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Dinamo Bucharest vs Valcea Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Projected 88-81
Projected total 169.7
Scheduled
Position#4
Record4-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game77.6
Dinamo Bucharest
Romania
Vs
73%
27%
■ DINA 73%■ VALC 27%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
3.9/10
Below normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Valcea
Romania
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game78.2
RomaniaDivizia ARound 7· Sala Polivalenta Dinamo
Other2026-27
Meetings · Dinamo Bucharest v Valcea
14 Nov 2026
DINA v VALC
upcoming
15 Feb 2026
DINA84
VALC78
05 Jan 2026
DINA91
VALC98
20 Oct 2024
DINA59
VALC69
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Dinamo Bucharest host Valcea on 14 November 2026 in the Divizia A, with the model favouring the Bucharest side at 73% to 27%, projecting an 88-81 win and a total of 169.7 points; the home team is listed as the favourite. Dinamo's season record of 4-1 shows 87.2 points scored and 77.6 allowed per game, with a perfect 2-0 home record and 80.0 points for, 70.0 against; their last five games include two wins and three losses, notably a 84-92 defeat to Basquet Girona at home on 11 November. Valcea, meanwhile, stands 5-1 with 87.7 points scored and 78.2 allowed per game, and a flawless 2-0 road record with 87.0 points for and 73.5 against; their last five games contain four wins and one loss, highlighted by a 97-67 triumph over Municipal Galati on 31 October. Historically, Valcea leads the series 3-2, having last beaten Dinamo 88-81 on 18 April 2026. The model sets the home line at -4.0 with a 62% chance of Dinamo covering, while the over/under line of 170.5 carries a 47% probability of exceeding, and a 4% chance of overtime. Dinamo's recent 84-92 loss and Valcea's solid road form suggest the game could hinge on the home team's defensive adjustment.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dinamo Bucharest win
72.7%fair 1.37
Best odds1.55
Implied61.9%
Edge+10.8pp
Valcea win
27.3%fair 3.67
Best odds2.39
Implied38.1%
Edge-10.8pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dinamo BucharestRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucharest
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#3
L
75-87
75
87
-12
68avg 79
A06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSU Sibiu
#7
L
92-100
92
100
-8
84avg 79
A10/10
Divizia A
Szolnoki Olaj
#36
W
93-76
93
76
+17
95avg 79
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSM Oradea
#6
W
87-73
87
73
+14
84avg 79
H17/10
Divizia A
Oostende
#21
L
80-84
80
84
-4
73avg 79
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Levice
#33
L
76-78
76
78
-2
65avg 79
H27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
SCM Timisoara
#12
W
73-67
73
67
+6
70avg 79
H01/11
Divizia A
Zielona Gora
#19
L
93-95
93
95
-2
no box
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Voluntari
#1
W
97-86
97
86
+11
no box
A08/11
Divizia A
Basquet Girona
#3
L
84-92
84
92
-8
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
25-24
19-18
12-22
23-26
21-18
25-30
23-26
16-18
26-18
27-15
24-25
21-18
26-21
20-19
20-15
11-18
25-18
22-18
22-30
14-27
21-18
19-15
22-18
24-14
17-18
21-21
11-14
30-15
16-28
25-24
22-28
23-23
17-11
29-24
28-28
17-29
20-21
23-15
24-27
168.8Avg total
85.0Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.277.6164.8+9.680%
Season at home (2)80.070.0150.0+10.0100%
Season away (3)92.082.7174.7+9.367%
Last 10 (10)85.083.8168.8+1.240%
Last 5 (5)84.683.6168.2+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.483.6160.0-7.114%
vs Similar ◀ (10)87.387.9175.2-0.660%
vs Weaker (13)89.777.6167.3+12.169%
This opponent (Valcea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValceaRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValcea
Date
Competition
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
104-95
104
95
+9
106avg 82
A13/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
84-90
84
90
-6
71avg 82
A20/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
92-85
92
85
+7
81avg 82
H23/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
94-90
94
90
+4
91avg 82
A27/05
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#10
W
97-90 OT
97
90
+7
87avg 82
H06/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
93-67
93
67
+26
95avg 82
A10/10
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#2
L
83-91
83
91
-8
68avg 82
H17/10
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#8
W
81-80
81
80
+1
66avg 82
A22/10
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#13
W
97-67
97
67
+30
101avg 82
H31/10
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#9
W
75-74
75
74
+1
no box
H06/11
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-17
25-29
22-22
26-27
21-22
32-20
9-23
22-25
22-26
26-19
20-17
24-23
32-24
20-27
18-21
24-18
22-28
24-13
19-24
21-21
13-21
27-20
28-8
25-18
22-14
15-23
17-20
29-34
20-23
22-26
27-12
12-19
20-14
25-8
22-24
30-21
22-14
16-21
14-21
23-18
172.9Avg total
90.0Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.778.2165.8+9.583%
Season at home (4)88.080.5168.5+7.575%
Season away (2)87.073.5160.5+13.5100%
Last 10 (10)90.082.9172.9+7.180%
Last 5 (5)85.875.8161.6+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.0102.0184.0-20.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)84.989.7174.6-4.843%
vs Weaker (14)91.177.4168.4+13.7100%
This opponent (Dinamo Bucharest) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 165.5
Over 165.5
59.3%
@ 1.69+5.2pp
Under 165.5
40.7%
@ 1.99-5.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.69
1xBet
1.68
Under
Pinnacle
1.99
1xBet
1.92
Over/Under 170.5 · main line
Over 170.5
47.2%
@ 1.83-2.8pp
Under 170.5
52.8%
@ 1.83+2.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.83
Betano
1.82
Under
Pinnacle
1.83
Betano
1.82
Over/Under 175.5
Over 175.5
35.5%
Under 175.5
64.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Dinamo Bucharest total 81.5
Over 81.5
74.7%
Under 81.5
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Bucharest total 85.5 · main line
Over 85.5
60.7%
@ 1.84+11.4pp
Under 85.5
39.3%
@ 1.82-11.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.84
Betano
1.82
Under
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.74
Dinamo Bucharest total 89.5
Over 89.5
45.1%
Under 89.5
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valcea total 77.5
Over 77.5
64.2%
Under 77.5
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valcea total 81.5 · main line
Over 81.5
49.0%
@ 1.80-1.8pp
Under 81.5
51.0%
@ 1.83+1.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.75
Under
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.83
Valcea total 85.5
Over 85.5
34.1%
Under 85.5
65.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Dinamo Bucharest -7
DINA -7
49.9%
VALC +7
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
DINA
No market prices yet.
VALC
No market prices yet.
Spread Dinamo Bucharest -4 · main line
DINA -4
61.7%
@ 1.91+10.8pp
VALC +4
38.3%
@ 1.87-10.8pp
Best 5 market prices
DINA
SBO
1.91
Pinnacle
1.80
VALC
Pinnacle
1.87
SBO
1.76
Spread Dinamo Bucharest -1
DINA -1
72.1%
@ 1.51+11.9pp
VALC +1
27.9%
@ 2.28-11.9pp
Best 5 market prices
DINA
Pinnacle
1.51
VALC
Pinnacle
2.28

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
Dinamo BucharestValcea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dinamo BucharestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSU Sibiu
#7
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A10/10
Divizia A
Szolnoki Olaj
#36
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSM Oradea
#6
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H17/10
Divizia A
Oostende
#21
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Levice
#33
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
SCM Timisoara
#12
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H01/11
Divizia A
Zielona Gora
#19
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Voluntari
#1
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A08/11
Divizia A
Basquet Girona
#3
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
81.8Avg total
41.2Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 82.5
Last 30 (30)43.440.684.0+2.763%53%
Last 30 at home (16)43.440.483.8+2.962%56%
Last 30 away (14)43.440.984.2+2.564%50%
Last 10 (10)41.240.681.8+0.650%50%
Last 5 (5)39.840.880.6-1.060%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.442.381.7-2.929%57%
vs Similar ◀ (10)45.242.487.6+2.870%60%
vs Weaker (13)44.138.482.5+5.777%46%
This opponent (Valcea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValceaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A13/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A20/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H23/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A27/05
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#10
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H06/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A10/10
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#2
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H17/10
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#8
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A22/10
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#13
W
45-22
45
22
+23
H31/10
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#9
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H06/11
Divizia A
86.6Avg total
45.7Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 82.5
Last 30 (30)45.143.588.5+1.640%80%
Last 30 at home (16)44.743.087.7+1.738%81%
Last 30 away (14)45.544.089.5+1.543%79%
Last 10 (10)45.740.986.6+4.870%60%
Last 5 (5)40.436.877.2+3.640%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.047.089.0-5.00%100%
vs Similar ◀ (14)44.146.490.6-2.321%86%
vs Weaker (14)46.640.086.6+6.664%71%
This opponent (Dinamo Bucharest) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winner
DINA win
no forecast
@ 1.60
VALC win
no forecast
@ 2.22
1st half Spread Dinamo Bucharest -1.5 · main line
DINA -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.78
VALC +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
1st half Over/Under 82.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Dinamo Bucharest 1st half total 42.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.80
Valcea 1st half total 41.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half Spread Dinamo Bucharest -2.5
DINA -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
VALC +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.78
1st half Over/Under 84.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half 3-way (draw possible)
DINA
no forecast
@ 1.65
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.00
VALC
no forecast
@ 2.30

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
DINA win + total 170.5
🔒 Pro
VALC win + total 170.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: DINA leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Dinamo Bucharest (regulation)70.2%1.58
1xBet
1.58		----+16.0pp
Dinamo Bucharest -172.1%1.51
Pinnacle
1.51		----+11.9pp
Dinamo Bucharest win72.7%1.51
1xBet
1.55
WilliamHill
1.53
Betano
1.50
SBO
1.49
Pinnacle
1.47		+10.8pp
Dinamo Bucharest -1.570.3%1.57
1xBet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.52		---+10.6pp
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
🔒 1 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dinamo Bucharesttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dinamo Bucharest: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.2 points a game
55%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.424.1
61.2%
56.7%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.0
31.7%
32.6%21.0
🏀 Free throws21.317.2
80.8%
75.1%17.2
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valceatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valcea: 92.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.2 points a game
55%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.826.7
59.6%
56.7%53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.9
33.3%
32.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.815.1
76.3%
75.1%15.1
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dinamo Bucharest
LWLWLLWWLL
Valcea
WWWLWWWWLW
#4
League position
#3
+12.1
Net rating
+10.6
99.4
Offensive rating
106.4
87.3
Defensive rating
95.8
56.3%
Effective FG%
56.3%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
17.4%
Turnover %
11.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.7%
3-point %
33.3%
63.7%
Assist %
52.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 106.4Defence87.3 · 95.8Shooting56.3% · 56.3%3-point %31.7% · 33.3%Ball care17.4% · 11.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Dinamo Bucharest   ■ Valcea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Dinamo Bucharest wins
3
Valcea wins
DateGameScore
18/04/26Valcea v Dinamo Bucharest81-88
15/02/26Dinamo Bucharest v Valcea84-78
05/01/26Dinamo Bucharest v Valcea91-98
08/02/25Valcea v Dinamo Bucharest81-67
20/10/24Dinamo Bucharest v Valcea59-69
Dinamo Bucharestlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HBasquet Girona84-92
08/11/26AVoluntari97-86
04/11/26AZielona Gora93-95
01/11/26HSCM Timisoara73-67
27/10/26HLevice76-78
20/10/26AOostende80-84
17/10/26HCSM Oradea87-73
13/10/26HSzolnoki Olaj93-76
10/10/26ACSU Sibiu92-100
06/10/26ABasquet Girona75-87
Valcealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26HArges Pitesti75-74
31/10/26HMunicipal Galati97-67
22/10/26ACorona Brasov81-80
17/10/26HCSM Targu Mures83-91
10/10/26APetrolul Ploiesti93-67
06/10/26HBC Steaua Bucuresti97-90 OT
27/05/26ASCM Timisoara94-90
23/05/26HSCM Timisoara92-85
20/05/26ASCM Timisoara84-90
13/05/26APetrolul Ploiesti104-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dinamo Bucharest
Divizia A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game87.280.092.0
Allowed / game77.670.082.7
Point differential+9.6+10.0+9.3
Avg total164.8150.0174.7
Over 170.540%0%67%
Win by 10+60%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valcea
Divizia A 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%75%100%
Points / game87.788.087.0
Allowed / game78.280.573.5
Point differential+9.5+7.5+13.5
Avg total165.8168.5160.5
Over 170.533%50%0%
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %17%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Voluntari76186%88.982.7+6.1
2 CSM Targu Mures65183%93.582.7+10.8
3 Valcea65183%87.778.2+9.5
4 Dinamo Bucharest54180%87.277.6+9.6
5 SCM Craiova43175%103.099.2+3.8
6 CSM Oradea53260%88.684.4+4.2
7 CSU Sibiu73443%94.693.6+1.0
8 Corona Brasov62433%87.287.8-0.7
9 Arges Pitesti62433%85.386.7-1.3
10 BC Steaua Bucuresti62433%88.791.0-2.3
11 Rapid Bucuresti62433%89.594.7-5.2
12 SCM Timisoara62433%81.787.5-5.8
13 Municipal Galati61517%90.0100.8-10.8
14 Petrolul Ploiesti61517%76.793.2-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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