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Cincinnati vs Oklahoma State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 91-68
0-0 51-33 0-0 40-35
Position#161
Record15-13
FormWWWWL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game67.5
Cincinnati 🏆
USA
vs
Oklahoma State
USA
Position#140
Record17-11
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game81.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cincinnati v Oklahoma State
28 Feb 2026
CINC91
OKLA68
21 Feb 2024
CINC76
OKLA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cincinnati winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CincinnatiUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona
#7
L
51-77
51
77
-26
A22/01
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A25/01
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
67-57
67
57
+10
H28/01
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
54-76
54
76
-22
A31/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
54-59
54
59
-5
H06/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
92-72
92
72
+20
H08/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
91-62
91
62
+29
A12/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H15/02
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
84-68
84
68
+16
A21/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
68-80
68
80
-12
A25/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
27-33
0-0
24-44
0-0
33-37
0-0
35-45
0-0
35-28
0-0
32-29
0-0
20-32
0-0
34-44
0-0
30-20
0-0
24-39
0-0
40-28
0-0
52-44
0-0
53-31
0-0
38-31
0-0
37-34
0-0
32-31
0-0
36-34
0-0
48-34
0-0
34-42
0-0
34-38
139.6Avg total
69.8Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)72.567.5140.0+5.154%
Season at home (17)75.263.4138.6+11.876%
Season away (11)68.473.7142.1-5.418%
Last 10 (10)69.869.8139.6+0.050%
Last 5 (5)80.869.4150.2+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)61.374.9136.1-13.614%
vs Similar (10)72.566.3138.8+6.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)78.565.1143.5+13.477%
This opponent (Oklahoma State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TCU
#77
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A21/01
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
71-84
71
84
-13
H24/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
81-69
81
69
+12
A31/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
99-92
99
92
+7
H05/02
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
47-84
47
84
-37
A07/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A11/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
H14/02
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
69-81
69
81
-12
H19/02
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
69-83
69
83
-14
A21/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
91-84 OT
91
84
+7
H25/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
41-37
0-0
24-31
0-0
21-51
0-0
50-33
0-0
40-39
0-0
41-30
0-0
41-41
0-0
58-51
0-0
22-40
0-0
25-44
0-0
34-39
0-0
42-46
0-0
34-39
0-0
50-45
0-0
29-43
0-0
40-38
0-0
34-42
0-0
35-41
0-0
46-33
0-0
31-44
158.5Avg total
76.0Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)83.881.5165.3+2.461%
Season at home (19)88.881.5170.3+7.474%
Season away (9)73.281.4154.7-8.233%
Last 10 (10)76.082.5158.5-6.530%
Last 5 (5)79.485.6165.0-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)79.985.3165.2-5.442%
vs Similar (15)84.378.8163.1+5.567%
vs Weaker (3)89.073.0162.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -6.2-6.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -6.2-6.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
CincinnatiOklahoma State
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CincinnatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona
#7
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A22/01
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A25/01
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H28/01
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
20-32
20
32
-12
A31/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
30-20
30
20
+10
H06/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H08/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A12/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H15/02
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A21/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A25/02
NCAA
66.4Avg total
34.5Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.830.965.7+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.828.565.3+8.488%-
Last 30 away (13)32.134.266.2-2.123%-
Last 10 (10)34.531.966.4+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)40.033.873.8+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)29.731.761.4-2.043%-
vs Similar (10)33.030.463.4+2.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)38.830.969.8+7.969%-
This opponent (Oklahoma State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TCU
#77
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A21/01
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
21-51
21
51
-30
H24/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A31/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H05/02
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A07/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A11/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H14/02
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H19/02
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A21/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H25/02
NCAA
74.6Avg total
34.2Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.339.779.0-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (20)40.439.379.7+1.155%-
Last 30 away (10)37.040.577.5-3.530%-
Last 10 (10)34.240.474.6-6.230%-
Last 5 (5)35.439.274.6-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)35.943.279.1-7.217%-
vs Similar (15)40.636.376.9+4.360%-
vs Weaker (3)46.043.089.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cincinnati wins
2
Oklahoma State wins
DateGameScore
11/03/25Oklahoma State v Cincinnati68-87
08/03/25Oklahoma State v Cincinnati78-67
22/02/24Cincinnati v Oklahoma State76-80
Cincinnatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/26ATexas Tech68-80
21/02/26AKansas84-68
15/02/26HUtah Utes69-65
12/02/26AKansas State91-62
08/02/26HUCF Knights92-72
06/02/26HWest Virginia54-59
31/01/26AHouston54-76
28/01/26HBaylor67-57
25/01/26AArizona State68-82
22/01/26AArizona51-77
Oklahoma Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/26HWest Virginia91-84 OT
21/02/26AColorado69-83
19/02/26HKansas69-81
14/02/26HTCU92-95 OT
11/02/26AArizona State76-85
07/02/26AArizona47-84
05/02/26HBrigham Young99-92
31/01/26AUtah Utes81-69
24/01/26HIowa State71-84
21/01/26ATCU65-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cincinnati
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL54%
HomeWWLWW76%
AwayLLWWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281711
Win %54%76%18%
Points / game72.575.268.4
Allowed / game67.563.473.7
Point differential+5.1+11.8-5.4
Avg total140.0138.6142.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%59%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)50% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Oklahoma State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW61%
HomeLWLLW74%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games28199
Win %61%74%33%
Points / game83.888.873.2
Allowed / game81.581.581.4
Point differential+2.4+7.4-8.2
Avg total165.3170.3154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%47%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %7%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona2826293%87.268.9+18.3
2 Houston2924583%77.562.3+15.2
3 Iowa State2823582%82.265.5+16.8
4 Texas Tech2821775%82.072.2+9.9
5 Kansas2821775%76.668.2+8.5
6 UCF Knights2720774%82.077.4+4.6
7 Brigham Young2820871%85.575.1+10.3
8 TCU28181064%78.372.0+6.3
9 Oklahoma State28171161%83.881.5+2.4
10 West Virginia28161257%69.564.5+5.0
11 Colorado29161355%79.578.7+0.8
12 Cincinnati28151354%72.567.5+5.1
13 Baylor28141450%82.576.7+5.8
14 Arizona State28141450%78.178.9-0.8
15 Kansas State28111739%79.981.1-1.2
16 Utah Utes28101836%75.078.3-3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cincinnati05104091
Oklahoma State03303568
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