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Duga W vs Buducnost W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 64-77
12-14 26-20 16-16 10-27
Position#8
Record2-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game64.3
Allowed / game66.7
Duga W
vs
Buducnost W 🏆
Position#2
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game52.3
EuropeWABA League WomenRound 4· Gimnazija
Women2023-24
Meetings · Duga W v Buducnost W
25 Oct 2023
DUGA64
BUDU77
12 Oct 2022
DUGA63
BUDU77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duga W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buducnost W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Duga WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Novosadska Novi Sad W
#9
L
62-71
62
71
-9
no box
A11/03
1. ZLS Women
Lavovi W
#9
W
63-50
63
50
+13
no box
A15/03
WABA League Women
Orlovi W
#6
L
67-70
67
70
-3
no box
H21/03
WABA League Women
Topolchanka W
#10
W
72-67
72
67
+5
55avg 58
A30/09
1. ZLS Women
Banovici W
#11
W
61-54
61
54
+7
42avg 58
A04/10
WABA League Women
Novosadska Novi Sad W
#7
W
77-64
77
64
+13
71avg 58
H08/10
1. ZLS Women
Niksic 1995 W
#12
W
78-73
78
73
+5
73avg 58
H11/10
WABA League Women
Spartak Subotica W
#9
W
80-79 OT
80
79
+1
no box
A16/10
1. ZLS Women
Montana 2003 W
#6
L
54-73
54
73
-19
45avg 58
H18/10
WABA League Women
Vrbas W
#12
W
65-60
65
60
+5
62avg 58
H22/10
1. ZLS Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
10-20
25-18
13-14
14-16
19-7
21-18
9-9
25-18
14-12
10-19
18-21
22-19
13-15
19-10
18-23
20-8
8-18
18-16
15-12
24-18
17-14
17-15
19-17
22-20
16-15
20-26
20-12
14-20
23-22
18-14
18-17
13-24
18-16
11-19
12-14
14-14
18-22
23-9
10-15
134.0Avg total
67.9Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)64.366.7131.0-2.367%
Season at home (2)66.073.0139.0-7.050%
Season away (1)61.054.0115.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)67.966.1134.0+1.870%
Last 5 (5)70.869.8140.6+1.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)64.177.6141.7-13.443%
vs Similar (2)63.565.5129.0-2.050%
vs Weaker (14)67.861.2129.0+6.671%
This opponent (Buducnost W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Buducnost WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lavovi W
#9
W
73-46
73
46
+27
no box
A18/02
WABA League Women
Cinkarna Celje W
#2
W
72-60
72
60
+12
no box
H25/02
WABA League Women
Vojvodina 021 W
#3
W
67-43
67
43
+24
no box
A02/03
WABA League Women
Orlovi W
#6
W
116-53
116
53
+63
no box
A08/03
WABA League Women
Orlovi W
#6
W
97-63
97
63
+34
no box
H09/03
WABA League Women
Montana 2003 W
#4
W
73-57
73
57
+16
no box
H25/03
WABA League Women
Cinkarna Celje W
#2
L
64-66
64
66
-2
no box
H26/03
WABA League Women
Montana 2003 W
#6
W
82-59
82
59
+23
71avg 83
A04/10
WABA League Women
Sloga Pozega W
#4
W
72-45
72
45
+27
66avg 83
H12/10
WABA League Women
Niksic 1995 W
#12
W
112-53
112
53
+59
112avg 83
A18/10
WABA League Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
15-11
20-12
18-9
20-13
12-18
19-15
21-14
21-9
14-11
12-9
20-14
38-17
28-17
27-9
23-10
24-10
28-10
27-24
18-19
18-10
25-20
13-16
17-11
17-16
15-21
16-6
16-23
18-14
17-22
25-12
22-11
18-8
13-11
25-21
16-5
23-6
26-20
30-13
33-14
137.3Avg total
82.8Scored
54.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.752.3141.0+36.3100%
Season at home (1)72.045.0117.0+27.0100%
Season away (2)97.056.0153.0+41.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.854.5137.3+28.390%
Last 5 (5)80.656.0136.6+24.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)65.062.3127.3+2.733%
vs Similar (2)60.558.5119.0+2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)78.150.1128.2+28.0100%
This opponent (Duga W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +10.0+10.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +7.7+7.7Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +7.4+7.4
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +10.0+10.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +7.7+7.7Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +7.4+7.4
Duga WBuducnost W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Duga WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Novosadska Novi Sad W
#9
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A11/03
1. ZLS Women
Lavovi W
#9
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A15/03
WABA League Women
Orlovi W
#6
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H21/03
WABA League Women
Topolchanka W
#10
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A30/09
1. ZLS Women
Banovici W
#11
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A04/10
WABA League Women
Novosadska Novi Sad W
#7
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H08/10
1. ZLS Women
Niksic 1995 W
#12
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H11/10
WABA League Women
Spartak Subotica W
#9
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A16/10
1. ZLS Women
Montana 2003 W
#6
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H18/10
WABA League Women
Vrbas W
#12
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H22/10
1. ZLS Women
67.5Avg total
33.8Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.136.471.6-1.348%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.537.673.1-2.150%-
Last 30 away (13)34.735.069.7-0.346%-
Last 10 (10)33.833.767.5+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)35.837.072.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)32.740.072.7-7.329%-
vs Similar (2)31.532.564.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker (13)38.333.271.5+5.269%-
This opponent (Buducnost W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Buducnost WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lavovi W
#9
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A18/02
WABA League Women
Cinkarna Celje W
#2
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H25/02
WABA League Women
Vojvodina 021 W
#3
W
35-20
35
20
+15
A02/03
WABA League Women
Orlovi W
#6
W
66-34
66
34
+32
A08/03
WABA League Women
Orlovi W
#6
W
52-20
52
20
+32
H09/03
WABA League Women
Montana 2003 W
#4
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H25/03
WABA League Women
Cinkarna Celje W
#2
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H26/03
WABA League Women
Montana 2003 W
#6
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A04/10
WABA League Women
Sloga Pozega W
#4
W
31-19
31
19
+12
H12/10
WABA League Women
Niksic 1995 W
#12
W
49-26
49
26
+23
A18/10
WABA League Women
68.8Avg total
41.0Scored
27.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)40.528.669.1+11.979%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.626.765.3+11.988%-
Last 30 away (12)43.031.174.1+11.967%-
Last 10 (10)41.027.868.8+13.280%-
Last 5 (5)38.029.667.6+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.034.066.0-2.033%-
vs Similar (2)30.026.056.0+4.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)42.528.170.6+14.487%-
This opponent (Duga W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Duga Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Duga W: 66.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.0 points a game
57%
25%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.818.4
46.2%
47.4%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.65.0
24.3%
28.9%15.0
🏀 Free throws24.214.8
61.2%
68.3%14.8
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Buducnost Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost W: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.0 points a game
57%
25%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.327.0
50.6%
47.4%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.3
31.4%
28.9%22.0
🏀 Free throws17.711.3
64.2%
68.3%11.3
They take 76.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/3 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Duga W
WLWWWWWLWL
Buducnost W
WWWLWWWWWW
#8
League position
#2
+3.2
Net rating
+42.9
88.3
Offensive rating
107.1
85.1
Defensive rating
64.2
42.9%
Effective FG%
49.6%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
34.0%
22.1%
Turnover %
15.3%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
36.4%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.23
24.3%
3-point %
31.4%
63.2%
Assist %
61.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence88.3 · 107.1Defence85.1 · 64.2Shooting42.9% · 49.6%3-point %24.3% · 31.4%Ball care22.1% · 15.3%Off. rebounds31.3% · 36.4%Free throws0.40 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Duga W   ■ Buducnost W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Duga W wins
2
Buducnost W wins
DateGameScore
17/11/22Buducnost W v Duga W79-55
12/10/22Duga W v Buducnost W63-77
Duga Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23HVrbas W65-60
18/10/23HMontana 2003 W54-73
16/10/23ASpartak Subotica W80-79 OT
11/10/23HNiksic 1995 W78-73
08/10/23HNovosadska Novi Sad W77-64
04/10/23ABanovici W61-54
30/09/23ATopolchanka W72-67
21/03/23HOrlovi W67-70
15/03/23ALavovi W63-50
11/03/23ANovosadska Novi Sad W62-71
Buducnost Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/23ANiksic 1995 W112-53
12/10/23HSloga Pozega W72-45
04/10/23AMontana 2003 W82-59
26/03/23HCinkarna Celje W64-66
25/03/23HMontana 2003 W73-57
09/03/23HOrlovi W97-63
08/03/23AOrlovi W116-53
02/03/23AVojvodina 021 W67-43
25/02/23HCinkarna Celje W72-60
18/02/23ALavovi W73-46

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duga W
WABA League Women 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game64.366.061.0
Allowed / game66.773.054.0
Point differential-2.3-7.0+7.0
Avg total131.0139.0115.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Buducnost W
WABA League Women 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.772.097.0
Allowed / game52.345.056.0
Point differential+36.3+27.0+41.0
Avg total141.0117.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cinkarna Celje W440100%110.560.0+50.5
2 Buducnost W330100%88.752.3+36.3
3 Montana 2003 W43175%81.562.8+18.8
4 Orlovi W43175%82.271.2+11.0
5 Partizan W32167%78.064.7+13.3
6 Duga W32167%64.366.7-2.3
7 Sloga Pozega W42250%76.257.8+18.5
8 UBI Graz W42250%66.072.8-6.8
9 Lavovi W41325%52.274.0-21.8
10 Banovici W41325%55.288.8-33.5
11 Niksic 1995 W4040%61.590.8-29.2
12 Plamen Pozega W5050%62.096.4-34.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Duga W1226161064
Buducnost W1420162777
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