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Douanes vs A.P.R. Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 May 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 79-54
23-18 21-10 19-18 16-8
Position#6
Record2-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game66.2
vs
Position#9
Record2-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game78.4
EuropeBAL· Dakar Arena
Other2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Douanes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
A.P.R. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DouanesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDouanes
Date
Competition
Kwara Falcons
#12
W
75-68
75
68
+7
no box
A18/03
BAL
Monastir
#5
W
76-60
76
60
+16
no box
A21/03
BAL
Ferroviario Beira
#9
W
93-73
93
73
+20
no box
H21/05
BAL
Petro Atletico
#2
W
92-86
92
86
+6
no box
A24/05
BAL
Al Ahly
#1
L
65-80
65
80
-15
no box
A27/05
BAL
Rivers Hoopers
#4
L
68-77
68
77
-9
59avg 55
H04/05
BAL
Monastir
#7
W
76-59
76
59
+17
64avg 55
H05/05
BAL
A.P.R.
#9
L
61-66
61
66
-5
51avg 55
A07/05
BAL
Rivers Hoopers
#4
W
56-54
56
54
+2
48avg 55
A09/05
BAL
Monastir
#7
L
69-75
69
75
-6
52avg 55
A11/05
BAL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
21-18
18-12
16-21
22-10
20-22
14-12
20-16
28-23
24-14
19-15
22-21
20-19
29-26
20-18
23-23
10-17
23-21
13-25
19-17
23-18
16-19
9-19
20-21
12-17
20-14
14-15
30-13
17-11
9-16
16-19
19-20
14-5
19-21
7-15
16-13
15-17
20-31
15-10
19-17
142.9Avg total
73.1Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)66.066.2132.2-0.240%
Season at home (2)72.068.0140.0+4.050%
Season away (3)62.065.0127.0-3.033%
Last 10 (10)73.169.8142.9+3.360%
Last 5 (5)66.066.2132.2-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.085.2156.2-14.220%
vs Similar (3)66.063.0129.0+3.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)74.369.1143.4+5.256%
This opponent (A.P.R.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
A.P.R.Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormA.P.R.
Date
Competition
Kano Pillars
#6
W
92-77
92
77
+15
no box
A14/12
Africa Champions Cup
Petro Atletico
#2
L
69-84
69
84
-15
no box
H17/12
Africa Champions Cup
Inter Club
#5
W
99-80
99
80
+19
no box
A19/12
Africa Champions Cup
Primeiro d Agosto
#1
L
84-98
84
98
-14
no box
A20/12
Africa Champions Cup
ASB Mazembe
#7
W
92-80
92
80
+12
no box
A22/12
Africa Champions Cup
Monastir
#7
W
89-84 OT
89
84
+5
67avg 64
A04/05
BAL
Rivers Hoopers
#4
L
82-86
82
86
-4
74avg 64
H05/05
BAL
Douanes
#6
W
66-61
66
61
+5
62avg 64
H07/05
BAL
Monastir
#7
L
70-83
70
83
-13
59avg 64
H09/05
BAL
Rivers Hoopers
#4
L
71-78 OT
71
78
-7
58avg 64
A11/05
BAL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-13
24-13
23-22
26-29
0-0
0-0
0-0
69-84
0-0
0-0
0-0
99-80
18-26
19-21
19-25
28-26
22-16
23-21
20-21
27-22
20-20
19-20
13-15
26-23
18-19
22-21
22-23
20-23
11-17
16-9
19-16
20-19
22-19
15-17
17-14
16-33
19-16
11-15
20-10
8-17
162.5Avg total
81.4Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.678.4154.0-2.840%
Season at home (3)72.776.7149.3-4.033%
Season away (2)80.081.0161.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)81.481.1162.5+0.350%
Last 5 (5)75.678.4154.0-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)75.982.0157.9-6.129%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (4)93.574.0167.5+19.5100%
This opponent (Douanes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
DouanesA.P.R.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DouanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kwara Falcons
#12
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A18/03
BAL
Monastir
#5
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A21/03
BAL
Ferroviario Beira
#9
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H21/05
BAL
Petro Atletico
#2
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A24/05
BAL
Al Ahly
#1
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A27/05
BAL
Rivers Hoopers
#4
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H04/05
BAL
Monastir
#7
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H05/05
BAL
A.P.R.
#9
L
26-27
26
27
-1
A07/05
BAL
Rivers Hoopers
#4
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A09/05
BAL
Monastir
#7
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A11/05
BAL
73.8Avg total
38.2Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)36.237.373.5-1.153%-
Last 30 at home (6)36.736.873.5-0.267%-
Last 30 away (11)35.937.573.5-1.645%-
Last 10 (10)38.235.673.8+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)33.033.866.8-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.242.679.8-5.420%-
vs Similar (3)35.030.765.7+4.3100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)36.036.672.6-0.656%-
This opponent (A.P.R.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
A.P.R.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kano Pillars
#6
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A14/12
Africa Champions Cup
Petro Atletico
#2
D
0-0
0
0
+0
H17/12
Africa Champions Cup
Inter Club
#5
D
0-0
0
0
+0
A19/12
Africa Champions Cup
Primeiro d Agosto
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A20/12
Africa Champions Cup
ASB Mazembe
#7
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A22/12
Africa Champions Cup
Monastir
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A04/05
BAL
Rivers Hoopers
#4
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H05/05
BAL
Douanes
#6
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H07/05
BAL
Monastir
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H09/05
BAL
Rivers Hoopers
#4
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A11/05
BAL
58.1Avg total
29.8Scored
28.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)27.125.752.8+1.436%-
Last 30 at home (4)26.025.551.5+0.550%-
Last 30 away (7)27.725.953.6+1.929%-
Last 10 (10)29.828.358.1+1.540%-
Last 5 (5)34.634.669.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)30.031.461.4-1.429%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (4)22.015.837.8+6.250%-
This opponent (Douanes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Douanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Douanes: 65.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.815.4
38.7%
48.0%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.26.6
24.3%
27.9%19.8
🏀 Free throws20.414.6
71.6%
67.5%14.6
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
A.P.R.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

A.P.R.: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.818.4
44.0%
48.0%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.27.8
24.2%
27.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.215.2
71.7%
67.5%15.2
They take 74.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 12 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Douanes
LWLWLLWWWW
A.P.R.
LLWLWWLWLW
#6
League position
#9
-1.8
Net rating
-2.2
86.0
Offensive rating
92.6
87.9
Defensive rating
94.8
37.8%
Effective FG%
40.7%
42.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
21.1%
Turnover %
18.5%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
24.3%
3-point %
24.2%
68.2%
Assist %
64.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence86.0 · 92.6Defence87.9 · 94.8Shooting37.8% · 40.7%3-point %24.3% · 24.2%Ball care21.1% · 18.5%Off. rebounds34.8% · 33.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Douanes   ■ A.P.R.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Douanes wins
1
A.P.R. wins
DateGameScore
07/05/24A.P.R. v Douanes66-61
Douaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/24AMonastir69-75
09/05/24ARivers Hoopers56-54
07/05/24AA.P.R.61-66
05/05/24HMonastir76-59
04/05/24HRivers Hoopers68-77
27/05/23AAl Ahly65-80
24/05/23APetro Atletico92-86
21/05/23HFerroviario Beira93-73
21/03/23AMonastir76-60
18/03/23AKwara Falcons75-68
A.P.R.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/24ARivers Hoopers71-78 OT
09/05/24HMonastir70-83
07/05/24HDouanes66-61
05/05/24HRivers Hoopers82-86
04/05/24AMonastir89-84 OT
22/12/09AASB Mazembe92-80
20/12/09APrimeiro d Agosto84-98
19/12/09AInter Club99-80
17/12/09HPetro Atletico69-84
14/12/09AKano Pillars92-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Douanes
BAL 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeLW50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game66.072.062.0
Allowed / game66.268.065.0
Point differential-0.2+4.0-3.0
Avg total132.2140.0127.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
A.P.R.
BAL 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game75.672.780.0
Allowed / game78.476.781.0
Point differential-2.8-4.0-1.0
Avg total154.0149.3161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %40%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Ahly65183%90.778.3+12.3
2 FUS Rabat (Mar)54180%71.259.0+12.2
3 Rivers Hoopers64267%73.568.8+4.7
4 Petro Atletico53260%72.068.0+4.0
5 Al Ahly Benghazi63350%89.583.0+6.5
6 Monastir63350%72.875.0-2.2
7 Bangui63350%84.888.2-3.3
8 Douanes52340%66.066.2-0.2
9 A.P.R.52340%75.678.4-2.8
10 Dynamo31233%28.737.7-9.0
11 Cape Town51420%75.686.4-10.8
12 City Oilers61517%78.093.5-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Douanes2321191679
A.P.R.181018854
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