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Estonia W vs Sweden W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 52-82
17-22 13-14 7-26 15-20
Position#31
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game49.0
Allowed / game82.0
Estonia W
vs
Sweden W 🏆
Position#4
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game65.5
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 3· Nord Cramo Spordihoone
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estonia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sweden W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estonia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Russia W
#5
L
35-79
35
79
-44
no box
A04/02
European Championship Women
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#6
L
52-78
52
78
-26
no box
H06/02
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#18
L
43-62
43
62
-19
no box
A11/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#21
W
72-69
72
69
+3
no box
H14/11
European Championship Women
Greece W
#14
L
61-86
61
86
-25
no box
A24/11
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#18
L
52-76
52
76
-24
no box
H27/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#21
L
45-100
45
100
-55
no box
A09/02
European Championship Women
Greece W
#14
L
65-67
65
67
-2
no box
H12/02
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
L
53-81
53
81
-28
44avg 37
A09/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
45-83
45
83
-38
30avg 37
H12/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-23
7-22
10-24
7-10
11-17
12-20
14-20
15-21
14-15
11-17
4-23
14-7
19-19
16-22
16-10
21-18
15-27
15-17
20-22
11-20
12-27
16-21
6-8
18-20
10-23
7-25
20-24
8-28
16-18
18-14
19-15
12-20
14-18
13-21
12-28
14-14
12-17
11-23
13-16
9-27
130.4Avg total
52.3Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)49.082.0131.0-33.00%
Season at home (1)45.083.0128.0-38.00%
Season away (1)53.081.0134.0-28.00%
Last 10 (10)52.378.1130.4-25.810%
Last 5 (5)52.081.4133.4-29.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)54.778.9133.6-24.27%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sweden W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sweden WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Belarus W
#10
L
54-78
54
78
-24
no box
H20/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#7
W
64-46
64
46
+18
no box
A21/06
European Championship Women
Belarus W
#10
L
46-58
46
58
-12
no box
A23/06
European Championship Women
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#6
L
63-82
63
82
-19
no box
H26/06
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#7
L
70-89
70
89
-19
no box
A14/11
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
L
68-75
68
75
-7
no box
H24/11
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
L
57-71
57
71
-14
no box
A09/02
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#7
L
65-71
65
71
-6
no box
H12/02
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
64-62
64
62
+2
59avg 65
A09/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
W
76-69
76
69
+7
71avg 65
H12/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
11-15
13-17
12-21
19-11
11-9
15-17
19-9
10-15
4-11
17-19
15-13
10-25
21-30
19-11
13-16
21-22
18-25
21-23
10-19
14-14
16-13
15-28
23-20
10-19
22-12
8-23
17-17
19-16
18-9
13-20
15-26
18-18
17-13
15-17
14-14
21-20
16-18
23-15
16-16
132.8Avg total
62.7Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)70.065.5135.5+4.5100%
Season at home (1)76.069.0145.0+7.0100%
Season away (1)64.062.0126.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)62.770.1132.8-7.430%
Last 5 (5)66.069.6135.6-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)59.272.5131.8-13.212%
vs Similar (5)57.868.8126.6-11.020%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)75.356.8132.2+18.583%
This opponent (Estonia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.0-7.0Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -7.6-7.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: -1.7-1.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.0-7.0Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -7.6-7.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: -1.7-1.7
Estonia WSweden W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Estonia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Russia W
#5
L
18-45
18
45
-27
A04/02
European Championship Women
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#6
L
23-37
23
37
-14
H06/02
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#18
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A11/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#21
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H14/11
European Championship Women
Greece W
#14
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A24/11
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#18
L
28-48
28
48
-20
H27/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#21
L
17-48
17
48
-31
A09/02
European Championship Women
Greece W
#14
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H12/02
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A09/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H12/11
European Championship Women
66.6Avg total
26.0Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)27.441.168.5-13.814%-
Last 30 at home (7)29.438.467.9-9.029%-
Last 30 away (7)25.343.969.1-18.60%-
Last 10 (10)26.040.666.6-14.610%-
Last 5 (5)25.841.467.2-15.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)27.441.168.5-13.814%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sweden W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sweden WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belarus W
#10
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H20/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#7
W
30-20
30
20
+10
A21/06
European Championship Women
Belarus W
#10
L
14-26
14
26
-12
A23/06
European Championship Women
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#6
L
31-55
31
55
-24
H26/06
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#7
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A14/11
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H24/11
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A09/02
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#7
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H12/02
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A09/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H12/11
European Championship Women
65.4Avg total
31.4Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)31.631.262.8+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (10)34.631.666.2+3.060%-
Last 30 away (9)28.330.859.1-2.444%-
Last 10 (10)31.434.065.4-2.650%-
Last 5 (5)34.230.464.6+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)28.534.663.1-6.138%-
vs Similar (5)28.031.059.0-3.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)38.826.865.7+12.067%-
This opponent (Estonia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estonia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estonia W: 48.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers23.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.511.5
36.5%
45.4%23.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.55.5
22.4%
30.0%16.5
🏀 Free throws12.58.5
68.0%
72.4%8.5
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sweden Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sweden W: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.513.0
40.0%
45.4%26.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.09.5
31.7%
30.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.014.5
76.3%
72.4%14.5
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estonia W
LLLLLLWLLL
Sweden W
WWLLLLLLWL
#31
League position
#4
-42.3
Net rating
+6.3
61.5
Offensive rating
96.8
103.7
Defensive rating
90.5
35.3%
Effective FG%
43.6%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.4%
34.6%
Turnover %
20.3%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.30
22.4%
3-point %
31.7%
70.6%
Assist %
93.3%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence61.5 · 96.8Defence103.7 · 90.5Shooting35.3% · 43.6%3-point %22.4% · 31.7%Ball care34.6% · 20.3%Off. rebounds26.2% · 35.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Estonia W   ■ Sweden W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Estonia W wins
0
Sweden W wins
No previous meetings.
Estonia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23HGreat Britain W45-83
09/11/23ADenmark W53-81
12/02/23HGreece W65-67
09/02/23AGreat Britain W45-100
27/11/22HPortugal W52-76
24/11/22AGreece W61-86
14/11/21HGreat Britain W72-69
11/11/21APortugal W43-62
06/02/21HBosnia & Herzegovina W52-78
04/02/21ARussia W35-79
Sweden Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23HDenmark W76-69
09/11/23AGreat Britain W64-62
12/02/23HLatvia W65-71
09/02/23AIsrael W57-71
24/11/22HIsrael W68-75
14/11/21ALatvia W70-89
26/06/21HBosnia & Herzegovina W63-82
23/06/21ABelarus W46-58
21/06/21AItaly W64-46
20/06/21HBelarus W54-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estonia W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game49.045.053.0
Allowed / game82.083.081.0
Point differential-33.0-38.0-28.0
Avg total131.0128.0134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sweden W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game70.076.064.0
Allowed / game65.569.062.0
Point differential+4.5+7.0+2.0
Avg total135.5145.0126.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia W220100%92.550.0+42.5
2 France W220100%85.548.5+37.0
3 Turkey W330100%82.753.0+29.7
4 Spain W220100%72.549.5+23.0
5 Montenegro W220100%88.065.5+22.5
6 Lithuania W220100%87.067.5+19.5
7 Hungary W220100%68.553.5+15.0
8 Portugal W220100%71.557.5+14.0
9 Italy W220100%73.060.0+13.0
10 Luxembourg W220100%66.556.0+10.5
11 Sweden W220100%70.065.5+4.5
12 Slovenia W32167%71.065.0+6.0
13 Belgium W21150%99.047.5+51.5
14 Great Britain W21150%72.554.5+18.0
15 Germany W21150%69.055.5+13.5
16 Israel W21150%85.071.5+13.5
17 Denmark W21150%75.064.5+10.5
18 Croatia W21150%73.063.5+9.5
19 Poland W21150%70.068.5+1.5
20 Greece W21150%71.071.0+0.0
21 Netherlands W21150%60.563.0-2.5
22 Latvia W21150%67.577.0-9.5
23 Slovakia W21150%66.576.0-9.5
24 Finland W31233%64.372.0-7.7
25 Romania W31233%71.088.0-17.0
26 Iceland W2020%67.577.0-9.5
27 Bulgaria W2020%64.076.5-12.5
28 Switzerland W2020%54.570.5-16.0
29 Bosnia & Herzegovina W2020%67.084.0-17.0
30 Czech Republic W2020%53.580.0-26.5
31 North Macedonia W2020%56.084.0-28.0
32 Ukraine W2020%51.580.0-28.5
33 Austria W2020%39.569.5-30.0
34 Estonia W2020%49.082.0-33.0
35 Ireland W2020%52.593.5-41.0
36 Azerbaijan W2020%45.0117.5-72.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 36 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estonia W171371552
Sweden W2214262082
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