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Contern vs Avanti Mondorf Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 78-70
16-16 23-16 23-11 16-27
Position#6
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game75.0
Contern 🏆
Luxembourg
vs
Position#12
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game103.5
LuxembourgTotal LeagueRound 5· Centre Scolaire et Sportif
Other2024-25
Meetings · Contern v Avanti Mondorf
12 Oct 2024
CONT78
AVAN70
07 May 2022
CONT95
AVAN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Contern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avanti Mondorf winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ConternLuxembourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormContern
Date
Competition
T71 Dudelange
#6
W
83-50
83
50
+33
78avg 77
H09/02
Total League
Mambra Mamer
#10
L
85-93
85
93
-8
72avg 77
A11/02
Total League
Esch
#3
L
78-95
78
95
-17
60avg 77
H02/03
Total League
Walferdange
#4
L
75-81
75
81
-6
58avg 77
A09/03
Total League
Ettelbruck
#2
L
79-85
79
85
-6
74avg 77
A24/03
Total League
Ettelbruck
#2
L
83-100
83
100
-17
84avg 77
H27/03
Total League
Esch
#4
L
73-78
73
78
-5
59avg 77
H21/09
Total League
Bertrange
#7
W
84-83
84
83
+1
74avg 77
A28/09
Total League
Walferdange
#9
W
97-74
97
74
+23
100avg 77
H04/10
Total League
Heffingen
#11
W
78-65
78
65
+13
62avg 77
A06/10
Total League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-11
35-7
21-14
13-18
19-15
28-22
24-35
14-21
30-16
7-30
22-26
19-23
23-26
15-18
18-19
19-18
15-19
27-29
22-21
15-16
20-30
22-28
18-22
23-20
17-20
13-19
20-12
23-27
24-25
21-19
14-22
25-17
30-21
21-23
24-14
22-16
16-17
18-17
25-8
19-23
161.9Avg total
81.5Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.075.0158.0+8.075%
Season at home (2)85.076.0161.0+9.050%
Season away (2)81.074.0155.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.580.4161.9+1.140%
Last 5 (5)83.080.0163.0+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.892.7171.5-13.90%
vs Similar (8)82.677.2159.9+5.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)90.782.3173.0+8.375%
This opponent (Avanti Mondorf) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avanti MondorfLuxembourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMondorf
Date
Competition
Contern
#9
L
77-93
77
93
-16
no box
H01/05
Total League
Contern
#9
L
94-95 OT
94
95
-1
no box
A07/05
Total League
Grengewald Hueschtert
#9
L
76-79
76
79
-3
no box
H30/04
Total League
Grengewald Hueschtert
#9
L
62-71
62
71
-9
no box
A03/05
Total League
Bertrange
#7
L
78-112
78
112
-34
73avg 78
H20/09
Total League
Walferdange
#9
L
74-109
74
109
-35
62avg 78
A28/09
Total League
Heffingen
#11
W
103-88
103
88
+15
101avg 78
H04/10
Total League
Larochette
#5
L
96-105
96
105
-9
76avg 78
A06/10
Total League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
10-18
16-22
26-31
17-23
16-18
17-21
26-14
14-15
18-9
17-24
27-31
12-16
18-13
15-23
17-19
16-32
16-25
23-24
23-31
19-28
27-28
18-32
10-21
33-15
28-27
19-23
23-23
21-20
26-26
23-24
26-35
176.5Avg total
82.5Scored
94.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.8103.5191.2-15.825%
Season at home (2)90.5100.0190.5-9.550%
Season away (2)85.0107.0192.0-22.00%
Last 10 (8)82.594.0176.5-11.512%
Last 5 (5)82.697.0179.6-14.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)83.8102.8186.6-19.00%
vs Similar (3)80.379.3159.7+1.033%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Contern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -3.4-3.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -3.4-3.4
ConternAvanti Mondorf
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ConternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
T71 Dudelange
#6
W
49-18
49
18
+31
H09/02
Total League
Mambra Mamer
#10
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A11/02
Total League
Esch
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H02/03
Total League
Walferdange
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A09/03
Total League
Ettelbruck
#2
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A24/03
Total League
Ettelbruck
#2
L
42-58
42
58
-16
H27/03
Total League
Esch
#4
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H21/09
Total League
Bertrange
#7
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A28/09
Total League
Walferdange
#9
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H04/10
Total League
Heffingen
#11
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A06/10
Total League
82.7Avg total
41.5Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.342.584.8-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.142.286.3+1.947%-
Last 30 away (15)40.642.883.4-2.240%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.282.7+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.443.884.2-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.947.884.7-10.90%-
vs Similar (8)42.639.682.2+3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)46.740.086.7+6.775%-
This opponent (Avanti Mondorf) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avanti MondorfLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Contern
#9
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H01/05
Total League
Contern
#9
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A07/05
Total League
Grengewald Hueschtert
#9
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H30/04
Total League
Grengewald Hueschtert
#9
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A03/05
Total League
Bertrange
#7
L
32-57
32
57
-25
H20/09
Total League
Walferdange
#9
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A28/09
Total League
Heffingen
#11
W
61-42
61
42
+19
H04/10
Total League
Larochette
#5
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A06/10
Total League
81.4Avg total
39.5Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (8)39.541.981.4-2.450%-
Last 30 at home (4)40.040.880.8-0.850%-
Last 30 away (4)39.043.082.0-4.050%-
Last 10 (8)39.541.981.4-2.450%-
Last 5 (5)43.246.089.2-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)38.648.086.6-9.420%-
vs Similar (3)41.031.772.7+9.3100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Contern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Conterntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Contern: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.2
51.8%
51.8%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.910.8
35.0%
33.4%32.4
🏀 Free throws14.310.6
74.1%
72.9%10.6
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avanti Mondorftheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avanti Mondorf: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.024.0
58.5%
51.8%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.08.2
39.3%
33.4%24.8
🏀 Free throws20.815.2
73.5%
72.9%15.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/4 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Contern
WWWLLLLLLW
Avanti Mondorf
LWLLLLLL
#6
League position
#12
+1.7
Net rating
-17.6
103.9
Offensive rating
106.6
102.3
Defensive rating
124.2
52.1%
Effective FG%
58.7%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
63.0%
16.5%
Turnover %
22.2%
21.8%
Off. rebound %
22.6%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.0%
3-point %
39.3%
53.0%
Assist %
38.0%
40%
Form (last 10/8)
12%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 106.6Defence102.3 · 124.2Shooting52.1% · 58.7%3-point %35.0% · 39.3%Ball care16.5% · 22.2%Off. rebounds21.8% · 22.6%Free throws0.21 · 0.33Form (last 10/8)40% · 12%
■ Contern   ■ Avanti Mondorf
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Contern wins
0
Avanti Mondorf wins
DateGameScore
07/05/22Contern v Avanti Mondorf95-94 OT
01/05/22Avanti Mondorf v Contern77-93
Conternlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/24AHeffingen78-65
04/10/24HWalferdange97-74
28/09/24ABertrange84-83
21/09/24HEsch73-78
27/03/24HEttelbruck83-100
24/03/24AEttelbruck79-85
09/03/24AWalferdange75-81
02/03/24HEsch78-95
11/02/24AMambra Mamer85-93
09/02/24HT71 Dudelange83-50
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/24ALarochette96-105
04/10/24HHeffingen103-88
28/09/24AWalferdange74-109
20/09/24HBertrange78-112
03/05/23AGrengewald Hueschtert62-71
30/04/23HGrengewald Hueschtert76-79
07/05/22AContern94-95 OT
01/05/22HContern77-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Contern
Total League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game83.085.081.0
Allowed / game75.076.074.0
Point differential+8.0+9.0+7.0
Avg total158.0161.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Avanti Mondorf
Total League 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 7 Losses (last 8)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game87.890.585.0
Allowed / game103.5100.0107.0
Point differential-15.8-9.5-22.0
Avg total191.2190.5192.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ettelbruck440100%94.575.5+19.0
2 Bertrange43175%88.576.5+12.0
3 Esch43175%82.272.5+9.8
4 Contern43175%83.075.0+8.0
5 Larochette43175%91.085.8+5.2
6 Walferdange53260%90.687.8+2.8
7 Amicale Steesel42250%80.878.8+2.0
8 T71 Dudelange52340%91.480.2+11.2
9 Avanti Mondorf41325%87.8103.5-15.8
10 Mambra Mamer41325%75.899.0-23.2
11 Heffingen51420%77.288.8-11.6
12 Musel Pikes5050%72.488.4-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Contern1623231678
Avanti Mondorf1616112770
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