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Duquesne vs IPFW Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 77-73
Projected total 149.1
Final 78-71
36-37 42-34
Position#193
Record-
FormLLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Duquesne 🏆
USA
Vs
64%
36%
■ DUQU 64%■ IPFW 36%
Pythia win probability
IPFW
USA
Position#248
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Duquesne faces IPFW on 3 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model designating Duquesne as the favourite and foreseeing a decisive contest. Duquesne's last five games include two wins and three losses, highlighted by a 79-77 victory over Richmond Spiders at home and a 67-61 win at Rhode Island, while a recent 66-71 loss to VCU Rams away shows the team's struggle on the road. IPFW likewise has two wins and three losses in its most recent five outings, with a 87-81 triumph over IU Indy away and a 70-74 defeat to Wright State at home, and a 56-64 loss to Wisc. Green Bay away. The Pythia model gives Duquesne a 64% chance of winning versus IPFW's 36%, projecting a 77-73 scoreline and a total of 149.1 points. The home line of -10.0 carries a 29% probability of covering, while the over on the 152.5 total has a 41% chance, and there is a 5% likelihood of overtime. The game will hinge on Duquesne's ability to maintain its offensive output against IPFW's recent defensive resilience.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duquesne winWon
64.0%fair 1.56
Best odds1.20
Implied81.4%
Edge-17.4pp
IPFW winLost
36.0%fair 2.78
Best odds5.17
Implied18.6%
Edge+17.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 02 Nov 07:08 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DuquesneUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Washington
#160
W
88-86
88
86
+2
H07/02
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A14/02
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
62-61
62
61
+1
H19/02
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A21/02
NCAA
Davidson
#109
L
56-67
56
67
-11
H26/02
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
76-91
76
91
-15
A01/03
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
L
52-64
52
64
-12
A05/03
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H07/03
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H12/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A13/03
NCAA
1H
2H
40-40
48-46
45-33
33-40
32-28
30-33
39-42
27-36
21-35
35-32
41-39
35-52
24-19
28-45
28-49
51-28
35-28
32-33
29-39
37-32
141.9Avg total
69.0Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.072.9141.9-3.950%
Last 5 (5)68.072.8140.8-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.484.4161.8-7.020%
vs Similar (18)73.475.3148.7-1.944%
vs Weaker (7)87.768.4156.1+19.386%
IPFWUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Robert Morris
#74
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H31/01
NCAA
Youngstown State
#227
L
61-90
61
90
-29
H05/02
NCAA
Wright State
#94
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A08/02
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
L
59-76
59
76
-17
A13/02
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H15/02
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
71-87
71
87
-16
A19/02
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
92-86
92
86
+6
A22/02
NCAA
Wright State
#94
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H26/02
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A28/02
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A04/03
NCAA
1H
2H
35-37
48-34
29-45
32-45
29-43
39-30
23-42
36-34
42-36
41-42
33-42
38-45
43-40
49-46
26-31
44-43
40-43
47-38
22-34
34-30
151.0Avg total
73.0Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.078.0151.0-5.040%
Last 5 (5)75.278.4153.6-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.480.0154.4-5.660%
vs Similar (13)70.275.4145.5-5.238%
vs Weaker (11)87.175.9163.0+11.273%
Over/Under 148Actual: Over 148
Over 148
52.0%
@ 1.41-13.7pp
Under 148
48.0%
@ 2.70+13.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.41
Under
Bet365
2.70
Over/Under 153 · main lineActual: Under 153
Over 153
39.8%
@ 1.88-10.7pp
Under 153
60.2%
@ 1.97+10.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
SBO
1.87
Marathon Be
1.82
Bet365
1.80
Under
Bet365
1.97
Pinnacle
1.92
Marathon Be
1.89
SBO
1.87
Over/Under 158Actual: Under 158
Over 158
28.6%
@ 2.40-10.2pp
Under 158
71.4%
@ 1.52+10.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.40
Under
Bet365
1.52

📊 3. Team Totals

Duquesne total 78Push
Over 78
44.2%
Under 78
55.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Duquesne total 82 · main lineActual: Duquesne under 82
Over 82
28.9%
@ 1.85-21.1pp
Under 82
71.1%
@ 1.85+21.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
Duquesne total 86Actual: Duquesne under 86
Over 86
16.9%
Under 86
83.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IPFW total 67.5Actual: IPFW over 67.5
Over 67.5
68.4%
@ 1.38+2.9pp
Under 67.5
31.6%
@ 2.62-2.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Under
Betano
2.62
IPFW total 71.5 · main lineActual: IPFW under 71.5
Over 71.5
53.6%
@ 1.89+3.6pp
Under 71.5
46.4%
@ 1.89-3.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.89
BetVictor
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Betano
1.82
Under
Pinnacle
1.89
Betano
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
Bet365
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
IPFW total 75.5Actual: IPFW under 75.5
Over 75.5
38.3%
@ 2.50+2.1pp
Under 75.5
61.7%
@ 1.42-2.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.50
Under
Betano
1.42

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Duquesne -13Actual: IPFW +13
DUQU -13
20.8%
@ 2.50-16.7pp
IPFW +13
79.2%
@ 1.50+16.7pp
Best 5 market prices
DUQU
Bet365
2.50
IPFW
Bet365
1.50
Spread Duquesne -10 · main lineActual: IPFW +10
DUQU -10
29.4%
@ 1.90-21.0pp
IPFW +10
70.6%
@ 1.93+21.0pp
Best 5 market prices
DUQU
Pinnacle
1.90
SBO
1.87
Bet365
1.86
Marathon Be
1.86
IPFW
Pinnacle
1.93
SBO
1.87
Marathon Be
1.85
Bet365
1.80
Spread Duquesne -7Push
DUQU -7
39.8%
@ 1.55-19.9pp
IPFW +7
60.2%
@ 2.30+19.9pp
Best 5 market prices
DUQU
Bet365
1.55
IPFW
Bet365
2.30

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -1.8-1.81st half: -7.1-7.12nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: +2.1+2.1
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -1.8-1.81st half: -7.1-7.12nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: +2.1+2.1
DuquesneIPFW
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DuquesneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Washington
#160
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H07/02
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A14/02
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H19/02
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A21/02
NCAA
Davidson
#109
L
21-35
21
35
-14
H26/02
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A01/03
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
W
24-19
24
19
+5
A05/03
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
28-49
28
49
-21
H07/03
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H12/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A13/03
NCAA
68.6Avg total
33.4Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 72.5
Last 30 (30)35.835.571.2+0.350%60%
Last 30 at home (17)37.335.672.9+1.753%65%
Last 30 away (13)33.835.369.1-1.546%54%
Last 10 (10)33.435.268.6-1.850%50%
Last 5 (5)31.434.866.2-3.460%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.440.877.2-4.420%80%
vs Similar (18)33.335.368.6-2.144%50%
vs Weaker (7)41.732.073.7+9.786%71%
IPFWLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Robert Morris
#74
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H31/01
NCAA
Youngstown State
#227
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H05/02
NCAA
Wright State
#94
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A08/02
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
L
23-42
23
42
-19
A13/02
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H15/02
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A19/02
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Wright State
#94
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H26/02
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A28/02
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A04/03
NCAA
71.5Avg total
32.2Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 72.5
Last 30 (30)36.737.674.3-0.940%67%
Last 30 at home (15)40.735.576.3+5.253%73%
Last 30 away (15)32.739.772.3-7.027%60%
Last 10 (10)32.239.371.5-7.120%50%
Last 5 (5)32.838.070.8-5.220%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.840.874.6-7.020%80%
vs Similar (13)32.436.869.2-4.523%54%
vs Weaker (11)40.837.177.9+3.764%73%
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: IPFW win
DUQU win
no forecast
@ 1.32
IPFW win
no forecast
@ 3.70
1st half Spread Duquesne -5.5 · main lineActual: IPFW +5.5
DUQU -5.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
IPFW +5.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
1st half Over/Under 72.5 · main lineActual: Over 72.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.93
Under
no forecast
@ 1.93
Duquesne 1st half total 39 · main lineActual: Duquesne under 39
Over
no forecast
@ 1.84
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
IPFW 1st half total 33.5 · main lineActual: IPFW over 33.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.93
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half: DUQU + total 72.5
DUQU & over
no forecast
@ 2.70
DUQU & under
no forecast
@ 2.50
1st half: Draw + total 72.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 29.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 26.00
1st half: IPFW + total 72.5
IPFW & over
no forecast
@ 6.75
IPFW & under
no forecast
@ 6.25
1st half Over/Under 71Actual: Over 71
Over
no forecast
@ 1.69
Under
no forecast
@ 2.16
1st half Over/Under 74Actual: Under 74
Over
no forecast
@ 2.12
Under
no forecast
@ 1.72
1st half Spread Duquesne -6.5Actual: IPFW +6.5
DUQU -6.5
no forecast
@ 2.07
IPFW +6.5
no forecast
@ 1.78
1st half Spread Duquesne -4.5Actual: IPFW +4.5
DUQU -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.72
IPFW +4.5
no forecast
@ 2.14
1st half Over/Under 69.5Actual: Over 69.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.55
Under
no forecast
@ 2.50
1st half Over/Under 75.5Actual: Under 75.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.50
Under
no forecast
@ 1.50
1st half Spread Duquesne -7.5Actual: IPFW +7.5
DUQU -7.5
no forecast
@ 2.15
IPFW +7.5
no forecast
@ 1.62
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Duquesne (regulation)
DUQU
no forecast
@ 1.34
Draw
no forecast
@ 23.00
IPFW
no forecast
@ 3.70

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
DUQU win + total 152.5
🔒 Pro
IPFW win + total 152.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: DUQU leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Duquesne under 8271.1%1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85		---+21.1ppWon
IPFW +1070.6%1.86
Pinnacle
1.93
SBO
1.87
Marathon Bet
1.85
Bet365
1.80		-+21.0ppWon
IPFW +10.571.5%1.82
1xBet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.85
Betano
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.80
SBO
1.78		+19.5ppWon
Duquesne under 83.575.2%1.62
Betano
1.62		----+19.4ppWon
IPFW +1173.7%1.72
Pinnacle
1.75
Marathon Bet
1.73
Bet365
1.68		--+19.0ppWon
Duquesne under 82.572.0%1.77
Betano
1.78
Pinnacle
1.77		---+18.7ppWon
Duquesne under 84.578.2%1.52
Betano
1.52		----+18.6ppWon
IPFW +18.589.5%1.29
Betano
1.29		----+17.9ppWon
IPFW +13.579.8%1.50
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.47		---+17.7ppWon
IPFW +1276.6%1.60
Pinnacle
1.62
Bet365
1.58		---+17.6ppWon
IPFW +11.574.5%1.68
Betano
1.72
Pinnacle
1.68
Marathon Bet
1.68
Bet365
1.64		-+17.6ppWon
Duquesne under 85.581.0%1.44
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.44		---+17.2ppWon
Duquesne under 87.585.9%1.32
Betano
1.32		----+17.1ppWon
Duquesne under 86.583.5%1.36
Betano
1.36		----+17.0ppWon
IPFW +14.582.1%1.42
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.40		---+17.0ppWon
IPFW +1379.2%1.50
Bet365
1.50		----+16.7ppWon
IPFW +1481.7%1.43
Bet365
1.43		----+16.7ppWon
IPFW +12.577.2%1.57
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.57
Bet365
1.55		--+16.5ppWon
IPFW +15.584.2%1.36
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.34		---+16.1ppWon
IPFW +16.586.1%1.31
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.28		---+15.3ppWon
IPFW +1583.9%1.35
Bet365
1.35		----+14.9ppWon
IPFW +1685.9%1.30
Bet365
1.30		----+14.4ppWon
Duquesne under 88.587.9%1.25
1xBet
1.25		----+14.2ppWon
IPFW +17.587.9%1.25
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.23		---+14.2ppWon
IPFW +1787.7%1.25
Bet365
1.25		----+13.2ppWon
Under 15871.4%1.52
Bet365
1.52		----+10.2ppWon
Duquesne under 91.592.8%1.12
1xBet
1.12		----+9.7ppWon
Under 158.572.0%1.48
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.47		---+9.5ppWon
Under 15973.4%1.45
Bet365
1.45		----+9.2ppWon
Under 16075.4%1.40
Bet365
1.40		----+9.1ppWon
Under 159.573.9%1.42
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.41		---+9.1ppWon
Under 160.575.8%1.38
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.37		---+9.0ppWon
Under 16177.2%1.34
Bet365
1.34		----+7.8ppWon
Under 161.577.6%1.33
Bet365
1.33		----+7.7ppWon
IPFW over 65.575.0%1.29
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.25		--+3.4ppWon
Overtime: no94.9%1.02
WilliamHill
1.03
Betano
1.02		---+3.3pp-
IPFW over 56.594.1%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+2.9ppWon
IPFW over 55.595.1%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+2.9ppWon
IPFW over 66.571.8%1.31
Betano
1.31		----+2.8ppWon
IPFW over 57.592.8%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+2.4ppWon
IPFW over 58.591.4%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+2.0ppWon
IPFW over 62.583.4%1.13
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.12		---+1.1ppWon
IPFW over 59.589.7%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+1.0ppWon
IPFW over 60.587.8%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+0.7ppWon
IPFW over 63.580.8%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+0.3ppWon
IPFW over 64.578.0%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+0.3ppWon
IPFW over 61.585.7%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+0.2ppWon
IPFW under 80.578.0%1.17
1xBet
1.17		-----1.3ppWon
Duquesne over 62.591.6%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----2.1ppWon
Duquesne over 64.588.1%1.02
Bet365
1.02		-----3.4ppWon
Duquesne over 66.583.8%1.03
Bet365
1.03		-----6.6ppWon
Duquesne over 68.578.6%1.06
Bet365
1.06		-----9.7ppWon
Duquesne over 70.572.4%1.10
Bet365
1.10		-----13.1ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Duquesne wins
0
IPFW wins
No previous meetings.
Duquesnelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/26AVCU Rams66-71
12/03/26HRhode Island67-61
07/03/26HRichmond Spiders79-77
05/03/26ARhode Island52-64
01/03/26ASt. Louis Billikens76-91
26/02/26HDavidson56-67
21/02/26ADayton66-78
19/02/26HLa Salle62-61
14/02/26ASt. Bonaventure78-73
07/02/26HGeorge Washington88-86
IPFWlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26AWisc. Green Bay56-64
28/02/26AIU Indy87-81
26/02/26HWright State70-74
22/02/26ACleveland State92-86
19/02/26ANorthern Kentucky71-87
15/02/26HIU Indy83-78
13/02/26AWisc. Green Bay59-76
08/02/26AWright State68-73
05/02/26HYoungstown State61-90
31/01/26HRobert Morris83-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duquesne
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 153---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
IPFW
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 153---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 George Washington110100%91.039.0+52.0
2 Dayton110100%89.058.0+31.0
3 George Mason110100%82.054.0+28.0
4 Loyola Chicago110100%77.052.0+25.0
5 St. Louis Billikens110100%92.067.0+25.0
6 Richmond Spiders110100%100.077.0+23.0
7 Davidson110100%76.061.0+15.0
8 VCU Rams110100%82.072.0+10.0
9 St. Bonaventure1010%71.079.0-8.0
10 Fordham1010%65.095.0-30.0
11 La Salle1010%55.094.0-39.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Horizon League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wisc. Green Bay110100%94.051.0+43.0
2 Wright State110100%102.071.0+31.0
3 Northern Kentucky110100%84.076.0+8.0
4 Youngstown State110100%79.071.0+8.0
5 Oakland1010%68.084.0-16.0
6 Wisc. Milwaukee1010%63.095.0-32.0
7 Robert Morris1010%49.086.0-37.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duquesne364278
IPFW373471
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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