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Chomutov W vs Lyon W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 47-89
11-19 15-29 6-26 15-15
Position#29
Record2-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game82.0
Chomutov W
vs
Lyon W 🏆
Position#10
Record4-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game52.8
EuropeEuroCup WomenRound 5· Mestska sportovni hala
Women2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chomutov W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lyon W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Chomutov WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
LOH 2028 Chomutov W
#10
W
105-49
105
49
+56
96avg 63
A24/09
ZBL W
USK Prague W
#1
L
50-93
50
93
-43
29avg 63
A28/09
ZBL W
KP Brno W
#3
W
86-76
86
76
+10
70avg 63
H06/10
ZBL W
Gorzow W
#31
W
90-84
90
84
+6
78avg 63
H09/10
EuroCup Women
Lyon W
#10
L
50-86
50
86
-36
28avg 63
A16/10
EuroCup Women
Hradec Kralove W
#4
W
65-59
65
59
+6
50avg 63
H20/10
ZBL W
AEL Limassol W
#56
W
84-77
84
77
+7
82avg 63
A24/10
EuroCup Women
Gorzow W
#31
L
59-81
59
81
-22
47avg 63
A30/10
EuroCup Women
Slovanka W
#9
W
78-49
78
49
+29
76avg 63
H13/11
ZBL W
Ostrava W
#5
L
71-76
71
76
-5
56avg 63
A17/11
ZBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-12
31-13
25-9
21-15
20-31
7-32
11-12
12-18
16-24
22-19
21-17
27-16
21-23
13-23
27-24
29-14
18-18
6-21
13-28
13-19
13-18
22-24
13-9
17-8
13-23
19-22
26-13
26-19
14-25
10-23
14-19
21-14
29-13
19-9
13-16
17-11
17-22
14-11
18-16
22-27
146.8Avg total
73.8Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)70.882.0152.8-11.250%
Season at home (1)90.084.0174.0+6.0100%
Season away (3)64.381.3145.7-17.033%
Last 10 (10)73.873.0146.8+0.860%
Last 5 (5)71.468.4139.8+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)64.884.4149.2-19.630%
vs Similar (8)73.976.8150.6-2.938%
vs Weaker (12)83.767.3151.0+16.375%
This opponent (Lyon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lyon WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
La Roche W
#12
W
89-68
89
68
+21
76avg 74
H28/09
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#8
W
69-57
69
57
+12
no box
A06/10
LFB W
AEL Limassol W
#56
W
97-44
97
44
+53
101avg 74
A10/10
EuroCup Women
Lattes Montpellier W
#3
L
66-85
66
85
-19
57avg 74
H13/10
LFB W
Chomutov W
#29
W
86-50
86
50
+36
92avg 74
H16/10
EuroCup Women
Chartres W
#11
W
79-74
79
74
+5
73avg 74
A19/10
LFB W
Gorzow W
#31
W
73-63
73
63
+10
68avg 74
A23/10
EuroCup Women
AEL Limassol W
#56
W
115-54
115
54
+61
126avg 74
H30/10
EuroCup Women
Landes W
#2
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
81avg 74
H02/11
LFB W
Tarbes GB W
#9
L
61-73
61
73
-12
54avg 74
A17/11
LFB W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
27-10
24-18
23-16
24-13
16-18
21-8
8-18
33-9
19-18
22-13
23-4
25-27
9-18
18-19
14-21
18-18
21-6
28-13
19-13
17-16
18-21
27-20
17-17
21-14
26-12
17-18
9-19
31-7
28-10
31-20
25-17
25-18
18-19
17-21
18-20
15-22
15-19
23-14
8-18
147.7Avg total
82.4Scored
65.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)92.852.8145.5+40.0100%
Season at home (2)100.552.0152.5+48.5100%
Season away (2)85.053.5138.5+31.5100%
Last 10 (10)82.465.3147.7+17.180%
Last 5 (5)83.469.8153.2+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)71.482.7154.1-11.418%
vs Similar (9)73.967.8141.7+6.167%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)86.263.5149.7+22.790%
This opponent (Chomutov W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +6.4+6.4Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +6.4+6.4Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
Chomutov WLyon W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Chomutov WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LOH 2028 Chomutov W
#10
W
59-25
59
25
+34
A24/09
ZBL W
USK Prague W
#1
L
27-63
27
63
-36
A28/09
ZBL W
KP Brno W
#3
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H06/10
ZBL W
Gorzow W
#31
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H09/10
EuroCup Women
Lyon W
#10
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A16/10
EuroCup Women
Hradec Kralove W
#4
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H20/10
ZBL W
AEL Limassol W
#56
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A24/10
EuroCup Women
Gorzow W
#31
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A30/10
EuroCup Women
Slovanka W
#9
W
48-22
48
22
+26
H13/11
ZBL W
Ostrava W
#5
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A17/11
ZBL W
75.8Avg total
35.2Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.440.877.1-4.430%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.042.279.2-5.225%-
Last 30 away (18)35.939.875.7-3.833%-
Last 10 (10)35.240.675.8-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)34.038.072.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)31.547.278.7-15.720%-
vs Similar (8)35.241.576.8-6.20%-
vs Weaker (12)41.234.976.1+6.258%-
This opponent (Lyon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lyon WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Roche W
#12
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H28/09
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#8
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A06/10
LFB W
AEL Limassol W
#56
W
52-27
52
27
+25
A10/10
EuroCup Women
Lattes Montpellier W
#3
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H13/10
LFB W
Chomutov W
#29
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H16/10
EuroCup Women
Chartres W
#11
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A19/10
LFB W
Gorzow W
#31
W
47-26
47
26
+21
A23/10
EuroCup Women
AEL Limassol W
#56
W
59-17
59
17
+42
H30/10
EuroCup Women
Landes W
#2
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H02/11
LFB W
Tarbes GB W
#9
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A17/11
LFB W
74.0Avg total
42.1Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.437.476.8+2.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.736.977.5+3.853%-
Last 30 away (15)38.237.976.1+0.340%-
Last 10 (10)42.131.974.0+10.270%-
Last 5 (5)42.831.674.4+11.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.943.580.4-6.518%-
vs Similar (9)37.039.276.2-2.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.429.173.5+15.390%-
This opponent (Chomutov W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chomutov Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chomutov W: 69.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.8 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.018.0
42.9%
47.0%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.57.6
23.4%
31.0%22.8
🏀 Free throws15.610.3
66.0%
74.2%10.3
They take 74.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lyon Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lyon W: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.8 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.924.3
54.1%
47.0%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.1
32.0%
31.0%21.3
🏀 Free throws16.812.5
74.4%
74.2%12.5
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chomutov W
LWLWWLWWLW
Lyon W
LWWWWWLWWW
#29
League position
#10
-8.2
Net rating
+21.1
84.2
Offensive rating
102.1
92.3
Defensive rating
81.0
39.5%
Effective FG%
52.1%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
43.0%
19.9%
Turnover %
23.3%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
34.9%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.25
23.4%
3-point %
32.0%
63.7%
Assist %
66.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence84.2 · 102.1Defence92.3 · 81.0Shooting39.5% · 52.1%3-point %23.4% · 32.0%Ball care19.9% · 23.3%Off. rebounds30.2% · 34.9%Free throws0.21 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Chomutov W   ■ Lyon W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Chomutov W wins
1
Lyon W wins
DateGameScore
16/10/24Lyon W v Chomutov W86-50
Chomutov Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24AOstrava W71-76
13/11/24HSlovanka W78-49
30/10/24AGorzow W59-81
24/10/24AAEL Limassol W84-77
20/10/24HHradec Kralove W65-59
16/10/24ALyon W50-86
09/10/24HGorzow W90-84
06/10/24HKP Brno W86-76
28/09/24AUSK Prague W50-93
24/09/24ALOH 2028 Chomutov W105-49
Lyon Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24ATarbes GB W61-73
02/11/24HLandes W89-85 OT
30/10/24HAEL Limassol W115-54
23/10/24AGorzow W73-63
19/10/24AChartres W79-74
16/10/24HChomutov W86-50
13/10/24HLattes Montpellier W66-85
10/10/24AAEL Limassol W97-44
06/10/24AESB Villeneuve W69-57
28/09/24HLa Roche W89-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chomutov W
EuroCup Women 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game70.890.064.3
Allowed / game82.084.081.3
Point differential-11.2+6.0-17.0
Avg total152.8174.0145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lyon W
EuroCup Women 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.8100.585.0
Allowed / game52.852.053.5
Point differential+40.0+48.5+31.5
Avg total145.5152.5138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lyon W440100%92.852.8+40.0
2 Uni Girona W440100%89.057.2+31.8
3 Jairis W440100%89.061.2+27.8
4 Besiktas W440100%82.262.0+20.2
5 Lattes Montpellier W440100%77.257.0+20.2
6 Sosnowiec W440100%78.262.5+15.8
7 IDK Gipuzkoa W440100%71.261.0+10.2
8 Ferrol W65183%78.758.0+20.7
9 Sassari W65183%80.362.8+17.5
10 Angers W65183%84.369.8+14.5
11 VBW Gdynia W65183%77.867.2+10.7
12 Tarbes GB W43175%83.854.8+29.0
13 Estudiantes W43175%83.063.8+19.2
14 Galatasaray W43175%82.064.2+17.8
15 Sopron W43175%76.265.2+11.0
16 Charnay Bourgogne Sud W43175%69.560.0+9.5
17 Phoenix Constanta W43175%82.576.5+6.0
18 Elitzur Ramla W43175%74.272.5+1.8
19 Fribourg W43175%68.569.2-0.8
20 Bodrum W64267%74.065.5+8.5
21 Braine W53260%75.072.4+2.6
22 Szekszard W42250%84.859.0+25.8
23 NKA Pecs W42250%82.864.5+18.2
24 Gorzow W42250%79.868.5+11.2
25 San Giovanni W42250%72.561.5+11.0
26 Crvena zvezda W42250%77.868.2+9.5
27 Campobasso W42250%73.570.8+2.8
28 Keltern W42250%75.874.0+1.8
29 Cluj Napoca W21150%59.560.5-1.0
30 KP Brno W42250%63.569.2-5.8
31 Chomutov W42250%70.882.0-11.2
32 Klaipedos Neptunas W41325%65.568.0-2.5
33 Sepsi SIC W41325%66.269.5-3.2
34 Kibirkstis Vilnius W41325%67.073.2-6.2
35 Benfica W41325%66.277.5-11.2
36 TTT Riga W41325%63.076.5-13.5
37 Proteas Voulas W41325%60.276.8-16.5
38 Lublin W41325%62.881.5-18.8
39 Namur W41325%61.081.0-20.0
40 PeKa W51420%72.881.6-8.8
41 Iraklis W61517%44.593.5-49.0
42 Alba Berlin W4040%56.868.2-11.5
43 Mechelen W4040%64.277.2-13.0
44 Caledonia Gladiators W4040%62.879.8-17.0
45 TFSE-MTK W2020%67.086.5-19.5
46 Panathinaikos W4040%64.585.5-21.0
47 Uniao Sportiva W4040%52.273.8-21.5
48 Piestanske Cajky W4040%52.274.0-21.8
49 Osnabruck W2020%51.074.0-23.0
50 Giannina W2020%56.587.5-31.0
51 AEL Limassol W4040%56.896.8-40.0
52 Battipaglia W2020%46.089.0-43.0
53 Yerevan W4040%54.5107.2-52.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 53 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chomutov W111561547
Lyon W1929261589
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