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Espoo Team W vs Kouvottaret W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Projected 81-72
Projected total 152.6
Final 89-83
28-23 20-20 15-17 26-23
Position#1
Record4-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game76.4
Espoo Team W 🏆
Finland
Vs
78%
22%
■ ESPO 78%■ KOUV 22%
Pythia win probability
Kouvottaret W
Finland
Position#2
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game71.0
FinlandKorisliiga W· Espoonlahden urheiluhalli
Women2026-27
Meetings · Espoo Team W v Kouvottaret W
16 Dec 2026
ESPO v KOUV
upcoming
07 Nov 2026
ESPO89
KOUV83
07 Feb 2026
ESPO78
KOUV61
26 Nov 2025
ESPO91
KOUV61
31 Mar 2025
ESPO87
KOUV80
27 Mar 2025
ESPO77
KOUV84
23 Nov 2024
ESPO76
KOUV86
09 Mar 2024
ESPO86
KOUV74
04 Oct 2023
ESPO66
KOUV67
21 Dec 2022
ESPO91
KOUV82
30 Oct 2021
ESPO63
KOUV78
06 Mar 2021
ESPO81
KOUV89
05 Nov 2020
ESPO100
KOUV61
29 Feb 2020
ESPO52
KOUV72
26 Oct 2019
ESPO61
KOUV73
15 Dec 2018
ESPO82
KOUV85
17 Jan 2018
ESPO73
KOUV62
01 Feb 2017
ESPO51
KOUV66
05 Oct 2016
ESPO69
KOUV73
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Espoo Team W hosts Kouvottaret W on 7 November 2026 in the Korisliiga W, and the Pythia model names Espoo Team W the clear favourite, assigning a 78% chance to win, a figure that reflects their 4-1 record and 83.0 points per game against 76.4 allowed, while Kouvottaret W sit undefeated at 5-0 with 79.0 points per game and 71.0 allowed. Espoo's home form is flawless, 2-0 at home with 103.5 points scored and 76.5 allowed, and their last five games include a 110-64 home win over Tapiolan Honka W and a 70-65 away victory over Pyrinto W. Kouvottaret's road record is also perfect, 2-0 with 75.0 points per game and 63.5 allowed, and their five-game streak features a 78-72 away win over Vimpelin Veto W. Historically, Espoo has edged Kouvottaret 6-4 in ten meetings, most recently winning 78-61 on 7 February 2026. Pythia projects a final score of 81-72, with a total of 152.5 points, and a 4% chance of overtime. The model assigns a 78% probability that Espoo will cover the spread.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Espoo Team W winWon
77.8%fair 1.29
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kouvottaret W winLost
22.2%fair 4.50
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Espoo Team WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Pyrinto W
#2
L
74-78
74
78
-4
64avg 63
A11/03
Korisliiga W
PeKa W
#1
L
85-91
85
91
-6
74avg 63
A14/03
Korisliiga W
HBA-Marsky Helsinki W
#4
L
52-67
52
67
-15
32avg 63
H18/03
Korisliiga W
HBA-Marsky Helsinki W
#4
L
68-76
68
76
-8
50avg 63
A20/03
Korisliiga W
HBA-Marsky Helsinki W
#4
L
68-75
68
75
-7
58avg 63
H24/03
Korisliiga W
HBA-Marsky Helsinki W
#3
L
70-97
70
97
-27
50avg 63
A07/10
Korisliiga W
BC Nokia W
#7
W
97-89
97
89
+8
86avg 63
H10/10
Korisliiga W
Torpan Pojat Helsinki W
#4
W
68-67
68
67
+1
53avg 63
A17/10
Korisliiga W
Tapiolan Honka W
#8
W
110-64
110
64
+46
109avg 63
H24/10
Korisliiga W
Pyrinto W
#6
W
70-65
70
65
+5
43avg 63
A28/10
Korisliiga W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
23-19
11-18
20-22
22-20
27-30
19-19
17-22
10-11
9-18
21-17
12-21
16-14
16-21
20-24
16-17
14-16
19-13
16-23
19-23
19-18
15-27
8-34
28-18
30-19
28-28
20-25
19-17
11-14
17-19
21-19
19-15
24-4
27-27
23-20
36-13
17-24
18-19
21-14
14-8
153.1Avg total
76.2Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.076.4159.4+6.680%
Season at home (2)103.576.5180.0+27.0100%
Season away (3)69.376.3145.7-7.067%
Last 10 (10)76.276.9153.1-0.740%
Last 5 (5)83.076.4159.4+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.278.4148.6-8.240%
vs Similar ◀ (11)72.575.4147.9-2.836%
vs Weaker (14)82.568.9151.4+13.679%
This opponent (Kouvottaret W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kouvottaret WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Vimpelin Veto W
#3
L
82-99
82
99
-17
71avg 60
A21/02
Korisliiga W
Tapiolan Honka W
#8
L
52-73
52
73
-21
39avg 60
H27/02
Korisliiga W
Pyrinto W
#2
L
93-97 OT
93
97
-4
77avg 60
H06/03
Korisliiga W
BC Nokia W
#6
L
58-65
58
65
-7
50avg 60
A11/03
Korisliiga W
HBA-Marsky Helsinki W
#4
L
55-94
55
94
-39
41avg 60
H14/03
Korisliiga W
Torpan Pojat Helsinki W
#4
W
96-89
96
89
+7
86avg 60
H02/10
Korisliiga W
Tapiolan Honka W
#8
W
72-55
72
55
+17
70avg 60
A07/10
Korisliiga W
Pyrinto W
#6
W
63-57
63
57
+6
51avg 60
H10/10
Korisliiga W
Vimpelin Veto W
#9
W
78-72
78
72
+6
68avg 60
A24/10
Korisliiga W
PeKa W
#5
W
86-82
86
82
+4
no box
H01/11
Korisliiga W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-32
24-24
22-26
21-17
11-15
22-20
11-24
8-14
19-24
19-18
24-13
15-22
15-15
13-12
10-16
20-22
15-21
10-26
12-17
18-30
26-23
18-23
26-20
26-23
22-16
22-17
15-13
13-9
17-11
9-18
21-18
16-10
19-18
31-17
21-20
7-17
21-18
21-21
23-25
21-18
151.8Avg total
73.5Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.071.0150.0+8.0100%
Season at home (3)81.776.0157.7+5.7100%
Season away (2)75.063.5138.5+11.5100%
Last 10 (10)73.578.3151.8-4.850%
Last 5 (5)79.071.0150.0+8.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)66.982.6149.5-15.716%
vs Similar ◀ (1)74.078.0152.0-4.00%
vs Weaker (4)74.866.5141.2+8.2100%
This opponent (Espoo Team W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 143Actual: Over 143
Over 143
72.2%
Under 143
27.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 148Actual: Over 148
Over 148
60.9%
Under 148
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 153Actual: Over 153
Over 153
48.5%
Under 153
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Espoo Team W total 70.5Actual: Espoo Team W over 70.5
Over 70.5
84.3%
Under 70.5
15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Espoo Team W total 74.5Actual: Espoo Team W over 74.5
Over 74.5
73.0%
Under 74.5
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Espoo Team W total 78.5Actual: Espoo Team W over 78.5
Over 78.5
58.5%
Under 78.5
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kouvottaret W total 69.5Actual: Kouvottaret W over 69.5
Over 69.5
59.0%
Under 69.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kouvottaret W total 73.5Actual: Kouvottaret W over 73.5
Over 73.5
43.5%
Under 73.5
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kouvottaret W total 77.5Actual: Kouvottaret W over 77.5
Over 77.5
29.2%
Under 77.5
70.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Espoo Team W -3Actual: Espoo Team W -3
ESPO -3
71.1%
KOUV +3
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
ESPO
No market prices yet.
KOUV
No market prices yet.
Spread Espoo Team W 0Actual: Espoo Team W 0
ESPO 0
77.8%
KOUV 0
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
ESPO
No market prices yet.
KOUV
No market prices yet.
Spread Espoo Team W +3Actual: Espoo Team W +3
ESPO +3
84.1%
KOUV -3
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
ESPO
No market prices yet.
KOUV
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -1.7-1.7
Espoo Team WKouvottaret W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Espoo Team WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pyrinto W
#2
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A11/03
Korisliiga W
PeKa W
#1
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A14/03
Korisliiga W
HBA-Marsky Helsinki W
#4
L
19-29
19
29
-10
H18/03
Korisliiga W
HBA-Marsky Helsinki W
#4
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A20/03
Korisliiga W
HBA-Marsky Helsinki W
#4
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H24/03
Korisliiga W
HBA-Marsky Helsinki W
#3
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A07/10
Korisliiga W
BC Nokia W
#7
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H10/10
Korisliiga W
Torpan Pojat Helsinki W
#4
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A17/10
Korisliiga W
Tapiolan Honka W
#8
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H24/10
Korisliiga W
Pyrinto W
#6
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A28/10
Korisliiga W
76.2Avg total
38.2Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.536.575.9+3.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.533.774.3+6.873%-
Last 30 away (15)38.439.277.6-0.820%-
Last 10 (10)38.238.076.2+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.881.0+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.039.274.2-4.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.036.774.7+1.345%-
vs Weaker (14)42.235.377.5+6.957%-
This opponent (Kouvottaret W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kouvottaret WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vimpelin Veto W
#3
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A21/02
Korisliiga W
Tapiolan Honka W
#8
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H27/02
Korisliiga W
Pyrinto W
#2
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H06/03
Korisliiga W
BC Nokia W
#6
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A11/03
Korisliiga W
HBA-Marsky Helsinki W
#4
L
25-47
25
47
-22
H14/03
Korisliiga W
Torpan Pojat Helsinki W
#4
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H02/10
Korisliiga W
Tapiolan Honka W
#8
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A07/10
Korisliiga W
Pyrinto W
#6
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H10/10
Korisliiga W
Vimpelin Veto W
#9
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A24/10
Korisliiga W
PeKa W
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H01/11
Korisliiga W
75.8Avg total
36.9Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.839.974.8-5.130%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.639.773.2-6.125%-
Last 30 away (14)36.340.276.5-3.936%-
Last 10 (10)36.938.975.8-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)41.236.477.6+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)34.240.975.2-6.724%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)27.039.066.0-12.00%-
vs Weaker (4)40.534.074.5+6.575%-
This opponent (Espoo Team W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Espoo Team Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Espoo Team W: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.0 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.519.7
41.5%
45.7%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.57.2
24.4%
28.2%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.815.2
69.7%
66.7%15.2
They take 77.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kouvottaret Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kouvottaret W: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.0 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.215.3
40.1%
45.7%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.98.4
29.1%
28.2%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.315.8
74.2%
66.7%15.8
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Espoo Team W
WWWWLLLLLL
Kouvottaret W
WWWWWLLLLL
#1
League position
#2
-0.6
Net rating
-5.7
73.2
Offensive rating
76.1
73.8
Defensive rating
81.9
39.6%
Effective FG%
41.6%
44.1%
Opp. effective FG%
45.1%
17.8%
Turnover %
19.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
24.4%
3-point %
29.1%
53.9%
Assist %
54.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence73.2 · 76.1Defence73.8 · 81.9Shooting39.6% · 41.6%3-point %24.4% · 29.1%Ball care17.8% · 19.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Espoo Team W   ■ Kouvottaret W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Espoo Team W wins
4
Kouvottaret W wins
DateGameScore
07/02/26Espoo Team W v Kouvottaret W78-61
12/12/25Kouvottaret W v Espoo Team W59-88
26/11/25Espoo Team W v Kouvottaret W91-61
02/04/25Kouvottaret W v Espoo Team W74-78 OT
31/03/25Espoo Team W v Kouvottaret W87-80
29/03/25Kouvottaret W v Espoo Team W88-64
27/03/25Espoo Team W v Kouvottaret W77-84 OT
25/03/25Kouvottaret W v Espoo Team W66-76
22/01/25Kouvottaret W v Espoo Team W71-65
23/11/24Espoo Team W v Kouvottaret W76-86
Espoo Team Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26APyrinto W70-65
24/10/26HTapiolan Honka W110-64
17/10/26ATorpan Pojat Helsinki W68-67
10/10/26HBC Nokia W97-89
07/10/26AHBA-Marsky Helsinki W70-97
24/03/26HHBA-Marsky Helsinki W68-75
20/03/26AHBA-Marsky Helsinki W68-76
18/03/26HHBA-Marsky Helsinki W52-67
14/03/26APeKa W85-91
11/03/26APyrinto W74-78
Kouvottaret Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26HPeKa W86-82
24/10/26AVimpelin Veto W78-72
10/10/26HPyrinto W63-57
07/10/26ATapiolan Honka W72-55
02/10/26HTorpan Pojat Helsinki W96-89
14/03/26HHBA-Marsky Helsinki W55-94
11/03/26ABC Nokia W58-65
06/03/26HPyrinto W93-97 OT
27/02/26HTapiolan Honka W52-73
21/02/26AVimpelin Veto W82-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Espoo Team W
Korisliiga W 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game83.0103.569.3
Allowed / game76.476.576.3
Point differential+6.6+27.0-7.0
Avg total159.4180.0145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kouvottaret W
Korisliiga W 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game79.081.775.0
Allowed / game71.076.063.5
Point differential+8.0+5.7+11.5
Avg total150.0157.7138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kouvottaret W550100%79.071.0+8.0
2 HBA-Marsky Helsinki W54180%87.267.8+19.4
3 Espoo Team W54180%83.076.4+6.6
4 Torpan Pojat Helsinki W64267%90.767.2+23.5
5 PeKa W63350%72.779.0-6.3
6 Pyrinto W52340%68.671.4-2.8
7 BC Nokia W51420%72.488.4-16.0
8 Tapiolan Honka W61517%68.584.7-16.2
9 Vimpelin Veto W5050%70.687.0-16.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Espoo Team W2820152689
Kouvottaret W2320172383
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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