PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
DePaul hosts Md.-East. Shore in the NCAA on 17 November 2026, and the Pythia model names DePaul the favourite, assigning a 96% chance of victory largely because the Blue Demons are undefeated at 3-0, averaging 80.3 points per game while allowing only 61.7, and sit 70th in the league, whereas Md.-East. Shore are 1-3, scoring 61.5 and conceding 70.8, positioned 330th. DePaul's home record is also 3-0, with the same averages, and they have won three of their last five games, highlighted by a 84-47 win over Alabama A&M Bulldogs, a 82-80 win over South Florida, and a 75-58 win over West Georgia. Md.-East. Shore's road record is 0-3, scoring 55.0 and allowing 76.0, and they have only one win in five games, a 81-55 victory over Cheyney Wolves at home, while their recent outings include a 54-82 loss to Boston College and a 49-63 defeat to High Point. Pythia projects a 80-60 score, 140 total points, and a 1% chance of overtime, with DePaul covering the spread and Md.-East. Shore unlikely to cover. The last meeting between the teams ended with DePaul winning 84-47.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 77.0 | 58.0 | 135.0 | +19.0 | 100% |
| Season at home (3) | 80.3 | 61.7 | 142.0 | +18.7 | 100% |
| Season away (1) | 67.0 | 47.0 | 114.0 | +20.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 69.4 | 64.5 | 133.9 | +4.9 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 72.8 | 59.0 | 131.8 | +13.8 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 61.8 | 68.1 | 129.9 | -6.3 | 33% |
| vs Similar (15) | 70.5 | 71.3 | 141.8 | -0.9 | 47% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (6) | 76.5 | 60.8 | 137.3 | +15.7 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 58.6 | 70.0 | 128.6 | -11.4 | 20% |
| Season at home (1) | 81.0 | 55.0 | 136.0 | +26.0 | 100% |
| Season away (4) | 53.0 | 73.8 | 126.8 | -20.8 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 63.2 | 69.5 | 132.7 | -6.3 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 58.6 | 70.0 | 128.6 | -11.4 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (14) | 60.7 | 75.8 | 136.5 | -15.1 | 14% |
| vs Similar (10) | 66.0 | 67.7 | 133.7 | -1.7 | 20% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 67.8 | 62.6 | 130.4 | +5.2 | 60% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 31.8 | 32.5 | 64.4 | -0.7 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 at home (18) | 32.7 | 32.8 | 65.5 | -0.2 | 33% | - |
| Last 30 away (12) | 30.6 | 32.1 | 62.7 | -1.5 | 50% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 32.0 | 29.2 | 61.2 | +2.8 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 33.4 | 27.4 | 60.8 | +6.0 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 29.8 | 30.9 | 60.7 | -1.1 | 33% | - |
| vs Similar (15) | 32.7 | 34.2 | 66.9 | -1.5 | 40% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (6) | 32.7 | 30.8 | 63.5 | +1.8 | 50% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 30.0 | 32.7 | 62.7 | -2.8 | 33% | - |
| Last 30 at home (10) | 31.5 | 28.5 | 60.0 | +3.0 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 away (20) | 29.2 | 34.9 | 64.0 | -5.7 | 20% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 28.7 | 30.8 | 59.5 | -2.1 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 28.4 | 34.0 | 62.4 | -5.6 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (14) | 28.8 | 36.4 | 65.1 | -7.6 | 14% | - |
| vs Similar (10) | 31.9 | 30.0 | 61.9 | +1.9 | 50% | - |
| vs Weaker (5) | 27.0 | 29.0 | 56.0 | -2.0 | 40% | - |
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| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | A | Northwestern | 67-47 |
| 10/11/26 | H | Alabama A&M Bulldogs | 84-47 |
| 06/11/26 | H | South Florida | 82-80 |
| 03/11/26 | H | West Georgia | 75-58 |
| 12/03/26 | H | Georgetown | 56-63 |
| 07/03/26 | H | Butler | 71-81 |
| 05/03/26 | H | Villanova | 57-76 |
| 01/03/26 | A | Marquette | 62-51 |
| 26/02/26 | A | Creighton | 72-71 |
| 22/02/26 | H | Providence | 68-71 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/26 | A | Rhode Island | 47-67 |
| 11/11/26 | A | Boston College | 54-82 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Cheyney Wolves | 81-55 |
| 05/11/26 | A | High Point | 49-63 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Wake Forest | 62-83 |
| 13/03/26 | A | N. Carolina Central | 76-83 OT |
| 06/03/26 | H | Delaware State | 56-57 |
| 03/03/26 | H | N. Carolina Central | 73-77 |
| 28/02/26 | H | South Carolina St | 69-57 |
| 21/02/26 | A | Coppin State | 65-71 OT |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWW | 100% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | W | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Points / game | 77.0 | 80.3 | 67.0 |
| Allowed / game | 58.0 | 61.7 | 47.0 |
| Point differential | +19.0 | +18.7 | +20.0 |
| Avg total | 135.0 | 142.0 | 114.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 75% | 67% | 100% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWLL | 20% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | LLLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| Win % | 20% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 58.6 | 81.0 | 53.0 |
| Allowed / game | 70.0 | 55.0 | 73.8 |
| Point differential | -11.4 | +26.0 | -20.8 |
| Avg total | 128.6 | 136.0 | 126.8 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 20% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Xavier | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 88.5 | 55.8 | +32.8 |
| 2 |  St. John's (N.Y.) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 90.7 | 62.3 | +28.3 |
| 3 |  Uconn | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 84.5 | 58.0 | +26.5 |
| 4 | DePaul | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 77.0 | 58.0 | +19.0 |
| 5 |  Georgetown | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 83.5 | 72.0 | +11.5 |
| 6 |  Seton Hall | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 69.2 | 61.5 | +7.8 |
| 7 |  Marquette | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 80.3 | 53.0 | +27.3 |
| 8 |  Villanova | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 82.3 | 66.3 | +16.0 |
| 9 |  Providence | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 73.0 | 59.3 | +13.7 |
| 10 |  Creighton | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 80.3 | 68.3 | +12.0 |
| 11 |  Butler | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 85.0 | 75.2 | +9.8 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Morgan State | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 85.2 | 65.5 | +19.8 |
| 2 |  South Carolina St | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 78.2 | 72.8 | +5.5 |
| 3 |  Howard | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 74.0 | 73.8 | +0.2 |
| 4 |  Norfolk State | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 69.8 | 72.8 | -3.0 |
| 5 |  Delaware State | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 74.7 | 67.0 | +7.7 |
| 6 |  Coppin State | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 62.2 | 66.2 | -4.0 |
| 7 | Md.-East. Shore | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 58.6 | 70.0 | -11.4 |
| 8 |  N. Carolina Central | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 63.5 | 74.2 | -10.8 |
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