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Ermis Lagkada vs Aetos Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2015
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 84-86 (OT)
10-12
Position#13
Record3-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game60.0
Allowed / game65.9
Ermis Lagkada
Greece
vs
Aetos 🏆
Greece
Position#10
Record4-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game75.4
GreeceA2Round 11
Other2014-15
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ermis Lagkada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aetos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ermis LagkadaGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ilisiakos
#14
W
20-0
20
0
+20
H11/10
A2
Kavala
#1
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A18/10
A2
Ethnikos Piraeus
#4
L
57-65
57
65
-8
H25/10
A2
Arkadikos
#2
L
60-84
60
84
-24
A01/11
A2
Iraklis
#11
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H12/11
A2
Pagrati
#8
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A15/11
A2
Psychikou
#5
L
63-72
63
72
-9
H22/11
A2
Livadia
#6
L
61-81
61
81
-20
A29/11
A2
Lefkadas
#7
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H06/12
A2
Lavrio
#3
L
65-69 OT
65
69
-4
A13/12
A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
12-17
21-22
11-16
18-24
17-18
17-15
13-15
10-17
18-22
10-12
15-21
17-29
23-16
9-15
16-14
17-13
20-23
19-14
8-23
21-15
–
–
–
–
17-24
12-19
15-18
17-20
23-22
23-16
16-20
17-18
18-22
11-10
15-12
9-9
125.9Avg total
60.0Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)60.065.9125.9-5.930%
Season at home (5)56.854.2111.0+2.660%
Season away (5)63.277.6140.8-14.40%
Last 10 (10)60.065.9125.9-5.930%
Last 5 (5)67.274.6141.8-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)64.976.2141.1-11.414%
vs Similar (10)74.073.8147.8+0.240%
vs Weaker (6)69.748.8118.5+20.8100%
This opponent (Aetos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AetosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ethnikos Piraeus
#4
L
66-83
66
83
-17
A18/10
A2
Kavala
#1
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H22/10
A2
Arkadikos
#2
W
97-88
97
88
+9
H25/10
A2
Iraklis
#11
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A01/11
A2
Pagrati
#8
W
96-67
96
67
+29
H08/11
A2
Psychikou
#5
L
61-77
61
77
-16
A15/11
A2
Livadia
#6
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H22/11
A2
Lefkadas
#7
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A29/11
A2
Filippos Veroi
#12
W
82-60
82
60
+22
H13/12
A2
Lavrio
#3
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H20/12
A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
17-18
14-23
12-20
21-16
15-17
9-18
18-14
19-17
23-25
20-26
35-20
22-23
18-14
15-17
11-22
26-21
22-17
28-17
20-12
13-16
11-17
17-24
20-20
11-21
20-13
19-13
28-32
20-24
16-20
17-15
18-21
25-13
13-14
26-17
18-16
18-23
18-9
23-25
31-22
152.4Avg total
77.0Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.075.4152.4+1.640%
Season at home (6)84.373.0157.3+11.367%
Season away (4)66.079.0145.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)77.075.4152.4+1.640%
Last 5 (5)76.475.0151.4+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)83.377.3160.7+6.067%
vs Similar (6)73.077.0150.0-4.017%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)82.060.0142.0+22.0100%
This opponent (Ermis Lagkada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +1.2+1.2
Ermis LagkadaAetos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ermis LagkadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kavala
#1
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A18/10
A2
Ethnikos Piraeus
#4
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H25/10
A2
Arkadikos
#2
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A01/11
A2
Iraklis
#11
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H12/11
A2
Pagrati
#8
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A15/11
A2
Livadia
#6
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A29/11
A2
Lefkadas
#7
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H06/12
A2
Lavrio
#3
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A13/12
A2
69.6Avg total
33.8Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)36.434.771.1+1.767%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.132.472.5+7.792%-
Last 30 away (14)33.136.969.9-3.843%-
Last 10 (8)33.835.969.6-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)35.036.271.2-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)32.737.670.2-4.942%-
vs Similar (10)40.235.375.5+4.980%-
vs Weaker (5)38.026.664.6+11.4100%-
This opponent (Aetos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AetosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ethnikos Piraeus
#4
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A18/10
A2
Kavala
#1
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H22/10
A2
Arkadikos
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H25/10
A2
Iraklis
#11
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A01/11
A2
Pagrati
#8
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H08/11
A2
Psychikou
#5
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A15/11
A2
Livadia
#6
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H22/11
A2
Lefkadas
#7
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A29/11
A2
Filippos Veroi
#12
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H13/12
A2
Lavrio
#3
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H20/12
A2
73.1Avg total
37.1Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)37.136.073.1+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (6)38.534.372.8+4.267%-
Last 30 away (4)35.038.573.5-3.525%-
Last 10 (10)37.136.073.1+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)33.034.067.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.035.773.7+2.367%-
vs Similar (6)36.537.774.2-1.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)38.027.065.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Ermis Lagkada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ermis Lagkada wins
0
Aetos wins
No previous meetings.
Ermis Lagkadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/14ALavrio65-69 OT
06/12/14HLefkadas79-76
29/11/14ALivadia61-81
22/11/14HPsychikou63-72
15/11/14APagrati68-75
12/11/14HIraklis65-58
01/11/14AArkadikos60-84
25/10/14HEthnikos Piraeus57-65
18/10/14AKavala62-79
11/10/14HIlisiakos20-0
Aetoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/14HLavrio90-79
13/12/14HFilippos Veroi82-60
29/11/14ALefkadas71-80
22/11/14HLivadia78-79
15/11/14APsychikou61-77
08/11/14HPagrati96-67
01/11/14AIraklis66-76
25/10/14HArkadikos97-88
22/10/14HKavala63-65
18/10/14AEthnikos Piraeus66-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ermis Lagkada
A2 2014-15
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL30%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%60%0%
Points / game60.056.863.2
Allowed / game65.954.277.6
Point differential-5.9+2.6-14.4
Avg total125.9111.0140.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Aetos
A2 2014-15
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game77.084.366.0
Allowed / game75.473.079.0
Point differential+1.6+11.3-13.0
Avg total152.4157.3145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kavala108280%68.555.9+12.6
2 Lavrio108280%72.565.5+7.0
3 Ethnikos Piraeus107370%66.463.2+3.2
4 Psychikou96367%73.067.7+5.3
5 Arkadikos106460%67.162.9+4.2
6 Lefkadas106460%74.573.7+0.8
7 Pagrati106460%72.175.5-3.4
8 Livadia104640%67.865.2+2.6
9 Aetos104640%77.075.4+1.6
10 Filippos Veroi104640%59.666.3-6.7
11 Iraklis93633%72.677.0-4.4
12 OFI Crete103730%66.267.0-0.8
13 Ermis Lagkada103730%60.065.9-5.9
14 Ilisiakos8080%0.020.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamOTFinal
Ermis Lagkada1084
Aetos1286
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