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East Tennessee St vs VMI Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 81-67
41-30 40-37
Position#61
Record10-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game66.5
East Tennessee St 🏆
USA
vs
VMI
USA
Position#364
Record6-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game76.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · East Tennessee St v VMI
07 Jan 2026
EAST81
VMI67
01 Jan 2025
EAST84
VMI69
08 Mar 2024
EAST98
VMI66
21 Feb 2024
EAST82
VMI69
10 Feb 2023
EAST69
VMI65
05 Jan 2022
EAST80
VMI79
18 Jan 2021
EAST92
VMI81
07 Mar 2020
EAST70
VMI57
11 Jan 2020
EAST61
VMI55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

East Tennessee St winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
VMI winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

East Tennessee StUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
97-55
97
55
+42
H23/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
80-57
80
57
+23
H29/11
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
71-88
71
88
-17
A03/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
91-65
91
65
+26
H06/12
NCAA
Tusculum
#418
W
78-62
78
62
+16
H07/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A13/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
58-77
58
77
-19
A17/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
75-81
75
81
-6
H20/12
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
74-49
74
49
+25
A30/12
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
54-33
43-22
37-30
–
38-46
33-42
36-31
55-34
35-23
43-39
34-43
41-33
30-38
28-39
34-31
41-50
40-23
34-26
32-35
45-36
145.7Avg total
77.6Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.166.5144.7+11.667%
Season at home (9)83.662.9146.4+20.789%
Season away (6)70.072.0142.0-2.033%
Last 10 (10)77.668.1145.7+9.560%
Last 5 (5)71.870.8142.6+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)69.168.8137.9+0.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)76.063.8139.8+12.277%
This opponent (VMI) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VMIUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
54-87
54
87
-33
A20/11
NCAA
Stetson
#304
L
80-99
80
99
-19
A23/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A24/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
48-81
48
81
-33
A26/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
57-82
57
82
-25
A29/11
NCAA
Christendom
#649
W
89-36
89
36
+53
H06/12
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H09/12
NCAA
Radford
#176
L
90-97
90
97
-7
A21/12
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
58-78
58
78
-20
H01/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
26-49
28-38
38-44
42-55
33-31
37-47
20-45
28-36
32-45
25-37
49-18
40-18
51-32
35-38
43-44
47-53
36-34
22-44
39-23
40-48
149.0Avg total
71.1Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)76.876.0152.8+0.840%
Season at home (7)86.762.3149.0+24.471%
Season away (8)68.188.0156.1-19.912%
Last 10 (10)71.177.9149.0-6.830%
Last 5 (5)80.470.4150.8+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)68.677.7146.3-9.027%
vs Similar (3)79.381.3160.7-2.067%
vs Weaker (4)89.266.5155.8+22.8100%
This opponent (East Tennessee St) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: -7.0-7.0
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: -7.0-7.0
East Tennessee StVMI
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
East Tennessee StLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H23/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H29/11
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A03/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H06/12
NCAA
Tusculum
#418
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H07/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A13/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A17/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H20/12
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
40-23
40
23
+17
A30/12
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H03/01
NCAA
70.3Avg total
37.0Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.831.466.2+3.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.230.366.6+5.962%-
Last 30 away (14)33.132.665.8+0.543%-
Last 10 (10)37.033.370.3+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)34.034.068.0+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)31.733.164.8-1.425%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)37.029.966.9+7.185%-
This opponent (VMI) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VMILast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A20/11
NCAA
Stetson
#304
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A23/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A24/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
20-45
20
45
-25
A26/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A29/11
NCAA
Christendom
#649
W
49-18
49
18
+31
H06/12
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H09/12
NCAA
Radford
#176
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A21/12
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H01/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H03/01
NCAA
73.2Avg total
36.7Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.135.770.9-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.132.670.7+5.567%-
Last 30 away (15)32.238.971.1-6.733%-
Last 10 (10)36.736.573.2+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.630.273.8+13.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)33.137.871.0-4.741%-
vs Similar (3)34.738.373.0-3.733%-
vs Weaker (4)43.026.869.8+16.2100%-
This opponent (East Tennessee St) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
East Tennessee St wins
1
VMI wins
DateGameScore
05/02/25VMI v East Tennessee St55-62
01/01/25East Tennessee St v VMI84-69
09/03/24East Tennessee St v VMI98-66
22/02/24East Tennessee St v VMI82-69
24/01/24VMI v East Tennessee St73-74
11/02/23East Tennessee St v VMI69-65
31/12/22VMI v East Tennessee St50-64
29/01/22VMI v East Tennessee St83-79
06/01/22East Tennessee St v VMI80-79
19/01/21East Tennessee St v VMI92-81
East Tennessee Stlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HMercer77-71
30/12/25ACitadel74-49
20/12/25HJacksonville State75-81
17/12/25ANorth Carolina58-77
13/12/25AAustin Peay75-76
07/12/25HTusculum78-62
06/12/25HSouth Alabama91-65
03/12/25ADayton71-88
29/11/25HCentral Arkansas80-57
23/11/25HLouisiana Monroe97-55
VMIlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HChattanooga Mocs79-71
01/01/26HSamford58-78
21/12/25ARadford90-97
09/12/25HLoyola Maryland86-70
06/12/25HChristendom89-36
29/11/25AUCF Knights57-82
26/11/25ABowling Green48-81
24/11/25ABuffalo70-78
23/11/25AStetson80-99
20/11/25ARichmond Spiders54-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

East Tennessee St
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW67%
HomeWWWLW89%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %67%89%33%
Points / game78.183.670.0
Allowed / game66.562.972.0
Point differential+11.6+20.7-2.0
Avg total144.7146.4142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%78%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
VMI
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW40%
HomeLWWLW71%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %40%71%12%
Points / game76.886.768.1
Allowed / game76.062.388.0
Point differential+0.8+24.4-19.9
Avg total152.8149.0156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman1611569%78.270.9+7.3
2 Wofford1611569%78.274.9+3.2
3 East Tennessee St1510567%78.166.5+11.6
4 Mercer158753%82.173.7+8.3
5 Samford158753%77.675.5+2.1
6 VMI156940%76.876.0+0.8
7 Western Carolina135838%77.280.8-3.6
8 Chattanooga Mocs1661038%76.272.6+3.7
9 NC Greensboro1661038%79.479.9-0.6
10 Citadel1541127%71.875.1-3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
East Tennessee St414081
VMI303767
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