Corinthians Paulista vs Osasco Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 19:00

Projected 93-77

Projected total 169.8

Final 84-74

21-16 26-25 17-12 20-21

Position#10

Record2-4

FormLWLWL

Points / game79.3

Allowed / game79.8

Corinthians Paulista 🏆

92%

■ CORI 92%■ OSAS 8%

Pythia win probability

Osasco

Position#16

Record1-4

FormLWLLL

Points / game78.6

Allowed / game87.4

NBB· Ginasio Wlamir Marques

Other2026-27

Meetings · Corinthians Paulista v Osasco

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Corinthians Paulista host Osasco on 14 November 2026 in the NBB, and the Pythia model names Corinthians Paulista as the clear favourite with a 92% chance of victory, reflecting their 2-4 season record and 79.3 points per game compared to Osasco's 1-4 record and 78.6 points per game. Corinthians have scored 79.8 points allowed per game overall, while Osasco has allowed 87.4 points per game, a difference that the model weighs heavily. In home play Corinthians are 1-1 with 78.5 points per game and 69.5 points allowed, and their last five games include a win over Cearense and losses to Pinheiros and Unifacisa, showing a mixed form. Osasco's road record is 1-1 with 81.5 points per game and 82.5 points allowed, and their last five games feature three defeats at home to Mogi, Sao Jose and Pinheiros. Historically, Corinthians have won both previous meetings, the most recent being a 111-96 victory on 7 April 2026. The model projects a 93-77 score, 169.8 total points, a -12.5 line with a 62% chance of covering, a 165.5 total line with a 60% over probability, and a 2% overtime likelihood.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Corinthians Paulista winWon

91.6%fair 1.09

Best odds1.12

Implied83.6%

Edge+8.0pp

Osasco winLost

8.4%fair 11.96

Best odds6.75

Implied16.4%

Edge-8.0pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 07:07 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Corinthians Paulista Brazil

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPaulista

Date

Competition

Pinheiros

65-95

-30

61avg 81

A19/05

NBB

Pinheiros

98-84

+14

96avg 81

H20/05

NBB

Pinheiros

81-82 OT

-1

68avg 81

H23/05

NBB

Pinheiros

76-88

-12

68avg 81

A26/05

NBB

Mogi

73-84

-11

64avg 81

A17/10

NBB

Brasilia

92-104

104

-12

87avg 81

A22/10

NBB

Franca

78-48

+30

85avg 81

H26/10

NBB

Unifacisa

79-84

-5

no box

A06/11

NBB

Cearense

#17

75-68

no box

A09/11

NBB

Pinheiros

79-91

-12

no box

H12/11

NBB

21-24

14-35

10-23

20-13

27-15

36-30

15-22

20-17

19-12

8-30

18-20

28-11

18-21

20-35

13-23

25-9

17-18

21-26

24-18

11-22

28-29

17-17

27-31

20-27

29-14

13-9

19-10

17-15

20-20

18-19

16-24

25-21

19-16

15-17

23-17

18-18

22-16

17-21

24-37

16-17

162.4Avg total

79.6Scored

82.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	79.3	79.8	159.2	-0.5	33%
Season at home (2)	78.5	69.5	148.0	+9.0	50%
Season away (4)	79.8	85.0	164.8	-5.2	25%
Last 10 (10)	79.6	82.8	162.4	-3.2	30%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	79.0	159.6	+1.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	79.7	81.9	161.6	-2.2	33%
vs Similar (15)	87.6	85.2	172.8	+2.4	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	90.0	80.2	170.2	+9.8	100%

This opponent (Osasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Osasco

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormOsasco

Date

Competition

Minas

66-78

-12

55avg 66

H22/03

NBB

Unifacisa

#11

65-101

101

-36

57avg 66

H03/04

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

96-111

111

-15

87avg 66

A07/04

NBB

Pato

#17

77-68

56avg 66

H11/04

NBB

Mogi

76-73

68avg 66

A17/04

NBB

Unifacisa

70-96

-26

41avg 66

A17/10

NBB

Cearense

#17

93-69

+24

72avg 66

A20/10

NBB

Pinheiros

74-89

-15

45avg 66

H29/10

NBB

Sao Jose

#12

81-90

-9

no box

H05/11

NBB

Mogi

75-93

-18

no box

H12/11

NBB

20-31

19-12

18-18

9-17

16-29

15-26

18-23

16-23

19-32

18-22

26-28

33-29

14-19

21-20

23-14

19-15

12-23

26-23

17-17

21-10

20-21

21-20

17-26

12-29

32-17

22-23

18-13

21-16

21-25

18-24

19-26

16-14

16-31

17-19

13-28

35-12

25-27

12-20

16-27

22-19

164.1Avg total

77.3Scored

86.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	78.6	87.4	166.0	-8.8	20%
Season at home (3)	76.7	90.7	167.3	-14.0	0%
Season away (2)	81.5	82.5	164.0	-1.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	77.3	86.8	164.1	-9.5	30%
Last 5 (5)	78.6	87.4	166.0	-8.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	74.8	91.1	165.9	-16.3	4%
vs Similar (6)	80.2	83.5	163.7	-3.3	33%
vs Weaker (1)	93.0	69.0	162.0	+24.0	100%

This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 160Actual: Under 160

Over 160

72.9%

@ 1.54+12.5pp

Under 160

27.1%

@ 2.35-12.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.54

Under

Bet365

2.35

Over/Under 165 · main lineActual: Under 165

Over 165

61.6%

@ 1.89+12.1pp

Under 165

38.4%

@ 1.85-12.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.89

Bet365

1.86

SBO

1.85

Marathon Be

1.84

1xBet

1.83

Under

Pinnacle

1.85

1xBet

1.83

SBO

1.81

Marathon Be

1.81

Bet365

1.80

Over/Under 170Actual: Under 170

Over 170

49.1%

@ 2.50+11.6pp

Under 170

50.9%

@ 1.50-11.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.50

Under

Bet365

1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Corinthians Paulista total 84.5Actual: Corinthians Paulista under 84.5

Over 84.5

80.1%

@ 1.42+16.2pp

Under 84.5

19.9%

@ 2.57-16.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.38

Under

Betano

2.57

1xBet

2.40

Corinthians Paulista total 88.5 · main lineActual: Corinthians Paulista under 88.5

Over 88.5

67.1%

@ 1.85+17.1pp

Under 88.5

32.9%

@ 1.83-17.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.83

1xBet

1.72

Under

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.83

Betano

1.82

1xBet

1.72

Corinthians Paulista total 92.5Actual: Corinthians Paulista under 92.5

Over 92.5

51.5%

@ 2.62+15.6pp

Under 92.5

48.5%

@ 1.42-15.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.62

1xBet

2.38

Under

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.38

Osasco total 72.5Actual: Osasco over 72.5

Over 72.5

66.6%

@ 1.50+3.6pp

Under 72.5

33.4%

@ 2.60-3.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.50

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.39

Under

Betano

2.60

Bet365

2.50

1xBet

2.36

Osasco total 76.5 · main lineActual: Osasco under 76.5

Over 76.5

51.1%

@ 1.85+1.6pp

Under 76.5

48.9%

@ 1.83-1.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.85

Marathon Be

1.85

1xBet

1.75

Under

Betano

1.83

Marathon Be

1.81

1xBet

1.70

Osasco total 80.5Actual: Osasco under 80.5

Over 80.5

35.6%

@ 2.75+0.4pp

Under 80.5

64.4%

@ 1.42-0.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.75

Betano

2.62

1xBet

2.44

Under

Betano

1.42

Bet365

1.40

1xBet

1.37

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Corinthians Paulista -14.5Actual: Osasco +14.5

CORI -14.5

55.0%

@ 2.25+13.9pp

OSAS +14.5

45.0%

@ 1.74-13.9pp

Best 5 market prices

CORI

Betano

2.25

Pinnacle

2.25

1xBet

2.11

Bet365

1.95

OSAS

Bet365

1.74

Marathon Be

1.59

Pinnacle

1.57

Betano

1.55

1xBet

1.52

Spread Corinthians Paulista -11.5 · main lineActual: Osasco +11.5

CORI -11.5

65.4%

@ 1.85+15.0pp

OSAS +11.5

34.6%

@ 2.12-15.0pp

Best 5 market prices

CORI

Pinnacle

1.85

Betano

1.82

SBO

1.81

Betfair

1.80

Marathon Be

1.77

OSAS

Bet365

2.12

Marathon Be

1.91

Betfair

1.91

Pinnacle

1.88

1xBet

1.85

Spread Corinthians Paulista -8.5Actual: Corinthians Paulista -8.5

CORI -8.5

74.7%

@ 1.52+11.8pp

OSAS +8.5

25.3%

@ 2.65-11.8pp

Best 5 market prices

CORI

Betano

1.52

Marathon Be

1.48

Bet365

1.43

1xBet

1.41

OSAS

Bet365

2.65

1xBet

2.39

Betano

2.32

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Corinthians PaulistaOsasco

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.25
Last 30 (30)	22.0	20.0	41.9	+2.0	47%	43%
Last 30 at home (14)	23.3	20.5	43.8	+2.8	50%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	19.5	40.3	+1.3	44%	31%
Last 10 (10)	22.0	18.5	40.5	+3.5	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	23.6	19.0	42.6	+4.6	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.7	19.4	41.1	+2.2	44%	44%
vs Similar (15)	22.7	20.7	43.4	+1.9	40%	47%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	20.7	18.8	39.5	+1.8	67%	33%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.25
Last 30 (30)	18.9	23.3	42.2	-4.3	23%	50%
Last 30 at home (14)	18.3	25.4	43.6	-7.1	14%	71%
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	21.4	40.9	-1.9	31%	31%
Last 10 (10)	19.5	25.5	45.0	-6.0	10%	70%
Last 5 (5)	22.8	24.2	47.0	-1.4	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	18.7	24.2	42.9	-5.4	22%	57%
vs Similar (6)	17.5	20.8	38.3	-3.3	17%	17%
vs Weaker (1)	32.0	17.0	49.0	+15.0	100%	100%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.25
Last 30 (30)	20.4	21.4	41.9	-1.0	43%	37%
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	19.3	40.0	+1.4	64%	21%
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	23.3	43.5	-3.1	25%	50%
Last 10 (10)	17.9	23.9	41.8	-6.0	20%	40%
Last 5 (5)	16.0	16.6	32.6	-0.6	20%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.9	25.9	44.8	-7.0	22%	67%
vs Similar (15)	20.9	19.9	40.8	+1.1	47%	20%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	21.5	18.7	40.2	+2.8	67%	33%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.25
Last 30 (30)	19.0	21.2	40.2	-2.2	40%	37%
Last 30 at home (14)	17.3	19.9	37.1	-2.6	36%	14%
Last 30 away (16)	20.5	22.3	42.8	-1.8	44%	56%
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.9	39.8	-2.0	40%	30%
Last 5 (5)	18.0	21.2	39.2	-3.2	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	18.1	21.3	39.4	-3.1	35%	30%
vs Similar (6)	21.8	20.5	42.3	+1.3	67%	50%
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	23.0	45.0	-1.0	0%	100%

Corinthians PaulistaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pinheiros

35-59

-24

A19/05

NBB

Pinheiros

63-45

+18

H20/05

NBB

Pinheiros

27-42

-15

H23/05

NBB

Pinheiros

38-56

-18

A26/05

NBB

Mogi

38-44

-6

A17/10

NBB

Brasilia

45-46

-1

A22/10

NBB

Franca

42-23

+19

H26/10

NBB

Unifacisa

38-39

-1

A06/11

NBB

Cearense

#17

34-33

A09/11

NBB

Pinheiros

39-37

H12/11

NBB

82.3Avg total

39.9Scored

42.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 83.25
Last 30 (30)	42.4	41.4	83.8	+1.0	60%	43%
Last 30 at home (14)	44.0	39.8	83.8	+4.2	64%	43%
Last 30 away (16)	41.0	42.8	83.8	-1.8	56%	44%
Last 10 (10)	39.9	42.4	82.3	-2.5	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	39.6	35.6	75.2	+4.0	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	40.6	45.3	85.9	-4.8	33%	44%
vs Similar (15)	43.6	40.6	84.2	+3.0	60%	47%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	42.2	37.5	79.7	+4.7	100%	33%

This opponent (Osasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

OsascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Minas

39-43

-4

H22/03

NBB

Unifacisa

#11

31-55

-24

H03/04

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

37-54

-17

A07/04

NBB

Pato

#17

35-39

-4

H11/04

NBB

Mogi

38-46

-8

A17/04

NBB

Unifacisa

41-41

A17/10

NBB

Cearense

#17

54-40

+14

A20/10

NBB

Pinheiros

39-49

-10

H29/10

NBB

Sao Jose

#12

33-50

-17

H05/11

NBB

Mogi

37-47

-10

H12/11

NBB

84.8Avg total

38.4Scored

46.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 83.25
Last 30 (30)	37.9	44.4	82.4	-6.5	20%	47%
Last 30 at home (14)	35.6	45.2	80.8	-9.6	14%	43%
Last 30 away (16)	40.0	43.8	83.8	-3.8	25%	50%
Last 10 (10)	38.4	46.4	84.8	-8.0	10%	60%
Last 5 (5)	40.8	45.4	86.2	-4.6	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	36.9	45.4	82.3	-8.6	13%	48%
vs Similar (6)	39.3	41.3	80.7	-2.0	33%	33%
vs Weaker (1)	54.0	40.0	94.0	+14.0	100%	100%

This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Corinthians Paulista win

CORI win

no forecast

@ 1.26

OSAS win

no forecast

@ 4.17

1st half Spread Corinthians Paulista -6.5 · main lineActual: Osasco +6.5

CORI -6.5

no forecast

@ 1.85

OSAS +6.5

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Over/Under 83.25 · main lineActual: Over 83.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.82

Under

no forecast

@ 1.80

Corinthians Paulista 1st half total 44.5 · main lineActual: Corinthians Paulista over 44.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.82

Under

no forecast

@ 1.91

Osasco 1st half total 38.5 · main lineActual: Osasco over 38.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.00

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half: CORI + total 83.5

CORI & over

no forecast

@ 2.50

CORI & under

no forecast

@ 2.50

1st half: Draw + total 83.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 34.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 34.00

1st half: OSAS + total 83.5

OSAS & over

no forecast

@ 6.75

OSAS & under

no forecast

@ 7.00

1st half Over/Under 84.5Actual: Over 84.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.15

Under

no forecast

@ 1.80

1st half Spread Corinthians Paulista -7.5Actual: Osasco +7.5

CORI -7.5

no forecast

@ 2.03

OSAS +7.5

no forecast

@ 1.78

1st half Spread Corinthians Paulista -5.5Actual: Corinthians Paulista -5.5

CORI -5.5

no forecast

@ 1.70

OSAS +5.5

no forecast

@ 2.07

1st half Over/Under 81.5Actual: Over 81.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.72

Under

no forecast

@ 2.15

1st half Spread Corinthians Paulista -8.5Actual: Osasco +8.5

CORI -8.5

no forecast

@ 2.15

OSAS +8.5

no forecast

@ 1.65

1st half Spread Corinthians Paulista -4.5Actual: Corinthians Paulista -4.5

CORI -4.5

no forecast

@ 1.58

OSAS +4.5

no forecast

@ 2.30

1st half Over/Under 79.5Actual: Over 79.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.45

Under

no forecast

@ 2.60

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Corinthians Paulista (regulation)

CORI

no forecast

@ 1.29

Draw

no forecast

@ 19.00

OSAS

no forecast

@ 4.05

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.75
Last 30 (30)	21.3	21.3	42.5	+0.0	50%	60%
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	21.6	43.7	+0.4	43%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	20.9	41.5	-0.4	56%	62%
Last 10 (10)	18.9	22.5	41.4	-3.6	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	21.8	23.8	45.6	-2.0	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.0	20.7	39.7	-1.7	44%	33%
vs Similar (15)	21.1	22.3	43.3	-1.2	33%	73%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	25.2	19.7	44.8	+5.5	100%	67%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.75
Last 30 (30)	18.7	22.5	41.2	-3.8	17%	63%
Last 30 at home (14)	17.4	22.5	39.9	-5.1	14%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	22.5	42.4	-2.6	19%	69%
Last 10 (10)	18.5	22.0	40.5	-3.5	20%	60%
Last 5 (5)	16.6	24.0	40.6	-7.4	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	18.3	23.8	42.2	-5.5	9%	70%
vs Similar (6)	20.3	19.0	39.3	+1.3	33%	50%
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	13.0	31.0	+5.0	100%	0%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.2	42.0	+1.5	53%	53%
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	20.0	42.1	+2.1	57%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	20.4	41.9	+1.0	50%	50%
Last 10 (10)	20.0	17.0	37.0	+3.0	60%	20%
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.6	38.8	-0.4	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.2	14.9	34.1	+4.3	67%	0%
vs Similar (15)	22.9	22.3	45.3	+0.6	53%	80%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	22.7	23.0	45.7	-0.3	33%	67%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41
Last 30 (30)	19.3	21.5	40.8	-2.1	40%	43%
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	19.5	40.2	+1.2	64%	50%
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	23.2	41.3	-5.1	19%	38%
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.4	38.8	+2.0	70%	20%
Last 5 (5)	21.2	18.0	39.2	+3.2	80%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	19.6	21.8	41.4	-2.3	39%	43%
vs Similar (6)	18.2	21.0	39.2	-2.8	33%	50%
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	16.0	37.0	+5.0	100%	0%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80
Last 30 (30)	43.0	41.5	84.5	+1.5	53%	63%
Last 30 at home (14)	44.2	41.6	85.9	+2.6	50%	64%
Last 30 away (16)	42.0	41.4	83.4	+0.6	56%	62%
Last 10 (10)	38.9	39.5	78.4	-0.6	40%	30%
Last 5 (5)	41.0	43.4	84.4	-2.4	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	38.2	35.6	73.8	+2.7	56%	22%
vs Similar (15)	44.0	44.6	88.6	-0.6	40%	80%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	47.8	42.7	90.5	+5.2	83%	83%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80
Last 30 (30)	38.1	44.0	82.0	-5.9	20%	50%
Last 30 at home (14)	38.1	42.0	80.1	-3.9	14%	50%
Last 30 away (16)	38.1	45.7	83.8	-7.6	25%	50%
Last 10 (10)	38.9	40.4	79.3	-1.5	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	37.8	42.0	79.8	-4.2	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	37.9	45.7	83.6	-7.7	13%	57%
vs Similar (6)	38.5	40.0	78.5	-1.5	33%	33%
vs Weaker (1)	39.0	29.0	68.0	+10.0	100%	0%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

CORI win + total 164.5

🔒 Pro

OSAS win + total 164.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: CORI leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: OSAS leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (CORI:OSAS): CORI wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Corinthians Paulista over 87.5	70.7%	1.67	Betano 1.72	1xBet 1.61	-	-	-	+17.1pp	Lost
Corinthians Paulista over 86.5	74.1%	1.56	Betano 1.60	1xBet 1.52	-	-	-	+16.9pp	Lost
Corinthians Paulista over 84.5	80.1%	1.40	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.38	-	-	-	+16.2pp	Lost
Corinthians Paulista over 85.5	77.2%	1.49	Bet365 1.52	Betano 1.50	1xBet 1.44	-	-	+16.2pp	Lost
Corinthians Paulista over 83.5	82.8%	1.35	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	+15.9pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista over 82.5	85.2%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+15.3pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista over 81.5	87.4%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+15.1pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista -10	70.8%	1.59	Pinnacle 1.65	Marathon Bet 1.59	Bet365 1.52	-	-	+14.5pp	Push
Corinthians Paulista -9	73.9%	1.50	Pinnacle 1.56	Marathon Bet 1.50	Bet365 1.45	-	-	+14.4pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista -9.5	71.7%	1.55	Betano 1.60	Pinnacle 1.60	Marathon Bet 1.55	Bet365 1.50	1xBet 1.49	+13.7pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista over 79.5	91.1%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+13.3pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista over 78.5	92.6%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+13.1pp	Won
Over 161	70.8%	1.58	Bet365 1.60	Marathon Bet 1.55	-	-	-	+12.9pp	Lost
Over 160	72.9%	1.54	Bet365 1.54	-	-	-	-	+12.5pp	Lost
Over 159	75.0%	1.50	Bet365 1.50	-	-	-	-	+12.5pp	Lost
Corinthians Paulista over 77.5	93.9%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+12.4pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista -4.5	84.9%	1.26	Betano 1.26	-	-	-	-	+12.2pp	Won
Over 158	77.0%	1.43	Bet365 1.43	-	-	-	-	+12.0pp	Push
Over 160.5	71.4%	1.54	Bet365 1.57	Betano 1.53	Marathon Bet 1.53	-	-	+12.0pp	Lost
Over 157	78.8%	1.38	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	-	+11.9pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista -8.5	74.7%	1.46	Betano 1.52	Marathon Bet 1.48	Bet365 1.43	1xBet 1.41	-	+11.8pp	Won
Over 159.5	73.5%	1.50	Bet365 1.52	Betano 1.47	-	-	-	+11.8pp	Lost
Over 158.5	75.5%	1.44	Bet365 1.47	Betano 1.42	-	-	-	+11.6pp	Lost
Corinthians Paulista -7.5	77.5%	1.38	Betano 1.44	Bet365 1.37	1xBet 1.34	-	-	+11.2pp	Won
Over 156.5	79.2%	1.36	Bet365 1.36	-	-	-	-	+11.2pp	Won
Over 157.5	77.4%	1.39	Bet365 1.40	Betano 1.38	-	-	-	+11.1pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista -5.5	82.6%	1.29	Betano 1.31	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	+10.9pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista (regulation)	90.4%	1.13	Betano 1.14	1xBet 1.12	Marathon Bet 1.12	-	-	+10.8pp	Won
Over 154.5	82.6%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+10.7pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista -6.5	80.1%	1.32	Betano 1.37	Bet365 1.32	1xBet 1.28	-	-	+10.4pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista over 75.5	95.9%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+10.4pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista -8	76.8%	1.38	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	-	+9.9pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista -7	79.6%	1.33	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	-	+9.6pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista -6	82.2%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+9.3pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista over 73.5	97.3%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+9.0pp	Won
Over 149.5	89.4%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+8.9pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista over 71.5	98.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+8.7pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista -3.5	87.0%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista win	91.6%	1.11	Betano 1.12	Marathon Bet 1.12	1xBet 1.11	WilliamHill 1.11	Betfair 1.11	+8.0pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista over 69.5	99.0%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista over 68.5	99.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista over 67.5	99.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Over 144.5	94.1%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
Over 139.5	96.9%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista +6.5	96.7%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Osasco over 66.5	84.8%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Overtime: no	98.1%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista +11.5	98.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Osasco over 65.5	87.1%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista +1.5	92.5%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Osasco over 64.5	89.0%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Osasco over 62.5	92.3%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Osasco over 68.5	79.6%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Osasco over 70.5	73.5%	1.32	Bet365 1.36	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Osasco over 71.5	70.1%	1.33	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Osasco under 92.5	93.4%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Osasco under 90.5	90.8%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Osasco under 88.5	87.3%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
Osasco under 85.5	80.4%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+0.9pp	Won
Osasco under 86.5	83.0%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Won
Osasco under 82.5	71.4%	1.26	Bet365 1.28	1xBet 1.24	-	-	-	-0.1pp	Won
Osasco under 84.5	77.7%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-0.1pp	Won
Osasco +23.5	75.0%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-2.8pp	Won
Under 184.5	81.9%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-4.8pp	Won
Under 179.5	72.8%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-6.7pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Corinthians Paulistatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Corinthians Paulista: 84.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.2	19.3	53.3%	49.8%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.4	10.3	37.6%	31.6%	30.9
🏀 Free throws	18.4	14.5	78.8%	71.3%	14.5

They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Osascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osasco: 72.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.7	16.6	49.3%	49.8%	33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.4	8.9	28.3%	31.6%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	18.6	12.9	69.4%	71.3%	12.9

They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.7	18.4	53.0%	49.8%	36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.8	11.9	36.3%	31.6%	35.7
🏀 Free throws	16.4	12.4	75.6%	71.3%	12.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.7	20.7	54.9%	49.8%	41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.6	11.1	37.5%	31.6%	33.3
🏀 Free throws	15.5	11.6	74.8%	71.3%	11.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.4	19.1	55.6%	49.8%	38.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.9	11.0	36.8%	31.6%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	18.4	14.6	79.2%	71.3%	14.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.2	18.0	49.6%	49.8%	35.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.1	8.7	29.8%	31.6%	26.0
🏀 Free throws	18.6	13.3	71.5%	71.3%	13.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	18.8	51.3%	49.8%	37.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.4	10.1	33.1%	31.6%	30.2
🏀 Free throws	17.3	12.7	73.5%	71.3%	12.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	21.5	54.9%	49.8%	43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.6	10.0	36.2%	31.6%	29.9
🏀 Free throws	18.5	13.4	72.4%	71.3%	13.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Corinthians Paulista

LWLWLLLLWL

Osasco

LLLWLWWLLL

#10

League position

#16

-1.1

Net rating

-15.4

98.4

Offensive rating

83.1

99.4

Defensive rating

98.5

54.6%

Effective FG%

46.0%

53.7%

Opp. effective FG%

55.5%

14.0%

Turnover %

15.6%

0.29

Free-throw rate

0.29

37.6%

3-point %

28.3%

69.9%

Assist %

61.6%

30%

Form (last 10/10)

30%

Profile

■ Corinthians Paulista ■ Osasco

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Corinthians Paulista wins

Osasco wins

Date	Game	Score
07/04/26	Corinthians Paulista v Osasco	111-96
17/12/25	Osasco v Corinthians Paulista	80-81

Corinthians Paulistalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/11/26	H	Pinheiros	79-91
09/11/26	A	Cearense	75-68
06/11/26	A	Unifacisa	79-84
26/10/26	H	Franca	78-48
22/10/26	A	Brasilia	92-104
17/10/26	A	Mogi	73-84
26/05/26	A	Pinheiros	76-88
23/05/26	H	Pinheiros	81-82 OT
20/05/26	H	Pinheiros	98-84
19/05/26	A	Pinheiros	65-95

Osascolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/11/26	H	Mogi	75-93
05/11/26	H	Sao Jose	81-90
29/10/26	H	Pinheiros	74-89
20/10/26	A	Cearense	93-69
17/10/26	A	Unifacisa	70-96
17/04/26	A	Mogi	76-73
11/04/26	H	Pato	77-68
07/04/26	A	Corinthians Paulista	96-111
03/04/26	H	Unifacisa	65-101
22/03/26	H	Minas	66-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Corinthians Paulista

NBB 2026-27

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	33%
Home	WL	50%
Away	LLLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	2	4
Win %	33%	50%	25%
Points / game	79.3	78.5	79.8
Allowed / game	79.8	69.5	85.0
Point differential	-0.5	+9.0	-5.2
Avg total	159.2	148.0	164.8
Over 165	33%	50%	25%
Win by 10+	17%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Osasco

NBB 2026-27

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	20%
Home	LLL	0%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	20%	0%	50%
Points / game	78.6	76.7	81.5
Allowed / game	87.4	90.7	82.5
Point differential	-8.8	-14.0	-1.0
Avg total	166.0	167.3	164.0
Over 165	60%	67%	50%
Win by 10+	20%	0%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Minas	7	7	0	100%	86.3	65.7	+20.6
2	Mogi	7	6	1	86%	83.1	73.9	+9.3
3	Pinheiros	8	6	2	75%	85.2	73.1	+12.1
4	Flamengo	7	5	2	71%	80.9	73.4	+7.4
5	Unifacisa	7	5	2	71%	79.4	75.1	+4.3
6	Franca	8	5	3	62%	78.9	71.6	+7.2
7	Brasilia	8	4	4	50%	80.6	79.8	+0.9
8	Cruzeiro	6	3	3	50%	76.2	78.8	-2.7
9	Uniao Corinthians	6	3	3	50%	73.2	76.8	-3.7
10	Bauru	7	3	4	43%	76.7	77.7	-1.0
11	Sao Jose	7	3	4	43%	80.3	81.7	-1.4
12	Paulistano	7	3	4	43%	69.6	73.9	-4.3
13	Corinthians Paulista	6	2	4	33%	79.3	79.8	-0.5
14	Botafogo	6	2	4	33%	76.7	83.0	-6.3
15	Pato	7	2	5	29%	74.1	83.6	-9.4
16	Osasco	5	1	4	20%	78.6	87.4	-8.8
17	Cearense	6	1	5	17%	66.0	84.8	-18.8
18	Caxias do Sul	7	0	7	0%	64.7	79.6	-14.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Corinthians Paulista	21	26	17	20	84
Osasco	16	25	12	21	74

← all games of the day

Corinthians Paulista vs Osasco Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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