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Drexel W vs Marist W Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Projected 74-59
Projected total 132.4
Final 62-47
17-14 16-12 17-11 12-10
Position#199
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Drexel W 🏆
USA
Vs
90%
■ DREX 90%■ MARI 10%
Pythia win probability
Marist W
USA
Position#317
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA Women
Women2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

On 2 November 2026 the NCAA Women's matchup between Drexel W and Marist W sees Drexel W as the clear favourite, the Pythia model rating them 90% to win against Marist's 10%. The projected score is 74-59, with 132.4 total points, and the model assigns a 90% probability that Drexel covers the spread. Drexel's last five games include two wins and three losses, with recent results of a 67-69 loss to St. Bonaventure W on 19 March 2026, a 49-53 loss to Hofstra W on 14 March 2026, and a 68-53 win over Elon W on 13 March 2026. Marist's last five games record one win and four losses, including a 55-64 loss to Manhattan W on 5 March 2026, a 57-67 loss to Siena W on 28 February 2026, and a 48-45 win over St. Peters W on 26 February 2026. Their head-to-head history shows one meeting, with Drexel winning 71-61 on 7 November 2025. The overtime probability is 2%. The game ends with Drexel's decisive victory, 74-59.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Drexel W winWon
90.5%fair 1.11
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Marist W winLost
9.5%fair 10.52
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Drexel WUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Elon W
#199
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H13/02
NCAA Women
Hampton W
#299
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A21/02
NCAA Women
William & Mary W
#191
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A22/02
NCAA Women
Northeastern W
#336
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H27/02
NCAA Women
N. Carolina A&T W
#241
W
65-63 OT
65
63
+2
H01/03
NCAA Women
Hofstra W
#294
W
70-56
70
56
+14
A05/03
NCAA Women
Towson Tigers W
#175
L
58-74
58
74
-16
A07/03
NCAA Women
Elon W
#199
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H14/03
NCAA Women
Hofstra W
#294
L
49-53 OT
49
53
-4
H14/03
NCAA Women
St. Bonaventure W
#195
L
67-69 OT
67
69
-2
A19/03
NCAA Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-8
16-14
22-14
15-23
15-12
9-12
9-14
17-9
15-15
8-17
20-19
20-10
18-18
13-13
25-11
16-19
14-12
4-16
20-20
20-10
24-2
15-15
21-21
10-18
13-14
13-20
14-18
18-22
20-12
17-20
11-11
20-10
11-14
11-5
12-12
10-13
13-9
16-16
21-17
9-17
122.6Avg total
63.0Scored
59.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)63.059.6122.6+3.470%
Last 5 (5)62.461.0123.4+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)61.571.5133.0-10.00%
vs Similar (8)62.059.2121.2+2.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)64.054.8118.8+9.275%
This opponent (Marist W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Marist WUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canisius W
#353
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H29/01
NCAA Women
Niagara W
#373
W
71-52
71
52
+19
H31/01
NCAA Women
Fairfield W
#18
L
48-109
48
109
-61
A06/02
NCAA Women
St. Peters W
#341
W
56-53
56
53
+3
H07/02
NCAA Women
Merrimack Warriors W
#144
L
72-77 OT
72
77
-5
H12/02
NCAA Women
Rider Broncs W
#337
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A14/02
NCAA Women
Manhattan W
#284
L
61-66 OT
61
66
-5
H20/02
NCAA Women
St. Peters W
#341
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A27/02
NCAA Women
Siena W
#243
L
57-67
57
67
-10
A28/02
NCAA Women
Manhattan W
#284
L
55-64
55
64
-9
A05/03
NCAA Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-9
24-9
5-19
21-16
12-13
23-6
20-10
16-23
5-36
17-24
8-27
18-22
14-17
16-8
13-17
13-11
17-12
18-15
8-14
18-20
15-10
9-20
9-16
10-10
19-10
7-23
13-9
20-17
6-17
15-12
11-5
16-11
13-17
12-15
12-19
20-16
10-21
22-22
11-13
12-8
121.3Avg total
57.1Scored
64.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)57.164.2121.3-7.140%
Last 5 (5)52.859.6112.4-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)58.771.9130.7-13.217%
vs Similar (10)57.757.7115.4+0.060%
vs Weaker (2)65.552.5118.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Drexel W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 126Actual: Under 126
Over 126
65.5%
Under 126
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 131Actual: Under 131
Over 131
53.2%
Under 131
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 136Actual: Under 136
Over 136
40.7%
Under 136
59.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Drexel W total 66.5Actual: Drexel W under 66.5
Over 66.5
76.8%
Under 66.5
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drexel W total 70.5Actual: Drexel W under 70.5
Over 70.5
62.9%
Under 70.5
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drexel W total 74.5Actual: Drexel W under 74.5
Over 74.5
46.9%
Under 74.5
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marist W total 56.5Actual: Marist W under 56.5
Over 56.5
58.0%
Under 56.5
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marist W total 60.5Actual: Marist W under 60.5
Over 60.5
42.2%
Under 60.5
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marist W total 64.5Actual: Marist W under 64.5
Over 64.5
27.7%
Under 64.5
72.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Drexel W -3Actual: Drexel W -3
DREX -3
86.9%
MARI +3
13.1%
Best 5 market prices
DREX
No market prices yet.
MARI
No market prices yet.
Spread Drexel W 0Actual: Drexel W 0
DREX 0
90.5%
MARI 0
9.5%
Best 5 market prices
DREX
No market prices yet.
MARI
No market prices yet.
Spread Drexel W +3Actual: Drexel W +3
DREX +3
93.7%
MARI -3
6.3%
Best 5 market prices
DREX
No market prices yet.
MARI
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
Drexel WMarist W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Drexel WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Elon W
#199
W
31-22
31
22
+9
H13/02
NCAA Women
Hampton W
#299
D
24-24
24
24
+0
A21/02
NCAA Women
William & Mary W
#191
L
23-32
23
32
-9
A22/02
NCAA Women
Northeastern W
#336
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H27/02
NCAA Women
N. Carolina A&T W
#241
L
18-28
18
28
-10
H01/03
NCAA Women
Hofstra W
#294
W
39-17
39
17
+22
A05/03
NCAA Women
Towson Tigers W
#175
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A07/03
NCAA Women
Elon W
#199
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H14/03
NCAA Women
Hofstra W
#294
W
22-19
22
19
+3
H14/03
NCAA Women
St. Bonaventure W
#195
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A19/03
NCAA Women
54.4Avg total
28.0Scored
26.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.924.854.7+5.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.422.353.8+9.175%-
Last 30 away (14)28.127.755.8+0.443%-
Last 10 (10)28.026.454.4+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)30.625.456.0+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)27.533.060.5-5.50%-
vs Similar (8)30.124.955.0+5.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)30.024.054.0+6.060%-
This opponent (Marist W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Marist WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canisius W
#353
W
34-18
34
18
+16
H29/01
NCAA Women
Niagara W
#373
W
35-19
35
19
+16
H31/01
NCAA Women
Fairfield W
#18
L
22-60
22
60
-38
A06/02
NCAA Women
St. Peters W
#341
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H07/02
NCAA Women
Merrimack Warriors W
#144
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H12/02
NCAA Women
Rider Broncs W
#337
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A14/02
NCAA Women
Manhattan W
#284
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H20/02
NCAA Women
St. Peters W
#341
L
21-29
21
29
-8
A27/02
NCAA Women
Siena W
#243
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A28/02
NCAA Women
Manhattan W
#284
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A05/03
NCAA Women
60.0Avg total
28.4Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.031.558.5-4.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)28.929.158.0-0.256%-
Last 30 away (14)24.934.359.1-9.429%-
Last 10 (10)28.431.660.0-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)25.633.459.0-7.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)25.434.459.8-9.133%-
vs Similar (10)28.428.957.3-0.550%-
vs Weaker (2)34.518.553.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Drexel W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Drexel W wins
0
Marist W wins
DateGameScore
08/11/25Marist W v Drexel W61-71
Drexel Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/26ASt. Bonaventure W67-69 OT
14/03/26HHofstra W49-53 OT
14/03/26HElon W68-53
07/03/26ATowson Tigers W58-74
05/03/26AHofstra W70-56
01/03/26HN. Carolina A&T W65-63 OT
27/02/26HNortheastern W72-61
22/02/26AWilliam & Mary W63-61
21/02/26AHampton W50-47
13/02/26HElon W68-59
Marist Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/26AManhattan W55-64
28/02/26ASiena W57-67
27/02/26ASt. Peters W48-45
20/02/26HManhattan W61-66 OT
14/02/26ARider Broncs W43-56
12/02/26HMerrimack Warriors W72-77 OT
07/02/26HSt. Peters W56-53
06/02/26AFairfield W48-109
31/01/26HNiagara W71-52
29/01/26HCanisius W60-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Drexel W
NCAA Women 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Marist W
NCAA Women 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMKC W110100%120.040.0+80.0
2 Yale Bulldogs W110100%111.038.0+73.0
3 Louisville W110100%119.047.0+72.0
4 Oakland W110100%104.032.0+72.0
5 South Carolina State W110100%112.042.0+70.0
6 Longwood W110100%96.027.0+69.0
7 Utah Tech W110100%107.039.0+68.0
8 UConn W110100%100.035.0+65.0
9 Detroit Titans W110100%94.030.0+64.0
10 George Washington W110100%84.023.0+61.0
11 Samford Bulldogs W110100%102.042.0+60.0
12 Vanderbilt W110100%112.053.0+59.0
13 St. John's (N.Y.) W110100%95.037.0+58.0
14 Morgan State W110100%103.047.0+56.0
15 Tulane Green Wave W110100%92.038.0+54.0
16 Bryant University W110100%75.025.0+50.0
17 Charleston W110100%92.043.0+49.0
18 Montana State W110100%82.038.0+44.0
19 Ole Miss W110100%80.038.0+42.0
20 East Texas A&M Lions W110100%81.040.0+41.0
21 William & Mary W110100%89.048.0+41.0
22 Georgia W110100%92.053.0+39.0
23 Butler W110100%108.071.0+37.0
24 Boise State W110100%84.048.0+36.0
25 Stony Brook W110100%73.039.0+34.0
26 USC Trojans W110100%100.068.0+32.0
27 Kennesaw State W110100%72.042.0+30.0
28 NC State W110100%80.050.0+30.0
29 Nebraska Cornhuskers W110100%81.054.0+27.0
30 South Florida W110100%80.054.0+26.0
31 Southern Mississippi W110100%85.059.0+26.0
32 Idaho Vandals W110100%71.047.0+24.0
33 Notre Dame W110100%99.075.0+24.0
34 UMass Lowell W110100%77.053.0+24.0
35 Iona W110100%76.054.0+22.0
36 Clemson W110100%68.047.0+21.0
37 UCLA W110100%73.053.0+20.0
38 Washington W110100%79.063.0+16.0
39 Georgia Tech W110100%80.065.0+15.0
40 Stanford Cardinal W110100%84.069.0+15.0
41 Coastal Carolina W110100%68.054.0+14.0
42 Mcneese State W110100%65.053.0+12.0
43 Oklahoma Sooners W110100%91.079.0+12.0
44 Houston Cougars W110100%73.065.0+8.0
45 South Carolina W110100%101.093.0+8.0
46 Wake Forest W110100%65.058.0+7.0
47 Columbia W110100%71.065.0+6.0
48 Old Dominion W110100%62.058.0+4.0
49 Cleveland State W110100%62.061.0+1.0
50 Seattle U Redhawks W110100%63.062.0+1.0
51 Virginia State W110100%63.062.0+1.0
52 New Mexico W1010%62.063.0-1.0
53 Norfolk State W1010%62.063.0-1.0
54 Penn State W1010%61.062.0-1.0
55 Central Michigan W1010%58.062.0-4.0
56 Davidson W1010%65.071.0-6.0
57 South Carolina Upstate W1010%58.065.0-7.0
58 Hampton W1010%65.073.0-8.0
59 Maryland W1010%93.0101.0-8.0
60 North Carolina W1010%79.091.0-12.0
61 Texas A&M-Kingsville W1010%53.065.0-12.0
62 Western Michigan W1010%54.068.0-14.0
63 Arizona Wildcats W1010%69.084.0-15.0
64 Hofstra W1010%65.080.0-15.0
65 UC San Diego Tritons W1010%63.079.0-16.0
66 Lehigh W1010%53.073.0-20.0
67 Radford W1010%47.068.0-21.0
68 Dominican Chargers W1010%54.076.0-22.0
69 St. Anselm Hawks W1010%53.077.0-24.0
70 St. Martin's W1010%47.071.0-24.0
71 Villanova W1010%75.099.0-24.0
72 Furman Paladins W1010%54.080.0-26.0
73 Mississippi Christian W1010%59.085.0-26.0
74 San Jose State W1010%54.081.0-27.0
75 Shorter W1010%42.072.0-30.0
76 Wofford W1010%50.080.0-30.0
77 UNLV Lady Rebels W1010%68.0100.0-32.0
78 Molloy W1010%39.073.0-34.0
79 Bushnell W1010%48.084.0-36.0
80 Tennessee Tech W1010%71.0108.0-37.0
81 West Georgia W1010%53.092.0-39.0
82 Chowan W1010%48.089.0-41.0
83 Oklahoma Christian W1010%40.081.0-41.0
84 Alcorn State W1010%38.080.0-42.0
85 Black Hills W1010%38.082.0-44.0
86 Berry Vikings W1010%43.092.0-49.0
87 MIT Engineers W1010%25.075.0-50.0
88 Texas W1010%38.092.0-54.0
89 Washington Adventist W1010%47.0103.0-56.0
90 Lafayette W1010%37.095.0-58.0
91 Lipscomb Bisons W1010%53.0112.0-59.0
92 Montevallo Falcons W1010%42.0102.0-60.0
93 District of Columbia W1010%23.084.0-61.0
94 Michigan-Dearborn W1010%30.094.0-64.0
95 Cornell W1010%35.0100.0-65.0
96 Life Pacific W1010%39.0107.0-68.0
97 Apprentice Builders W1010%27.096.0-69.0
98 Trinity College of Jacksonville W1010%42.0112.0-70.0
99 Bellarmine W1010%47.0119.0-72.0
100 Cleary University W1010%32.0104.0-72.0
101 Elms College W1010%38.0111.0-73.0
102 Baker Wildcats W1010%40.0120.0-80.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 102 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Drexel W1716171262
Marist W1412111047
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