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Central Connecticut State vs Wagner Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 60-70
0-0 35-31 0-0 25-39
Position#114
Record18-11
FormWWLWW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game70.9
vs
Wagner 🏆
USA
Position#249
Record13-16
FormLWWWW
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game72.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Central Connecticut State v Wagner
04 Jan 2027
CENT v WAGN
upcoming
04 Mar 2026
CENT60
WAGN70
07 Feb 2026
CENT84
WAGN67
10 Jan 2025
CENT57
WAGN62
09 Mar 2024
CENT56
WAGN66
27 Jan 2024
CENT69
WAGN68
16 Feb 2023
CENT58
WAGN57
03 Feb 2022
CENT52
WAGN54
26 Feb 2021
CENT83
WAGN77
25 Feb 2021
CENT63
WAGN83
25 Jan 2020
CENT86
WAGN76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Central Connecticut State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wagner winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Central Connecticut StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wagner
#249
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A30/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
59-80
59
80
-21
H31/01
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H06/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
W
84-67
84
67
+17
H07/02
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
W
81-76
81
76
+5
A13/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A14/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H20/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
L
51-70
51
70
-19
A21/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H27/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H28/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
32-26
0-0
30-29
0-0
36-37
0-0
23-43
0-0
35-28
0-0
43-39
0-0
38-28
0-0
46-39
0-0
41-33
0-0
40-43
0-0
30-25
0-0
33-32
0-0
39-34
0-0
39-43
0-0
25-28
0-0
26-42
0-0
34-30
0-0
46-48
0-0
32-29
0-0
37-35
139.6Avg total
70.5Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)74.370.9145.2+3.462%
Season at home (13)83.072.4155.4+10.677%
Season away (16)67.269.8137.0-2.550%
Last 10 (10)70.569.1139.6+1.480%
Last 5 (5)68.269.2137.4-1.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)69.074.6143.6-5.642%
vs Weaker (18)76.167.1143.2+9.072%
This opponent (Wagner) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WagnerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
75-72 OT
75
72
+3
H31/01
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
79-78
79
78
+1
H06/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
67-84
67
84
-17
A07/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
57-67
57
67
-10
H13/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
68-57
68
57
+11
A14/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
65-83
65
83
-18
A17/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
A20/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
65-56
65
56
+9
A21/02
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H27/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H28/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
33-29
0-0
33-37
0-0
40-35
0-0
39-43
0-0
28-38
0-0
39-46
0-0
35-33
0-0
22-34
0-0
26-24
0-0
42-33
0-0
31-37
0-0
34-46
0-0
35-26
0-0
35-44
0-0
31-31
0-0
34-25
0-0
20-22
0-0
45-40
0-0
42-24
0-0
38-37
140.4Avg total
70.4Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)71.972.3144.2-0.545%
Season at home (13)72.966.3139.2+6.662%
Season away (16)71.077.2148.2-6.231%
Last 10 (10)70.470.0140.4+0.470%
Last 5 (5)71.668.4140.0+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)66.576.2142.8-9.80%
vs Similar ◀ (16)67.271.9139.1-4.831%
vs Weaker (9)78.167.4145.6+10.778%
This opponent (Central Connecticut State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -2.4-2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -2.4-2.4
Central Connecticut StateWagner
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Central Connecticut StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wagner
#249
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A30/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H31/01
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H06/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H07/02
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A13/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A14/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H20/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
L
25-28
25
28
-3
A21/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H27/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H28/02
NCAA
64.0Avg total
34.2Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.232.666.7+1.660%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.931.969.8+6.171%-
Last 30 away (16)30.933.264.1-2.350%-
Last 10 (10)34.229.864.0+4.480%-
Last 5 (5)32.029.261.2+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)31.235.266.5-4.042%-
vs Weaker (18)36.130.866.9+5.372%-
This opponent (Wagner) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WagnerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H31/01
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H06/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A07/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H13/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A14/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A17/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A20/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A21/02
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
20-22
20
22
-2
H27/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H28/02
NCAA
62.0Avg total
32.1Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.132.565.6+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.629.564.2+5.162%-
Last 30 away (17)31.934.866.7-2.841%-
Last 10 (10)32.129.962.0+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)31.828.059.8+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.533.867.2-0.275%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)30.232.062.2-1.844%-
vs Weaker (9)37.131.168.2+6.056%-
This opponent (Central Connecticut State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26HSt. Francis (PA)69-64
27/02/26HMercyhurst Lakers80-78
21/02/26AChicago State51-70
20/02/26HLe Moyne78-77
14/02/26AFairleigh Dickinson63-57
13/02/26ANew Haven Chargers81-76
07/02/26HWagner84-67
06/02/26HChicago State78-67
31/01/26HLIU Sharks59-80
30/01/26AWagner62-55
Wagnerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26HChicago State80-61
27/02/26HNew Haven Chargers65-62
21/02/26ASt. Francis (PA)65-56
20/02/26AMercyhurst Lakers83-80 OT
17/02/26ALIU Sharks65-83
14/02/26AStonehill68-57
13/02/26HLIU Sharks57-67
07/02/26ACentral Connecticut State67-84
06/02/26HLe Moyne79-78
31/01/26HFairleigh Dickinson75-72 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Central Connecticut State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW62%
HomeWWWWW77%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %62%77%50%
Points / game74.383.067.2
Allowed / game70.972.469.8
Point differential+3.4+10.6-2.5
Avg total145.2155.4137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%38%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %3%8%0%
Wagner
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW45%
HomeWWLWW62%
AwayLWLWW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %45%62%31%
Points / game71.972.971.0
Allowed / game72.366.377.2
Point differential-0.5+6.6-6.2
Avg total144.2139.2148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%31%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)67% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %17%15%19%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LIU Sharks31211068%74.171.5+2.6
2 Central Connecticut State29181162%74.370.9+3.4
3 Mercyhurst Lakers31151648%69.767.7+2.0
4 Le Moyne31151648%73.172.9+0.2
5 New Haven Chargers31141745%64.966.3-1.4
6 Wagner29131645%71.972.3-0.5
7 Stonehill31121939%66.868.5-1.8
8 Fairleigh Dickinson31112035%67.470.2-2.8
9 St. Francis (PA)3172423%71.581.0-9.5
10 Chicago State3172423%65.576.0-10.5
11 St. Francis (ILL)1010%55.098.0-43.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Central Connecticut State03502560
Wagner03103970
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