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Drina vs Mrkonjic Grad Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Projected 80-75
Projected total 155.7
Final 99-72
18-20 29-24 21-11 31-17
Position#10
Record1-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game83.0
Drina 🏆
Bosnia-and-Herzegovina
Vs
67%
33%
■ DRIN 67%■ MRKO 33%
Pythia win probability
Mrkonjic Grad
Bosnia-and-Herzegovina
Position#14
Record1-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game83.2
Bosnia-and-HerzegovinaPrvenstvo BiHRound 6· Zvornik Recreational Sports Center
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

On 8 November 2026 the Prvenstvo BiH contest pits Drina against Mrkonjic Grad, with the model favouring Drina and predicting a 67% chance of a home win and 33% for the visitors, a projected 80-75 score and a total of 155.7 points; the home line of -3.5 carries a 56% probability of covering, while the over on the 156.5 line has a 47% chance, and a 5% overtime probability is noted. Drina enters the game with a 1-4 record from five season games, scoring 72.6 points per game and allowing 83.0, while Mrkonjic Grad is likewise 1-4, 72.8 points per game and 83.2 allowed, the two clubs occupying 11th and 12th place respectively. At home Drina has a 1-2 record, 77.7 points scored and 80.3 allowed, and its last five games include a 68-70 loss to Leotar Trebinje, a 57-87 defeat to Siroki Brijeg, and a 89-83 win over Slavija. Mrkonjic Grad's road record is 0-2, 76.5 points scored and 94.5 allowed, with recent outings of a 71-90 loss to Siroki Brijeg, a 76-98 defeat to Slavija, and a 76-66 victory over Gradina Tesanj. The two sides have met once before, with the most recent encounter recorded as a 75-80 loss for Mrkonjic Grad.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Drina winWon
66.6%fair 1.50
Best odds1.57
Implied59.3%
Edge+7.4pp
Mrkonjic Grad winLost
33.4%fair 3.00
Best odds2.25
Implied40.7%
Edge-7.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DrinaBosnia-and-HerzegovinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDrina
Date
Competition
Igman
#5
L
76-88
76
88
-12
45avg 54
H03/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Gradina Tesanj
#11
L
73-87
73
87
-14
52avg 54
A11/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Slavija
#3
W
89-83
89
83
+6
75avg 54
H17/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Siroki Brijeg
#2
L
57-87
57
87
-30
44avg 54
A25/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Leotar Trebinje
#6
L
68-70
68
70
-2
no box
H01/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
14-27
25-22
14-17
19-19
17-31
20-20
17-17
30-13
16-21
25-19
18-30
13-24
19-13
16-23
9-27
12-16
21-15
22-29
13-10
155.6Avg total
72.6Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)72.683.0155.6-10.420%
Season at home (3)77.780.3158.0-2.733%
Season away (2)65.087.0152.0-22.00%
Last 10 (5)72.683.0155.6-10.420%
Last 5 (5)72.683.0155.6-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.086.0160.0-12.033%
vs Similar (2)70.578.5149.0-8.00%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Mrkonjic Grad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mrkonjic GradBosnia-and-HerzegovinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGrad
Date
Competition
Borac Banja Luka
#1
L
74-83
74
83
-9
66avg 64
H22/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Orlovik
#6
W
79-75 OT
79
75
+4
48avg 64
A29/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Radnicki Gorazde
#15
L
61-68
61
68
-7
56avg 64
H05/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Promo
#12
W
87-83
87
83
+4
81avg 64
A11/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Leotar Trebinje
#8
W
76-70
76
70
+6
71avg 64
H18/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Basket Zivinice
#1
L
64-71
64
71
-7
50avg 64
H03/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Igman
#5
L
77-91
77
91
-14
63avg 64
A10/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Gradina Tesanj
#11
W
76-66
76
66
+10
69avg 64
H18/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Slavija
#3
L
76-98
76
98
-22
63avg 64
A24/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Siroki Brijeg
#2
L
71-90
71
90
-19
57avg 64
H28/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
14-19
23-23
22-17
29-12
14-15
9-19
14-20
24-15
15-13
12-19
10-21
18-18
23-21
17-24
29-20
16-21
16-13
18-17
26-19
12-12
22-19
19-22
11-18
14-27
15-25
16-16
32-23
20-16
15-19
18-17
23-14
30-27
14-31
13-23
19-17
16-15
19-30
9-30
27-15
153.6Avg total
74.1Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)72.883.2156.0-10.420%
Season at home (3)70.375.7146.0-5.333%
Season away (2)76.594.5171.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)74.179.5153.6-5.440%
Last 5 (5)72.883.2156.0-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)73.986.7160.5-12.823%
vs Similar (8)74.574.1148.6+0.450%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Drina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 151.5Actual: Over 151.5
Over 151.5
59.4%
Under 151.5
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 156.75 · main lineActual: Over 156.75
Over 156.75
47.3%
@ 1.79-2.8pp
Under 156.75
52.7%
@ 1.80+2.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.79
Under
1xBet
1.80
Over/Under 161.5Actual: Over 161.5
Over 161.5
35.7%
Under 161.5
64.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Drina total 76.5Actual: Drina over 76.5
Over 76.5
64.4%
@ 1.42+3.2pp
Under 76.5
35.6%
@ 2.24-3.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.42
Under
1xBet
2.24
Drina total 80.5 · main lineActual: Drina over 80.5
Over 80.5
49.1%
@ 1.85+0.2pp
Under 80.5
50.9%
@ 1.85-0.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.81
Under
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.65
Drina total 84.5Actual: Drina over 84.5
Over 84.5
33.8%
@ 2.54-0.7pp
Under 84.5
66.2%
@ 1.34+0.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.54
Under
1xBet
1.34
Mrkonjic Grad total 72.5Actual: Mrkonjic Grad under 72.5
Over 72.5
60.7%
@ 1.37-3.4pp
Under 72.5
39.3%
@ 2.45+3.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.37
Under
1xBet
2.45
Mrkonjic Grad total 76.5 · main lineActual: Mrkonjic Grad under 76.5
Over 76.5
45.4%
@ 1.80-5.4pp
Under 76.5
54.6%
@ 1.91+5.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
1xBet
1.70
Under
BetVictor
1.91
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.75
Mrkonjic Grad total 80.5Actual: Mrkonjic Grad under 80.5
Over 80.5
30.9%
@ 2.33-6.7pp
Under 80.5
69.1%
@ 1.40+6.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.33
Under
1xBet
1.40

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Drina -6.5Actual: Drina -6.5
DRIN -6.5
44.8%
@ 2.27+5.8pp
MRKO +6.5
55.2%
@ 1.45-5.8pp
Best 5 market prices
DRIN
1xBet
2.27
MRKO
1xBet
1.45
Spread Drina -3.5 · main lineActual: Drina -3.5
DRIN -3.5
56.4%
@ 1.88+6.8pp
MRKO +3.5
43.6%
@ 1.83-6.8pp
Best 5 market prices
DRIN
BetVictor
1.88
Pinnacle
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.80
MRKO
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
Pinnacle
1.82
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.78
Spread Drina -0.5Actual: Drina -0.5
DRIN -0.5
66.6%
MRKO +0.5
33.4%
Best 5 market prices
DRIN
No market prices yet.
MRKO
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: -6.0-6.0Q4: +2.9+2.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: -6.0-6.0Q4: +2.9+2.9
DrinaMrkonjic Grad
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DrinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igman
#5
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H03/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Gradina Tesanj
#11
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A11/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Slavija
#3
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H17/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Siroki Brijeg
#2
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A25/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Leotar Trebinje
#6
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H01/11
Prvenstvo BiH
77.0Avg total
36.8Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 78
Last 30 (5)36.840.277.0-3.440%60%
Last 30 at home (3)38.738.076.7+0.767%67%
Last 30 away (2)34.043.577.5-9.50%50%
Last 10 (5)36.840.277.0-3.440%60%
Last 5 (5)36.840.277.0-3.440%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.340.078.3-1.733%67%
vs Similar (2)34.540.575.0-6.050%50%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Mrkonjic Grad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mrkonjic GradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Borac Banja Luka
#1
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H22/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Orlovik
#6
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A29/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Radnicki Gorazde
#15
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H05/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Promo
#12
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A11/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Leotar Trebinje
#8
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H18/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Basket Zivinice
#1
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H03/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Igman
#5
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A10/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Gradina Tesanj
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H18/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Slavija
#3
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A24/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Siroki Brijeg
#2
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H28/10
Prvenstvo BiH
75.3Avg total
36.1Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 78
Last 30 (30)37.041.478.4-4.437%50%
Last 30 at home (15)36.137.974.0-1.740%40%
Last 30 away (15)37.844.982.7-7.133%60%
Last 10 (10)36.139.275.3-3.140%40%
Last 5 (5)35.444.279.6-8.820%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)36.443.579.8-7.127%55%
vs Similar (8)38.635.874.4+2.962%38%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Drina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Drina win
DRIN win
no forecast
@ 1.65
MRKO win
no forecast
@ 2.20
1st half Spread Drina -1.5 · main lineActual: Drina -1.5
DRIN -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
MRKO +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 78 · main lineActual: Over 78
Over
no forecast
@ 1.81
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Drina (regulation)
DRIN
no forecast
@ 1.70
Draw
no forecast
@ 16.50
MRKO
no forecast
@ 2.22

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
DRIN win + total 156.5
🔒 Pro
MRKO win + total 156.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: DRIN leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Mrkonjic Grad under 82.575.4%1.29
1xBet
1.29		----+6.8ppWon
Mrkonjic Grad under 81.572.4%1.34
1xBet
1.34		----+6.7ppWon
Drina +2.572.8%1.32
1xBet
1.32		----+5.4ppWon
Drina over 74.571.4%1.31
1xBet
1.31		----+3.9ppWon
Overtime: no95.1%1.03
Betano
1.03		----+3.8pp-
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Drinatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Drina: 64.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.5 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.815.8
48.1%
53.5%31.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.7
32.0%
32.6%23.2
🏀 Free throws13.89.2
67.3%
67.8%9.2
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mrkonjic Gradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mrkonjic Grad: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.7
51.6%
53.5%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.46.9
28.3%
32.6%20.7
🏀 Free throws19.313.1
67.9%
67.8%13.1
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Drina
LLWLL
Mrkonjic Grad
LLWLLWWLWL
#10
League position
#14
-15.5
Net rating
-6.1
81.0
Offensive rating
86.3
96.5
Defensive rating
92.4
48.0%
Effective FG%
48.0%
58.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
20.5%
Turnover %
14.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.0%
3-point %
28.3%
70.2%
Assist %
52.6%
20%
Form (last 5/10)
40%

Profile

Offence81.0 · 86.3Defence96.5 · 92.4Shooting48.0% · 48.0%3-point %32.0% · 28.3%Ball care20.5% · 14.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.31Form (last 5/10)20% · 40%
■ Drina   ■ Mrkonjic Grad
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Drina wins
0
Mrkonjic Grad wins
No previous meetings.
Drinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26HLeotar Trebinje68-70
25/10/26ASiroki Brijeg57-87
17/10/26HSlavija89-83
11/10/26AGradina Tesanj73-87
03/10/26HIgman76-88
Mrkonjic Gradlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HSiroki Brijeg71-90
24/10/26ASlavija76-98
18/10/26HGradina Tesanj76-66
10/10/26AIgman77-91
03/10/26HBasket Zivinice64-71
18/04/26HLeotar Trebinje76-70
11/04/26APromo87-83
05/04/26HRadnicki Gorazde61-68
29/03/26AOrlovik79-75 OT
22/03/26HBorac Banja Luka74-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Drina
Prvenstvo BiH 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Losses (last 5)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game72.677.765.0
Allowed / game83.080.387.0
Point differential-10.4-2.7-22.0
Avg total155.6158.0152.0
Over 156.7560%67%50%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mrkonjic Grad
Prvenstvo BiH 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game72.870.376.5
Allowed / game83.275.794.5
Point differential-10.4-5.3-18.0
Avg total156.0146.0171.0
Over 156.7560%33%100%
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Basket Zivinice65183%76.271.5+4.7
2 Siroki Brijeg54180%85.272.4+12.8
3 Leotar Trebinje54180%72.671.0+1.6
4 Slavija64267%85.581.8+3.7
5 Sloboda53260%88.478.0+10.4
6 Igman53260%88.887.6+1.2
7 Orlovik53260%82.883.2-0.4
8 Borac Banja Luka63350%79.775.5+4.2
9 Zrinjski Mostar63350%77.573.7+3.8
10 Gradina Tesanj62433%75.080.3-5.3
11 Drina51420%72.683.0-10.4
12 Mrkonjic Grad51420%72.883.2-10.4
13 Promo51420%66.077.4-11.4
14 Radnicki Gorazde61517%81.887.3-5.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Drina1829213199
Mrkonjic Grad2024111772
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