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Eskilstuna W vs Umea W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 81-63
14-14 23-20 20-15 24-14
Position#14
Record5-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game64.1
vs
Position#17
Record3-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game60.2
Allowed / game67.1
SwedenBasketettan W· STIGA Sports Arena B
Women2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Eskilstuna W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Umea W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Eskilstuna WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Huddinge W
#6
L
84-87 OT
84
87
-3
no box
H25/03
Basketettan W
Norrkoping 2 W
#22
W
66-39
66
39
+27
no box
H15/04
Basketettan W
Lulea Stars W
#6
L
72-82
72
82
-10
74avg 70
H17/09
Basketettan W
Alvik 2 W
#4
W
80-70
80
70
+10
77avg 70
A23/09
Basketettan W
Tureberg W
#5
L
52-57
52
57
-5
38avg 70
A30/09
Basketettan W
Lulea 2 W
#20
W
77-68
77
68
+9
67avg 70
H08/10
Basketettan W
Hammarby W
#8
L
66-76
66
76
-10
69avg 70
A22/10
Basketettan W
Norrort W
#25
W
95-34
95
34
+61
96avg 70
H28/10
Basketettan W
Umea W
#17
W
80-70
80
70
+10
80avg 70
A04/11
Basketettan W
Lulea Stars W
#6
W
67-56
67
56
+11
61avg 70
A05/11
Basketettan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
27-9
21-26
7-16
12-11
17-7
15-11
22-10
18-15
19-32
20-21
15-14
18-12
19-27
21-10
22-21
15-6
9-18
11-12
17-21
27-18
14-13
19-18
17-19
16-23
18-14
12-17
20-22
23-11
22-6
14-14
36-3
22-17
15-23
16-16
27-14
14-15
22-9
17-10
14-22
137.8Avg total
73.9Scored
63.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.664.1137.8+9.562%
Season at home (3)81.361.3142.7+20.067%
Season away (5)69.065.8134.8+3.260%
Last 10 (10)73.963.9137.8+10.060%
Last 5 (5)77.060.8137.8+16.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)60.872.6133.4-11.829%
vs Similar (6)57.570.2127.7-12.717%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)76.653.1129.7+23.590%
This opponent (Umea W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Umea WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Tureberg W
#5
L
45-65
45
65
-20
32avg 48
A16/09
Basketettan W
KFUM Uppsala W
#21
W
85-56
85
56
+29
78avg 48
A17/09
Basketettan W
Blackeberg W
#13
L
57-69
57
69
-12
51avg 48
H24/09
Basketettan W
Ostersund 2 W
#26
W
75-46
75
46
+29
70avg 48
H01/10
Basketettan W
Alvik 2 W
#4
L
68-95
68
95
-27
54avg 48
A07/10
Basketettan W
Hammarby W
#8
W
72-64
72
64
+8
64avg 48
A08/10
Basketettan W
RIG Lulea W
#1
L
43-86
43
86
-43
22avg 48
A14/10
Basketettan W
Lulea 2 W
#20
L
42-50
42
50
-8
26avg 48
H21/10
Basketettan W
Lulea Stars W
#6
L
45-60
45
60
-15
27avg 48
A29/10
Basketettan W
Eskilstuna W
#14
L
70-80
70
80
-10
60avg 48
H04/11
Basketettan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-16
7-22
11-19
15-8
18-14
20-13
32-11
15-18
17-12
14-13
14-22
12-22
26-12
13-12
15-14
21-8
18-25
19-25
16-22
15-23
19-27
17-15
21-12
15-10
13-21
6-27
6-13
18-25
15-8
7-18
17-14
3-10
12-19
12-22
12-12
9-7
17-22
23-15
16-16
14-27
127.3Avg total
60.2Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)60.267.1127.3-6.930%
Season at home (4)61.061.2122.2-0.225%
Season away (6)59.771.0130.7-11.333%
Last 10 (10)60.267.1127.3-6.930%
Last 5 (5)54.468.0122.4-13.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)61.076.3137.3-15.325%
vs Similar (5)66.862.8129.6+4.040%
vs Weaker (9)70.356.4126.8+13.978%
This opponent (Eskilstuna W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -2.1-2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -2.1-2.1
Eskilstuna WUmea W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Eskilstuna WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Huddinge W
#6
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H25/03
Basketettan W
Norrkoping 2 W
#22
W
29-18
29
18
+11
H15/04
Basketettan W
Lulea Stars W
#6
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H17/09
Basketettan W
Alvik 2 W
#4
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A23/09
Basketettan W
Tureberg W
#5
D
24-24
24
24
+0
A30/09
Basketettan W
Lulea 2 W
#20
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H08/10
Basketettan W
Hammarby W
#8
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A22/10
Basketettan W
Norrort W
#25
W
45-17
45
17
+28
H28/10
Basketettan W
Umea W
#17
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A04/11
Basketettan W
Lulea Stars W
#6
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A05/11
Basketettan W
67.1Avg total
36.4Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.733.064.6-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.132.566.6+1.657%-
Last 30 away (16)29.533.462.9-3.925%-
Last 10 (10)36.430.767.1+5.750%-
Last 5 (5)38.629.868.4+8.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)30.535.465.9-4.929%-
vs Similar (6)26.834.561.3-7.717%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)36.228.664.8+7.670%-
This opponent (Umea W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Umea WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tureberg W
#5
L
19-38
19
38
-19
A16/09
Basketettan W
KFUM Uppsala W
#21
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A17/09
Basketettan W
Blackeberg W
#13
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H24/09
Basketettan W
Ostersund 2 W
#26
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H01/10
Basketettan W
Alvik 2 W
#4
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A07/10
Basketettan W
Hammarby W
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A08/10
Basketettan W
RIG Lulea W
#1
L
19-48
19
48
-29
A14/10
Basketettan W
Lulea 2 W
#20
L
22-26
22
26
-4
H21/10
Basketettan W
Lulea Stars W
#6
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A29/10
Basketettan W
Eskilstuna W
#14
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H04/11
Basketettan W
66.3Avg total
30.5Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)32.034.866.8-2.848%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.733.667.4+0.164%-
Last 30 away (15)30.535.966.3-5.433%-
Last 10 (10)30.535.866.3-5.340%-
Last 5 (5)28.238.867.0-10.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)29.539.268.7-9.727%-
vs Similar (5)30.432.062.4-1.640%-
vs Weaker (9)37.229.066.2+8.289%-
This opponent (Eskilstuna W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Eskilstuna Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Eskilstuna W: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.8 points a game
55%
28%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.522.0
43.6%
40.9%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.16.4
33.3%
26.7%19.1
🏀 Free throws15.110.8
71.1%
65.1%10.8
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Umea Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Umea W: 59.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.8 points a game
55%
28%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.014.6
37.4%
40.9%29.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.86.7
27.0%
26.7%20.1
🏀 Free throws15.310.4
68.0%
65.1%10.4
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Eskilstuna W
WWWLWLWLWL
Umea W
LLLLWLWLWL
#14
League position
#17
+11.3
Net rating
-9.5
88.9
Offensive rating
75.5
77.7
Defensive rating
85.0
45.3%
Effective FG%
38.6%
38.7%
Opp. effective FG%
42.3%
28.2%
Turnover %
27.6%
39.5%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.3%
3-point %
27.0%
73.1%
Assist %
61.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence88.9 · 75.5Defence77.7 · 85.0Shooting45.3% · 38.6%3-point %33.3% · 27.0%Ball care28.2% · 27.6%Off. rebounds39.5% · 30.4%Free throws0.22 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Eskilstuna W   ■ Umea W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Eskilstuna W wins
0
Umea W wins
DateGameScore
04/11/23Umea W v Eskilstuna W70-80
Eskilstuna Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23ALulea Stars W67-56
04/11/23AUmea W80-70
28/10/23HNorrort W95-34
22/10/23AHammarby W66-76
08/10/23HLulea 2 W77-68
30/09/23ATureberg W52-57
23/09/23AAlvik 2 W80-70
17/09/23HLulea Stars W72-82
15/04/23HNorrkoping 2 W66-39
25/03/23HHuddinge W84-87 OT
Umea Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23HEskilstuna W70-80
29/10/23ALulea Stars W45-60
21/10/23HLulea 2 W42-50
14/10/23ARIG Lulea W43-86
08/10/23AHammarby W72-64
07/10/23AAlvik 2 W68-95
01/10/23HOstersund 2 W75-46
24/09/23HBlackeberg W57-69
17/09/23AKFUM Uppsala W85-56
16/09/23ATureberg W45-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Eskilstuna W
Basketettan W 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW62%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %62%67%60%
Points / game73.681.369.0
Allowed / game64.161.365.8
Point differential+9.5+20.0+3.2
Avg total137.8142.7134.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Umea W
Basketettan W 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL30%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %30%25%33%
Points / game60.261.059.7
Allowed / game67.161.271.0
Point differential-6.9-0.2-11.3
Avg total127.3122.2130.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Malbas Malmo W880100%74.541.9+32.6
2 RIG Lulea W76186%75.160.7+14.4
3 Onsala W65183%69.862.3+7.5
4 Tureberg W119282%68.052.7+15.3
5 Alvik 2 W108280%82.463.8+18.6
6 KFUM Kalmar W97278%73.462.3+11.1
7 Lidingo W75271%74.661.3+13.3
8 Lulea Stars W75271%66.759.6+7.1
9 Brahe W64267%64.755.5+9.2
10 RIG Mark W64267%65.758.3+7.3
11 Eskilstuna W85362%73.664.1+9.5
12 Lobas W74357%61.648.7+12.9
13 Hammarby W95456%66.763.6+3.1
14 Blackeberg W105550%75.762.0+13.7
15 Fryshuset Basket W84450%72.261.0+11.2
16 Sodertalje 2 W104640%60.068.3-8.3
17 Kvarnby Lions W83538%70.269.8+0.5
18 IK Eos Utveckling W83538%68.471.8-3.4
19 Umea W103730%60.267.1-6.9
20 Lulea 2 W103730%57.764.7-7.0
21 KFUM Uppsala W103730%64.271.9-7.7
22 Huddinge W92722%51.367.1-15.8
23 Team4Q W81712%44.278.2-34.0
24 Ostersund 2 W101910%43.786.9-43.2
25 Haga Norrkoping W5050%22.837.8-15.0
26 Norrort W7070%47.087.1-40.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Eskilstuna W1423202481
Umea W1420151463
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