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Dayton vs Alabama State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 93-54
36-23 57-31
Position#63
Record4-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game67.9
Allowed / game67.4
Dayton 🏆
USA
vs
Position#308
Record2-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game80.5
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dayton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rhode Island
#250
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H04/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#37
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A05/03
NCAA
Memphis
#1
L
60-71
60
71
-11
A20/03
NIT
Illinois (Chi.)
#225
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H10/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#207
L
58-59
58
59
-1
H13/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#249
L
59-78
59
78
-19
H18/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H20/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
W
76-60
76
60
+16
A25/11
NCAA
Kansas
#8
W
74-73
74
73
+1
A26/11
NCAA
Belmont
#24
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A28/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
40-31
0-0
44-41
0-0
26-37
0-0
42-36
0-0
28-27
0-0
32-44
0-0
25-32
0-0
39-22
0-0
21-28
0-0
37-31
0-0
28-38
0-0
31-40
0-0
46-38
0-0
35-49
0-0
36-25
0-0
40-35
0-0
35-45
0-0
39-28
0-0
31-27
0-0
32-34
137.5Avg total
68.7Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)67.967.4135.3+0.457%
Season at home (4)65.569.5135.0-4.025%
Season away (3)71.064.7135.7+6.3100%
Last 10 (10)68.768.8137.5-0.150%
Last 5 (5)70.671.8142.4-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)67.266.9134.1+0.450%
vs Similar (13)71.967.5139.5+4.477%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)68.869.0137.8-0.238%
This opponent (Alabama State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alabama StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grambling St.
#190
L
68-91
68
91
-23
A05/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#79
L
54-79
54
79
-25
A06/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#129
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A10/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
L
72-91
72
91
-19
A11/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
L
60-78
60
78
-18
A14/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#111
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A17/11
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
82-108
82
108
-26
A19/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#196
W
80-74 OT
80
74
+6
H21/11
NCAA
Tuskegee
#444
W
91-65
91
65
+26
H23/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#317
L
69-81
69
81
-12
H28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-44
40-47
26-43
28-36
36-31
38-48
27-42
45-49
29-42
31-36
23-27
37-41
36-63
46-45
30-34
38-34
36-37
55-28
28-44
41-37
152.4Avg total
71.0Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.580.5154.0-7.025%
Season at home (3)80.073.3153.3+6.767%
Season away (5)69.684.8154.4-15.20%
Last 10 (10)71.081.4152.4-10.420%
Last 5 (5)76.479.2155.6-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)65.077.3142.3-12.210%
vs Similar (4)61.563.2124.8-1.825%
vs Weaker (4)71.069.2140.2+1.850%
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: -10.8-10.82nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: -0.2-0.2
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: -10.8-10.82nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: -0.2-0.2
DaytonAlabama State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rhode Island
#250
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H04/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#37
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A05/03
NCAA
Memphis
#1
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A20/03
NIT
Illinois (Chi.)
#225
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H10/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#207
L
21-28
21
28
-7
H13/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#249
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H18/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H20/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A25/11
NCAA
Kansas
#8
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A26/11
NCAA
Belmont
#24
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A28/11
NCAA
64.4Avg total
31.6Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.531.963.4-0.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.831.664.4+1.250%-
Last 30 away (14)30.132.162.2-2.157%-
Last 10 (10)31.632.864.4-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.234.669.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)30.931.262.1-0.450%-
vs Similar (13)31.232.463.6-1.246%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)33.132.265.4+0.962%-
This opponent (Alabama State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alabama StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grambling St.
#190
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A05/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#79
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A06/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#129
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A10/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A11/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A14/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#111
L
23-27
23
27
-4
A17/11
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
36-63
36
63
-27
A19/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#196
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H21/11
NCAA
Tuskegee
#444
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H23/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#317
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H28/11
NCAA
70.6Avg total
29.9Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.135.363.4-7.217%-
Last 30 at home (14)26.635.061.6-8.414%-
Last 30 away (16)29.435.665.0-6.219%-
Last 10 (10)29.940.770.6-10.810%-
Last 5 (5)30.641.071.6-10.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)27.537.064.5-9.614%-
vs Similar (4)24.531.556.0-7.00%-
vs Weaker (4)33.029.862.8+3.250%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Dayton wins
0
Alabama State wins
No previous meetings.
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/21ABelmont63-61
26/11/21AKansas74-73
25/11/21AMiami (FL)76-60
20/11/21HAustin Peay81-87
18/11/21HLipscomb59-78
13/11/21HUMass Lowell58-59
10/11/21HIllinois (Chi.)64-54
20/03/21AMemphis60-71
05/03/21AVCU Rams68-73
04/03/21HRhode Island84-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/21HNorth Alabama69-81
23/11/21HTuskegee91-65
21/11/21HN. Carolina Central80-74 OT
19/11/21AIowa82-108
17/11/21AIowa State60-68
14/11/21AMissouri State60-78
11/11/21AVanderbilt72-91
10/11/21AWestern Kentucky74-79
06/03/21AJackson State54-79
05/03/21AGrambling St.68-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dayton
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%25%100%
Points / game67.965.571.0
Allowed / game67.469.564.7
Point differential+0.4-4.0+6.3
Avg total135.3135.0135.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alabama State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL25%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %25%67%0%
Points / game73.580.069.6
Allowed / game80.573.384.8
Point differential-7.0+6.7-15.2
Avg total154.0153.3154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %12%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Louis Billikens87188%88.166.6+21.5
2 St. Bonaventure65183%71.562.8+8.7
3 Loyola Chicago75271%79.360.7+18.6
4 Rhode Island75271%73.363.3+10.0
5 Davidson75271%75.466.7+8.7
6 Fordham85362%75.170.9+4.2
7 Dayton74357%67.967.4+0.4
8 George Mason84450%75.668.6+7.0
9 Saint Josephs Hawks63350%71.872.7-0.8
10 Richmond Spiders73443%77.176.0+1.1
11 VCU Rams73443%56.357.0-0.7
12 Duquesne73443%70.371.6-1.3
13 La Salle52340%67.473.0-5.6
14 George Washington82625%63.271.4-8.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Univ.73443%73.472.7+0.7
2 Grambling St.72529%61.674.3-12.7
3 Alabama State82625%73.580.5-7.0
4 Florida A&M51420%62.670.0-7.4
5 Alabama A&M Bulldogs51420%59.681.2-21.6
6 Alcorn State61517%61.369.8-8.5
7 Bethune-Cookman71614%61.074.7-13.7
8 Jackson State71614%58.474.4-16.0
9 Arkansas-Pine Bluff81712%63.282.4-19.1
10 Texas Southern6060%61.271.5-10.3
11 Prairie View A&M8080%66.985.6-18.8
12 Miss. Valley St.4040%55.290.5-35.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Dayton365793
Alabama State233154
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