at home (1)110.063.0173.0+47.0100%
Season away (2)55.093.5148.5-38.50%
Last 10 (10)73.182.0155.1-8.940%
Last 5 (5)72.681.2153.8-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)66.581.2147.7-14.75%
vs Similar ◀ (9)70.177.2147.3-7.156%
vs Weaker (2)98.566.0164.5+32.5100%
This opponent (Samford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#40
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H20/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
93-72
93
72
+21
H22/02
NCAA
VMI
#250
W
95-83
95
83
+12
A27/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
100-108
100
108
-8
A01/03
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
78-95
78
95
-17
H09/03
NCAA
George Mason
#13
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A19/03
NIT
Tulane
#173
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A04/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H08/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
A13/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A15/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
30-43
0-0
42-37
0-0
44-36
0-0
49-36
0-0
45-38
0-0
50-45
0-0
40-52
0-0
60-56
0-0
36-38
0-0
42-57
0-0
24-45
0-0
45-41
0-0
33-43
0-0
39-42
0-0
37-39
0-0
45-33
0-0
44-39
0-0
38-43
0-0
35-45
0-0
40-34
167.9Avg total
82.9Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.581.5162.0-1.050%
Season at home (1)82.072.0154.0+10.0100%
Season away (3)80.084.7164.7-4.733%
Last 10 (10)82.985.0167.9-2.140%
Last 5 (5)78.282.4160.6-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.079.0154.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)74.677.7152.4-3.143%
vs Weaker (14)85.972.0157.9+13.993%
This opponent (Central Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -9.8-9.81st half: -5.0-5.02nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: +2.6+2.6
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -9.8-9.81st half: -5.0-5.02nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: +2.6+2.6
Central ArkansasSamford
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Central ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Florida
#228
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H15/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#143
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A19/02
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A21/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#56
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H25/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A27/02
NCAA
Stetson
#341
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A03/03
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A04/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
23-51
23
51
-28
A04/11
NCAA
Champion Christian Tigers
#678
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H08/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A12/11
NCAA
75.0Avg total
32.6Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.839.571.3-7.720%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.238.072.2-3.831%-
Last 30 away (17)30.040.670.6-10.612%-
Last 10 (10)32.642.475.0-9.820%-
Last 5 (5)33.243.076.2-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)29.839.369.1-9.511%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)33.040.073.0-7.033%-
vs Weaker (2)45.539.084.5+6.550%-
This opponent (Samford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#40
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H20/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H22/02
NCAA
VMI
#250
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A27/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A01/03
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H09/03
NCAA
George Mason
#13
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A19/03
NIT
Tulane
#173
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A04/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H08/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A13/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A15/11
NCAA
78.6Avg total
36.8Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.637.775.3-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.234.471.6+2.957%-
Last 30 away (16)37.940.678.6-2.750%-
Last 10 (10)36.841.878.6-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)34.642.276.8-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.045.080.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.038.372.3-4.329%-
vs Weaker (14)42.436.178.4+6.386%-
This opponent (Central Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Central Arkansas wins
0
Samford wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25AArkansas56-93
08/11/25HChampion Christian Tigers110-63
04/11/25ANorth Carolina54-94
04/03/25ALipscomb66-84
03/03/25AStetson77-72
27/02/25ALipscomb60-78
25/02/25HNorth Alabama70-93
21/02/25AWest Georgia82-71
19/02/25AQueens Royals72-89
15/02/25HNorth Florida84-83 OT
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25AArkansas75-79
13/11/25ATexas Southern93-90 OT
08/11/25HSouth Carolina St82-72
04/11/25ATulane72-85
19/03/25AGeorge Mason69-86
09/03/25HFurman78-95
01/03/25ANC Greensboro100-108
27/02/25AVMI95-83
22/02/25HWestern Carolina93-72
20/02/25HFurman72-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Central Arkansas
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game73.3110.055.0
Allowed / game83.363.093.5
Point differential-10.0+47.0-38.5
Avg total156.7173.0148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Samford
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game80.582.080.0
Allowed / game81.572.084.7
Point differential-1.0+10.0-4.7
Avg total162.0154.0164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %25%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Austin Peay43175%84.060.8+23.2
2 Florida Gulf Coast42250%87.885.2+2.5
3 West Georgia42250%83.886.0-2.2
4 North Alabama42250%78.282.8-4.5
5 Queens Royals52340%79.480.4-1.0
6 Eastern Kentucky31233%87.779.7+8.0
7 North Florida31233%84.090.0-6.0
8 Central Arkansas31233%73.383.3-10.0
9 Lipscomb41325%75.079.8-4.8
10 Bellarmine41325%77.587.8-10.2
11 Stetson41325%73.587.0-13.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East Tennessee St43175%79.863.8+16.0
2 VMI53260%88.272.2+16.0
3 Mercer42250%80.880.0+0.8
4 Samford42250%80.581.5-1.0
5 Western Carolina42250%72.074.5-2.5
6 Wofford42250%72.081.2-9.2
7 Citadel41325%82.583.2-0.8
8 Furman41325%68.872.5-3.8
9 Chattanooga Mocs41325%75.079.5-4.5
10 NC Greensboro4040%70.291.0-20.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Central Arkansas4127977
Samford30381684
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.