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Duga W vs Topolchanka W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 74-61
17-17 18-12 19-12 20-20
Position#8
Record5-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game66.5
Allowed / game76.9
vs
Position#10
Record3-8
FormWWLLL
Points / game65.3
Allowed / game74.6
Serbia1. ZLS WomenRound 12· Gimnazija
Women2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duga W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Topolchanka W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Duga WSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Banovici W
#11
W
83-66
83
66
+17
76avg 56
H20/11
WABA League Women
ZKK Kraljevo W
#4
L
51-92
51
92
-41
37avg 56
A25/11
1. ZLS Women
Mega MIS W
#1
L
45-87
45
87
-42
41avg 56
H03/12
1. ZLS Women
Montana 2003 W
#6
L
57-92
57
92
-35
39avg 56
A06/12
WABA League Women
Partizan W
#3
L
74-100
74
100
-26
73avg 56
A09/12
1. ZLS Women
Buducnost W
#2
L
46-93
46
93
-47
no box
A14/12
WABA League Women
Sloga Pozega W
#6
L
74-79 OT
74
79
-5
no box
H17/12
1. ZLS Women
Sloga Pozega W
#4
W
70-51
70
51
+19
65avg 56
H20/12
WABA League Women
Crvena zvezda W
#2
L
58-68
58
68
-10
53avg 56
A23/12
1. ZLS Women
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
66-94
66
94
-28
61avg 56
A09/01
WABA League Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
16-19
24-14
25-13
16-21
9-25
6-25
20-21
20-11
9-29
8-22
8-25
7-15
17-19
13-30
20-28
13-21
17-16
23-31
21-32
22-25
2-19
11-29
11-20
15-19
19-13
10-13
20-19
21-19
13-13
13-8
23-11
18-17
14-18
13-12
13-21
18-23
8-29
25-23
15-19
144.6Avg total
62.4Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)66.576.9143.5-10.445%
Season at home (5)65.275.8141.0-10.640%
Season away (6)67.777.8145.5-10.250%
Last 10 (10)62.482.2144.6-19.820%
Last 5 (5)62.877.0139.8-14.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)62.282.1144.2-19.921%
vs Similar ◀ (2)71.564.0135.5+7.5100%
vs Weaker (9)67.962.4130.3+5.467%
This opponent (Topolchanka W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Topolchanka WSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Spartak Subotica W
#9
W
88-60
88
60
+28
96avg 58
H07/10
1. ZLS Women
Student Nis W
#11
L
51-60
51
60
-9
41avg 58
A15/10
1. ZLS Women
ZKK Kraljevo W
#4
L
82-84 OT
82
84
-2
no box
H21/10
1. ZLS Women
Partizan W
#3
L
78-95
78
95
-17
73avg 58
A28/10
1. ZLS Women
Crvena zvezda W
#2
L
50-98
50
98
-48
46avg 58
H19/11
1. ZLS Women
Novosadska Novi Sad W
#7
W
52-49
52
49
+3
39avg 58
A25/11
1. ZLS Women
Vrbas W
#12
W
74-61
74
61
+13
67avg 58
H03/12
1. ZLS Women
Vojvodina 021 W
#5
L
56-72
56
72
-16
42avg 58
A09/12
1. ZLS Women
Mega MIS W
#1
L
60-93
60
93
-33
49avg 58
H16/12
1. ZLS Women
Sloga Pozega W
#6
L
60-77
60
77
-17
59avg 58
A23/12
1. ZLS Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
22-19
24-11
22-15
12-12
10-15
23-11
6-22
18-18
16-19
22-17
15-17
15-22
24-20
19-27
20-26
17-27
22-18
4-27
7-26
17-11
15-12
6-12
14-14
17-10
21-13
15-27
21-11
17-17
15-18
13-18
11-19
16-21
16-23
15-28
13-21
24-14
14-19
14-19
8-25
140.0Avg total
65.1Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)65.374.6139.9-9.427%
Season at home (6)70.278.0148.2-7.833%
Season away (5)59.470.6130.0-11.220%
Last 10 (10)65.174.9140.0-9.830%
Last 5 (5)60.470.4130.8-10.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)65.878.5144.2-12.825%
vs Similar ◀ (2)59.066.0125.0-7.00%
vs Weaker (1)74.061.0135.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Duga W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -7.6-7.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -6.1-6.1Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -5.9-5.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -7.6-7.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -6.1-6.1Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -5.9-5.9
Duga WTopolchanka W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Duga WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Banovici W
#11
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H20/11
WABA League Women
ZKK Kraljevo W
#4
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A25/11
1. ZLS Women
Mega MIS W
#1
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H03/12
1. ZLS Women
Montana 2003 W
#6
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A06/12
WABA League Women
Partizan W
#3
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A09/12
1. ZLS Women
Buducnost W
#2
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A14/12
WABA League Women
Sloga Pozega W
#6
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H17/12
1. ZLS Women
Sloga Pozega W
#4
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H20/12
WABA League Women
Crvena zvezda W
#2
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A23/12
1. ZLS Women
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
26-52
26
52
-26
A09/01
WABA League Women
68.3Avg total
29.2Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.337.368.6-5.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.037.570.5-4.547%-
Last 30 away (15)29.737.066.7-7.333%-
Last 10 (10)29.239.168.3-9.920%-
Last 5 (5)30.039.069.0-9.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)29.539.869.4-10.326%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)38.037.075.0+1.0100%-
vs Weaker (9)33.731.965.6+1.856%-
This opponent (Topolchanka W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Topolchanka WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Subotica W
#9
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H07/10
1. ZLS Women
Student Nis W
#11
L
22-27
22
27
-5
A15/10
1. ZLS Women
ZKK Kraljevo W
#4
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H21/10
1. ZLS Women
Partizan W
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A28/10
1. ZLS Women
Crvena zvezda W
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H19/11
1. ZLS Women
Novosadska Novi Sad W
#7
W
32-23
32
23
+9
A25/11
1. ZLS Women
Vrbas W
#12
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H03/12
1. ZLS Women
Vojvodina 021 W
#5
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A09/12
1. ZLS Women
Mega MIS W
#1
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H16/12
1. ZLS Women
Sloga Pozega W
#6
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A23/12
1. ZLS Women
69.1Avg total
34.8Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)34.734.469.1+0.436%-
Last 30 at home (6)36.536.372.8+0.233%-
Last 30 away (5)32.632.064.6+0.640%-
Last 10 (10)34.834.369.1+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)34.431.666.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.036.672.6-0.638%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)28.031.059.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker (1)38.023.061.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Duga W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Duga Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Duga W: 57.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.4 points a game
56%
25%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.614.5
49.0%
47.4%29.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.55.2
28.1%
29.7%15.6
🏀 Free throws18.413.0
70.7%
69.1%13.0
They take 48.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Topolchanka Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Topolchanka W: 62.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.4 points a game
56%
25%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.717.0
41.8%
47.4%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.35.7
34.7%
29.7%17.0
🏀 Free throws17.211.1
64.5%
69.1%11.1
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Duga W
LLWLLLLLLW
Topolchanka W
LLLWWLLLLW
#8
League position
#10
-23.6
Net rating
-14.6
82.9
Offensive rating
81.0
106.5
Defensive rating
95.6
46.4%
Effective FG%
44.7%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
31.1%
Turnover %
25.8%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.30
28.1%
3-point %
34.7%
57.9%
Assist %
65.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence82.9 · 81.0Defence106.5 · 95.6Shooting46.4% · 44.7%3-point %28.1% · 34.7%Ball care31.1% · 25.8%Off. rebounds29.0% · 24.2%Free throws0.38 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Duga W   ■ Topolchanka W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Duga W wins
0
Topolchanka W wins
DateGameScore
30/09/23Topolchanka W v Duga W67-72
Duga Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/24ACinkarna Celje W66-94
23/12/23ACrvena zvezda W58-68
20/12/23HSloga Pozega W70-51
17/12/23HSloga Pozega W74-79 OT
14/12/23ABuducnost W46-93
09/12/23APartizan W74-100
06/12/23AMontana 2003 W57-92
03/12/23HMega MIS W45-87
25/11/23AZKK Kraljevo W51-92
20/11/23HBanovici W83-66
Topolchanka Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23ASloga Pozega W60-77
16/12/23HMega MIS W60-93
09/12/23AVojvodina 021 W56-72
03/12/23HVrbas W74-61
25/11/23ANovosadska Novi Sad W52-49
19/11/23HCrvena zvezda W50-98
28/10/23APartizan W78-95
21/10/23HZKK Kraljevo W82-84 OT
15/10/23AStudent Nis W51-60
07/10/23HSpartak Subotica W88-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duga W
1. ZLS Women 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL45%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%40%50%
Points / game66.565.267.7
Allowed / game76.975.877.8
Point differential-10.4-10.6-10.2
Avg total143.5141.0145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %18%20%17%
Topolchanka W
1. ZLS Women 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL27%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %27%33%20%
Points / game65.370.259.4
Allowed / game74.678.070.6
Point differential-9.4-7.8-11.2
Avg total139.9148.2130.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mega MIS W12120100%89.358.6+30.8
2 Crvena zvezda W1210283%78.864.9+13.9
3 ZKK Kraljevo W1210283%75.967.8+8.2
4 Partizan W129375%80.870.8+10.0
5 Sloga Pozega W127558%67.064.4+2.6
6 Vojvodina 021 W126650%71.570.2+1.3
7 Duga W115645%66.576.9-10.4
8 Topolchanka W113827%65.374.6-9.4
9 Novosadska Novi Sad W123925%68.172.9-4.8
10 Spartak Subotica W123925%69.876.4-6.6
11 Student Nis W1221017%66.279.7-13.4
12 Vrbas W121118%56.680.4-23.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Duga W1718192074
Topolchanka W1712122061
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