PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Chomutov W vs USK Prague W Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 20 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 66-95
Projected total 161.2
Scheduled
Position#4
Record3-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game72.2
Chomutov W
Czech Republic
Vs
99%
■ CHOM 1%■ USK 99%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
6.3/10
Above normal
6.1/10
Above normal
USK Prague W
Czech Republic
Position#2
Record7-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game97.6
Allowed / game68.4
Czech RepublicZBL WRound 8· Mestska sportovni hala
Women2026-27
Meetings · Chomutov W v USK Prague W
20 Nov 2026
CHOM v USK
upcoming
03 Jan 2026
CHOM42
USK 109
03 Apr 2025
CHOM44
USK 82
21 Feb 2025
CHOM57
USK 79
29 Nov 2024
CHOM71
USK 97
16 Feb 2024
CHOM37
USK 108
15 Feb 2023
CHOM76
USK 115
29 Sep 2021
CHOM66
USK 111
07 Oct 2020
CHOM46
USK 84
11 Oct 2019
CHOM41
USK 89
Sections
Game preview & prediction

On 20 November 2026 the ZBL W will see Chomutov W host USK Prague W, with the model favouring the latter because of their flawless 7-0 record, 97.6 points per game and 68.4 allowed per game, a stark contrast to Chomutov's 3-2 record, 87.4 points per game and 72.2 allowed per game; USK Prague W's road dominance is underscored by a 5-0 road record and 98.8 points per game on the road, while Chomutov remains undefeated at home with a 2-0 record and 87.5 points per game, yet their last five games include a 3-2 split and a recent 93-55 win over Basket Ostrava W, a 72-86 loss to Trutnov W and a 104-50 home victory over Slovanka W. USK Prague W has never lost to Chomutov in their 10 meetings, winning every encounter, most recently 109-42 on 3 January 2026. Pythia assigns a 1% chance for Chomutov to win and a 99% chance for USK Prague, projecting a 66-95 score and a total of 161.2 points, with no overtime expected. The model sees USK Prague covering the spread and the over with the same probabilities. The game will hinge on whether Chomutov can upset the undefeated road team.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chomutov W win
0.9%fair 111.45
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
USK Prague W win
99.1%fair 1.01
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:36 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Chomutov WCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Ostrava W
#4
L
71-77
71
77
-6
71avg 67
A03/04
ZBL W
Ostrava W
#4
L
74-90
74
90
-16
63avg 67
H05/04
ZBL W
Ostrava W
#4
L
72-83
72
83
-11
62avg 67
A07/04
ZBL W
Chartres W
#9
L
66-80
66
80
-14
64avg 67
A24/09
EuroCup Women
Chartres W
#9
L
46-87
46
87
-41
29avg 67
H01/10
EuroCup Women
KP Brno W
#7
W
71-70
71
70
+1
66avg 67
H04/10
ZBL W
Brandys nad Labem W
#5
L
97-100 OT
97
100
-3
78avg 67
A07/10
ZBL W
Slovanka W
#10
W
104-50
104
50
+54
109avg 67
H09/10
ZBL W
Trutnov W
#6
L
72-86
72
86
-14
63avg 67
A14/10
ZBL W
Basket Ostrava W
#8
W
93-55
93
55
+38
95avg 67
A18/10
ZBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
13-14
13-20
21-28
16-18
27-31
15-17
16-24
19-16
20-19
18-27
15-21
23-29
17-14
17-15
9-22
11-28
9-20
9-24
17-15
18-25
20-18
21-14
12-13
21-22
28-25
21-23
15-15
30-12
23-11
22-16
29-11
19-32
22-15
14-22
17-17
20-20
21-14
23-11
29-10
154.4Avg total
76.6Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.472.2159.6+15.260%
Season at home (2)87.560.0147.5+27.5100%
Season away (3)87.380.3167.7+7.033%
Last 10 (10)76.677.8154.4-1.230%
Last 5 (5)87.472.2159.6+15.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)55.790.1145.9-34.40%
vs Similar (9)75.777.1152.8-1.444%
vs Weaker (14)83.469.4152.8+13.971%
This opponent (USK Prague W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USK Prague WCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Basket Ostrava W
#8
W
91-76
91
76
+15
80avg 97
H04/10
ZBL W
Trutnov W
#6
W
92-71
92
71
+21
78avg 97
A07/10
ZBL W
Hradec Kralove W
#9
W
98-73
98
73
+25
91avg 97
H10/10
ZBL W
Bourges W
#7
W
76-55
76
55
+21
70avg 97
H14/10
Euroleague Women
KP Brno W
#7
W
109-58
109
58
+51
109avg 97
A17/10
ZBL W
Lublin W
#13
W
74-71
74
71
+3
66avg 97
A21/10
Euroleague Women
Slovanka W
#10
W
113-50
113
50
+63
103avg 97
A25/10
ZBL W
Emlak Konut W
#10
W
80-65
80
65
+15
71avg 97
H28/10
Euroleague Women
Ostrava W
#3
W
89-74
89
74
+15
86avg 97
A31/10
ZBL W
Bourges W
#7
L
81-85
81
85
-4
no box
A03/11
Euroleague Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-12
29-22
17-22
19-20
20-26
26-8
16-20
30-17
19-12
25-20
34-17
20-24
12-17
22-17
20-15
22-6
27-13
14-19
40-16
28-10
21-19
24-22
8-16
21-14
30-8
25-18
33-13
25-11
19-9
21-22
20-17
20-17
25-22
10-16
27-15
27-21
22-23
26-25
19-19
14-18
158.1Avg total
90.3Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)97.668.4166.0+29.1100%
Season at home (2)94.574.5169.0+20.0100%
Season away (5)98.866.0164.8+32.8100%
Last 10 (10)90.367.8158.1+22.590%
Last 5 (5)87.469.0156.4+18.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)72.373.3145.7-1.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)97.965.1163.1+32.896%
This opponent (Chomutov W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 147
Over 147
81.7%
Under 147
18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 152
Over 152
72.1%
Under 152
27.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 157
Over 157
60.5%
Under 157
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Chomutov W total 75
Over 75
16.9%
Under 75
83.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chomutov W total 79
Over 79
8.6%
Under 79
91.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chomutov W total 83
Over 83
3.9%
Under 83
96.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
USK Prague W total 69
Over 69
99.6%
Under 69
0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
USK Prague W total 73
Over 73
98.9%
Under 73
1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
USK Prague W total 77
Over 77
97.1%
Under 77
2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Chomutov W -3
CHOM -3
0.6%
USK +3
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
CHOM
No market prices yet.
USK
No market prices yet.
Spread Chomutov W 0
CHOM 0
0.9%
USK 0
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
CHOM
No market prices yet.
USK
No market prices yet.
Spread Chomutov W +3
CHOM +3
1.3%
USK -3
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
CHOM
No market prices yet.
USK
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +6.4+6.4Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +6.8+6.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +6.4+6.4Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +6.8+6.8
Chomutov WUSK Prague W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Chomutov WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ostrava W
#4
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A03/04
ZBL W
Ostrava W
#4
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H05/04
ZBL W
Ostrava W
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A07/04
ZBL W
Chartres W
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A24/09
EuroCup Women
Chartres W
#9
L
20-48
20
48
-28
H01/10
EuroCup Women
KP Brno W
#7
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H04/10
ZBL W
Brandys nad Labem W
#5
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A07/10
ZBL W
Slovanka W
#10
W
53-23
53
23
+30
H09/10
ZBL W
Trutnov W
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A14/10
ZBL W
Basket Ostrava W
#8
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A18/10
ZBL W
79.9Avg total
40.1Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.639.778.2-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.239.278.4+0.146%-
Last 30 away (17)38.140.178.1-2.041%-
Last 10 (10)40.139.879.9+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.438.883.2+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)29.747.777.4-18.00%-
vs Similar (9)41.939.181.0+2.856%-
vs Weaker (14)40.936.076.9+4.957%-
This opponent (USK Prague W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USK Prague WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Ostrava W
#8
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H04/10
ZBL W
Trutnov W
#6
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A07/10
ZBL W
Hradec Kralove W
#9
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H10/10
ZBL W
Bourges W
#7
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H14/10
Euroleague Women
KP Brno W
#7
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A17/10
ZBL W
Lublin W
#13
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A21/10
Euroleague Women
Slovanka W
#10
W
55-26
55
26
+29
A25/10
ZBL W
Emlak Konut W
#10
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H28/10
Euroleague Women
Ostrava W
#3
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A31/10
ZBL W
Bourges W
#7
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A03/11
Euroleague Women
79.3Avg total
44.3Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.233.083.2+17.183%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.331.782.9+19.687%-
Last 30 away (15)49.134.483.5+14.780%-
Last 10 (10)44.335.079.3+9.370%-
Last 5 (5)44.636.881.4+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)34.037.071.0-3.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)52.032.684.6+19.489%-
This opponent (Chomutov W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chomutov Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chomutov W: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game
53%
27%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.919.3
47.2%
45.6%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.37.4
27.1%
28.8%22.2
🏀 Free throws20.715.5
74.9%
70.0%15.5
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
USK Prague Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

USK Prague W: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game
53%
27%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.622.6
53.1%
45.6%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.8
35.2%
28.8%26.4
🏀 Free throws24.017.5
72.9%
70.0%17.5
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chomutov W
WLWLWLLLLL
USK Prague W
LWWWWWWWWW
#4
League position
#2
-1.6
Net rating
+24.1
82.6
Offensive rating
95.7
84.2
Defensive rating
71.7
44.6%
Effective FG%
53.0%
44.7%
Opp. effective FG%
42.6%
16.2%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.36
27.1%
3-point %
35.2%
71.9%
Assist %
65.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence82.6 · 95.7Defence84.2 · 71.7Shooting44.6% · 53.0%3-point %27.1% · 35.2%Ball care16.2% · 16.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Chomutov W   ■ USK Prague W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Chomutov W wins
10
USK Prague W wins
DateGameScore
03/01/26Chomutov W v USK Prague W42-109
11/10/25USK Prague W v Chomutov W100-35
05/04/25USK Prague W v Chomutov W90-44
03/04/25Chomutov W v USK Prague W44-82
01/04/25USK Prague W v Chomutov W86-58
21/02/25Chomutov W v USK Prague W57-79
29/11/24Chomutov W v USK Prague W71-97
28/09/24USK Prague W v Chomutov W93-50
16/02/24Chomutov W v USK Prague W37-108
25/11/23USK Prague W v Chomutov W92-49
Chomutov Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/26ABasket Ostrava W93-55
14/10/26ATrutnov W72-86
09/10/26HSlovanka W104-50
07/10/26ABrandys nad Labem W97-100 OT
04/10/26HKP Brno W71-70
01/10/26HChartres W46-87
24/09/26AChartres W66-80
07/04/26AOstrava W72-83
05/04/26HOstrava W74-90
03/04/26AOstrava W71-77
USK Prague Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26ABourges W81-85
31/10/26AOstrava W89-74
28/10/26HEmlak Konut W80-65
25/10/26ASlovanka W113-50
21/10/26ALublin W74-71
17/10/26AKP Brno W109-58
14/10/26HBourges W76-55
10/10/26HHradec Kralove W98-73
07/10/26ATrutnov W92-71
04/10/26HBasket Ostrava W91-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chomutov W
ZBL W 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game87.487.587.3
Allowed / game72.260.080.3
Point differential+15.2+27.5+7.0
Avg total159.6147.5167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
USK Prague W
ZBL W 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game97.694.598.8
Allowed / game68.474.566.0
Point differential+29.1+20.0+32.8
Avg total166.0169.0164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zabiny Brno W660100%98.749.8+48.8
2 USK Prague W770100%97.668.4+29.1
3 Ostrava W64267%77.371.7+5.7
4 Chomutov W53260%87.472.2+15.2
5 Brandys nad Labem W74357%79.987.3-7.4
6 Trutnov W73443%71.676.3-4.7
7 KP Brno W73443%72.378.4-6.1
8 Basket Ostrava W72529%64.679.9-15.3
9 Hradec Kralove W71614%69.180.1-11.0
10 Slovanka W7070%51.193.3-42.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.