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Dominican Republic vs Brazil Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 25 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record5-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game93.3
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#19
Record6-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game78.1
EuropeWorld CupRound 5
Other2027
Meetings · Dominican Republic v Brazil
25 Feb 2027
DOMI v BRAZ
upcoming
26 Feb 2019
DOMI63
BRAZ71
28 Oct 2011
DOMI85
BRAZ77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dominican Republic win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Brazil win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dominican RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norway
#70
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H22/06
Friendly International
Ivory Coast
#55
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H24/06
Friendly International
Portugal
#29
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H25/06
Friendly International
Spain
#17
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A28/06
Friendly International
Mexico
#10
W
92-85
92
85
+7
A29/11
World Cup
Mexico
#10
L
88-89
88
89
-1
H02/12
World Cup
Nicaragua
#88
W
86-61
86
61
+25
A02/03
World Cup
Nicaragua
#88
W
99-76
99
76
+23
H07/07
World Cup
Brazil
#19
W
94-90
94
90
+4
A27/08
World Cup
Chile
#66
W
101-66
101
66
+35
H01/09
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
25-13
14-20
16-17
17-18
21-12
15-22
16-15
25-16
26-13
12-23
17-27
24-23
14-20
19-20
17-21
17-23
25-20
26-15
24-27
28-24
26-23
9-20
25-22
14-18
30-18
23-13
19-12
21-15
22-23
34-19
22-19
18-29
32-29
25-14
19-18
20-16
22-20
33-10
26-20
162.3Avg total
86.1Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)93.377.8171.2+15.583%
Season at home (3)96.077.0173.0+19.067%
Season away (3)90.778.7169.3+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.176.2162.3+9.980%
Last 5 (5)93.676.4170.0+17.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.282.8156.0-9.60%
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.883.2167.0+0.569%
vs Weaker (12)84.771.9156.6+12.883%
This opponent (Brazil) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#25
L
80-86
80
86
-6
A28/06
Friendly International
New Zealand
#40
L
89-90
89
90
-1
H30/07
Friendly International
Chile
#66
W
82-66
82
66
+16
A27/11
World Cup
Chile
#66
W
78-62
78
62
+16
H30/11
World Cup
Venezuela
#80
W
94-84
94
84
+10
H27/02
World Cup
Colombia
#55
W
101-72
101
72
+29
H02/03
World Cup
Venezuela
#80
W
103-88
103
88
+15
A05/07
World Cup
Colombia
#55
W
104-80
104
80
+24
A07/07
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#9
L
90-94
90
94
-4
H27/08
World Cup
Mexico
#10
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A01/09
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
19-29
24-21
19-24
21-31
20-22
19-15
29-22
17-10
21-24
25-18
19-14
25-16
22-9
14-26
17-11
28-17
25-21
19-19
22-27
23-13
32-24
21-8
25-27
29-24
17-15
23-23
34-26
33-21
35-18
15-21
21-20
29-18
29-32
14-25
18-19
23-24
21-30
14-13
16-12
169.6Avg total
89.5Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)90.878.1168.9+12.675%
Season at home (4)90.878.0168.8+12.875%
Season away (4)90.878.2169.0+12.575%
Last 10 (10)89.580.1169.6+9.460%
Last 5 (5)94.482.6177.0+11.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.484.8167.2-2.440%
vs Similar ◀ (8)81.985.5167.4-3.625%
vs Weaker (16)90.071.2161.2+18.894%
This opponent (Dominican Republic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.8+1.8
Dominican RepublicBrazil
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dominican RepublicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norway
#70
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H22/06
Friendly International
Ivory Coast
#55
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H24/06
Friendly International
Portugal
#29
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H25/06
Friendly International
Spain
#17
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A28/06
Friendly International
Mexico
#10
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A29/11
World Cup
Mexico
#10
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H02/12
World Cup
Nicaragua
#88
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A02/03
World Cup
Nicaragua
#88
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H07/07
World Cup
Brazil
#19
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A27/08
World Cup
Chile
#66
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H01/09
World Cup
83.8Avg total
45.0Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.839.980.7+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.437.880.2+4.662%-
Last 30 away (14)38.942.481.3-3.429%-
Last 10 (10)45.038.883.8+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)46.643.089.6+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.441.679.0-4.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.743.084.7-1.338%-
vs Weaker (12)41.235.977.2+5.367%-
This opponent (Brazil) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrazilLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#25
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A28/06
Friendly International
New Zealand
#40
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H30/07
Friendly International
Chile
#66
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A27/11
World Cup
Chile
#66
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H30/11
World Cup
Venezuela
#80
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H27/02
World Cup
Colombia
#55
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H02/03
World Cup
Venezuela
#80
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A05/07
World Cup
Colombia
#55
W
68-39
68
39
+29
A07/07
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#9
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H27/08
World Cup
Mexico
#10
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A01/09
World Cup
89.7Avg total
48.7Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.540.084.6+4.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.441.685.0+1.743%-
Last 30 away (16)45.638.684.2+6.975%-
Last 10 (10)48.741.089.7+7.770%-
Last 5 (5)54.243.898.0+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.840.680.4-0.860%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)44.046.890.8-2.825%-
vs Weaker (16)46.535.782.2+10.881%-
This opponent (Dominican Republic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dominican Republictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dominican Republic: 22.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers11.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers10.5 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws1.2 pts a game · 5% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers10.85.5
51.2%
-11.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers8.23.5
42.4%
-10.5
🏀 Free throws2.51.2
50.0%
-1.2
They take 19.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 8.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Braziltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brazil: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.3 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.323.7
61.7%
-47.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.7
32.4%
-23.0
🏀 Free throws16.312.3
75.5%
-12.3
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/3 games with a box score before 25 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dominican Republic
WWWWLWLWWW
Brazil
LLWWWWWWLL
#9
League position
#19
-3.9
Net rating
-1.7
118.3
Offensive rating
108.0
122.2
Defensive rating
109.8
56.6%
Effective FG%
56.7%
63.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
12.8%
Turnover %
22.7%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.13
Free-throw rate
0.26
42.4%
3-point %
32.4%
44.4%
Assist %
73.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Dominican Republic   ■ Brazil
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Dominican Republic wins
6
Brazil wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/09/26HChile101-66
27/08/26ABrazil94-90
07/07/26HNicaragua99-76
02/03/26ANicaragua86-61
02/12/25HMexico88-89
29/11/25AMexico92-85
28/06/24ASpain74-84
25/06/24HPortugal80-79
24/06/24HIvory Coast69-67
22/06/24HNorway78-65
Brazillast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/09/26AMexico74-79
27/08/26HDominican Republic90-94
07/07/26AColombia104-80
05/07/26AVenezuela103-88
02/03/26HColombia101-72
27/02/26HVenezuela94-84
30/11/25HChile78-62
27/11/25AChile82-66
30/07/25HNew Zealand89-90
28/06/24ASlovenia80-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dominican Republic
World Cup 2027
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game93.396.090.7
Allowed / game77.877.078.7
Point differential+15.5+19.0+12.0
Avg total171.2173.0169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brazil
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL75%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game90.890.890.8
Allowed / game78.178.078.2
Point differential+12.6+12.8+12.5
Avg total168.9168.8169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia880100%101.870.0+31.8
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada880100%100.981.1+19.8
4 Turkey880100%91.972.6+19.2
5 Croatia1211192%99.273.5+25.8
6 France87188%85.171.6+13.5
7 Poland87188%95.882.2+13.5
8 Germany87188%93.682.1+11.5
9 Dominican Republic65183%93.377.8+15.5
10 Mexico65183%93.781.8+11.8
11 Senegal97278%86.370.6+15.8
12 South Sudan97278%82.068.6+13.4
13 Ivory Coast97278%88.276.1+12.1
14 Cameroon97278%76.471.6+4.9
15 New Zealand86275%97.279.8+17.5
16 Japan86275%91.074.8+16.2
17 Argentina86275%87.271.5+15.8
18 Lebanon86275%89.674.6+15.0
19 Brazil86275%90.878.1+12.6
20 Uruguay86275%84.473.4+11.0
21 Serbia86275%87.178.1+9.0
22 Ukraine129375%83.275.9+7.3
23 Angola96367%86.873.0+13.8
24 Guinea96367%75.266.1+9.1
25 Mali96367%81.478.0+3.4
26 Jordan85362%85.571.0+14.5
27 Spain85362%90.178.8+11.4
28 Iran85362%74.967.8+7.1
29 Italy85362%83.076.9+6.1
30 China85362%84.581.6+2.9
31 Georgia85362%85.582.6+2.9
32 Finland85362%80.679.2+1.4
33 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
34 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
35 Nigeria95456%79.976.9+3.0
36 Tunisia95456%71.769.9+1.8
37 Portugal84450%83.879.5+4.2
38 Hungary126650%80.977.9+3.0
39 Greece84450%77.174.5+2.6
40 Latvia84450%83.481.2+2.1
41 Lithuania84450%85.984.6+1.2
42 Bahamas84450%93.292.1+1.1
43 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
44 Slovenia84450%84.083.8+0.2
45 Philippines84450%76.976.8+0.1
46 South Korea84450%78.479.1-0.8
47 Sweden84450%81.183.5-2.4
48 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
49 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
50 Qatar84450%75.981.5-5.6
51 Montenegro84450%71.879.1-7.4
52 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
53 Egypt94544%75.973.1+2.8
54 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
55 Colombia73443%83.691.4-7.9
56 Netherlands125742%82.181.1+1.0
57 Bosnia & Herzegovina83538%78.177.1+1.0
58 Estonia83538%80.483.0-2.6
59 Saudi Arabia83538%76.479.6-3.2
60 Iceland83538%81.293.8-12.5
61 Cape Verde93633%75.681.3-5.8
62 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
63 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
64 Jamaica62433%86.3102.8-16.5
65 D.R. Congo93633%68.885.7-16.9
66 Chile72529%71.380.6-9.3
67 Israel82625%79.283.5-4.2
68 Puerto Rico82625%85.990.2-4.4
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
71 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
72 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
73 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
74 Panama82625%75.488.9-13.5
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Syria82625%66.889.9-23.1
77 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
78 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
79 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
80 Venezuela61517%79.087.5-8.5
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua4040%72.095.5-23.5
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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