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Chomutov W vs AEL Limassol W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 90-34
26-7 21-8 16-9 27-10
Position#29
Record2-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game83.4
Chomutov W 🏆
vs
AEL Limassol W
Position#56
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game55.0
Allowed / game95.8
EuropeEuroCup WomenRound 6· Mestska sportovni hala
Women2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chomutov W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEL Limassol W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Chomutov WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
KP Brno W
#3
W
86-76
86
76
+10
70avg 64
H06/10
ZBL W
Gorzow W
#31
W
90-84
90
84
+6
78avg 64
H09/10
EuroCup Women
Lyon W
#10
L
50-86
50
86
-36
28avg 64
A16/10
EuroCup Women
Hradec Kralove W
#4
W
65-59
65
59
+6
50avg 64
H20/10
ZBL W
AEL Limassol W
#56
W
84-77
84
77
+7
82avg 64
A24/10
EuroCup Women
Gorzow W
#31
L
59-81
59
81
-22
47avg 64
A30/10
EuroCup Women
Slovanka W
#9
W
78-49
78
49
+29
76avg 64
H13/11
ZBL W
Ostrava W
#5
L
71-76
71
76
-5
56avg 64
A17/11
ZBL W
Lyon W
#10
L
47-89
47
89
-42
32avg 64
H20/11
EuroCup Women
Trutnov W
#8
W
84-67
84
67
+17
76avg 64
A22/11
ZBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
22-19
21-17
27-16
21-23
13-23
27-24
29-14
18-18
6-21
13-28
13-19
13-18
22-24
13-9
17-8
13-23
19-22
26-13
26-19
14-25
10-23
14-19
21-14
29-13
19-9
13-16
17-11
17-22
14-11
18-16
22-27
11-19
15-29
6-26
15-15
16-11
24-18
27-20
17-18
145.8Avg total
71.4Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)66.083.4149.4-17.440%
Season at home (2)68.586.5155.0-18.050%
Season away (3)64.381.3145.7-17.033%
Last 10 (10)71.474.4145.8-3.060%
Last 5 (5)67.872.4140.2-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)62.385.4147.7-23.130%
vs Similar (7)73.775.3149.0-1.643%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)83.767.3151.0+16.477%
This opponent (AEL Limassol W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEL Limassol WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lyon W
#10
L
44-97
44
97
-53
29avg 42
H10/10
EuroCup Women
Gorzow W
#31
L
52-91
52
91
-39
36avg 42
A16/10
EuroCup Women
Chomutov W
#29
L
77-84
77
84
-7
69avg 42
H24/10
EuroCup Women
Lyon W
#10
L
54-115
54
115
-61
38avg 42
A30/10
EuroCup Women
Gorzow W
#31
L
48-92
48
92
-44
37avg 42
H21/11
EuroCup Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-33
18-19
13-22
4-23
17-21
7-24
20-20
8-26
23-13
22-19
13-26
19-26
7-31
10-28
20-31
17-25
16-26
8-21
13-24
11-21
150.8Avg total
55.0Scored
95.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)55.095.8150.8-40.80%
Season at home (3)56.391.0147.3-34.70%
Season away (2)53.0103.0156.0-50.00%
Last 10 (5)55.095.8150.8-40.80%
Last 5 (5)55.095.8150.8-40.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)55.095.8150.8-40.80%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Chomutov W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-16-8+0+8+16Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -10.4-10.4Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -9.2-9.2Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -8.8-8.8Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: -12.4-12.4
-16-8+0+8+16Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -10.4-10.4Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -9.2-9.2Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -8.8-8.8Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: -12.4-12.4
Chomutov WAEL Limassol W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Chomutov WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KP Brno W
#3
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H06/10
ZBL W
Gorzow W
#31
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H09/10
EuroCup Women
Lyon W
#10
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A16/10
EuroCup Women
Hradec Kralove W
#4
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H20/10
ZBL W
AEL Limassol W
#56
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A24/10
EuroCup Women
Gorzow W
#31
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A30/10
EuroCup Women
Slovanka W
#9
W
48-22
48
22
+26
H13/11
ZBL W
Ostrava W
#5
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A17/11
ZBL W
Lyon W
#10
L
26-48
26
48
-22
H20/11
EuroCup Women
Trutnov W
#8
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A22/11
ZBL W
72.7Avg total
33.2Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.140.476.5-4.333%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.042.578.5-6.525%-
Last 30 away (18)36.239.075.2-2.839%-
Last 10 (10)33.239.572.7-6.320%-
Last 5 (5)33.836.069.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)30.347.577.8-17.220%-
vs Similar (7)35.141.376.4-6.10%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.134.575.5+6.662%-
This opponent (AEL Limassol W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEL Limassol WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon W
#10
L
27-52
27
52
-25
H10/10
EuroCup Women
Gorzow W
#31
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A16/10
EuroCup Women
Chomutov W
#29
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H24/10
EuroCup Women
Lyon W
#10
L
17-59
17
59
-42
A30/10
EuroCup Women
Gorzow W
#31
L
24-47
24
47
-23
H21/11
EuroCup Women
74.4Avg total
27.4Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (5)27.447.074.4-19.620%-
Last 30 at home (3)32.043.775.7-11.733%-
Last 30 away (2)20.552.072.5-31.50%-
Last 10 (5)27.447.074.4-19.620%-
Last 5 (5)27.447.074.4-19.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)27.447.074.4-19.620%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Chomutov W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chomutov Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chomutov W: 70.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.8 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.517.5
42.2%
47.0%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.68.3
26.3%
31.0%24.9
🏀 Free throws15.610.5
67.3%
74.2%10.5
They take 73.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEL Limassol Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL Limassol W: 54.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.8 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.214.0
36.6%
47.0%28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.24.6
25.3%
31.0%13.8
🏀 Free throws17.212.4
72.1%
74.2%12.4
They take 56.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/5 games with a box score before 27 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chomutov W
WLLWLWWLWW
AEL Limassol W
LLLLL
#29
League position
#56
-3.9
Net rating
-48.6
86.4
Offensive rating
65.2
90.3
Defensive rating
113.7
41.0%
Effective FG%
37.1%
43.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
19.8%
Turnover %
29.4%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
15.7%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.30
26.3%
3-point %
25.3%
60.5%
Assist %
66.7%
60%
Form (last 10/5)
0%

Profile

Offence86.4 · 65.2Defence90.3 · 113.7Shooting41.0% · 37.1%3-point %26.3% · 25.3%Ball care19.8% · 29.4%Off. rebounds29.2% · 15.7%Free throws0.21 · 0.30Form (last 10/5)60% · 0%
■ Chomutov W   ■ AEL Limassol W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Chomutov W wins
0
AEL Limassol W wins
DateGameScore
24/10/24AEL Limassol W v Chomutov W77-84
Chomutov Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/24ATrutnov W84-67
20/11/24HLyon W47-89
17/11/24AOstrava W71-76
13/11/24HSlovanka W78-49
30/10/24AGorzow W59-81
24/10/24AAEL Limassol W84-77
20/10/24HHradec Kralove W65-59
16/10/24ALyon W50-86
09/10/24HGorzow W90-84
06/10/24HKP Brno W86-76
AEL Limassol Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/24HGorzow W48-92
30/10/24ALyon W54-115
24/10/24HChomutov W77-84
16/10/24AGorzow W52-91
10/10/24HLyon W44-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chomutov W
EuroCup Women 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game66.068.564.3
Allowed / game83.486.581.3
Point differential-17.4-18.0-17.0
Avg total149.4155.0145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEL Limassol W
EuroCup Women 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 5 Losses (last 5)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game55.056.353.0
Allowed / game95.891.0103.0
Point differential-40.8-34.7-50.0
Avg total150.8147.3156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lyon W550100%92.051.6+40.4
2 Lattes Montpellier W550100%81.255.8+25.4
3 Jairis W550100%86.461.6+24.8
4 Besiktas W550100%81.060.6+20.4
5 Sosnowiec W550100%78.861.2+17.6
6 IDK Gipuzkoa W550100%70.659.4+11.2
7 Ferrol W76186%78.758.1+20.6
8 Angers W76186%83.367.7+15.6
9 Sassari W76186%78.062.4+15.6
10 Galatasaray W65183%85.760.5+25.2
11 Sopron W65183%75.060.2+14.8
12 VBW Gdynia W65183%77.867.2+10.7
13 Tarbes GB W54180%84.254.4+29.8
14 Uni Girona W54180%89.265.2+24.0
15 Bodrum W75271%74.666.6+8.0
16 Estudiantes W64267%88.766.5+22.2
17 NKA Pecs W53260%86.660.0+26.6
18 Gorzow W53260%82.264.4+17.8
19 San Giovanni W53260%74.259.0+15.2
20 Crvena zvezda W53260%76.862.2+14.6
21 Keltern W53260%77.872.6+5.2
22 Charnay Bourgogne Sud W53260%66.262.2+4.0
23 Campobasso W53260%78.274.6+3.6
24 Braine W53260%75.072.4+2.6
25 Phoenix Constanta W53260%79.478.4+1.0
26 Fribourg W53260%65.869.0-3.2
27 Szekszard W63350%83.070.0+13.0
28 Kibirkstis Vilnius W63350%72.271.3+0.8
29 Cluj Napoca W21150%59.560.5-1.0
30 Elitzur Ramla W63350%72.575.2-2.7
31 Klaipedos Neptunas W52340%66.065.4+0.6
32 Chomutov W52340%66.083.4-17.4
33 KP Brno W62433%62.577.7-15.2
34 Sepsi SIC W51420%63.669.2-5.6
35 PeKa W51420%72.881.6-8.8
36 Benfica W51420%64.077.2-13.2
37 TTT Riga W51420%61.677.4-15.8
38 Lublin W51420%62.880.4-17.6
39 Proteas Voulas W51420%55.876.0-20.2
40 Namur W51420%58.681.0-22.4
41 Alba Berlin W61517%61.870.7-8.8
42 Iraklis W71614%43.694.7-51.1
43 Mechelen W5050%63.474.6-11.2
44 TFSE-MTK W2020%67.086.5-19.5
45 Piestanske Cajky W6060%54.874.7-19.8
46 Panathinaikos W5050%62.683.8-21.2
47 Caledonia Gladiators W5050%60.483.2-22.8
48 Osnabruck W2020%51.074.0-23.0
49 Uniao Sportiva W5050%50.674.2-23.6
50 Giannina W2020%56.587.5-31.0
51 AEL Limassol W5050%55.095.8-40.8
52 Battipaglia W2020%46.089.0-43.0
53 Yerevan W5050%52.0106.2-54.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 53 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chomutov W2621162790
AEL Limassol W7891034
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