Erfurt vs Coburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Jan 2019

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 83-82

22-14 18-25 19-20 24-23

Position#19

Record8-9

FormWWLLL

Points / game75.0

Allowed / game77.9

Erfurt 🏆

Coburg

Position#15

Record9-8

FormWWWLW

Points / game74.1

Allowed / game74.2

Pro BRound 18

Other2018-19

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Erfurt winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Coburg winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Erfurt

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Panthers Schwenningen

76-78 OT

-2

A11/11

Pro B

Koln

#23

86-76

+10

H18/11

Pro B

Bayern 2

#12

85-74

+11

A24/11

Pro B

TG Wurzburg

#20

91-81

+10

H02/12

Pro B

Panthers Schwenningen

76-61

+15

H09/12

Pro B

TG Wurzburg

#20

85-79 OT

A15/12

Pro B

Bayern 2

#12

75-66

H23/12

Pro B

Giessen Rackelos 2

66-89

-23

A06/01

Pro B

Rhondorf

#22

87-88

-1

A12/01

Pro B

Koln

#23

68-78 OT

-10

A19/01

Pro B

17-25

23-13

16-17

9-10

–

25-15

18-22

24-21

18-16

14-14

21-12

26-27

30-28

23-9

21-23

21-8

11-21

23-16

15-16

13-11

15-23

23-19

16-16

20-5

16-26

12-21

17-22

12-15

25-31

22-23

27-31

22-17

16-17

14-13

17-14

17-17

9-13

156.5Avg total

79.5Scored

77.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	75.0	77.9	152.9	-2.9	47%
Season at home (8)	74.9	75.5	150.4	-0.6	62%
Season away (9)	75.1	80.0	155.1	-4.9	33%
Last 10 (10)	79.5	77.0	156.5	+2.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	76.2	80.0	156.2	-3.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	74.6	76.6	151.2	-2.0	50%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	76.0	81.0	157.0	-5.0	40%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Coburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Coburg

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bayern 2

#12

67-84

-17

A10/11

Pro B

Giessen Rackelos 2

86-73

+13

H18/11

Pro B

Frankfurt 2

84-73

+11

H25/11

Pro B

Rhondorf

#22

78-86

-8

A01/12

Pro B

Rhondorf

#22

88-68

+20

H08/12

Pro B

Elchingen

#10

83-78

A15/12

Pro B

TG Wurzburg

#20

20-0

+20

H22/12

Pro B

Koln

#23

101-100 OT

101

100

A05/01

Pro B

OrangeAcademy

#13

76-85

-9

H12/01

Pro B

Panthers Schwenningen

85-82

A19/01

Pro B

10-10

18-20

26-31

13-23

–

28-14

15-24

17-16

24-19

–

28-18

17-17

21-9

22-24

17-22

18-24

26-21

22-11

–

25-21

23-19

19-25

17-19

15-26

24-17

13-18

24-24

27-20

13-22

20-17

25-23

149.7Avg total

76.8Scored

72.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	74.1	74.2	148.3	-0.1	53%
Season at home (9)	74.1	66.2	140.3	+7.9	67%
Season away (8)	74.1	83.1	157.2	-9.0	38%
Last 10 (10)	76.8	72.9	149.7	+3.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	73.0	69.0	142.0	+4.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	76.8	78.8	155.6	-2.0	60%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	72.2	74.5	146.8	-2.3	35%
vs Weaker (5)	90.4	78.6	169.0	+11.8	80%

This opponent (Erfurt) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ErfurtCoburg

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	17.6	18.4	36.0	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	19.5	15.2	34.7	+4.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (9)	16.3	20.6	36.9	-4.2	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.2	17.2	36.4	+2.0	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.4	37.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.4	18.7	37.1	-0.4	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	15.5	17.5	33.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	19.6	19.5	39.1	+0.1	39%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	23.6	19.4	43.0	+4.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (10)	16.3	19.6	35.9	-3.3	30%	-
Last 10 (7)	21.4	18.7	40.1	+2.7	57%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	21.4	43.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.0	18.5	33.5	-3.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	18.8	18.7	37.5	+0.2	42%	-
vs Weaker (4)	24.0	22.5	46.5	+1.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	19.0	19.1	38.1	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	18.8	18.5	37.3	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (9)	19.1	19.6	38.7	-0.4	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.4	18.8	38.2	+0.7	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.8	38.2	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.1	18.1	36.2	+0.0	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	21.5	22.0	43.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	16.7	21.9	38.6	-5.2	28%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	17.0	20.9	37.9	-3.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (10)	16.4	22.7	39.1	-6.3	20%	-
Last 10 (7)	18.3	20.4	38.7	-2.1	29%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.0	25.5	42.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	15.7	21.9	37.6	-6.3	17%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	75%	-

ErfurtLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Panthers Schwenningen

40-38

A11/11

Pro B

Bayern 2

#12

43-37

A24/11

Pro B

TG Wurzburg

#20

35-26

H02/12

Pro B

Panthers Schwenningen

44-32

+12

H09/12

Pro B

TG Wurzburg

#20

38-32

A15/12

Pro B

Bayern 2

#12

39-35

H23/12

Pro B

Giessen Rackelos 2

29-43

-14

A06/01

Pro B

Rhondorf

#22

49-54

-5

A12/01

Pro B

Koln

#23

31-27

A19/01

Pro B

74.7Avg total

38.7Scored

36.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	36.6	37.5	74.1	-0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	38.3	33.7	72.0	+4.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (9)	35.4	40.1	75.6	-4.7	44%	-
Last 10 (9)	38.7	36.0	74.7	+2.7	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	38.2	75.4	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	36.5	36.8	73.3	-0.4	64%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	37.0	39.5	76.5	-2.5	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Coburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CoburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bayern 2

#12

28-30

-2

A10/11

Pro B

Frankfurt 2

43-38

H25/11

Pro B

Rhondorf

#22

45-35

+10

H08/12

Pro B

Elchingen

#10

35-46

-11

A15/12

Pro B

Koln

#23

48-40

A05/01

Pro B

OrangeAcademy

#13

39-43

-4

H12/01

Pro B

Panthers Schwenningen

40-42

-2

A19/01

Pro B

78.9Avg total

39.7Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	36.2	41.4	77.6	-5.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	40.6	40.2	80.9	+0.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (10)	32.7	42.3	75.0	-9.6	10%	-
Last 10 (7)	39.7	39.1	78.9	+0.6	43%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	41.2	82.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	32.0	44.0	76.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	34.5	40.6	75.1	-6.1	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	43.5	42.5	86.0	+1.0	50%	-

This opponent (Erfurt) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	18.7	15.9	34.5	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	18.3	16.0	34.3	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (9)	18.9	15.8	34.7	+3.1	67%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.0	15.3	34.3	+3.7	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	13.0	29.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.3	15.5	33.7	+2.8	64%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	19.8	17.0	36.8	+2.8	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	20.6	18.2	38.8	+2.4	56%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	21.2	16.5	37.8	+4.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (10)	20.1	19.6	39.7	+0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (7)	20.3	19.6	39.9	+0.7	57%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.0	37.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.4	18.4	37.8	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	24.2	17.5	41.8	+6.8	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	17.1	21.4	38.5	-4.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	18.3	25.2	43.5	-6.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (9)	16.2	18.9	35.1	-2.7	22%	-
Last 10 (9)	16.6	20.6	37.1	-4.0	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	22.0	38.2	-5.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.2	21.7	39.9	-3.5	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	14.0	20.5	34.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	20.6	20.4	40.9	+0.2	44%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	21.9	20.1	42.0	+1.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (10)	19.5	20.6	40.1	-1.1	30%	-
Last 10 (7)	21.0	20.4	41.4	+0.6	43%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.2	42.2	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	18.5	38.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	21.2	21.1	42.2	+0.1	42%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	35.7	37.3	73.0	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	36.7	41.2	77.8	-4.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (9)	35.1	34.7	69.8	+0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (9)	35.6	35.9	71.4	-0.3	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.0	35.0	68.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	36.5	37.2	73.6	-0.7	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	33.8	37.5	71.2	-3.8	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	41.2	38.6	79.8	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	43.1	36.6	79.8	+6.5	75%	-
Last 30 away (10)	39.6	40.2	79.8	-0.6	60%	-
Last 10 (7)	41.3	40.0	81.3	+1.3	57%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	38.2	80.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.5	37.0	77.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	40.6	39.5	80.1	+1.1	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	43.2	36.8	80.0	+6.5	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Erfurt wins

Coburg wins

Date	Game	Score
28/10/18	Coburg v Erfurt	76-77

Erfurtlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/01/19	A	Koln	68-78 OT
12/01/19	A	Rhondorf	87-88
06/01/19	A	Giessen Rackelos 2	66-89
23/12/18	H	Bayern 2	75-66
15/12/18	A	TG Wurzburg	85-79 OT
09/12/18	H	Panthers Schwenningen	76-61
02/12/18	H	TG Wurzburg	91-81
24/11/18	A	Bayern 2	85-74
18/11/18	H	Koln	86-76
11/11/18	A	Panthers Schwenningen	76-78 OT

Coburglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/01/19	A	Panthers Schwenningen	85-82
12/01/19	H	OrangeAcademy	76-85
05/01/19	A	Koln	101-100 OT
22/12/18	H	TG Wurzburg	20-0
15/12/18	A	Elchingen	83-78
08/12/18	H	Rhondorf	88-68
01/12/18	A	Rhondorf	78-86
25/11/18	H	Frankfurt 2	84-73
18/11/18	H	Giessen Rackelos 2	86-73
10/11/18	A	Bayern 2	67-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Erfurt

Pro B 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	47%
Home	WWWWW	62%
Away	WWLLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	47%	62%	33%
Points / game	75.0	74.9	75.1
Allowed / game	77.9	75.5	80.0
Point differential	-2.9	-0.6	-4.9
Avg total	152.9	150.4	155.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	38%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	100% (1)	33% (3)
Overtime %	18%	0%	33%

Coburg

Pro B 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	53%
Home	WWWWL	67%
Away	LLWWW	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	53%	67%	38%
Points / game	74.1	74.1	74.1
Allowed / game	74.2	66.2	83.1
Point differential	-0.1	+7.9	-9.0
Avg total	148.3	140.3	157.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	56%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	50% (2)	100% (3)
Overtime %	6%	0%	12%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Leverkusen	17	16	1	94%	86.3	73.2	+13.1
2	Panthers Schwenningen	18	12	6	67%	74.1	71.8	+2.3
3	Munster	18	12	6	67%	77.0	75.2	+1.8
4	Wedel	18	12	6	67%	78.4	77.5	+0.9
5	Frankfurt 2	18	11	7	61%	72.9	72.1	+0.8
6	Bernau	17	10	7	59%	82.9	74.5	+8.4
7	Sandersdorf	18	10	8	56%	76.4	73.6	+2.9
8	Iserlohn	18	10	8	56%	79.4	78.4	+1.1
9	Giessen Rackelos 2	17	9	8	53%	81.2	78.5	+2.8
10	Coburg	17	9	8	53%	74.1	74.2	-0.1
11	Weser-Ems/OTB	17	9	8	53%	76.4	76.9	-0.5
12	Bochum	17	9	8	53%	76.7	78.1	-1.4
13	Elchingen	18	9	9	50%	77.9	75.0	+2.9
14	Schwelm	18	9	9	50%	79.2	77.9	+1.3
15	Itzehoe	18	9	9	50%	78.4	77.6	+0.9
16	OrangeAcademy	17	8	9	47%	70.8	70.4	+0.4
17	Dresden	17	8	9	47%	70.9	73.1	-2.2
18	Erfurt	17	8	9	47%	75.0	77.9	-2.9
19	Bayern 2	18	8	10	44%	74.5	75.4	-0.9
20	TG Wurzburg	18	7	11	39%	71.5	72.8	-1.3
21	Wolfenbuttel	18	5	13	28%	69.6	77.3	-7.7
22	Koln	17	4	13	24%	72.3	81.0	-8.7
23	Rhondorf	18	4	14	22%	74.8	82.9	-8.1
24	ETB Wohnbau	18	3	15	17%	71.6	76.8	-5.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Erfurt	22	18	19	24	83
Coburg	14	25	20	23	82

← all games of the day

Erfurt vs Coburg Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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