PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA Women
Columbia W hosts Davidson W on 2 November 2026 in the NCAA Women competition, with the Pythia model naming Columbia W the clear favourite at 86% to win versus 14% for Davidson W, a reflection of Columbia's dominant 5-0 run at home and Davidson's 4-1 record on the road. Columbia W has won every one of its last five games, including a 81-64 victory over BYU W, a 67-50 win against Wisconsin Badgers W, and a 74-68 triumph over California Golden Bears W, all away, while Davidson W has won four of its last five, with a 64-59 home win over Saint Josephs Hawks W and a 74-62 home win over St. Louis Billikens, but suffered a 46-55 loss to Rhode Island W away. The Pythia model projects a 74-61 score for the game, with a combined 135.2 points, and gives Columbia W a 3% chance of overtime. The home team's line is not listed, so no cover probability is provided. The game will be decided by Columbia's strong recent form and Davidson's mixed results.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 71.9 | 54.5 | 126.4 | +17.4 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 76.4 | 53.0 | 129.4 | +23.4 | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 86.0 | 57.0 | 143.0 | +29.0 | 100% |
| vs Similar ◀ (4) | 71.5 | 67.5 | 139.0 | +4.0 | 75% |
| vs Weaker (25) | 70.5 | 55.6 | 126.1 | +14.9 | 76% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 59.9 | 57.2 | 117.1 | +2.7 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 64.2 | 58.4 | 122.6 | +5.8 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 64.8 | 66.8 | 131.7 | -2.0 | 33% |
| vs Similar ◀ (7) | 57.6 | 60.6 | 118.1 | -3.0 | 29% |
| vs Weaker (17) | 68.3 | 54.4 | 122.6 | +13.9 | 88% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 35.1 | 25.7 | 60.7 | +9.4 | 77% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 33.3 | 25.8 | 59.1 | +7.5 | 67% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 36.8 | 25.5 | 62.3 | +11.3 | 87% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.0 | 22.7 | 59.7 | +14.3 | 100% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.4 | 22.0 | 63.4 | +19.4 | 100% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 56.0 | 22.0 | 78.0 | +34.0 | 100% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (4) | 31.5 | 33.5 | 65.0 | -2.0 | 50% | - |
| vs Weaker (25) | 34.8 | 24.6 | 59.4 | +10.2 | 80% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 31.8 | 27.3 | 59.1 | +4.5 | 73% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 33.4 | 28.2 | 61.6 | +5.1 | 81% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 30.0 | 26.3 | 56.3 | +3.7 | 64% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 32.1 | 28.3 | 60.4 | +3.8 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 33.8 | 28.0 | 61.8 | +5.8 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 30.2 | 27.2 | 57.3 | +3.0 | 67% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (7) | 27.4 | 29.4 | 56.9 | -2.0 | 43% | - |
| vs Weaker (17) | 34.2 | 26.5 | 60.7 | +7.6 | 88% | - |
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| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04/26 | A | BYU W | 81-64 |
| 30/03/26 | A | Wisconsin Badgers W | 67-50 |
| 27/03/26 | A | California Golden Bears W | 74-68 |
| 22/03/26 | A | North Dakota St W | 86-57 |
| 19/03/26 | H | St. John's (N.Y.) W | 74-26 |
| 13/03/26 | H | Harvard Crimson W | 65-67 OT |
| 07/03/26 | H | Harvard Crimson W | 64-68 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Brown Bears W | 59-56 |
| 27/02/26 | A | Yale Bulldogs W | 68-47 |
| 21/02/26 | A | Dartmouth W | 81-42 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 | A | Rhode Island W | 46-55 |
| 06/03/26 | H | Saint Josephs Hawks W | 64-59 |
| 28/02/26 | H | St. Louis Billikens W | 74-62 |
| 25/02/26 | A | Fordham W | 58-49 |
| 21/02/26 | H | Dayton W | 79-67 |
| 18/02/26 | A | VCU W | 66-39 |
| 14/02/26 | H | Richmond Spiders W | 43-65 |
| 07/02/26 | H | George Washington W | 68-58 |
| 04/02/26 | A | St. Bonaventure W | 50-59 |
| 01/02/26 | A | Saint Josephs Hawks W | 51-59 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Notre Dame W | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 99.0 | 75.0 | +24.0 |
| 2 |  Georgia Tech W | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 80.0 | 65.0 | +15.0 |
| 3 |  Hofstra W | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 65.0 | 80.0 | -15.0 |
| 4 |  Villanova W | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 75.0 | 99.0 | -24.0 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbia W | 18 | 17 | 15 | 21 | 71 |
| Davidson W | 15 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 65 |
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