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Esgueira W vs Sporting CP W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 82-80
13-26 29-15 22-19 18-20
Position#7
Record8-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game77.1
Esgueira W 🏆
Portugal
vs
Sporting CP W
Portugal
Position#8
Record7-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game69.0
PortugalLFB WomenRound 16· Pavilhao Clube do Pova de Esgueira
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sporting CP W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Esgueira WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Gdessa Barreiro W
#4
W
95-70
95
70
+25
103avg 65
H08/11
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
63-73
63
73
-10
56avg 65
H22/11
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#6
L
62-81
62
81
-19
52avg 65
A30/11
LFB Women
Galitos W
#12
W
81-78 OT
81
78
+3
73avg 65
H06/12
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#5
L
60-68
60
68
-8
43avg 65
A08/12
LFB Women
SC Coimbroes W
#11
W
87-70
87
70
+17
84avg 65
H13/12
LFB Women
Sanjoanense W
#10
W
91-89
91
89
+2
90avg 65
H20/12
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#1
L
72-83
72
83
-11
55avg 65
A28/12
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
75-70
75
70
+5
72avg 65
H03/01
LFB Women
Imortal W
#3
W
89-82
89
82
+7
no box
A18/01
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
31-14
20-19
23-23
21-15
14-21
18-27
10-10
19-16
12-27
16-23
15-15
19-22
15-14
18-11
12-17
11-18
11-19
20-12
18-19
21-16
24-19
29-14
13-21
20-30
24-17
23-17
24-25
13-30
16-21
20-19
23-13
19-17
23-17
18-15
15-21
28-17
27-24
12-19
22-22
153.9Avg total
77.5Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.577.1151.6-2.553%
Season at home (8)77.177.8154.9-0.662%
Season away (7)71.676.3147.9-4.743%
Last 10 (10)77.576.4153.9+1.160%
Last 5 (5)82.878.8161.6+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.380.7154.0-7.420%
vs Similar ◀ (7)75.075.0150.0+0.071%
vs Weaker (13)75.859.9135.8+15.9100%
This opponent (Sporting CP W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CP WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Esgueira W
#7
W
70-59
70
59
+11
68avg 62
H02/11
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#6
W
78-49
78
49
+29
78avg 62
H23/11
LFB Women
Galitos W
#12
W
67-51
67
51
+16
62avg 62
A29/11
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
67-74
67
74
-7
58avg 62
A03/12
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#5
W
74-64
74
64
+10
72avg 62
H06/12
LFB Women
SC Coimbroes W
#11
L
68-77
68
77
-9
60avg 62
A08/12
LFB Women
Sanjoanense W
#10
W
69-67 OT
69
67
+2
58avg 62
H14/12
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#1
L
64-67
64
67
-3
61avg 62
H19/12
LFB Women
Imortal W
#3
L
77-82
77
82
-5
68avg 62
H04/01
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#4
L
60-86
60
86
-26
no box
A17/01
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
16-12
16-14
20-15
19-8
16-15
18-16
25-10
13-12
13-9
22-21
19-9
27-29
9-13
16-17
15-15
20-13
17-19
16-12
21-20
16-24
17-16
14-12
21-25
13-17
14-11
14-12
18-19
16-21
16-14
15-20
17-12
15-23
16-23
20-19
26-17
17-19
15-21
10-21
18-25
137.0Avg total
69.4Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)70.169.0139.1+1.150%
Season at home (8)74.465.6140.0+8.875%
Season away (6)64.573.5138.0-9.017%
Last 10 (10)69.467.6137.0+1.850%
Last 5 (5)67.675.8143.4-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)66.675.2141.8-8.60%
vs Similar ◀ (6)70.764.2134.8+6.567%
vs Weaker (4)70.567.8138.2+2.875%
This opponent (Esgueira W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +3.3+3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +3.3+3.3
Esgueira WSporting CP W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Esgueira WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gdessa Barreiro W
#4
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H08/11
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H22/11
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#6
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A30/11
LFB Women
Galitos W
#12
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H06/12
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#5
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A08/12
LFB Women
SC Coimbroes W
#11
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H13/12
LFB Women
Sanjoanense W
#10
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H20/12
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#1
L
29-51
29
51
-22
A28/12
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H03/01
LFB Women
Imortal W
#3
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A18/01
LFB Women
77.7Avg total
38.9Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.535.573.0+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.436.175.4+3.356%-
Last 30 away (14)35.434.970.2+0.550%-
Last 10 (10)38.938.877.7+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)43.041.684.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.342.678.9-6.320%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)34.939.474.3-4.614%-
vs Weaker (13)39.827.967.8+11.9100%-
This opponent (Sporting CP W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CP WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esgueira W
#7
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H02/11
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#6
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H23/11
LFB Women
Galitos W
#12
W
26-21
26
21
+5
A29/11
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A03/12
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#5
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H06/12
LFB Women
SC Coimbroes W
#11
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A08/12
LFB Women
Sanjoanense W
#10
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H14/12
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#1
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H19/12
LFB Women
Imortal W
#3
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H04/01
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#4
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A17/01
LFB Women
66.0Avg total
32.3Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)32.935.268.2-2.338%-
Last 30 at home (10)33.433.566.9-0.150%-
Last 30 away (6)32.238.270.3-6.017%-
Last 10 (10)32.333.766.0-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)31.037.868.8-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.041.874.8-8.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)34.032.066.0+2.067%-
vs Weaker (4)29.532.061.5-2.525%-
This opponent (Esgueira W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Esgueira Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira W: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
52%
27%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.917.8
51.0%
45.9%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.77.7
25.9%
29.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.314.6
75.6%
73.7%14.6
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sporting CP Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP W: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
52%
27%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.416.9
44.0%
45.9%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.3
32.9%
29.1%21.9
🏀 Free throws20.515.3
74.6%
73.7%15.3
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Esgueira W
WWLWWLWLLW
Sporting CP W
LLLWLWLWWW
#7
League position
#8
-1.2
Net rating
+8.9
91.2
Offensive rating
91.4
92.4
Defensive rating
82.6
45.4%
Effective FG%
46.0%
44.1%
Opp. effective FG%
42.6%
20.8%
Turnover %
25.8%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
25.9%
3-point %
32.9%
73.7%
Assist %
71.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence91.2 · 91.4Defence92.4 · 82.6Shooting45.4% · 46.0%3-point %25.9% · 32.9%Ball care20.8% · 25.8%Off. rebounds23.4% · 31.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Esgueira W   ■ Sporting CP W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Esgueira W wins
1
Sporting CP W wins
DateGameScore
02/11/25Sporting CP W v Esgueira W70-59
Esgueira Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/26AImortal W89-82
03/01/26HCAB Madeira W75-70
28/12/25AQuinta Dos Lombos W72-83
20/12/25HSanjoanense W91-89
13/12/25HSC Coimbroes W87-70
08/12/25ABarcelos W60-68
06/12/25HGalitos W81-78 OT
30/11/25AUniao Sportiva W62-81
22/11/25HBenfica W63-73
08/11/25HGdessa Barreiro W95-70
Sporting CP Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26AGdessa Barreiro W60-86
04/01/26HImortal W77-82
19/12/25HQuinta Dos Lombos W64-67
14/12/25HSanjoanense W69-67 OT
08/12/25ASC Coimbroes W68-77
06/12/25HBarcelos W74-64
03/12/25ABenfica W67-74
29/11/25AGalitos W67-51
23/11/25HUniao Sportiva W78-49
02/11/25HEsgueira W70-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira W
LFB Women 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW53%
HomeLWWWW62%
AwayLLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %53%62%43%
Points / game74.577.171.6
Allowed / game77.177.876.3
Point differential-2.5-0.6-4.7
Avg total151.6154.9147.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %13%12%14%
Sporting CP W
LFB Women 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL50%
HomeWWWLL75%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %50%75%17%
Points / game70.174.464.5
Allowed / game69.065.673.5
Point differential+1.1+8.8-9.0
Avg total139.1140.0138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quinta Dos Lombos W1615194%76.963.6+13.4
2 Benfica W1613381%76.462.1+14.2
3 Imortal W1611569%80.575.5+5.0
4 Barcelos W169756%69.870.9-1.2
5 Gdessa Barreiro W158753%69.068.9+0.1
6 Esgueira W158753%74.577.1-2.5
7 Uniao Sportiva W168850%73.771.6+2.1
8 Sporting CP W147750%70.169.0+1.1
9 Sanjoanense W1641225%73.481.2-7.8
10 SC Coimbroes W1641225%65.974.4-8.6
11 CAB Madeira W1431121%68.077.9-9.9
12 Galitos W1631319%63.670.9-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Esgueira W1329221882
Sporting CP W2615192080
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