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Croatia U18 vs Sweden U18 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 87-85 (OT)
21-15 15-9 20-32 22-22 9-7
Position#11
Record2-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game73.6
vs
Position#14
Record1-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game84.4
EuropeEuroBasket U18EuroBasket U18 - Semi-finals
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Croatia U18 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sweden U18 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Croatia U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lithuania U18
#5
L
54-83
54
83
-29
A01/08
EuroBasket U18
Slovenia U18
#7
L
83-85
83
85
-2
A03/08
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#12
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A04/08
EuroBasket U18
Great Britain U18
#14
W
85-52
85
52
+33
H06/08
EuroBasket U18
North Macedonia U18
#15
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H07/08
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#2
L
53-81
53
81
-28
H22/07
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#5
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A23/07
EuroBasket U18
Poland U18
#15
W
73-56
73
56
+17
H24/07
EuroBasket U18
Israel U18
#8
L
66-84
66
84
-18
A26/07
EuroBasket U18
Denmark U18
#13
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
17-20
13-24
7-17
18-19
22-25
18-22
25-19
16-21
14-28
21-13
24-26
22-14
23-15
19-12
21-11
15-19
20-7
19-20
18-13
10-29
21-19
12-20
10-13
15-19
17-12
23-23
14-27
14-15
17-12
23-13
19-16
18-19
17-19
19-27
12-19
21-21
25-10
17-16
27-19
145.5Avg total
72.0Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.273.6143.8-3.440%
Season at home (3)72.067.7139.7+4.367%
Season away (2)67.582.5150.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)72.073.5145.5-1.540%
Last 5 (5)70.273.6143.8-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)63.278.6141.8-15.515%
vs Similar (6)73.873.7147.5+0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)75.763.3139.0+12.591%
This opponent (Sweden U18) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sweden U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cyprus U18
#22
W
93-60
93
60
+33
A31/07
EuroBasket U18 B
Finland U18
#4
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H03/08
EuroBasket U18 B
Romania U18
#7
W
77-56
77
56
+21
A05/08
EuroBasket U18 B
Iceland U18
#8
W
94-71
94
71
+23
A06/08
EuroBasket U18 B
Denmark U18
#2
W
79-66
79
66
+13
A07/08
EuroBasket U18 B
France U18
#4
L
48-86
48
86
-38
H22/07
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#9
L
80-99
80
99
-19
A23/07
EuroBasket U18
Israel U18
#8
L
72-86
72
86
-14
A24/07
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#2
L
77-93
77
93
-16
A26/07
EuroBasket U18
Finland U18
#12
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
26-14
29-15
21-15
18-18
13-22
21-19
26-8
15-20
22-8
17-16
23-12
27-21
17-17
25-21
25-12
18-13
18-14
27-20
16-19
8-20
9-27
17-20
14-19
15-23
17-28
26-25
22-23
17-17
23-23
14-34
18-12
23-22
22-32
13-25
19-14
13-10
17-33
15-11
27-4
151.2Avg total
77.0Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)69.884.4154.2-14.620%
Season at home (2)60.072.0132.0-12.050%
Season away (3)76.392.7169.0-16.30%
Last 10 (10)77.074.2151.2+2.860%
Last 5 (5)69.884.4154.2-14.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)65.090.9155.9-25.90%
vs Similar (10)74.469.8144.2+4.660%
vs Weaker (13)85.063.2148.2+21.892%
This opponent (Croatia U18) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +7.3+7.3
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +7.3+7.3
Croatia U18Sweden U18
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Croatia U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lithuania U18
#5
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A01/08
EuroBasket U18
Slovenia U18
#7
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A03/08
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#12
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A04/08
EuroBasket U18
Great Britain U18
#14
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H06/08
EuroBasket U18
North Macedonia U18
#15
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H07/08
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#2
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H22/07
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#5
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A23/07
EuroBasket U18
Poland U18
#15
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H24/07
EuroBasket U18
Israel U18
#8
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A26/07
EuroBasket U18
Denmark U18
#13
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
72.4Avg total
35.9Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.436.070.4-1.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.936.372.2-0.567%-
Last 30 away (15)32.935.768.5-2.840%-
Last 10 (10)35.936.572.4-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)35.035.070.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)32.639.371.9-6.738%-
vs Similar (6)32.837.870.7-5.017%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)37.331.168.4+6.291%-
This opponent (Sweden U18) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sweden U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cyprus U18
#22
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A31/07
EuroBasket U18 B
Finland U18
#4
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H03/08
EuroBasket U18 B
Romania U18
#7
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A05/08
EuroBasket U18 B
Iceland U18
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A06/08
EuroBasket U18 B
Denmark U18
#2
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A07/08
EuroBasket U18 B
France U18
#4
L
17-47
17
47
-30
H22/07
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#9
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A23/07
EuroBasket U18
Israel U18
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A24/07
EuroBasket U18
Germany U18
#2
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A26/07
EuroBasket U18
Finland U18
#12
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
75.3Avg total
35.5Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.936.774.6+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (11)39.235.074.2+4.255%-
Last 30 away (19)37.237.674.8-0.447%-
Last 10 (10)35.539.875.3-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)32.847.079.8-14.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)30.946.177.0-15.30%-
vs Similar (10)36.237.473.6-1.240%-
vs Weaker (13)43.131.074.1+12.185%-
This opponent (Croatia U18) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Croatia U18 wins
0
Sweden U18 wins
DateGameScore
18/12/16Sweden U18 v Croatia U1877-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/07/23HDenmark U1890-66
26/07/23AIsrael U1866-84
24/07/23HPoland U1873-56
23/07/23ATurkey U1869-81
22/07/23HGermany U1853-81
07/08/22HNorth Macedonia U1872-59
06/08/22HGreat Britain U1885-52
04/08/22AGermany U1875-88
03/08/22ASlovenia U1883-85
01/08/22ALithuania U1854-83
Sweden U18last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/07/23HFinland U1872-58
26/07/23AGermany U1877-93
24/07/23AIsrael U1872-86
23/07/23ALithuania U1880-99
22/07/23HFrance U1848-86
07/08/22ADenmark U1879-66
06/08/22AIceland U1894-71
05/08/22ARomania U1877-56
03/08/22HFinland U1878-67
31/07/22ACyprus U1893-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Croatia U18
EuroBasket U18 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game70.272.067.5
Allowed / game73.667.782.5
Point differential-3.4+4.3-15.0
Avg total143.8139.7150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sweden U18
EuroBasket U18 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game69.860.076.3
Allowed / game84.472.092.7
Point differential-14.6-12.0-16.3
Avg total154.2132.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia U18550100%94.863.8+31.0
2 Germany U18550100%82.065.8+16.2
3 Spain U18660100%78.564.0+14.5
4 France U1865183%82.362.2+20.2
5 Turkey U1864267%75.571.0+4.5
6 Israel U1864267%82.379.8+2.5
7 Slovenia U1863350%75.372.7+2.7
8 Greece U1863350%81.579.5+2.0
9 Italy U1863350%83.883.2+0.7
10 Croatia U1852340%70.273.6-3.4
11 Lithuania U1862433%86.782.8+3.8
12 Sweden U1851420%69.884.4-14.6
13 Finland U1861517%67.881.7-13.8
14 Poland U1861517%64.578.7-14.2
15 Denmark U1861517%72.792.5-19.8
16 Czech Republic U186060%58.886.2-27.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Croatia U1821152022987
Sweden U181593222785
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