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ESB Villeneuve W vs DVTK W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 63-59
8-21 25-13 17-12 13-13
Position#5
Record8-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game70.9
ESB Villeneuve W 🏆
vs
DVTK W
Position#6
Record11-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game67.1
Allowed / game64.9
EuropeEuroleague WomenEuroleague Women - Quarter-finals· Le Palacium
Women2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

ESB Villeneuve W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
DVTK W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ESB Villeneuve WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lattes Montpellier W
#4
W
83-75
83
75
+8
82avg 73
A14/01
LFB W
USK Prague W
#2
W
90-81
90
81
+9
88avg 73
H17/01
Euroleague Women
Bourges W
#1
L
57-74
57
74
-17
45avg 73
A20/01
French Cup Women
Landes W
#14
L
71-80
71
80
-9
57avg 73
A24/01
Euroleague Women
Bourges W
#2
W
85-68
85
68
+17
84avg 73
A27/01
LFB W
Polkowice W
#11
W
85-72
85
72
+13
80avg 73
H30/01
Euroleague Women
La Roche W
#11
W
91-66
91
66
+25
87avg 73
A02/02
LFB W
Angers W
#10
W
106-66
106
66
+40
115avg 73
H18/02
LFB W
DVTK W
#6
L
66-78
66
78
-12
51avg 73
A21/02
Euroleague Women
Flammes Carolo W
#7
W
82-56
82
56
+26
80avg 73
A24/02
LFB W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
19-15
27-18
19-21
26-19
17-14
21-20
26-28
17-20
14-12
6-16
20-26
15-17
15-28
23-17
18-18
22-24
20-14
23-15
20-15
18-16
23-19
24-14
20-23
31-13
18-15
19-19
23-19
24-16
26-21
29-9
27-20
26-14
10-21
15-25
15-18
25-23
23-14
14-9
20-10
153.2Avg total
81.6Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.970.9144.8+3.153%
Season at home (7)80.370.7151.0+9.686%
Season away (8)68.471.0139.4-2.625%
Last 10 (10)81.671.6153.2+10.070%
Last 5 (5)86.067.6153.6+18.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.577.5154.0-1.050%
vs Similar ◀ (9)69.968.2138.1+1.744%
vs Weaker (18)83.167.4150.5+15.678%
This opponent (DVTK W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DVTK WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lublin W
#17
L
37-56
37
56
-19
30avg 67
A10/01
Euroleague Women
Sopron W
#5
W
71-65
71
65
+6
64avg 67
H14/01
NB I A W
Sepsi SIC W
#15
W
72-54
72
54
+18
74avg 67
H18/01
Euroleague Women
Szigetszentmiklos W
#9
W
85-48
85
48
+37
88avg 67
A21/01
NB I A W
Valencia W
#8
L
59-84
59
84
-25
56avg 67
A24/01
Euroleague Women
Cegledi W
#10
W
70-48
70
48
+22
61avg 67
A27/01
NB I A W
Fenerbahce W
#1
L
71-95
71
95
-24
61avg 67
A30/01
Euroleague Women
NKA Pecs W
#3
W
75-71
75
71
+4
73avg 67
A17/02
NB I A W
ESB Villeneuve W
#5
W
78-66
78
66
+12
75avg 67
H21/02
Euroleague Women
TFSE-MTK W
#6
W
64-58
64
58
+6
67avg 67
H24/02
NB I A W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-17
10-7
9-18
8-14
13-20
22-13
19-19
17-13
22-11
12-23
21-10
17-10
25-7
24-20
24-10
12-11
11-24
22-15
12-24
14-21
13-9
18-9
21-18
18-12
16-35
11-20
14-15
30-25
27-20
9-19
17-19
22-13
14-26
21-10
25-15
18-15
23-13
11-17
11-14
19-14
132.7Avg total
68.2Scored
64.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)67.164.9131.9+2.265%
Season at home (9)70.763.3134.0+7.378%
Season away (8)63.066.6129.6-3.650%
Last 10 (10)68.264.5132.7+3.770%
Last 5 (5)71.667.6139.2+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.588.0155.5-20.50%
vs Similar ◀ (7)67.166.1133.3+1.071%
vs Weaker (21)72.956.6129.5+16.295%
This opponent (ESB Villeneuve W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.7+2.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.7+2.7
ESB Villeneuve WDVTK W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ESB Villeneuve WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lattes Montpellier W
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A14/01
LFB W
USK Prague W
#2
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H17/01
Euroleague Women
Bourges W
#1
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A20/01
French Cup Women
Landes W
#14
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A24/01
Euroleague Women
Bourges W
#2
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A27/01
LFB W
Polkowice W
#11
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H30/01
Euroleague Women
La Roche W
#11
W
49-28
49
28
+21
A02/02
LFB W
Angers W
#10
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H18/02
LFB W
DVTK W
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A21/02
Euroleague Women
Flammes Carolo W
#7
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A24/02
LFB W
76.3Avg total
40.7Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.336.074.3+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.335.474.6+3.964%-
Last 30 away (16)37.536.574.0+1.050%-
Last 10 (10)40.735.676.3+5.180%-
Last 5 (5)44.834.479.2+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.537.579.0+4.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)34.835.370.1-0.656%-
vs Weaker (18)40.236.376.5+3.861%-
This opponent (DVTK W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DVTK WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lublin W
#17
L
20-24
20
24
-4
A10/01
Euroleague Women
Sopron W
#5
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H14/01
NB I A W
Sepsi SIC W
#15
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H18/01
Euroleague Women
Szigetszentmiklos W
#9
W
49-27
49
27
+22
A21/01
NB I A W
Valencia W
#8
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A24/01
Euroleague Women
Cegledi W
#10
W
31-18
31
18
+13
A27/01
NB I A W
Fenerbahce W
#1
L
27-55
27
55
-28
A30/01
Euroleague Women
NKA Pecs W
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A17/02
NB I A W
ESB Villeneuve W
#5
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H21/02
Euroleague Women
TFSE-MTK W
#6
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H24/02
NB I A W
66.9Avg total
33.4Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.731.368.0+5.473%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.931.670.5+7.281%-
Last 30 away (14)34.230.965.1+3.464%-
Last 10 (10)33.433.566.9-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)32.635.668.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.051.083.0-19.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)35.132.167.3+3.057%-
vs Weaker (21)37.729.166.8+8.686%-
This opponent (ESB Villeneuve W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
ESB Villeneuve Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

ESB Villeneuve W: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.0
52.2%
46.7%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.8
39.4%
32.1%32.4
🏀 Free throws16.912.2
72.2%
75.3%12.2
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
DVTK Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

DVTK W: 67.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.617.1
45.5%
46.7%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.5
33.3%
32.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws13.410.5
78.4%
75.3%10.5
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
ESB Villeneuve W
WLWWWWLLWW
DVTK W
WWWLWLWWWL
#5
League position
#6
+12.6
Net rating
+4.9
105.9
Offensive rating
93.5
93.3
Defensive rating
88.6
55.3%
Effective FG%
47.2%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.4%
21.2%
Turnover %
25.6%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
34.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.22
39.4%
3-point %
33.3%
66.3%
Assist %
70.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 93.5Defence93.3 · 88.6Shooting55.3% · 47.2%3-point %39.4% · 33.3%Ball care21.2% · 25.6%Off. rebounds27.4% · 34.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ ESB Villeneuve W   ■ DVTK W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
ESB Villeneuve W wins
1
DVTK W wins
DateGameScore
21/02/24DVTK W v ESB Villeneuve W78-66
ESB Villeneuve Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24AFlammes Carolo W82-56
21/02/24ADVTK W66-78
18/02/24HAngers W106-66
02/02/24ALa Roche W91-66
30/01/24HPolkowice W85-72
27/01/24ABourges W85-68
24/01/24ALandes W71-80
20/01/24ABourges W57-74
17/01/24HUSK Prague W90-81
14/01/24ALattes Montpellier W83-75
DVTK Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24HTFSE-MTK W64-58
21/02/24HESB Villeneuve W78-66
17/02/24ANKA Pecs W75-71
30/01/24AFenerbahce W71-95
27/01/24ACegledi W70-48
24/01/24AValencia W59-84
21/01/24ASzigetszentmiklos W85-48
18/01/24HSepsi SIC W72-54
14/01/24HSopron W71-65
10/01/24ALublin W37-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

ESB Villeneuve W
Euroleague Women 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL53%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %53%86%25%
Points / game73.980.368.4
Allowed / game70.970.771.0
Point differential+3.1+9.6-2.6
Avg total144.8151.0139.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%57%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
DVTK W
Euroleague Women 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW65%
HomeLWWWW78%
AwayWLLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %65%78%50%
Points / game67.170.763.0
Allowed / game64.963.366.6
Point differential+2.2+7.3-3.6
Avg total131.9134.0129.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%44%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce W1513287%86.466.7+19.7
2 USK Prague W1513287%75.664.9+10.7
3 CBK Mersin W1510567%69.367.3+2.0
4 DVTK W1711665%67.164.9+2.2
5 Zaragoza W159660%67.063.6+3.4
6 Schio W159660%70.468.6+1.8
7 Valencia W148657%70.866.9+3.9
8 ESB Villeneuve W158753%73.970.9+3.1
9 Perfumerias Avenida W158753%68.968.0+0.9
10 Virtus Bologna W147750%71.171.4-0.3
11 Polkowice W168850%72.674.4-1.8
12 BA London Lions W21150%60.567.5-7.0
13 Lyon W145936%72.977.1-4.1
14 Landes W1441029%68.373.7-5.4
15 Sepsi SIC W1641225%65.376.5-11.2
16 UNI Gyor W1421214%71.479.3-7.9
17 Lublin W1421214%57.673.6-16.0
18 TTT Riga W2020%58.061.0-3.0
19 Besiktas W2020%60.568.0-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
ESB Villeneuve W825171363
DVTK W2113121359
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