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Crailsheim Merlins vs Saar-Pfalz Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Feb 2012
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 88-79
28-26 25-24 12-9 23-20
Position#4
Record14-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Position#14
Record6-16
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game86.0
GermanyPro ARound 24
Other2011-12
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saar-Pfalz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#8
L
62-75
62
75
-13
A11/12
Pro A
Mitteldeutscher
#1
W
100-80
100
80
+20
H17/12
Pro A
Leitershofen/Stadtbergen
#15
W
101-93
101
93
+8
H23/12
Pro A
ETB Wohnbau
#10
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A07/01
Pro A
Cuxhaven
#13
W
83-81
83
81
+2
H14/01
Pro A
Paderborn
#5
L
85-93
85
93
-8
A20/01
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#6
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H28/01
Pro A
Kirchheim
#2
L
66-91
66
91
-25
A04/02
Pro A
BG Eisbaeren
#7
L
88-91
88
91
-3
H11/02
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
W
90-82
90
82
+8
A16/02
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-24
17-12
18-24
16-15
27-18
24-25
26-17
23-20
24-28
19-20
31-20
27-25
15-19
26-15
17-16
20-23
19-14
20-26
17-17
27-24
28-27
12-18
20-15
25-33
21-17
15-15
18-14
12-8
23-24
13-24
17-18
13-25
23-26
25-15
22-27
18-23
24-13
19-21
22-26
25-22
163.2Avg total
81.9Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.579.6162.1+2.964%
Season at home (12)82.976.9159.8+6.075%
Season away (10)82.082.9164.9-0.950%
Last 10 (10)81.981.3163.2+0.660%
Last 5 (5)79.082.2161.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)83.082.7165.7+0.367%
vs Similar (12)79.279.3158.6-0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)87.978.9166.7+9.086%
This opponent (Saar-Pfalz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Saar-PfalzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mitteldeutscher
#1
L
65-102
65
102
-37
A10/12
Pro A
Leitershofen/Stadtbergen
#15
L
86-100
86
100
-14
H17/12
Pro A
ETB Wohnbau
#10
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H21/12
Pro A
Cuxhaven
#13
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A07/01
Pro A
Paderborn
#5
L
87-92
87
92
-5
H14/01
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#6
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A22/01
Pro A
Kirchheim
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H28/01
Pro A
BG Eisbaeren
#7
L
77-101
77
101
-24
A04/02
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H11/02
Pro A
Jena
#9
L
85-98
85
98
-13
A18/02
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-26
13-27
17-29
20-20
22-15
16-36
23-33
25-16
23-21
15-11
19-14
19-17
12-16
20-12
22-21
13-31
27-23
18-13
17-23
25-33
17-14
13-22
13-16
19-24
26-22
17-8
15-29
15-21
23-31
12-18
22-26
20-26
19-22
13-13
23-18
24-15
29-25
15-27
17-23
24-23
161.7Avg total
75.7Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.886.0165.8-6.227%
Season at home (11)83.584.1167.5-0.645%
Season away (11)76.187.9164.0-11.89%
Last 10 (10)75.786.0161.7-10.320%
Last 5 (5)75.284.6159.8-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)79.688.6168.2-9.121%
vs Similar (7)79.378.7158.0+0.643%
vs Weaker (1)86.0100.0186.0-14.00%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -2.2-2.2
Crailsheim MerlinsSaar-Pfalz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#8
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A11/12
Pro A
Mitteldeutscher
#1
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H17/12
Pro A
Leitershofen/Stadtbergen
#15
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H23/12
Pro A
ETB Wohnbau
#10
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A07/01
Pro A
Cuxhaven
#13
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H14/01
Pro A
Paderborn
#5
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A20/01
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#6
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H28/01
Pro A
Kirchheim
#2
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A04/02
Pro A
BG Eisbaeren
#7
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H11/02
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A16/02
Pro A
80.6Avg total
40.5Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)42.438.781.1+3.664%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.637.679.2+4.075%-
Last 30 away (10)43.340.183.4+3.250%-
Last 10 (10)40.540.180.6+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.640.080.6+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.740.083.7+3.767%-
vs Similar (12)39.638.377.9+1.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)46.638.985.4+7.757%-
This opponent (Saar-Pfalz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Saar-PfalzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mitteldeutscher
#1
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A10/12
Pro A
Leitershofen/Stadtbergen
#15
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H17/12
Pro A
ETB Wohnbau
#10
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H21/12
Pro A
Cuxhaven
#13
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A07/01
Pro A
Paderborn
#5
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H14/01
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#6
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A22/01
Pro A
Kirchheim
#2
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H28/01
Pro A
BG Eisbaeren
#7
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A04/02
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H11/02
Pro A
Jena
#9
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A18/02
Pro A
76.7Avg total
36.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)39.941.080.9-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (11)43.539.583.1+4.064%-
Last 30 away (11)36.342.478.6-6.136%-
Last 10 (10)36.540.276.7-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)36.840.477.2-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)42.442.384.7+0.157%-
vs Similar (7)35.136.972.0-1.743%-
vs Weaker (1)38.051.089.0-13.00%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Crailsheim Merlins wins
0
Saar-Pfalz wins
DateGameScore
11/11/11Saar-Pfalz v Crailsheim Merlins82-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/12ANurnberger90-82
11/02/12HBG Eisbaeren88-91
04/02/12AKirchheim66-91
28/01/12HDusseldorf66-54
20/01/12APaderborn85-93
14/01/12HCuxhaven83-81
07/01/12AETB Wohnbau78-73
23/12/11HLeitershofen/Stadtbergen101-93
17/12/11HMitteldeutscher100-80
11/12/11AHeidelberg62-75
Saar-Pfalzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/12AJena85-98
11/02/12HNurnberger79-68
04/02/12ABG Eisbaeren77-101
28/01/12HKirchheim73-80
22/01/12ADusseldorf62-76
14/01/12HPaderborn87-92
07/01/12ACuxhaven67-80
21/12/11HETB Wohnbau76-63
17/12/11HLeitershofen/Stadtbergen86-100
10/12/11AMitteldeutscher65-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
Pro A 2011-12
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW64%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %64%75%50%
Points / game82.582.982.0
Allowed / game79.676.982.9
Point differential+2.9+6.0-0.9
Avg total162.1159.8164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)60% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %5%8%0%
Saar-Pfalz
Pro A 2011-12
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL27%
HomeLWLLW45%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %27%45%9%
Points / game79.883.576.1
Allowed / game86.084.187.9
Point differential-6.2-0.6-11.8
Avg total165.8167.5164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mitteldeutscher2218482%89.079.0+10.0
2 Kirchheim2215768%82.075.7+6.3
3 Crailsheim Merlins2214864%82.579.6+2.9
4 Chemnitz2314961%75.373.3+2.0
5 Paderborn2112957%87.685.9+1.7
6 Dusseldorf21111052%72.970.5+2.4
7 Jena22111150%79.879.0+0.8
8 ETB Wohnbau21101148%77.777.6+0.1
9 Ehingen22101245%75.176.3-1.1
10 BG Eisbaeren22101245%82.685.0-2.3
11 Heidelberg2191243%88.386.4+1.9
12 Nurnberger2191243%79.080.6-1.6
13 Cuxhaven2191243%77.282.1-4.9
14 Saar-Pfalz2261627%79.886.0-6.2
15 Leitershofen/Stadtbergen2141719%76.489.0-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins2825122388
Saar-Pfalz262492079
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