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Estonia U20 vs Italy U20 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jul 2013
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 78-90
14-22 26-31 19-11 19-26
Position#16
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game62.7
Allowed / game67.7
vs
Position#2
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game70.0
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estonia U20 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Italy U20 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estonia U20Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukraine U20
#14
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H14/07
EuroBasket U20
Georgia U20
#16
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H16/07
EuroBasket U20
Sweden U20
#8
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A17/07
EuroBasket U20
Montenegro U20
#12
W
76-72
76
72
+4
A18/07
EuroBasket U20
Georgia U20
#16
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A20/07
EuroBasket U20
Sweden U20
#8
L
54-91
54
91
-37
H21/07
EuroBasket U20
Montenegro U20
#12
L
71-87
71
87
-16
H22/07
EuroBasket U20
Slovenia U20
#9
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A09/07
EuroBasket U20
France U20
#5
L
44-66
44
66
-22
H11/07
EuroBasket U20
Czech Republic U20
#19
W
75-58
75
58
+17
A12/07
EuroBasket U20
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
16-18
17-17
21-16
19-16
24-20
20-24
24-13
18-15
16-11
13-25
19-18
20-19
16-19
17-16
23-18
17-17
19-16
19-20
17-22
13-18
14-23
14-29
13-21
26-18
13-18
14-20
18-31
25-20
20-27
15-17
9-15
13-19
11-10
10-18
10-19
21-15
11-9
23-25
20-9
142.5Avg total
68.3Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)62.767.7130.3-5.033%
Season at home (1)44.066.0110.0-22.00%
Season away (2)72.068.5140.5+3.550%
Last 10 (10)68.374.2142.5-5.930%
Last 5 (5)62.676.2138.8-13.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)62.680.3142.9-17.714%
vs Similar (6)72.372.8145.2-0.533%
vs Weaker (8)81.968.1150.0+13.875%
This opponent (Italy U20) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Italy U20Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lithuania U20
#3
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H13/07
EuroBasket U20
Sweden U20
#8
W
87-62
87
62
+25
A14/07
EuroBasket U20
Turkey U20
#5
L
68-95
68
95
-27
H16/07
EuroBasket U20
Spain U20
#6
W
78-76
78
76
+2
A17/07
EuroBasket U20
Latvia U20
#11
L
78-94
78
94
-16
H18/07
EuroBasket U20
Russia U20
#9
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A20/07
EuroBasket U20
Turkey U20
#5
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H21/07
EuroBasket U20
France U20
#5
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H09/07
EuroBasket U20
Czech Republic U20
#19
W
89-75
89
75
+14
A10/07
EuroBasket U20
Slovenia U20
#9
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H12/07
EuroBasket U20
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
23-15
29-19
22-24
18-24
16-12
25-12
28-14
8-25
20-27
24-21
16-22
22-28
13-11
22-17
21-20
14-19
16-28
17-24
31-23
13-24
12-16
20-7
24-21
19-19
23-14
12-16
7-16
17-26
19-16
18-12
22-16
23-13
27-19
23-22
16-21
14-11
22-18
13-21
12-15
150.8Avg total
75.6Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.370.0145.3+5.367%
Season at home (2)68.567.5136.0+1.050%
Season away (1)89.075.0164.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.675.2150.8+0.460%
Last 5 (5)71.268.6139.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)72.277.4149.6-5.129%
vs Similar (7)74.768.0142.7+6.786%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)72.665.9138.4+6.771%
This opponent (Estonia U20) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.7+0.7
Estonia U20Italy U20
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Estonia U20Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukraine U20
#14
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H14/07
EuroBasket U20
Georgia U20
#16
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H16/07
EuroBasket U20
Sweden U20
#8
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A17/07
EuroBasket U20
Montenegro U20
#12
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A18/07
EuroBasket U20
Georgia U20
#16
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A20/07
EuroBasket U20
Sweden U20
#8
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H21/07
EuroBasket U20
Montenegro U20
#12
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H22/07
EuroBasket U20
Slovenia U20
#9
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A09/07
EuroBasket U20
France U20
#5
L
24-29
24
29
-5
H11/07
EuroBasket U20
Czech Republic U20
#19
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A12/07
EuroBasket U20
69.6Avg total
34.7Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)37.036.173.1+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (10)34.637.271.8-2.630%-
Last 30 away (11)39.135.274.3+3.955%-
Last 10 (10)34.734.969.6-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)33.435.468.8-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)31.637.469.0-5.929%-
vs Similar (6)37.338.275.5-0.817%-
vs Weaker (8)41.433.574.9+7.975%-
This opponent (Italy U20) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Italy U20Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lithuania U20
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H13/07
EuroBasket U20
Sweden U20
#8
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A14/07
EuroBasket U20
Turkey U20
#5
L
28-52
28
52
-24
H16/07
EuroBasket U20
Spain U20
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A17/07
EuroBasket U20
Latvia U20
#11
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H18/07
EuroBasket U20
Russia U20
#9
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A20/07
EuroBasket U20
Turkey U20
#5
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H21/07
EuroBasket U20
France U20
#5
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H09/07
EuroBasket U20
Czech Republic U20
#19
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A10/07
EuroBasket U20
Slovenia U20
#9
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H12/07
EuroBasket U20
74.3Avg total
35.4Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)35.936.672.4-0.746%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.539.175.6-2.643%-
Last 30 away (14)35.234.169.3+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)35.438.974.3-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)37.835.273.0+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)34.139.273.4-5.129%-
vs Similar (7)36.736.473.1+0.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)38.431.469.9+7.071%-
This opponent (Estonia U20) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Estonia U20 wins
0
Italy U20 wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/07/13ACzech Republic U2075-58
11/07/13HFrance U2044-66
09/07/13ASlovenia U2069-79
22/07/12HMontenegro U2071-87
21/07/12HSweden U2054-91
20/07/12AGeorgia U2072-75
18/07/12AMontenegro U2076-72
17/07/12ASweden U2066-69
16/07/12HGeorgia U2087-73
14/07/12HUkraine U2069-72
Italy U20last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/07/13HSlovenia U2061-65
10/07/13ACzech Republic U2089-75
09/07/13HFrance U2076-70
21/07/12HTurkey U2061-65
20/07/12ARussia U2069-68
18/07/12HLatvia U2078-94
17/07/12ASpain U2078-76
16/07/12HTurkey U2068-95
14/07/12ASweden U2087-62
13/07/12HLithuania U2089-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estonia U20
EuroBasket U20 2013
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game62.744.072.0
Allowed / game67.766.068.5
Point differential-5.0-22.0+3.5
Avg total130.3110.0140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Italy U20
EuroBasket U20 2013
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game75.368.589.0
Allowed / game70.067.575.0
Point differential+5.3+1.0+14.0
Avg total145.3136.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Latvia U20440100%83.270.0+13.2
2 Greece U20440100%74.066.0+8.0
3 Lithuania U2043175%80.863.0+17.8
4 Montenegro U2043175%81.065.8+15.2
5 Spain U2043175%71.063.5+7.5
6 Turkey U2043175%77.572.8+4.8
7 Slovenia U2043175%68.865.8+3.0
8 France U2032167%65.757.7+8.0
9 Italy U2032167%75.370.0+5.3
10 Germany U2042250%68.267.5+0.8
11 Russia U2042250%73.073.0+0.0
12 Croatia U2042250%73.275.8-2.5
13 Estonia U2031233%62.767.7-5.0
14 Serbia U2041325%70.566.2+4.2
15 Ukraine U2041325%69.277.0-7.8
16 Sweden U2041325%72.282.0-9.8
17 Israel U2041325%62.073.5-11.5
18 Bulgaria U204040%66.575.8-9.2
19 Czech Republic U203030%68.380.7-12.3
20 Georgia U204040%59.290.0-30.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estonia U201426191978
Italy U202231112690
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