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Columbia vs Elon Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 76-71
Projected total 146.7
Final 71-84
28-40 43-44
Position#136
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Columbia
USA
Vs
65%
35%
■ COLU 65%■ ELON 35%
Pythia win probability
Elon 🏆
USA
Position#111
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Columbia hosts Elon on 2 November 2026 in an NCAA matchup where the model names Columbia the favourite with a 65% chance of victory against Elon's 35%, projecting a 76-71 win for the Lions and a total of 146.7 points; the home team faces a -3.5 line and has a 55% chance of covering, while the over at 151.0 carries a 39% probability and a 5% chance of overtime. Columbia's last five games include two wins and three losses, highlighted by a 80-62 triumph over Brown at home, a 71-81 defeat to Harvard away, and a 54-60 loss to Yale at home, whereas Elon has gone winless in its last five, dropping 62-72 to William & Mary away, 57-76 to NC Wilmington at home, and 57-73 to Monmouth away. The projected score of 76-71 reflects the model's assessment that Columbia will outscore Elon by five points, and the 55% cover probability suggests the spread is within reach for the home side.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Columbia winLost
65.4%fair 1.53
Best odds1.60
Implied59.3%
Edge+6.1pp
Elon winWon
34.6%fair 2.89
Best odds2.47
Implied40.7%
Edge-6.1pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ColumbiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dartmouth
#272
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A24/01
NCAA
Penn
#115
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H31/01
NCAA
Princeton
#337
L
68-80
68
80
-12
H31/01
NCAA
Cornell
#175
L
67-88
67
88
-21
H07/02
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A14/02
NCAA
Princeton
#337
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A14/02
NCAA
Dartmouth
#272
L
63-64
63
64
-1
H21/02
NCAA
Brown
#319
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H28/02
NCAA
Yale
#22
L
54-60
54
60
-6
H28/02
NCAA
Harvard
#133
L
71-81
71
81
-10
A07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
31-31
48-38
32-27
40-40
34-34
34-46
32-42
35-46
37-34
30-42
30-31
45-34
28-29
35-35
31-32
49-30
25-34
29-26
33-38
38-43
140.8Avg total
69.6Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.671.2140.8-1.640%
Last 5 (5)68.666.4135.0+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.885.0152.8-17.20%
vs Similar (11)74.475.5149.8-1.155%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)80.970.4151.3+10.664%
This opponent (Elon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ElonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stony Brook
#182
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H31/01
NCAA
Hampton
#276
L
79-87 OT
79
87
-8
A06/02
NCAA
Drexel
#193
L
77-82
77
82
-5
H07/02
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#17
L
54-65
54
65
-11
A13/02
NCAA
William & Mary
#100
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A14/02
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
L
82-102
82
102
-20
H22/02
NCAA
Towson
#157
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A27/02
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A28/02
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#17
L
57-76
57
76
-19
H04/03
NCAA
William & Mary
#100
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
36-48
32-24
33-33
31-31
38-46
39-36
24-33
30-32
43-36
38-42
41-53
41-49
22-26
34-32
28-34
29-39
24-35
33-41
31-35
31-37
143.8Avg total
67.3Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)67.376.5143.8-9.210%
Last 5 (5)62.876.2139.0-13.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)75.479.2154.6-3.840%
vs Similar (15)73.177.1150.3-4.027%
vs Weaker (4)90.284.8175.0+5.575%
This opponent (Columbia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 146Actual: Over 146
Over 146
51.1%
@ 1.45-13.1pp
Under 146
48.9%
@ 2.60+13.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.45
Under
Bet365
2.60
Over/Under 151 · main lineActual: Over 151
Over 151
38.8%
@ 1.89-11.4pp
Under 151
61.2%
@ 1.91+11.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.89
SBO
1.87
Marathon Be
1.84
Bet365
1.83
Under
Bet365
1.91
Pinnacle
1.91
Marathon Be
1.87
SBO
1.87
Over/Under 156Actual: Under 156
Over 156
27.8%
@ 2.50-9.7pp
Under 156
72.2%
@ 1.50+9.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Under
Bet365
1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Columbia total 73.5Actual: Columbia under 73.5
Over 73.5
58.1%
@ 1.44-4.9pp
Under 73.5
41.9%
@ 2.45+4.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
Under
Betano
2.45
Columbia total 77.5 · main lineActual: Columbia under 77.5
Over 77.5
42.5%
@ 1.91-7.2pp
Under 77.5
57.5%
@ 1.86+7.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.91
WilliamHill
1.91
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Under
1xBet
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.80
Columbia total 81.5Actual: Columbia under 81.5
Over 81.5
28.0%
@ 2.67-5.9pp
Under 81.5
72.0%
@ 1.37+5.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.67
Under
Betano
1.37
Elon total 70Actual: Elon over 70
Over 70
54.0%
Under 70
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elon total 74 · main lineActual: Elon over 74
Over 74
38.2%
@ 1.85-11.8pp
Under 74
61.8%
@ 1.85+11.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Elon total 78Actual: Elon over 78
Over 78
24.3%
Under 78
75.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Columbia -6.5Actual: Elon +6.5
COLU -6.5
43.5%
@ 2.40+4.2pp
ELON +6.5
56.5%
@ 1.55-4.2pp
Best 5 market prices
COLU
Betano
2.40
Bet365
2.30
ELON
Bet365
1.55
Betano
1.50
Spread Columbia -3.5 · main lineActual: Elon +3.5
COLU -3.5
55.1%
@ 1.95+5.1pp
ELON +3.5
44.9%
@ 1.93-5.1pp
Best 5 market prices
COLU
Betano
1.95
Pinnacle
1.93
Bet365
1.90
BetVictor
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
ELON
Pinnacle
1.93
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.87
SBO
1.87
1xBet
1.83
Spread Columbia -0.5Actual: Elon +0.5
COLU -0.5
65.4%
ELON +0.5
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
COLU
No market prices yet.
ELON
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -1.9-1.91st half: -5.9-5.92nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: -2.5-2.5
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -1.9-1.91st half: -5.9-5.92nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: -2.5-2.5
ColumbiaElon
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ColumbiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dartmouth
#272
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A24/01
NCAA
Penn
#115
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H31/01
NCAA
Princeton
#337
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H31/01
NCAA
Cornell
#175
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H07/02
NCAA
Penn
#115
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A14/02
NCAA
Princeton
#337
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A14/02
NCAA
Dartmouth
#272
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H21/02
NCAA
Brown
#319
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H28/02
NCAA
Yale
#22
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H28/02
NCAA
Harvard
#133
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A07/03
NCAA
64.5Avg total
31.3Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 75
Last 30 (30)36.435.071.4+1.440%30%
Last 30 at home (15)37.033.370.3+3.747%20%
Last 30 away (15)35.836.772.5-0.933%40%
Last 10 (10)31.333.264.5-1.920%0%
Last 5 (5)29.432.862.2-3.40%0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.245.277.5-13.00%75%
vs Similar (11)37.535.172.6+2.555%18%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)35.633.268.8+2.436%29%
This opponent (Elon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ElonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stony Brook
#182
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H31/01
NCAA
Hampton
#276
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A06/02
NCAA
Drexel
#193
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H07/02
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#17
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A13/02
NCAA
William & Mary
#100
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A14/02
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H22/02
NCAA
Towson
#157
L
22-26
22
26
-4
A27/02
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A28/02
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#17
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H04/03
NCAA
William & Mary
#100
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A08/03
NCAA
69.9Avg total
32.0Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 75
Last 30 (30)37.537.474.9+0.133%60%
Last 30 at home (15)38.741.279.9-2.527%80%
Last 30 away (15)36.333.669.9+2.740%40%
Last 10 (10)32.037.969.9-5.910%40%
Last 5 (5)29.236.665.8-7.40%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.737.575.2+0.240%60%
vs Similar (15)34.736.971.7-2.220%47%
vs Weaker (4)43.839.883.5+4.050%100%
This opponent (Columbia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Elon win
COLU win
no forecast
@ 1.67
ELON win
no forecast
@ 2.20
1st half Spread Columbia -1.5 · main lineActual: Elon +1.5
COLU -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
ELON +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
1st half Over/Under 75 · main lineActual: Under 75
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 1.84
Columbia 1st half total 38.5 · main lineActual: Columbia under 38.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Elon 1st half total 36.5 · main lineActual: Elon over 36.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.84
Under
no forecast
@ 1.93
1st half Over/Under 73.5Actual: Under 73.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.62
Under
no forecast
@ 2.12
1st half Over/Under 76.5Actual: Under 76.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.05
Under
no forecast
@ 1.75
1st half Spread Columbia -2.5Actual: Elon +2.5
COLU -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.05
ELON +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.75
1st half Spread Columbia -3.5Actual: Elon +3.5
COLU -3.5
no forecast
@ 2.22
ELON +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
1st half Over/Under 71.5Actual: Under 71.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under
no forecast
@ 2.52
1st half Over/Under 78.5Actual: Under 78.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.35
Under
no forecast
@ 1.52
1st half Spread Columbia -4.5Actual: Elon +4.5
COLU -4.5
no forecast
@ 2.45
ELON +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.47
1st half Spread Columbia +1.5Actual: Elon -1.5
COLU +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.52
ELON -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.50
1st half Over/Under 69.5Actual: Under 69.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.72
Under
no forecast
@ 2.12
1st half Spread Columbia -5.5Actual: Elon +5.5
COLU -5.5
no forecast
@ 2.72
ELON +5.5
no forecast
@ 1.40
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Elon (regulation)
COLU
no forecast
@ 1.75
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.00
ELON
no forecast
@ 2.25

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
COLU win + total 151.5
🔒 Pro
ELON win + total 151.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: COLU leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: ELON leads at half
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: close (1-10 points)
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: clear (11-20 points)
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Elon under 76.570.2%1.56
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.54		---+11.1ppLost
Elon under 77.573.4%1.46
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.45		---+10.5ppLost
Elon under 78.576.4%1.38
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.37		---+10.0ppLost
Under 155.570.8%1.52
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.52		---+10.0ppWon
Under 15570.2%1.54
Bet365
1.54		----+9.7ppPush
Under 15672.2%1.50
Bet365
1.50		----+9.7ppWon
Elon under 79.579.2%1.31
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.31		---+9.6ppLost
Under 156.572.8%1.46
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.45		---+9.4ppWon
Under 15774.2%1.43
Bet365
1.43		----+9.3ppWon
Under 157.574.7%1.41
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40		---+9.3ppWon
Under 158.576.6%1.36
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.35		---+8.7ppWon
Under 15876.1%1.37
Bet365
1.37		----+8.6ppWon
Under 15978.0%1.33
Bet365
1.33		----+8.0ppWon
Under 159.578.4%1.31
Bet365
1.31		----+7.4ppWon
Elon under 80.581.8%1.25
Bet365
1.25		----+7.3ppLost
Elon under 82.586.3%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+6.8ppLost
Elon under 81.584.2%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+6.4ppLost
Under 161.581.6%1.23
Bet365
1.23		----+6.3ppWon
Columbia +16.595.9%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+6.3ppWon
Columbia +5.579.9%1.25
Betano
1.25		----+6.3ppLost
Columbia +6.582.4%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+6.2ppLost
Columbia under 82.575.2%1.33
Bet365
1.34
Betano
1.31		---+6.0ppWon
Elon under 83.588.3%1.13
Bet365
1.13		----+6.0ppLost
Columbia under 81.572.0%1.37
Betano
1.37		----+5.9ppWon
Columbia +2.571.7%1.41
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40		---+5.7ppLost
Columbia +11.591.2%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+5.7ppLost
Columbia under 84.581.0%1.23
Bet365
1.23		----+5.7ppWon
Columbia +4.577.3%1.29
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.29		---+5.6ppLost
Elon under 84.590.0%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+5.6ppWon
Columbia +21.598.2%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+5.4ppWon
Columbia under 86.585.9%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+5.4ppWon
Columbia +3.574.3%1.35
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.34		---+5.3ppLost
Overtime: no95.0%1.04
WilliamHill
1.06
Betano
1.03		---+5.3pp-
Columbia +476.6%1.31
Bet365
1.31		----+5.0ppLost
Columbia under 87.588.0%1.12
Bet365
1.12		----+4.9ppWon
Columbia +373.6%1.36
Bet365
1.36		----+4.8ppLost
Columbia +270.6%1.43
Bet365
1.43		----+4.8ppLost
Columbia under 90.592.9%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+4.6ppWon
Under 166.588.3%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+4.5ppWon
Under 176.596.0%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+4.5ppWon
Elon +23.594.6%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+4.4ppWon
Columbia under 88.589.8%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+4.3ppWon
Under 171.593.0%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+4.0ppWon
Elon +18.588.8%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+2.7ppWon
Elon +13.578.7%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+0.9ppWon
Elon +11.573.3%1.27
Bet365
1.27		-----0.1ppWon
Columbia over 62.590.0%1.03
Bet365
1.03		-----0.2ppWon
Elon +1172.4%1.27
Bet365
1.27		-----0.4ppWon
Elon over 56.592.2%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----0.5ppWon
Elon over 57.590.7%1.02
Bet365
1.02		-----0.8ppWon
Elon +10.570.3%1.28
Bet365
1.31
Betano
1.25		----2.1ppWon
Columbia over 64.586.2%1.06
Bet365
1.06		-----2.1ppWon
Elon over 58.589.0%1.02
Bet365
1.02		-----2.2ppWon
Over 126.588.9%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----3.3ppWon
Elon over 59.587.0%1.03
Bet365
1.03		-----3.4ppWon
Columbia over 66.581.4%1.10
Bet365
1.10		-----4.1ppWon
Columbia over 67.578.7%1.12
Bet365
1.12		-----4.4ppWon
Elon over 60.584.8%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----4.6ppWon
Columbia over 68.575.7%1.15
Bet365
1.15		-----4.8ppWon
Elon over 61.582.4%1.06
Bet365
1.06		-----5.9ppWon
Elon over 62.579.7%1.08
Bet365
1.08		-----6.9ppWon
Over 131.582.0%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----7.4ppWon
Elon over 63.576.8%1.10
Bet365
1.10		-----8.2ppWon
Elon over 64.573.7%1.13
Bet365
1.13		-----8.6ppWon
Elon over 65.570.4%1.16
Bet365
1.16		-----9.1ppWon
Over 136.572.8%1.11
Bet365
1.11		-----11.6ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Columbia wins
0
Elon wins
No previous meetings.
Columbialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26AHarvard71-81
28/02/26HYale54-60
28/02/26HBrown80-62
21/02/26HDartmouth63-64
14/02/26APrinceton75-65
14/02/26APenn67-76
07/02/26HCornell67-88
31/01/26HPrinceton68-80
31/01/26HPenn72-67
24/01/26ADartmouth79-69
Elonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26AWilliam & Mary62-72
04/03/26HNC Wilmington57-76
28/02/26AMonmouth57-73
27/02/26ATowson56-58
22/02/26HN. Carolina A&T82-102
14/02/26AWilliam & Mary81-78
13/02/26ANC Wilmington54-65
07/02/26HDrexel77-82
06/02/26AHampton79-87 OT
31/01/26HStony Brook68-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Columbia
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 151---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Elon
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 151---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ivy League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Princeton110100%78.046.0+32.0
2 Cornell110100%86.085.0+1.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stony Brook110100%97.047.0+50.0
2 Hofstra110100%97.051.0+46.0
3 Monmouth1010%63.078.0-15.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Columbia284371
Elon404484
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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