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Chelyabinsk vs Rusichi Kursk Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Projected 95-75
Projected total 169.8
Final 93-68
22-13 26-20 30-15 15-20
Position#1
Record6-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game89.4
Chelyabinsk 🏆
Russia
Vs
95%
■ CHEL 95%■ RUSI 5%
Pythia win probability
Rusichi Kursk
Russia
Position#14
Record1-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game84.9
RussiaSuper League· Palace of Pioneers and Schoolchildren N.K. Krupskaya
Other2026-27
Meetings · Chelyabinsk v Rusichi Kursk
10 Nov 2026
CHEL93
RUSI68
09 Apr 2024
CHEL68
RUSI67
16 Jan 2024
CHEL71
RUSI69
27 Sep 2020
CHEL78
RUSI92
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Chelyabinsk hosts Rusichi Kursk in the Super League on 10 November 2026, and the Pythia model names Chelyabinsk the clear favourite, assigning it a 95% chance of winning thanks to a 6-1 record, 92.0 points per game and only 89.4 points allowed per game, placing them fourth in the league. Rusichi Kursk, with a 1-6 record, 70.9 points per game and 84.9 allowed, sits fourteenth and has not won a road game in three attempts, scoring only 70.7 points per game and conceding 91.7. Chelyabinsk has won both home games, averaging 99.0 points at home, and has four wins in its last five, including a 94-79 victory over University-Ugra and a 95-94 win at home against Barnaul; their only loss was 82-117 to Khimki M. on 2 November. Rusichi Kursk has lost all five recent games, most notably 68-74 to CSKA Moscow and 94-76 to Dynamo Grozny, both at home. In head-to-head history, Chelyabinsk has won four of five meetings, most recently 77-61 on 23 April 2024. Pythia projects a 95-75 score, 169.8 total points, a 60% chance of Chelyabinsk covering the -16.5 spread, a 48% probability of the over on the 170.5 line, and a 1% chance of overtime. The game will hinge on whether Rusichi Kursk can keep the score close enough to stay in the contest.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chelyabinsk winWon
95.1%fair 1.05
Best odds1.06
Implied87.6%
Edge+7.5pp
Rusichi Kursk winLost
4.9%fair 20.36
Best odds7.43
Implied12.4%
Edge-7.5pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 14:16 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChelyabinskRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#4
W
89-81 OT
89
81
+8
A16/05
Super League
Khimki M.
#4
L
61-74
61
74
-13
H20/05
Super League
Khimki M.
#4
W
79-61
79
61
+18
A23/05
Super League
Metallurg
#7
W
93-79
93
79
+14
A04/10
Super League
Izhevsk
#12
W
87-78
87
78
+9
A12/10
Super League
Tambov
#8
W
90-85
90
85
+5
A15/10
Super League
Novosibirsk
#10
W
103-94 OT
103
94
+9
H22/10
Super League
Barnaul
#9
W
95-94
95
94
+1
H25/10
Super League
Khimki M.
#5
L
82-117
82
117
-35
A02/11
Super League
University-Ugra
#11
W
94-79
94
79
+15
A05/11
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-15
11-19
19-23
17-21
23-19
11-17
16-25
11-13
18-18
19-13
21-13
21-17
23-20
20-14
30-16
20-29
20-24
20-22
29-15
18-17
19-22
29-16
26-22
16-25
27-27
15-19
24-22
23-21
24-26
28-20
19-26
24-22
15-31
20-21
19-34
28-31
26-18
27-18
21-25
20-18
171.5Avg total
87.3Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)92.089.4181.4+2.686%
Season at home (2)99.094.0193.0+5.0100%
Season away (5)89.287.6176.8+1.680%
Last 10 (10)87.384.2171.5+3.180%
Last 5 (5)92.893.8186.6-1.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)91.092.0183.0-1.00%
vs Similar (8)80.184.4164.5-4.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)90.079.0169.0+11.190%
This opponent (Rusichi Kursk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rusichi KurskRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Moscow
#5
L
73-95
73
95
-22
H17/09
Russian Cup
Desna Bryansk
#26
W
98-85
98
85
+13
A18/09
Russian Cup
Khimki-Podmoskovie
#31
W
66-53
66
53
+13
H19/09
Russian Cup
Khimki M.
#5
L
59-83
59
83
-24
H02/10
Super League
University-Ugra
#11
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H05/10
Super League
Desna Bryansk
#13
L
62-89
62
89
-27
A15/10
Super League
Temp Sumz Revda
#3
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A21/10
Super League
Ufa
#2
L
73-96
73
96
-23
A24/10
Super League
Dynamo Grozny
#4
L
76-94
76
94
-18
H02/11
Super League
CSKA Moscow 2
#6
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H05/11
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
18-20
21-31
10-16
26-29
23-18
22-18
27-20
11-19
21-10
17-13
17-11
12-16
13-15
9-19
25-33
17-13
30-22
18-13
16-20
9-28
22-20
15-14
16-27
18-29
16-20
24-26
19-15
28-24
16-25
15-26
14-21
19-21
16-26
23-19
18-28
9-15
24-14
18-25
17-20
156.0Avg total
73.3Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)70.984.9155.7-14.014%
Season at home (4)71.079.8150.8-8.825%
Season away (3)70.791.7162.3-21.00%
Last 10 (10)73.382.7156.0-9.430%
Last 5 (5)71.288.6159.8-17.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)73.687.1160.7-13.622%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)82.069.0151.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Chelyabinsk) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 164.5Actual: Under 164.5
Over 164.5
62.8%
@ 1.53
Under 164.5
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.53
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 169.5 · main lineActual: Under 169.5
Over 169.5
50.6%
@ 1.87+1.2pp
Under 169.5
49.4%
@ 1.86-1.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.87
Pinnacle
1.82
Marathon Be
1.81
1xBet
1.81
Under
Marathon Be
1.86
1xBet
1.86
SBO
1.81
Pinnacle
1.78
Over/Under 174.5Actual: Under 174.5
Over 174.5
38.4%
Under 174.5
61.6%
@ 1.51
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
Marathon Be
1.51

📊 3. Team Totals

Chelyabinsk total 89.5Actual: Chelyabinsk over 89.5
Over 89.5
69.8%
Under 89.5
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelyabinsk total 93.5 · main lineActual: Chelyabinsk under 93.5
Over 93.5
54.5%
@ 1.83+4.5pp
Under 93.5
45.5%
@ 1.83-4.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Chelyabinsk total 95.5Actual: Chelyabinsk under 95.5
Over 95.5
46.4%
Under 95.5
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rusichi Kursk total 72.5Actual: Rusichi Kursk under 72.5
Over 72.5
60.4%
Under 72.5
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rusichi Kursk total 76.5 · main lineActual: Rusichi Kursk under 76.5
Over 76.5
44.5%
@ 1.83-5.5pp
Under 76.5
55.5%
@ 1.83+5.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Rusichi Kursk total 80.5Actual: Rusichi Kursk under 80.5
Over 80.5
29.5%
Under 80.5
70.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Chelyabinsk -18Actual: Chelyabinsk -18
CHEL -18
55.0%
@ 2.19+13.6pp
RUSI +18
45.0%
@ 1.65-13.6pp
Best 5 market prices
CHEL
Pinnacle
2.19
Marathon Be
2.00
1xBet
2.00
RUSI
1xBet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.55
Marathon Be
1.53
Spread Chelyabinsk -15 · main lineActual: Chelyabinsk -15
CHEL -15
65.7%
@ 1.87+15.8pp
RUSI +15
34.3%
@ 1.86-15.8pp
Best 5 market prices
CHEL
Pinnacle
1.87
SBO
1.85
Marathon Be
1.82
1xBet
1.82
RUSI
Pinnacle
1.86
SBO
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Spread Chelyabinsk -12Actual: Chelyabinsk -12
CHEL -12
75.1%
@ 1.51+13.8pp
RUSI +12
24.9%
@ 2.39-13.8pp
Best 5 market prices
CHEL
Pinnacle
1.51
RUSI
Pinnacle
2.39

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -3.2-3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -3.2-3.2
ChelyabinskRusichi Kursk
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChelyabinskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#4
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A16/05
Super League
Khimki M.
#4
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H20/05
Super League
Khimki M.
#4
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A23/05
Super League
Metallurg
#7
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A04/10
Super League
Izhevsk
#12
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A12/10
Super League
Tambov
#8
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A15/10
Super League
Novosibirsk
#10
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H22/10
Super League
Barnaul
#9
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H25/10
Super League
Khimki M.
#5
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A02/11
Super League
University-Ugra
#11
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A05/11
Super League
82.5Avg total
42.6Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 85.5
Last 30 (30)43.939.883.7+4.163%43%
Last 30 at home (14)43.640.483.9+3.257%43%
Last 30 away (16)44.239.383.6+4.969%44%
Last 10 (10)42.639.982.5+2.760%60%
Last 5 (5)46.043.689.6+2.460%100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)52.044.096.0+8.0100%100%
vs Similar (8)38.939.878.6-0.938%25%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)45.539.685.1+5.971%48%
This opponent (Rusichi Kursk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rusichi KurskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Moscow
#5
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H17/09
Russian Cup
Desna Bryansk
#26
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A18/09
Russian Cup
Khimki-Podmoskovie
#31
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H19/09
Russian Cup
Khimki M.
#5
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H02/10
Super League
University-Ugra
#11
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H05/10
Super League
Desna Bryansk
#13
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A15/10
Super League
Temp Sumz Revda
#3
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A21/10
Super League
Ufa
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A24/10
Super League
Dynamo Grozny
#4
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H02/11
Super League
CSKA Moscow 2
#6
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H05/11
Super League
78.4Avg total
37.2Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 85.5
Last 30 (30)37.143.480.5-6.333%30%
Last 30 at home (17)36.942.579.4-5.635%29%
Last 30 away (13)37.444.581.8-7.131%31%
Last 10 (10)37.241.278.4-4.040%30%
Last 5 (5)35.444.479.8-9.020%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)36.843.880.6-7.030%30%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)40.538.078.5+2.5100%50%
This opponent (Chelyabinsk) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half Spread Chelyabinsk -8 · main lineActual: Chelyabinsk -8
CHEL -8
no forecast
@ 1.82
RUSI +8
no forecast
@ 1.84
1st half Over/Under 85.5 · main lineActual: Under 85.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Chelyabinsk 1st half total 46.5 · main lineActual: Chelyabinsk over 46.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.81
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Chelyabinsk (regulation)
CHEL
no forecast
@ 1.18
Draw
no forecast
@ 18.50
RUSI
no forecast
@ 5.01

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Chelyabinsk -1372.1%1.60
Marathon Bet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.60		---+14.1ppWon
Chelyabinsk -1275.1%1.51
Pinnacle
1.51		----+13.8ppWon
Chelyabinsk -12.572.9%1.56
Marathon Bet
1.56
Pinnacle
1.55		---+13.2ppWon
Chelyabinsk (regulation)94.3%1.06
Marathon Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.06		---+10.0ppWon
Chelyabinsk win95.1%1.06
Marathon Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Pinnacle
1.05		--+7.5ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Chelyabinsk wins
1
Rusichi Kursk wins
DateGameScore
23/04/24Rusichi Kursk v Chelyabinsk61-77
09/04/24Chelyabinsk v Rusichi Kursk68-67
16/01/24Chelyabinsk v Rusichi Kursk71-69
25/10/23Rusichi Kursk v Chelyabinsk76-105
27/09/20Chelyabinsk v Rusichi Kursk78-92
Chelyabinsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/26AUniversity-Ugra94-79
02/11/26AKhimki M.82-117
25/10/26HBarnaul95-94
22/10/26HNovosibirsk103-94 OT
15/10/26ATambov90-85
12/10/26AIzhevsk87-78
04/10/26AMetallurg93-79
23/05/26AKhimki M.79-61
20/05/26HKhimki M.61-74
16/05/26AKhimki M.89-81 OT
Rusichi Kursklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/26HCSKA Moscow 268-74
02/11/26HDynamo Grozny76-94
24/10/26AUfa73-96
21/10/26ATemp Sumz Revda77-90
15/10/26ADesna Bryansk62-89
05/10/26HUniversity-Ugra81-68
02/10/26HKhimki M.59-83
19/09/25HKhimki-Podmoskovie66-53
18/09/25ADesna Bryansk98-85
17/09/25HBC Moscow73-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chelyabinsk
Super League 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW86%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %86%100%80%
Points / game92.099.089.2
Allowed / game89.494.087.6
Point differential+2.6+5.0+1.6
Avg total181.4193.0176.8
Over 169.586%100%80%
Win by 10+29%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %14%50%0%
Rusichi Kursk
Super League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game70.971.070.7
Allowed / game84.979.891.7
Point differential-14.0-8.8-21.0
Avg total155.7150.8162.3
Over 169.514%25%0%
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dynamo Grozny87188%83.672.8+10.9
2 Ufa76186%89.171.4+17.7
3 Temp Sumz Revda76186%91.177.9+13.3
4 Chelyabinsk76186%92.089.4+2.6
5 CSKA Moscow 286275%73.266.9+6.4
6 Khimki M.85362%82.575.6+6.9
7 Barnaul83538%80.082.6-2.6
8 Novosibirsk83538%82.089.0-7.0
9 University-Ugra83538%73.481.9-8.5
10 Tambov72529%73.776.1-2.4
11 Metallurg72529%74.480.1-5.7
12 Izhevsk71614%78.787.1-8.4
13 Desna Bryansk71614%69.479.3-9.9
14 Rusichi Kursk71614%70.984.9-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chelyabinsk2226301593
Rusichi Kursk1320152068
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