Clemson faces American University on 6 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the Pythia model clearly favouring Clemson at 97% versus 3% for the Eagles, a reflection of Clemson's 1-0 record, 85.0 points per game and 72.0 allowed per game, the best in the league at position 149, and a home record of 1-0 with the same scoring numbers; American University, meanwhile, sits at 0-1, 53.0 points per game and 79.0 allowed per game, the lowest in the competition at position 346, and a road record of 0-1. Clemson's last five games show three wins and two losses, including a 85-72 victory over Stetson at home, while American University's last five include one win and four losses, with a recent 53-79 defeat to Cincinnati. The teams have not met before, so no head-to-head history is available. Pythia projects a 85-63 score, 147.4 total points, and a 72% chance Clemson will cover the home line of -16.0; the over on the 143.5 line has a 60% probability, and the game has a 1% chance of overtime. Clemson's dominant season numbers suggest a decisive win, with the projected 85-63 outcome underscoring that expectation.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Clemson winWon
96.9%fair 1.03
Best odds1.07
Implied89.6%
Edge+7.3pp
American University winLost
3.1%fair 32.16
Best odds13.00
Implied10.4%
Edge-7.3pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 05 Nov 07:14 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Clemson) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 138.5Actual: Over 138.5
Over 138.5
71.0%
@ 1.57+12.3pp
Under 138.5
29.0%
@ 2.25-12.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Under
Bet365
2.25
Betano
2.22
Over/Under 143.5 · main lineActual: Over 143.5
Over 143.5
59.6%
@ 2.10+12.4pp
Under 143.5
40.4%
@ 1.82-12.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.10
Betano
2.02
SBO
1.92
1xBet
1.83
Under
SBO
1.82
1xBet
1.80
Betano
1.70
Marathon Be
1.69
Bet365
1.66
Over/Under 148.5Actual: Over 148.5
Over 148.5
47.2%
@ 3.05+15.2pp
Under 148.5
52.8%
@ 1.39-15.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.05
Betano
2.75
Under
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.34
📊 3. Team Totals
Clemson total 75Actual: Clemson over 75
Over 75
84.9%
Under 75
15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clemson total 79 · main lineActual: Clemson over 79
Over 79
73.0%
@ 1.85+23.0pp
Under 79
27.0%
@ 1.85-23.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
Clemson total 83Actual: Clemson under 83
Over 83
57.6%
Under 83
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
American University total 58Actual: American University over 58
Over 58
68.3%
Under 58
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
American University total 62 · main lineActual: American University over 62
Over 62
52.3%
@ 1.85+2.0pp
Under 62
47.7%
@ 1.87-2.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
American University total 66Actual: American University over 66
Over 66
35.9%
Under 66
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Clemson -19Actual: American University +19
CLEM -19
61.6%
@ 2.10+15.9pp
AMER +19
38.4%
@ 1.76-15.9pp
Best 5 market prices
CLEM
Bet365
2.10
Marathon Be
1.96
AMER
Marathon Be
1.76
Bet365
1.66
Spread Clemson -16 · main lineActual: American University +16
CLEM -16
71.5%
@ 1.92+21.5pp
AMER +16
28.5%
@ 2.05-21.5pp
Best 5 market prices
CLEM
Pinnacle
1.92
Marathon Be
1.83
Bet365
1.68
AMER
Bet365
2.05
Pinnacle
1.92
Marathon Be
1.88
Spread Clemson -13Actual: American University +13
CLEM -13
79.9%
@ 1.44+15.4pp
AMER +13
20.1%
@ 2.62-15.4pp
Best 5 market prices
CLEM
Bet365
1.44
AMER
Bet365
2.62
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
ClemsonAmerican University
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Clemson over 77.5
77.1%
1.62
Pinnacle
1.78
Bet365
1.55
Betano
1.53
-
-
+24.3pp
Won
Clemson over 78.5
74.0%
1.86
Betano
1.90
Pinnacle
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
WilliamHill
1.80
-
+24.0pp
Won
Clemson over 79.5
70.6%
1.86
Pinnacle
2.00
Marathon Bet
1.87
Betano
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
WilliamHill
1.80
+23.6pp
Won
Clemson over 79
73.0%
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85
-
-
-
-
+23.0pp
Won
Clemson -16
71.5%
1.81
Pinnacle
1.92
Marathon Bet
1.83
Bet365
1.68
-
-
+21.5pp
Lost
Clemson -14.5
75.3%
1.70
Betano
1.82
Bet365
1.57
-
-
-
+20.4pp
Lost
Clemson -15.5
72.4%
1.80
Betano
1.95
1xBet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.82
BetVictor
1.80
Marathon Bet
1.77
+20.1pp
Lost
Clemson -15
74.5%
1.68
Pinnacle
1.75
Bet365
1.60
-
-
-
+20.0pp
Lost
Clemson over 76.5
80.1%
1.44
Betano
1.44
-
-
-
-
+17.1pp
Won
Clemson over 75.5
82.8%
1.38
Bet365
1.38
Betano
1.37
-
-
-
+16.2pp
Won
Clemson -14
77.3%
1.52
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
-
+16.1pp
Lost
Clemson -13
79.9%
1.44
Bet365
1.44
-
-
-
-
+15.4pp
Lost
Clemson -13.5
77.9%
1.48
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.45
-
-
-
+14.8pp
Lost
Clemson -12
82.3%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
-
+14.7pp
Lost
Clemson -12.5
80.4%
1.40
Bet365
1.41
Betano
1.38
-
-
-
+14.2pp
Lost
Clemson -11.5
82.7%
1.34
Bet365
1.35
Betano
1.33
-
-
-
+13.6pp
Lost
Clemson -11
84.5%
1.31
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
-
+13.5pp
Lost
Over 139
70.4%
1.62
Bet365
1.62
-
-
-
-
+13.3pp
Won
Clemson -10.5
84.8%
1.29
Bet365
1.29
Betano
1.28
-
-
-
+12.8pp
Lost
Over 138
72.5%
1.55
Bet365
1.55
-
-
-
-
+12.8pp
Won
Over 138.5
71.0%
1.57
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.57
-
-
-
+12.3pp
Won
Over 137.5
73.1%
1.52
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
+12.1pp
Won
Clemson -9.5
86.7%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+12.0pp
Lost
Clemson -10
86.4%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+11.9pp
Lost
Clemson (regulation)
96.3%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Marathon Bet
1.05
-
-
-
+11.8pp
Won
Over 136.5
75.1%
1.44
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
-
-
-
+11.2pp
Won
Over 137
74.6%
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
-
+11.2pp
Won
Over 135
78.5%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
-
+11.0pp
Won
Over 136
76.6%
1.41
Bet365
1.41
-
-
-
-
+10.9pp
Won
Over 135.5
77.1%
1.39
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
+10.8pp
Won
Over 134.5
78.9%
1.35
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
+10.2pp
Won
Over 134
80.3%
1.32
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
-
+9.8pp
Won
Over 133.5
80.7%
1.29
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
-
+8.8pp
Won
Over 131.5
83.9%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+7.7pp
Won
Clemson win
96.9%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Marathon Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
WilliamHill
1.04
Bet365
1.04
+7.3pp
Won
Over 126.5
90.4%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
+4.3pp
Won
American University over 56.5
72.9%
1.29
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.29
-
-
-
+2.0pp
Won
American University over 54.5
79.1%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+1.3pp
Won
American University over 50.5
88.7%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+0.7pp
Won
American University over 52.5
84.4%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+0.6pp
Won
American University over 51.5
86.7%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
+0.6pp
Won
American University under 76.5
91.7%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+0.2pp
Won
American University over 55.5
76.1%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
-1.7pp
Won
American University under 74.5
88.3%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-1.9pp
Won
American University over 53.5
81.9%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-2.0pp
Won
Clemson under 97.5
90.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-2.3pp
Won
American University under 72.5
84.0%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-4.0pp
Lost
Clemson under 95.5
86.0%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-4.5pp
Won
Under 166.5
88.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-4.6pp
Won
American University under 71.5
81.5%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-4.6pp
Lost
American University under 70.5
78.7%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-5.1pp
Lost
American University under 68.5
72.5%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
-5.3pp
Lost
Clemson under 93.5
81.0%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-7.7pp
Won
Under 161.5
81.0%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-8.7pp
Won
Clemson under 91.5
75.1%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-11.0pp
Won
Clemson under 90.5
71.7%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-12.1pp
Won
Under 156.5
71.4%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-14.1pp
Won
Free daily update
Get it on Telegram
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which
predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our
Cookie Policy.
Manage Cookies
Strictly Necessary
Always Active
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the
pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the
operation of our website.
Session and security cookies, your logged-in state, your
subscription status, and the record of this cookie choice itself. These cannot be switched
off because the site cannot be delivered without them.
Functionality Cookies
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site
behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to
build a profile of you.
Your preferred tours and filters, which notices you have dismissed, your
theme choice, and display preferences you have chosen. Kept for up to two years, and you
can clear them from your browser at any time.
These are what "Essential Only" keeps. Choosing "Allow Necessary Cookies
Only" inside this panel switches them off as well.
Performance Cookies
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to
produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics
internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them
our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Which pages and predictions are read, how long pages take to
load, and which features are used, including Google Analytics. Reported in
aggregate, never sold, and not used to identify you personally when you are not signed in.
These are off unless you switch them on here or choose "Accept All".
Third Party Marketing/Targeting
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include
limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the
effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they
will not be adjusted to your interests.
Set by our advertising partners. Switching these off does not
reduce the number of adverts you see; it only makes them less relevant to you.
🔒
A Pro feature
Filtering, slicing and choosing dates are part of Pro -
unlock every pick, all slicers, Challenger/ITF boards, set scores and games markets.