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Chalons-Reims vs La Rochelle Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 17 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Projected 83-81
Projected total 163.7
Scheduled
Position#5
Record6-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game80.7
Chalons-Reims
France
Vs
57%
43%
■ CRE 57%■ LRO 43%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.5/10
Above normal
3.8/10
Below normal
La Rochelle
France
Position#17
Record3-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game86.4
FrancePro BRound 10· Palais des Sports Pierre de Coubertin
Other2026-27
Meetings · Chalons-Reims v La Rochelle
17 Nov 2026
CRE v LRO
upcoming
13 Mar 2026
CRE76
LRO91
13 Oct 2023
CRE77
LRO82
31 Mar 2023
CRE88
LRO78
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Chalons-Reims host La Rochelle in the Pro B on 17 November 2026, with the Pythia model favouring the home side at 57% to 43%. Chalons-Reims are 5-3 in all eight games this season, scoring 79.1 and conceding 81.6 points per game, while La Rochelle are 2-6, averaging 85.8 points and allowing 87.5, placing them 18th. At home Chalons-Reims are 3-2, 77.4 points for and 79.8 against, and have won three of their last five, including a 95-89 victory over Levallois and a 81-78 win away at St. Chamond, but suffered a 59-89 loss to Evreux. La Rochelle have gone 0-4 on the road, 86.5 points for and 92.5 against, and have only one win in their last five, a 85-73 home win over Denain-Voltaire. In their seven meetings, La Rochelle lead 4-3, though Chalons-Reims last defeated them 90-69 on 22 May 2026. Pythia projects an 83-81 score for a total of 163.7 points, with a 5% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chalons-Reims win
56.7%fair 1.76
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
La Rochelle win
43.3%fair 2.31
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:34 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Chalons-ReimsFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChalons-Reims
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#2
L
78-79
78
79
-1
65avg 76
H28/05
Pro B
Orleans
#2
W
88-84 OT
88
84
+4
83avg 76
A26/09
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
L
55-80
55
80
-25
45avg 76
H02/10
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
87-59
87
59
+28
89avg 76
H09/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
77-92
77
92
-15
69avg 76
A16/10
Pro B
Vichy
#13
W
91-82
91
82
+9
74avg 76
H20/10
Pro B
St. Chamond
#15
W
81-78
81
78
+3
77avg 76
A23/10
Pro B
Levallois
#11
W
95-89
95
89
+6
95avg 76
H30/10
Pro B
Evreux
#8
L
59-89
59
89
-30
no box
H06/11
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
80-73
80
73
+7
no box
A13/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-17
18-20
20-21
29-21
17-16
20-28
19-17
20-15
16-22
12-16
15-23
12-19
25-20
23-12
21-15
18-12
18-12
18-27
24-25
17-28
16-27
24-14
28-17
23-24
18-24
15-15
17-21
31-18
26-25
21-28
25-14
23-22
18-29
12-19
13-21
16-20
15-22
22-17
24-22
19-12
159.6Avg total
79.1Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.280.7159.9-1.467%
Season at home (5)77.479.8157.2-2.460%
Season away (4)81.581.8163.2-0.275%
Last 10 (10)79.180.5159.6-1.460%
Last 5 (5)81.282.2163.4-1.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.183.0161.1-4.929%
vs Similar ◀ (18)79.880.2160.0-0.356%
vs Weaker (5)86.078.2164.2+7.880%
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La RochelleFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRochelle
Date
Competition
Chalons-Reims
#8
L
69-90
69
90
-21
66avg 75
H22/05
Pro B
ASA
#19
W
95-88
95
88
+7
86avg 75
H25/09
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
L
97-103
97
103
-6
86avg 75
A02/10
Pro B
St. Chamond
#15
L
81-84
81
84
-3
76avg 75
H09/10
Pro B
Ada Blois
#7
L
89-102
89
102
-13
no box
A16/10
Pro B
Rouen
#18
L
75-76
75
76
-1
70avg 75
A20/10
Pro B
Evreux
#8
L
79-85
79
85
-6
66avg 75
H23/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
85-89
85
89
-4
78avg 75
A30/10
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
W
85-73
85
73
+12
no box
H06/11
Pro B
Antibes
#3
W
85-78
85
78
+7
no box
H13/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
19-22
15-24
13-25
33-20
18-23
29-23
15-22
19-21
21-33
25-23
32-26
23-30
21-18
22-22
15-14
25-35
17-17
22-25
25-25
25-24
22-25
7-20
21-7
15-19
27-18
25-27
12-21
23-25
23-26
22-13
17-25
27-12
21-23
17-19
20-19
25-14
21-19
19-26
20-19
170.8Avg total
84.0Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.786.4172.1-0.833%
Season at home (5)85.081.6166.6+3.460%
Season away (4)86.592.5179.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)84.086.8170.8-2.830%
Last 5 (5)81.880.2162.0+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.685.4166.0-4.830%
vs Similar ◀ (17)83.783.3167.0+0.441%
vs Weaker (3)83.079.0162.0+4.0100%
This opponent (Chalons-Reims) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 161.5
Over 161.5
54.4%
Under 161.5
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 166.5
Over 166.5
42.4%
Under 166.5
57.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171.5
Over 171.5
31.2%
Under 171.5
68.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Chalons-Reims total 80.5
Over 80.5
58.6%
Under 80.5
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chalons-Reims total 84.5
Over 84.5
43.2%
Under 84.5
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chalons-Reims total 88.5
Over 88.5
28.8%
Under 88.5
71.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Rochelle total 78
Over 78
61.0%
Under 78
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Rochelle total 82
Over 82
45.1%
Under 82
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Rochelle total 86
Over 86
30.2%
Under 86
69.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Chalons-Reims -3
CRE -3
47.7%
LRO +3
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
CRE
No market prices yet.
LRO
No market prices yet.
Spread Chalons-Reims 0
CRE 0
56.7%
LRO 0
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
CRE
No market prices yet.
LRO
No market prices yet.
Spread Chalons-Reims +3
CRE +3
65.6%
LRO -3
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
CRE
No market prices yet.
LRO
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -1.3-1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -1.3-1.3
Chalons-ReimsLa Rochelle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Chalons-ReimsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#2
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H28/05
Pro B
Orleans
#2
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A26/09
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H02/10
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H09/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A16/10
Pro B
Vichy
#13
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H20/10
Pro B
St. Chamond
#15
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A23/10
Pro B
Levallois
#11
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H30/10
Pro B
Evreux
#8
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H06/11
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A13/11
Pro B
77.5Avg total
36.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.640.179.7-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.640.681.1+0.043%-
Last 30 away (16)38.739.878.4-1.138%-
Last 10 (10)36.541.077.5-4.510%-
Last 5 (5)37.444.081.4-6.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.038.174.1-2.114%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)40.740.981.7-0.244%-
vs Weaker (5)40.440.080.4+0.460%-
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La RochelleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chalons-Reims
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H22/05
Pro B
ASA
#19
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H25/09
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A02/10
Pro B
St. Chamond
#15
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H09/10
Pro B
Ada Blois
#7
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A16/10
Pro B
Rouen
#18
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A20/10
Pro B
Evreux
#8
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H23/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A30/10
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H06/11
Pro B
Antibes
#3
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H13/11
Pro B
89.0Avg total
44.7Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.783.5+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.439.481.8+3.156%-
Last 30 away (14)41.244.385.5-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)44.744.389.0+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)45.841.086.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.542.182.6-1.630%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)42.542.084.5+0.553%-
vs Weaker (3)42.738.381.0+4.367%-
This opponent (Chalons-Reims) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chalons-Reimstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chalons-Reims: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.9
52.8%
53.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.4
32.4%
33.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws18.113.2
72.9%
74.0%13.2
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
La Rochelletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Rochelle: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.9
52.5%
53.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.1
36.5%
33.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.715.0
69.1%
74.0%15.0
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chalons-Reims
WLWWWLWLWL
La Rochelle
WWLLLLLLWL
#5
League position
#17
+8.4
Net rating
-7.0
94.3
Offensive rating
93.8
86.0
Defensive rating
100.8
51.0%
Effective FG%
53.4%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
15.7%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.4%
3-point %
36.5%
66.6%
Assist %
75.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence94.3 · 93.8Defence86.0 · 100.8Shooting51.0% · 53.4%3-point %32.4% · 36.5%Ball care15.7% · 15.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Chalons-Reims   ■ La Rochelle
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Chalons-Reims wins
4
La Rochelle wins
DateGameScore
22/05/26La Rochelle v Chalons-Reims69-90
13/03/26Chalons-Reims v La Rochelle76-91
26/09/25La Rochelle v Chalons-Reims69-61
15/03/24La Rochelle v Chalons-Reims87-73
13/10/23Chalons-Reims v La Rochelle77-82 OT
31/03/23Chalons-Reims v La Rochelle88-78
21/10/22La Rochelle v Chalons-Reims62-68
Chalons-Reimslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AFos-sur-Mer80-73
06/11/26HEvreux59-89
30/10/26HLevallois95-89
23/10/26ASt. Chamond81-78
20/10/26HVichy91-82
16/10/26APoitiers77-92
09/10/26HAix Maurienne87-59
02/10/26HDenain-Voltaire55-80
26/09/26AOrleans88-84 OT
28/05/26HPau-Orthez78-79
La Rochellelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HAntibes85-78
06/11/26HDenain-Voltaire85-73
30/10/26APoitiers85-89
23/10/26HEvreux79-85
20/10/26ARouen75-76
16/10/26AAda Blois89-102
09/10/26HSt. Chamond81-84
02/10/26AHyeres-Toulon97-103
25/09/26HASA95-88
22/05/26HChalons-Reims69-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chalons-Reims
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%60%75%
Points / game79.277.481.5
Allowed / game80.779.881.8
Point differential-1.4-2.4-0.2
Avg total159.9157.2163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %11%0%25%
La Rochelle
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW33%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%60%0%
Points / game85.785.086.5
Allowed / game86.481.692.5
Point differential-0.8+3.4-6.0
Avg total172.1166.6179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Denain-Voltaire96367%86.378.7+7.7
2 Orleans96367%88.681.3+7.2
3 Antibes96367%86.683.0+3.6
4 Quimper96367%81.979.7+2.2
5 Chalons-Reims96367%79.280.7-1.4
6 Poitiers106460%87.084.3+2.7
7 Ada Blois95456%93.385.9+7.4
8 Evreux95456%84.383.7+0.7
9 Nantes95456%82.383.0-0.7
10 Hyeres-Toulon95456%87.489.3-1.9
11 Levallois105550%83.184.5-1.4
12 Caen94544%85.687.9-2.3
13 Vichy94544%84.687.4-2.9
14 Aix Maurienne94544%84.388.2-3.9
15 St. Chamond94544%82.386.6-4.2
16 Le Havre93633%89.488.9+0.6
17 La Rochelle93633%85.786.4-0.8
18 Rouen93633%85.487.0-1.6
19 ASA93633%85.288.3-3.1
20 Fos-sur-Mer92722%72.080.0-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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