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Cincinnati vs Kansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 49-54
25-22 24-32
Position#159
Record17-12
FormLLWWL
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game65.3
Cincinnati
USA
vs
Kansas State 🏆
USA
Position#216
Record14-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game70.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cincinnati v Kansas State
05 Mar 2025
CINC49
KANS54
02 Mar 2024
CINC74
KANS72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cincinnati winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CincinnatiUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Utes
#206
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A29/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#131
L
50-63
50
63
-13
H02/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A06/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
W
84-66
84
66
+18
H08/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H12/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A15/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#131
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A20/02
NCAA
TCU
#210
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H22/02
NCAA
Baylor
#149
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H26/02
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-40
32-29
25-40
25-23
40-36
53-47
39-42
45-24
42-36
43-39
39-39
31-42
27-29
32-33
31-24
44-39
39-26
30-41
25-37
39-36
141.7Avg total
71.5Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)71.365.3136.6+6.159%
Season at home (16)74.962.5137.4+12.475%
Season away (13)66.968.7135.6-1.838%
Last 10 (10)71.570.2141.7+1.350%
Last 5 (5)67.469.2136.6-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)68.075.5143.5-7.517%
vs Similar ◀ (14)66.165.1131.3+1.043%
vs Weaker (10)81.661.3142.9+20.3100%
This opponent (Kansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma State
#233
W
85-57
85
57
+28
H30/01
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
W
80-61
80
61
+19
A01/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
W
71-70
71
70
+1
A05/02
NCAA
Kansas
#114
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H08/02
NCAA
Arizona
#88
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H12/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A16/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A18/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
L
54-66
54
66
-12
H23/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A27/02
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
45-23
40-34
37-35
43-26
35-32
36-38
44-36
37-37
35-29
38-41
22-40
43-40
32-32
37-42
28-34
26-32
34-41
42-39
33-22
32-34
140.6Avg total
71.9Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)72.470.3142.7+2.148%
Season at home (18)74.367.0141.3+7.367%
Season away (11)69.275.7144.9-6.518%
Last 10 (10)71.968.7140.6+3.260%
Last 5 (5)65.871.2137.0-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)70.473.0143.4-2.638%
vs Similar ◀ (11)68.269.1137.3-0.945%
vs Weaker (5)86.866.0152.8+20.880%
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +1.1+1.1
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +1.1+1.1
CincinnatiKansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CincinnatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Utes
#206
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A29/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#131
L
25-40
25
40
-15
H02/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A06/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H08/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H12/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A15/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#131
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A20/02
NCAA
TCU
#210
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H22/02
NCAA
Baylor
#149
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H26/02
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A01/03
NCAA
69.0Avg total
34.1Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.031.165.1+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.530.567.0+6.069%-
Last 30 away (14)31.231.863.0-0.643%-
Last 10 (10)34.134.969.0-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)32.231.063.2+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.737.869.5-6.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)31.930.662.6+1.350%-
vs Weaker (10)38.427.766.1+10.7100%-
This opponent (Kansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma State
#233
W
45-23
45
23
+22
H30/01
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A01/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A05/02
NCAA
Kansas
#114
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H08/02
NCAA
Arizona
#88
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H12/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A16/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A18/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H23/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A27/02
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
33-22
33
22
+11
H02/03
NCAA
66.9Avg total
34.5Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.632.867.4+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.730.867.4+5.972%-
Last 30 away (12)31.535.867.2-4.242%-
Last 10 (10)34.532.466.9+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)29.833.863.6-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)33.233.566.7-0.462%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)33.431.264.5+2.255%-
vs Weaker (5)40.230.871.0+9.480%-
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cincinnati wins
1
Kansas State wins
DateGameScore
31/12/24Kansas State v Cincinnati70-67
03/03/24Cincinnati v Kansas State74-72
Cincinnatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25AHouston64-73
26/02/25HBaylor69-67
22/02/25HTCU75-63
20/02/25AWest Virginia59-62
15/02/25AIowa State70-81
12/02/25HUtah Utes85-75
08/02/25HBrigham Young84-66
06/02/25AUCF Knights93-83
02/02/25HWest Virginia50-63
29/01/25AUtah Utes66-69
Kansas Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25HColorado65-56
27/02/25AUCF Knights76-80
23/02/25HArizona State54-66
18/02/25AUtah Utes69-74
16/02/25ABrigham Young65-80
12/02/25HArizona73-70
08/02/25HKansas81-73
05/02/25AArizona State71-70
01/02/25AIowa State80-61
30/01/25HOklahoma State85-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cincinnati
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL59%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %59%75%38%
Points / game71.374.966.9
Allowed / game65.362.568.7
Point differential+6.1+12.4-1.8
Avg total136.6137.4135.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%56%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kansas State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW48%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayWWLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291811
Win %48%67%18%
Points / game72.474.369.2
Allowed / game70.367.075.7
Point differential+2.1+7.3-6.5
Avg total142.7141.3144.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%44%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)40% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston3026487%74.558.0+16.5
2 Texas Tech2922776%80.666.8+13.8
3 Iowa State3022873%80.467.9+12.5
4 Brigham Young3022873%81.270.0+11.3
5 Arizona30201067%82.271.7+10.5
6 Kansas30191163%75.267.6+7.6
7 Baylor30181260%77.369.5+7.8
8 West Virginia30181260%68.364.7+3.6
9 Cincinnati29171259%71.365.3+6.1
10 Utah Utes30161453%75.471.3+4.2
11 TCU30161453%68.068.5-0.5
12 UCF Knights29151452%78.980.4-1.5
13 Kansas State29141548%72.470.3+2.1
14 Oklahoma State29141548%72.776.2-3.6
15 Arizona State30131743%74.876.4-1.6
16 Colorado29111838%69.771.7-2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Cincinnati252449
Kansas State223254
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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