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Croatia W vs Netherlands W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-57
31-14 26-15 6-15 18-13
Position#8
Record0-1
FormWLWLL
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game70.0
Croatia W 🏆
vs
Netherlands W
Position#25
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game45.0
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 2· Sportski centar Gripe
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Croatia W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Netherlands W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Croatia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Germany W
#14
W
80-66
80
66
+14
no box
A04/02
European Championship Women
France W
#2
L
63-105
63
105
-42
no box
A17/06
European Championship Women
Russia W
#5
L
62-73
62
73
-11
no box
H18/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#11
W
84-56
84
56
+28
no box
A20/06
European Championship Women
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#6
L
69-80
69
80
-11
no box
A21/06
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#37
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
A11/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
66-84
66
84
-18
no box
H14/11
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#37
W
93-74
93
74
+19
no box
H27/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
57-85
57
85
-28
no box
A09/02
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
65-70
65
70
-5
61avg 61
H09/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
23-11
24-11
15-21
25-26
15-24
12-29
11-26
19-22
14-14
16-25
13-12
27-22
15-11
30-12
12-11
18-19
18-14
14-19
19-28
22-27
26-11
22-21
14-14
21-24
14-31
16-7
15-22
24-29
27-13
16-14
26-18
17-29
15-20
16-18
9-18
19-16
15-16
11-15
20-23
148.9Avg total
72.3Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)65.070.0135.0-5.00%
Season at home (1)65.070.0135.0-5.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.376.6148.9-4.340%
Last 5 (5)73.077.2150.2-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)68.478.1146.4-9.729%
vs Similar (2)71.069.5140.5+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)83.267.0150.2+16.2100%
This opponent (Netherlands W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Netherlands WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Hungary W
#16
W
66-56
66
56
+10
no box
H14/11
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#21
L
64-84
64
84
-20
no box
A12/11
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
W
68-63
68
63
+5
no box
A14/11
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#21
L
50-61
50
61
-11
no box
H06/02
European Championship Women
Ireland W
#35
W
82-60
82
60
+22
no box
H11/11
European Championship Women
Belarus W
#2
L
72-83 OT
72
83
-11
no box
A14/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
L
66-71
66
71
-5
no box
H24/11
European Championship Women
Ireland W
#35
W
59-56
59
56
+3
no box
A27/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
L
49-69
49
69
-20
no box
A12/02
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
64-45
64
45
+19
65avg 65
H09/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-19
15-7
24-20
16-10
22-19
21-17
11-25
10-23
19-9
16-14
16-22
17-18
10-15
11-14
16-12
13-20
31-10
15-15
15-20
21-15
21-16
15-18
14-13
17-20
15-24
13-19
23-16
15-12
9-21
5-13
28-12
17-10
12-10
7-21
11-23
19-15
20-4
11-13
18-12
15-16
128.8Avg total
64.0Scored
64.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)64.045.0109.0+19.0100%
Season at home (1)64.045.0109.0+19.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)64.064.8128.8-0.850%
Last 5 (5)62.064.8126.8-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)64.268.4132.6-4.240%
vs Similar (2)57.072.5129.5-15.50%
vs Weaker (3)68.353.7122.0+14.7100%
This opponent (Croatia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
Croatia WNetherlands W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Croatia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Germany W
#14
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A04/02
European Championship Women
France W
#2
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A17/06
European Championship Women
Russia W
#5
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H18/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#11
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A20/06
European Championship Women
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#6
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A21/06
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#37
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A11/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H14/11
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#37
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H27/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A09/02
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H09/11
European Championship Women
79.4Avg total
39.2Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)38.037.575.5+0.555%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.238.876.0-1.742%-
Last 30 away (10)39.135.975.0+3.270%-
Last 10 (10)39.240.279.4-1.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.043.283.2-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.539.274.7-3.736%-
vs Similar (2)36.536.072.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)44.534.078.5+10.5100%-
This opponent (Netherlands W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Netherlands WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hungary W
#16
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H14/11
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#21
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A12/11
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
W
35-23
35
23
+12
A14/11
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#21
L
21-29
21
29
-8
H06/02
European Championship Women
Ireland W
#35
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H11/11
European Championship Women
Belarus W
#2
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A14/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H24/11
European Championship Women
Ireland W
#35
L
14-34
14
34
-20
A27/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
L
19-31
19
31
-12
A12/02
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
31-17
31
17
+14
H09/11
European Championship Women
59.7Avg total
29.9Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)29.929.859.7+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (5)30.428.058.4+2.440%-
Last 30 away (5)29.431.661.0-2.260%-
Last 10 (10)29.929.859.7+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)25.631.857.4-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)28.831.460.2-2.640%-
vs Similar (2)32.032.564.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker (3)30.325.355.7+5.067%-
This opponent (Croatia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Croatia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Croatia W: 65.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.013.0
43.3%
45.4%26.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.0
33.3%
30.0%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.012.0
75.0%
72.4%12.0
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Netherlands Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Netherlands W: 64.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.020.0
46.5%
45.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.05.0
25.0%
30.0%15.0
🏀 Free throws18.09.0
50.0%
72.4%9.0
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Croatia W
LLWLWLWLLW
Netherlands W
WLWLLWLWLW
#8
League position
#25
-3.8
Net rating
+29.8
82.9
Offensive rating
90.7
86.8
Defensive rating
61.0
46.5%
Effective FG%
43.7%
39.7%
Opp. effective FG%
27.1%
22.7%
Turnover %
28.2%
16.7%
Off. rebound %
45.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.3%
3-point %
25.0%
90.9%
Assist %
88.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence82.9 · 90.7Defence86.8 · 61.0Shooting46.5% · 43.7%3-point %33.3% · 25.0%Ball care22.7% · 28.2%Off. rebounds16.7% · 45.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Croatia W   ■ Netherlands W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Croatia W wins
0
Netherlands W wins
No previous meetings.
Croatia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/23HSpain W65-70
09/02/23ASerbia W57-85
27/11/22HBulgaria W93-74
14/11/21HSerbia W66-84
11/11/21ABulgaria W84-73
21/06/21ABosnia & Herzegovina W69-80
20/06/21ACzech Republic W84-56
18/06/21HRussia W62-73
17/06/21AFrance W63-105
04/02/21AGermany W80-66
Netherlands Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/23HAustria W64-45
12/02/23ACzech Republic W49-69
27/11/22AIreland W59-56
24/11/22HCzech Republic W66-71
14/11/21ABelarus W72-83 OT
11/11/21HIreland W82-60
06/02/21HSlovakia W50-61
14/11/20AHungary W68-63
12/11/20ASlovakia W64-84
14/11/19HHungary W66-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Croatia W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game65.065.0-
Allowed / game70.070.0-
Point differential-5.0-5.0-
Avg total135.0135.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Netherlands W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game64.064.0-
Allowed / game45.045.0-
Point differential+19.0+19.0-
Avg total109.0109.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia W110100%82.040.0+42.0
2 Turkey W110100%75.040.0+35.0
3 Spain W220100%72.549.5+23.0
4 France W110100%71.049.0+22.0
5 Montenegro W110100%91.070.0+21.0
6 Lithuania W220100%87.067.5+19.5
7 Netherlands W110100%64.045.0+19.0
8 Hungary W220100%68.553.5+15.0
9 Portugal W220100%71.557.5+14.0
10 Italy W220100%73.060.0+13.0
11 Luxembourg W220100%66.556.0+10.5
12 Sweden W220100%70.065.5+4.5
13 Belgium W21150%99.047.5+51.5
14 Great Britain W21150%72.554.5+18.0
15 Germany W21150%69.055.5+13.5
16 Denmark W21150%75.064.5+10.5
17 Poland W21150%70.068.5+1.5
18 Greece W21150%71.071.0+0.0
19 Finland W21150%65.566.0-0.5
20 Romania W21150%79.581.5-2.0
21 Slovenia W21150%64.566.5-2.0
22 Slovakia W21150%66.576.0-9.5
23 Croatia W1010%65.070.0-5.0
24 Switzerland W1010%48.056.0-8.0
25 Iceland W1010%70.082.0-12.0
26 Bulgaria W2020%64.076.5-12.5
27 North Macedonia W1010%52.065.0-13.0
28 Bosnia & Herzegovina W2020%67.084.0-17.0
29 Latvia W1010%49.071.0-22.0
30 Czech Republic W2020%53.580.0-26.5
31 Ukraine W2020%51.580.0-28.5
32 Austria W2020%39.569.5-30.0
33 Estonia W2020%49.082.0-33.0
34 Azerbaijan W2020%45.0117.5-72.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 34 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Croatia W312661881
Netherlands W1415151357
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