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Crailsheim Merlins vs Paderborn Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 65-58
15-17 13-15 9-15 28-11
Position#2
Record5-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game67.7
Crailsheim Merlins 🏆
Germany
Vs
91%
■ CME 91%■ PAD 9%
Pythia win probability
Projected 90-74
Projected total 164.3
Paderborn
Germany
Position#14
Record2-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game82.8
GermanyPro ARound 7· Arena Hohenlohe
Other2026-27
Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Paderborn
31 Oct 2026
CME65
PAD58
18 Oct 2025
CME76
PAD73
14 Mar 2018
CME102
PAD77
12 Mar 2017
CME91
PAD72
15 Mar 2014
CME93
PAD79
04 Nov 2012
CME95
PAD76
13 Apr 2012
CME111
PAD77
09 Apr 2012
CME97
PAD95
05 Apr 2012
CME109
PAD91
08 Oct 2011
CME91
PAD87
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Crailsheim Merlins host Paderborn in the Pro A. Pythia makes Crailsheim Merlins the favourite at 91% and projects 90-74, about 164 points in all (over 160: 60%). On the market's main spread (Crailsheim Merlins -15) Pythia gives Crailsheim Merlins 51% to cover. Overtime chance: 2%. Crailsheim Merlins are 5-1 this season (83.0 scored, 67.7 allowed a game), form WWWLW; Paderborn are 2-4 this season (83.2 scored, 82.8 allowed a game), form WLLLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winWon
90.9%fair 1.10
Best odds1.09
Implied87.7%
Edge+3.2pp
Paderborn winLost
9.1%fair 11.00
Best odds7.52
Implied12.3%
Edge-3.2pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Giessen
#7
L
77-89
77
89
-12
H07/05
Pro A
Giessen
#7
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A10/05
Pro A
Giessen
#7
W
88-86
88
86
+2
H13/05
Pro A
Giessen
#7
L
70-87
70
87
-17
A15/05
Pro A
ETB Miners
#18
W
81-67
81
67
+14
A26/09
Pro A
Tubingen
#10
W
85-64
85
64
+21
H02/10
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#13
W
91-47
91
47
+44
A04/10
Pro A
Giessen
#6
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H09/10
Pro A
OrangeAcademy
#12
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A18/10
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#7
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H24/10
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
16-20
19-27
25-27
22-25
16-23
17-19
24-22
17-19
26-22
24-17
21-28
15-13
20-22
20-31
15-21
14-20
21-24
22-10
24-13
22-17
26-16
16-15
21-16
14-12
26-10
20-13
31-12
16-19
23-23
26-16
18-18
18-18
30-21
15-28
15-17
16-18
17-18
27-16
20-16
156.9Avg total
81.2Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.067.7150.7+15.383%
Season at home (3)82.769.3152.0+13.3100%
Season away (3)83.366.0149.3+17.367%
Last 10 (10)81.275.7156.9+5.560%
Last 5 (5)83.467.8151.2+15.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)94.588.5183.0+6.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)86.776.5163.2+10.282%
This opponent (Paderborn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaderbornGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#2
L
75-87
75
87
-12
H11/04
Pro A
Kirchheim
#5
W
92-81
92
81
+11
A18/04
Pro A
Tubingen
#13
L
70-105
70
105
-35
H25/04
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#9
L
74-89
74
89
-15
A02/05
Pro A
Bochum
#16
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H26/09
Pro A
Koln
#5
W
90-73
90
73
+17
H02/10
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#7
L
81-84
81
84
-3
A04/10
Pro A
Koblenz
#11
L
86-88
86
88
-2
H10/10
Pro A
Kirchheim
#1
L
82-100
82
100
-18
A17/10
Pro A
OrangeAcademy
#12
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H24/10
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
15-23
24-25
18-21
25-22
16-11
23-20
28-28
18-24
18-28
19-31
15-22
15-30
24-10
12-25
23-24
15-19
15-16
20-21
27-25
29-16
15-21
24-13
22-23
25-27
17-19
26-21
13-17
23-15
20-23
25-29
18-21
26-27
19-25
18-22
19-26
23-20
22-21
16-25
22-5
166.9Avg total
81.0Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.282.8166.0+0.333%
Season at home (4)84.078.2162.2+5.850%
Season away (2)81.592.0173.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)81.085.9166.9-4.930%
Last 5 (5)84.483.2167.6+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)81.391.7173.1-10.427%
vs Similar (14)82.483.3165.7-0.957%
vs Weaker (1)77.081.0158.0-4.00%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 155Actual: Under 155
Over 155
71.9%
Under 155
28.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 160 · main lineActual: Under 160
Over 160
60.3%
@ 1.87+10.3pp
Under 160
39.7%
@ 1.87-10.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.87
1xBet
1.83
Marathon Be
1.83
SBO
1.82
Under
Pinnacle
1.87
1xBet
1.82
SBO
1.82
Marathon Be
1.82
Over/Under 165Actual: Under 165
Over 165
47.8%
Under 165
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Crailsheim Merlins total 82.5Actual: Crailsheim Merlins under 82.5
Over 82.5
77.1%
Under 82.5
22.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crailsheim Merlins total 86.5 · main lineActual: Crailsheim Merlins under 86.5
Over 86.5
63.3%
@ 1.83+9.9pp
Under 86.5
36.7%
@ 2.00-9.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.62
Under
Betano
2.00
1xBet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Crailsheim Merlins total 90.5Actual: Crailsheim Merlins under 90.5
Over 90.5
47.4%
@ 2.30+7.5pp
Under 90.5
52.6%
@ 1.53-7.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.18
Under
Betano
1.53
1xBet
1.44
Paderborn total 68.5Actual: Paderborn under 68.5
Over 68.5
71.9%
@ 1.42+8.3pp
Under 68.5
28.1%
@ 2.57-8.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.39
Under
Betano
2.57
1xBet
2.36
Paderborn total 72.5 · main lineActual: Paderborn under 72.5
Over 72.5
57.2%
@ 1.88+8.0pp
Under 72.5
42.8%
@ 1.86-8.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.88
Betano
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.75
Under
Bet365
1.86
Betano
1.82
BetVictor
1.80
Marathon Be
1.79
1xBet
1.69
Paderborn total 76.5Actual: Paderborn under 76.5
Over 76.5
41.4%
@ 2.60+6.0pp
Under 76.5
58.6%
@ 1.42-6.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.60
1xBet
2.47
Under
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.36

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Crailsheim Merlins -18Actual: Paderborn +18
CME -18
40.3%
@ 2.33+0.6pp
PAD +18
59.7%
@ 1.54-0.6pp
Best 5 market prices
CME
Pinnacle
2.33
PAD
Marathon Be
1.54
Pinnacle
1.53
Spread Crailsheim Merlins -15 · main lineActual: Paderborn +15
CME -15
51.3%
@ 1.83+0.3pp
PAD +15
48.7%
@ 1.90-0.3pp
Best 5 market prices
CME
Pinnacle
1.83
Marathon Be
1.81
1xBet
1.81
SBO
1.80
PAD
Pinnacle
1.90
SBO
1.86
Marathon Be
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Spread Crailsheim Merlins -12Actual: Paderborn +12
CME -12
62.2%
PAD +12
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
CME
No market prices yet.
PAD
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
Crailsheim MerlinsPaderborn
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Giessen
#7
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H07/05
Pro A
Giessen
#7
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A10/05
Pro A
Giessen
#7
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H13/05
Pro A
Giessen
#7
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A15/05
Pro A
ETB Miners
#18
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A26/09
Pro A
Tubingen
#10
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H02/10
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#13
W
40-22
40
22
+18
A04/10
Pro A
Giessen
#6
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H09/10
Pro A
OrangeAcademy
#12
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A18/10
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#7
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H24/10
Pro A
76.7Avg total
39.2Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 79.25
Last 30 (30)44.638.082.6+6.567%63%
Last 30 at home (14)44.637.281.8+7.471%64%
Last 30 away (16)44.638.883.3+5.862%62%
Last 10 (10)39.237.576.7+1.740%50%
Last 5 (5)41.634.476.0+7.260%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)47.045.592.5+1.550%100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)44.437.581.9+6.968%61%
This opponent (Paderborn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaderbornLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#2
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H11/04
Pro A
Kirchheim
#5
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A18/04
Pro A
Tubingen
#13
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H25/04
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#9
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A02/05
Pro A
Bochum
#16
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H26/09
Pro A
Koln
#5
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H02/10
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#7
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A04/10
Pro A
Koblenz
#11
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H10/10
Pro A
Kirchheim
#1
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A17/10
Pro A
OrangeAcademy
#12
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H24/10
Pro A
81.3Avg total
39.8Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 79.25
Last 30 (30)40.943.884.7-2.947%77%
Last 30 at home (16)40.943.484.4-2.544%81%
Last 30 away (14)40.944.285.1-3.450%71%
Last 10 (10)39.841.581.3-1.740%60%
Last 5 (5)43.842.886.6+1.060%100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)40.044.784.7-4.740%73%
vs Similar (14)42.643.486.1-0.857%86%
vs Weaker (1)30.035.065.0-5.00%0%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Paderborn win
CME win
no forecast
@ 1.25
PAD win
no forecast
@ 5.55
1st half Spread Crailsheim Merlins -7.5 · main lineActual: Paderborn +7.5
CME -7.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
PAD +7.5
no forecast
@ 2.00
1st half Over/Under 79.25 · main lineActual: Under 79.25
Over
no forecast
@ 1.81
Under
no forecast
@ 1.80
Crailsheim Merlins 1st half total 44 · main lineActual: Crailsheim Merlins under 44
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Paderborn 1st half total 35.5 · main lineActual: Paderborn under 35.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half: CME + total 80.5
CME & over
no forecast
@ 2.55
CME & under
no forecast
@ 2.40
1st half: Draw + total 80.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 36.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 34.00
1st half: PAD + total 80.5
PAD & over
no forecast
@ 7.25
PAD & under
no forecast
@ 6.75
1st half Over/Under 78Actual: Under 78
Over
no forecast
@ 1.68
Under
no forecast
@ 2.09
1st half Over/Under 80.5Actual: Under 80.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.00
Under
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half Spread Crailsheim Merlins -8.5Actual: Paderborn +8.5
CME -8.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
PAD +8.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half Spread Crailsheim Merlins -6.5Actual: Paderborn +6.5
CME -6.5
no forecast
@ 1.65
PAD +6.5
no forecast
@ 2.15
1st half Spread Crailsheim Merlins -9.5Actual: Paderborn +9.5
CME -9.5
no forecast
@ 2.05
PAD +9.5
no forecast
@ 1.75
1st half Spread Crailsheim Merlins -5.5Actual: Paderborn +5.5
CME -5.5
no forecast
@ 1.46
PAD +5.5
no forecast
@ 2.24
1st half Spread Crailsheim Merlins -10.5Actual: Paderborn +10.5
CME -10.5
no forecast
@ 2.25
PAD +10.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Crailsheim Merlins (regulation)
CME
no forecast
@ 1.29
Draw
no forecast
@ 21.00
PAD
no forecast
@ 5.17

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
CME win + total 160.5
🔒 Pro
PAD win + total 160.5
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: CME leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: PAD leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (CME:PAD): split
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (CME:PAD): CME wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 155.570.4%1.52
Betano
1.52		----+9.9ppLost
Crailsheim Merlins over 83.574.0%1.40
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.38		---+9.9ppLost
Crailsheim Merlins over 84.570.6%1.47
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.44		---+9.8ppLost
Over 154.572.5%1.47
Betano
1.47		----+9.8ppLost
Over 153.574.5%1.42
Betano
1.42		----+9.6ppLost
Paderborn over 68.571.9%1.40
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.39		---+8.3ppLost
Crailsheim Merlins (regulation)89.6%1.07
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.06
Marathon Bet
1.06		--+5.5ppWon
Crailsheim Merlins -8.573.1%1.34
Betano
1.34		----+4.7ppLost
Crailsheim Merlins -9.570.0%1.39
Betano
1.39		----+4.3ppLost
Paderborn +22.573.7%1.30
Betano
1.30		----+3.3ppWon
Crailsheim Merlins win90.9%1.07
Betano
1.09
WilliamHill
1.08
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.06
BetVictor
1.06		+3.2ppWon
Paderborn +21.570.8%1.35
Betano
1.35		----+3.0ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.1
54.0%
-40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.99.2
30.8%
-27.6
🏀 Free throws18.113.8
76.2%
-13.8
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paderborntheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Crailsheim Merlins wins
0
Paderborn wins
DateGameScore
11/04/26Paderborn v Crailsheim Merlins75-87
18/10/25Crailsheim Merlins v Paderborn76-73
14/03/18Crailsheim Merlins v Paderborn102-77
23/09/17Paderborn v Crailsheim Merlins67-83
12/03/17Crailsheim Merlins v Paderborn91-72
10/12/16Paderborn v Crailsheim Merlins83-89
15/03/14Crailsheim Merlins v Paderborn93-79
28/09/13Paderborn v Crailsheim Merlins75-80
23/02/13Paderborn v Crailsheim Merlins68-71
04/11/12Crailsheim Merlins v Paderborn95-76
Crailsheim Merlinslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HBremerhaven80-68
18/10/26AOrangeAcademy78-84
09/10/26HGiessen83-76
04/10/26APS Karlsruhe91-47
02/10/26HTubingen85-64
26/09/26AETB Miners81-67
15/05/26AGiessen70-87
13/05/26HGiessen88-86
10/05/26AGiessen79-89
07/05/26HGiessen77-89
Paderbornlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HOrangeAcademy83-71
17/10/26AKirchheim82-100
10/10/26HKoblenz86-88
04/10/26ABremerhaven81-84
02/10/26HKoln90-73
26/09/26HBochum77-81
02/05/26APS Karlsruhe74-89
25/04/26HTubingen70-105
18/04/26AKirchheim92-81
11/04/26HCrailsheim Merlins75-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
Pro A 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game83.082.783.3
Allowed / game67.769.366.0
Point differential+15.3+13.3+17.3
Avg total150.7152.0149.3
Over 16017%0%33%
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paderborn
Pro A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW33%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game83.284.081.5
Allowed / game82.878.292.0
Point differential+0.3+5.8-10.5
Avg total166.0162.2173.5
Over 16067%50%100%
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kirchheim770100%93.175.4+17.7
2 Wolmirstedt76186%79.073.4+5.6
3 Crailsheim Merlins65183%83.067.7+15.3
4 Heidelberg75271%82.471.6+10.9
5 Giessen74357%82.078.4+3.6
6 Bremerhaven74357%82.682.7-0.1
7 Koln74357%85.789.4-3.7
8 OrangeAcademy63350%83.586.7-3.2
9 Nurnberger84450%79.984.1-4.2
10 Gottingen73443%84.183.7+0.4
11 Tubingen73443%81.081.4-0.4
12 Koblenz73443%83.485.7-2.3
13 PS Karlsruhe73443%75.683.9-8.3
14 Paderborn62433%83.282.8+0.3
15 Artland72529%84.386.3-2.0
16 Bochum72529%79.485.7-6.3
17 Bayreuth71614%87.998.1-10.3
18 ETB Miners71614%86.497.0-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins151392865
Paderborn1715151158
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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