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Estepona W vs Gran Canaria W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 80-64
15-22 22-18 23-13 20-11
Position#9
Record4-10
FormWLWLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game76.9
vs
Position#16
Record3-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game81.5
SpainLiga Femenina WRound 15
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estepona W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gran Canaria W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estepona WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Ferrol W
#8
W
95-75
95
75
+20
102avg 62
A01/11
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#4
L
49-63
49
63
-14
38avg 62
A07/11
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
70-75
70
75
-5
62avg 62
H23/11
Liga Femenina W
Valencia W
#3
L
74-82
74
82
-8
72avg 62
A30/11
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
L
70-86
70
86
-16
59avg 62
H03/12
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#15
W
91-71
91
71
+20
94avg 62
A06/12
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#10
L
60-85
60
85
-25
44avg 62
A14/12
Liga Femenina W
Joventut Badalona W
#13
W
66-62
66
62
+4
60avg 62
H20/12
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#5
L
72-77
72
77
-5
62avg 62
H28/12
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#14
L
70-89
70
89
-19
56avg 62
A04/01
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
25-14
26-18
20-21
13-14
8-19
9-16
19-14
19-30
13-18
20-17
18-10
21-22
23-21
16-10
14-29
16-22
18-21
18-18
18-25
23-21
27-17
19-23
22-10
20-17
19-23
11-25
10-20
10-20
17-12
23-16
16-14
17-19
22-19
15-15
18-24
21-16
16-25
8-25
25-23
148.2Avg total
71.7Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)70.076.9146.9-6.929%
Season at home (6)66.873.5140.3-6.733%
Season away (8)72.479.4151.8-7.025%
Last 10 (10)71.776.5148.2-4.830%
Last 5 (5)71.876.8148.6-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)64.675.4140.0-10.80%
vs Similar (7)70.977.0147.9-6.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)80.580.0160.5+0.550%
This opponent (Gran Canaria W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran Canaria WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Leganes W
#7
L
56-84
56
84
-28
43avg 55
A01/11
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#6
L
79-83
79
83
-4
69avg 55
H07/11
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#14
L
71-73
71
73
-2
62avg 55
A23/11
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#8
W
93-81
93
81
+12
99avg 55
H30/11
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#15
W
83-77
83
77
+6
70avg 55
A03/12
Liga Femenina W
Valencia W
#3
L
66-83
66
83
-17
53avg 55
A07/12
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
W
87-74
87
74
+13
88avg 55
H20/12
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#10
L
69-92
69
92
-23
52avg 55
A27/12
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
L
67-93
67
93
-26
60avg 55
H30/12
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
57-82
57
82
-25
44avg 55
H04/01
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-23
18-18
15-22
11-21
19-23
27-23
11-21
22-16
16-18
21-16
14-20
20-19
19-29
33-21
24-17
17-14
24-16
23-17
18-26
18-18
17-27
26-20
13-19
10-17
23-20
19-13
25-26
20-15
13-24
15-18
23-21
18-29
15-32
11-13
20-28
21-20
12-18
14-19
16-21
15-24
155.0Avg total
72.8Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)72.281.5153.7-9.321%
Season at home (7)76.383.4159.7-7.129%
Season away (7)68.179.6147.7-11.414%
Last 10 (10)72.882.2155.0-9.430%
Last 5 (5)69.284.8154.0-15.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)68.080.0148.0-11.914%
vs Similar (6)66.765.5132.2+1.250%
vs Weaker (2)58.053.5111.5+4.550%
This opponent (Estepona W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -6.0-6.0Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -2.1-2.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -6.0-6.0Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -2.1-2.1
Estepona WGran Canaria W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Estepona WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferrol W
#8
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A01/11
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#4
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A07/11
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H23/11
Liga Femenina W
Valencia W
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A30/11
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H03/12
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#15
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A06/12
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#10
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/12
Liga Femenina W
Joventut Badalona W
#13
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H20/12
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#5
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H28/12
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#14
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A04/01
Liga Femenina W
76.4Avg total
37.2Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)37.139.276.3-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (6)32.241.073.2-8.817%-
Last 30 away (8)40.837.978.6+2.962%-
Last 10 (10)37.239.276.4-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.437.876.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.042.074.0-10.040%-
vs Similar (7)38.937.176.0+1.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)43.539.583.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Gran Canaria W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran Canaria WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leganes W
#7
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A01/11
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H07/11
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#14
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A23/11
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#8
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H30/11
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#15
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A03/12
Liga Femenina W
Valencia W
#3
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A07/12
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H20/12
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#10
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A27/12
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
L
26-45
26
45
-19
H30/12
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H04/01
Liga Femenina W
78.5Avg total
37.7Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.236.869.9-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.039.773.7-5.729%-
Last 30 away (16)32.434.266.6-1.838%-
Last 10 (10)37.740.878.5-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)33.040.873.8-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)34.539.473.9-5.029%-
vs Similar (6)31.535.266.7-3.733%-
vs Weaker (2)27.022.549.5+4.550%-
This opponent (Estepona W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estepona Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estepona W: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.5 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.013.0
46.4%
46.8%26.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.09.0
37.5%
32.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws25.017.0
68.0%
74.2%17.0
They take 52.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gran Canaria Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gran Canaria W: 57.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.5 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.017.0
39.5%
46.8%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.05.0
26.3%
32.1%15.0
🏀 Free throws10.08.0
80.0%
74.2%8.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estepona W
LLWLWLLLLW
Gran Canaria W
LLLWLWWLLL
#9
League position
#16
-27.7
Net rating
-34.9
102.1
Offensive rating
79.5
129.8
Defensive rating
114.3
51.0%
Effective FG%
39.5%
57.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.48
Free-throw rate
0.16
37.5%
3-point %
26.3%
59.1%
Assist %
40.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.1 · 79.5Defence129.8 · 114.3Shooting51.0% · 39.5%3-point %37.5% · 26.3%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.48 · 0.16Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Estepona W   ■ Gran Canaria W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Estepona W wins
0
Gran Canaria W wins
No previous meetings.
Estepona Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26ACadi La Seu W70-89
28/12/25HJairis W72-77
20/12/25HJoventut Badalona W66-62
14/12/25AEstudiantes W60-85
06/12/25AAraski W91-71
03/12/25HGernika Bizkaia W70-86
30/11/25AValencia W74-82
23/11/25HZaragoza W70-75
07/11/25APerfumerias Avenida W49-63
01/11/25AFerrol W95-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26HZaragoza W57-82
30/12/25HUni Girona W67-93
27/12/25AEstudiantes W69-92
20/12/25HGernika Bizkaia W87-74
07/12/25AValencia W66-83
03/12/25AAraski W83-77
30/11/25HFerrol W93-81
23/11/25ACadi La Seu W71-73
07/11/25HEnsino W79-83
01/11/25ALeganes W56-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estepona W
Liga Femenina W 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL29%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayLLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game70.066.872.4
Allowed / game76.973.579.4
Point differential-6.9-6.7-7.0
Avg total146.9140.3151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gran Canaria W
Liga Femenina W 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL21%
HomeLWWLL29%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %21%29%14%
Points / game72.276.368.1
Allowed / game81.583.479.6
Point differential-9.3-7.1-11.4
Avg total153.7159.7147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uni Girona W1413193%83.065.7+17.3
2 Zaragoza W1413193%80.067.6+12.4
3 Valencia W1410471%74.066.1+7.9
4 Jairis W148657%71.467.4+3.9
5 Perfumerias Avenida W148657%67.766.7+1.0
6 Ensino W148657%71.872.1-0.3
7 IDK Gipuzkoa W147750%66.265.9+0.4
8 Ferrol W147750%71.575.6-4.1
9 Leganes W146843%66.968.4-1.4
10 Estudiantes W145936%78.178.6-0.4
11 Joventut Badalona W145936%71.474.1-2.7
12 Gernika Bizkaia W145936%72.477.3-4.9
13 Cadi La Seu W145936%69.175.1-6.0
14 Araski W145936%63.770.5-6.8
15 Estepona W1441029%70.076.9-6.9
16 Gran Canaria W1431121%72.281.5-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estepona W1522232080
Gran Canaria W2218131164
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