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Esch W vs Mersch W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 96-62
27-20 25-14 23-13 21-15
Position#6
Record6-12
FormLWLWW
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game75.6
Esch W 🏆
Luxembourg
vs
Mersch W
Luxembourg
Position#9
Record2-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game73.0
LuxembourgTotal League WomenRound 4· Hall Omnisports Henri Schmitz
Women2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esch W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mersch W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Esch WLuxembourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Amicale Steesel W
#5
L
64-78
64
78
-14
48avg 57
A09/12
Total League Women
Les Sangliers Wooltz W
#7
L
75-79
75
79
-4
65avg 57
H16/12
Total League Women
Bertrange W
#3
L
61-80
61
80
-19
52avg 57
A20/12
Total League Women
Grengewald Hueschtert W
#1
L
60-84
60
84
-24
49avg 57
H06/01
Total League Women
Musel Pikes W
#8
W
63-61
63
61
+2
44avg 57
A13/01
Total League Women
Dudelange W
#2
L
76-91
76
91
-15
71avg 57
H28/01
Total League Women
Soleuvre W
#11
W
98-43
98
43
+55
90avg 57
A06/02
Total League Women
Contern W
#4
L
55-77
55
77
-22
43avg 57
H18/02
Total League Women
Musel Pikes W
#8
W
73-66
73
66
+7
73avg 57
H25/02
Total League Women
Soleuvre W
#11
W
99-68
99
68
+31
87avg 57
A03/03
Total League Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
11-17
14-23
22-19
18-15
13-22
18-19
26-23
19-28
9-14
6-23
27-15
14-24
11-14
16-29
19-17
17-18
18-16
14-7
14-20
20-27
17-21
19-25
20-18
31-11
20-14
25-10
22-8
19-23
9-29
11-13
16-12
20-14
15-18
26-13
12-21
25-17
29-16
18-18
27-17
145.1Avg total
72.4Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)69.075.6144.6-6.633%
Season at home (9)67.177.3144.4-10.233%
Season away (9)70.973.9144.8-3.033%
Last 10 (10)72.472.7145.1-0.340%
Last 5 (5)80.269.0149.2+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)64.784.4149.1-19.614%
vs Similar (7)65.474.7140.1-9.329%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)83.467.4150.9+16.078%
This opponent (Mersch W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mersch WLuxembourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Soleuvre W
#9
L
73-93
73
93
-20
no box
H01/04
Total League Women
Hesperange W
#13
W
71-47
71
47
+24
no box
A07/04
Total League Women
Ettelbruck W
#12
W
78-45
78
45
+33
no box
H22/04
Total League Women
Les Sangliers Wooltz W
#10
L
52-83
52
83
-31
no box
H29/04
Total League Women
Soleuvre W
#9
L
39-74
39
74
-35
no box
A03/05
Total League Women
Hesperange W
#13
W
71-50
71
50
+21
no box
H06/05
Total League Women
Ettelbruck W
#12
W
68-49
68
49
+19
no box
A21/05
Total League Women
Schieren W
#10
W
76-59
76
59
+17
no box
A24/02
Total League Women
Musel Pikes W
#8
L
64-93
64
93
-29
49avg 49
A02/03
Total League Women
Soleuvre W
#11
W
72-67
72
67
+5
no box
H08/03
Total League Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
18-24
14-22
22-22
14-11
14-9
20-12
23-15
20-14
26-14
13-8
19-9
19-18
10-22
8-20
15-23
9-29
6-13
17-20
7-12
27-14
16-11
16-12
12-13
19-12
19-13
11-13
19-11
14-16
23-6
28-20
11-17
19-19
15-30
17-16
13-28
–
–
–
–
132.4Avg total
66.4Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)70.773.0143.7-2.367%
Season at home (1)72.067.0139.0+5.0100%
Season away (2)70.076.0146.0-6.050%
Last 10 (10)66.466.0132.4+0.460%
Last 5 (5)70.263.6133.8+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)64.093.0157.0-29.00%
vs Similar (4)54.086.0140.0-32.00%
vs Weaker (6)72.752.8125.5+19.8100%
This opponent (Esch W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -1.0-1.0
Esch WMersch W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Esch WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amicale Steesel W
#5
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A09/12
Total League Women
Les Sangliers Wooltz W
#7
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H16/12
Total League Women
Bertrange W
#3
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A20/12
Total League Women
Grengewald Hueschtert W
#1
L
25-38
25
38
-13
H06/01
Total League Women
Musel Pikes W
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A13/01
Total League Women
Dudelange W
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H28/01
Total League Women
Soleuvre W
#11
W
51-25
51
25
+26
A06/02
Total League Women
Contern W
#4
L
28-52
28
52
-24
H18/02
Total League Women
Musel Pikes W
#8
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H25/02
Total League Women
Soleuvre W
#11
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A03/03
Total League Women
72.9Avg total
35.2Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.940.174.0-6.230%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.241.274.4-8.125%-
Last 30 away (14)34.738.873.5-4.136%-
Last 10 (10)35.237.772.9-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)41.038.079.0+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)30.943.774.6-12.97%-
vs Similar (7)31.341.773.0-10.429%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.733.273.9+7.467%-
This opponent (Mersch W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mersch WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Soleuvre W
#9
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H01/04
Total League Women
Hesperange W
#13
W
28-20
28
20
+8
A07/04
Total League Women
Ettelbruck W
#12
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H22/04
Total League Women
Les Sangliers Wooltz W
#10
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H29/04
Total League Women
Soleuvre W
#9
L
15-42
15
42
-27
A03/05
Total League Women
Hesperange W
#13
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H06/05
Total League Women
Ettelbruck W
#12
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A21/05
Total League Women
Schieren W
#10
W
37-22
37
22
+15
A24/02
Total League Women
Musel Pikes W
#8
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A02/03
Total League Women
67.4Avg total
34.1Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)32.934.867.7-1.950%-
Last 30 at home (4)38.835.574.2+3.250%-
Last 30 away (6)29.034.363.3-5.350%-
Last 10 (9)34.133.367.4+0.856%-
Last 5 (5)33.432.666.0+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)34.049.083.0-15.00%-
vs Similar (4)25.844.870.5-19.00%-
vs Weaker (5)38.424.062.4+14.4100%-
This opponent (Esch W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Esch Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esch W: 71.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
57%
29%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.521.2
48.7%
47.4%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.86.2
27.2%
29.8%18.6
🏀 Free throws14.710.8
73.5%
71.5%10.8
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mersch Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mersch W: 62.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
57%
29%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.018.0
40.0%
47.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.04.0
18.2%
29.8%12.0
🏀 Free throws22.014.0
63.6%
71.5%14.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/1 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Esch W
WWLWLWLLLL
Mersch W
WLWWWLLWWL
#6
League position
#9
-1.0
Net rating
-38.7
92.3
Offensive rating
77.4
93.3
Defensive rating
116.1
46.0%
Effective FG%
35.8%
45.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
18.9%
Turnover %
17.8%
22.7%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.33
27.2%
3-point %
18.2%
47.8%
Assist %
68.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence92.3 · 77.4Defence93.3 · 116.1Shooting46.0% · 35.8%3-point %27.2% · 18.2%Ball care18.9% · 17.8%Off. rebounds22.7% · 26.1%Free throws0.22 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Esch W   ■ Mersch W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Esch W wins
0
Mersch W wins
No previous meetings.
Esch Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24ASoleuvre W99-68
25/02/24HMusel Pikes W73-66
18/02/24HContern W55-77
06/02/24ASoleuvre W98-43
28/01/24HDudelange W76-91
13/01/24AMusel Pikes W63-61
06/01/24HGrengewald Hueschtert W60-84
20/12/23ABertrange W61-80
16/12/23HLes Sangliers Wooltz W75-79
09/12/23AAmicale Steesel W64-78
Mersch Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/24HSoleuvre W72-67
02/03/24AMusel Pikes W64-93
24/02/24ASchieren W76-59
21/05/23AEttelbruck W68-49
06/05/23HHesperange W71-50
03/05/23ASoleuvre W39-74
29/04/23HLes Sangliers Wooltz W52-83
22/04/23HEttelbruck W78-45
07/04/23AHesperange W71-47
01/04/23HSoleuvre W73-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esch W
Total League Women 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW33%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayLLWWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game69.067.170.9
Allowed / game75.677.373.9
Point differential-6.6-10.2-3.0
Avg total144.6144.4144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%11%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mersch W
Total League Women 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game70.772.070.0
Allowed / game73.067.076.0
Point differential-2.3+5.0-6.0
Avg total143.7139.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grengewald Hueschtert W20200100%89.664.3+25.2
2 Dudelange W2015575%85.964.0+21.9
3 Bertrange W2014670%80.566.9+13.6
4 Mersch W32167%70.773.0-2.3
5 Contern W2011955%68.764.5+4.2
6 Amicale Steesel W20101050%79.577.5+1.9
7 Les Sangliers Wooltz W2081240%70.879.3-8.5
8 Esch W1861233%69.075.6-6.6
9 Musel Pikes W1941521%64.775.7-11.0
10 Schieren W2020%63.583.5-20.0
11 Soleuvre W180180%58.3102.3-44.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Esch W2725232196
Mersch W2014131562
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