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Etimesgut vs Kerasus Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 75-67
10-18 17-15 25-17 23-17
Position#8
Record4-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game72.4
Etimesgut 🏆
Turkey
vs
Kerasus
Turkey
Position#5
Record7-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game68.8
TurkeyTB2LRound 12
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Etimesgut winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kerasus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EtimesgutTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEtimesgut
Date
Competition
Ilkler Sehri Usak
#3
L
89-91 OT
89
91
-2
no box
A17/05
TB2L
Kerasus
#5
L
68-79
68
79
-11
60avg 70
A19/10
TB2L
High Touch
#4
L
71-82
71
82
-11
66avg 70
A31/10
TB2L
Karatay Bld.
#9
L
69-77
69
77
-8
63avg 70
H08/11
TB2L
Ilkler Sehri Usak
#19
W
78-76
78
76
+2
81avg 70
A23/11
TB2L
Ciftlikkoy Bld.
#10
L
57-59
57
59
-2
56avg 70
H29/11
TB2L
Istanbul BB
#18
W
76-66
76
66
+10
78avg 70
A06/12
TB2L
ITU
#16
W
77-73
77
73
+4
78avg 70
H13/12
TB2L
Turk Telekom 2
#14
W
69-58
69
58
+11
74avg 70
A22/12
TB2L
Akhisar Belediye
#3
L
75-82
75
82
-7
74avg 70
H27/12
TB2L
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
14-22
24-15
28-26
18-22
15-16
13-21
22-20
15-22
13-22
27-18
16-20
11-12
17-24
13-21
28-20
22-15
15-22
18-18
23-21
23-14
15-17
11-12
8-16
15-22
25-16
16-13
20-15
16-16
24-16
14-18
23-23
19-11
14-17
13-17
23-13
29-28
15-15
14-25
17-14
147.2Avg total
72.9Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)71.172.4143.6-1.344%
Season at home (4)69.572.8142.2-3.225%
Season away (5)72.472.2144.6+0.260%
Last 10 (10)72.974.3147.2-1.440%
Last 5 (5)70.867.6138.4+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.883.9163.7-4.122%
vs Similar ◀ (14)73.777.6151.3-3.921%
vs Weaker (7)79.079.9158.9-0.957%
This opponent (Kerasus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KerasusTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKerasus
Date
Competition
Etimesgut
#8
W
79-68
79
68
+11
73avg 66
H19/10
TB2L
Ilkler Sehri Usak
#19
W
77-72
77
72
+5
74avg 66
A26/10
TB2L
Ciftlikkoy Bld.
#10
W
75-53
75
53
+22
78avg 66
H02/11
TB2L
Istanbul BB
#18
L
64-77
64
77
-13
51avg 66
A08/11
TB2L
ITU
#16
W
65-61
65
61
+4
56avg 66
H16/11
TB2L
Turk Telekom 2
#14
W
59-58
59
58
+1
47avg 66
A23/11
TB2L
Akhisar Belediye
#3
W
78-72
78
72
+6
72avg 66
H30/11
TB2L
High Touch
#4
W
90-85
90
85
+5
87avg 66
H21/12
TB2L
Karatay Bld.
#9
L
64-73
64
73
-9
58avg 66
A27/12
TB2L
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
16-15
21-13
20-22
14-19
23-16
21-19
19-18
11-14
19-10
17-13
28-16
15-16
21-15
14-28
14-18
19-8
18-13
14-19
14-21
18-15
8-15
17-17
16-11
20-15
21-19
19-15
18-23
30-25
18-17
19-20
23-23
20-16
19-22
15-15
10-20
141.1Avg total
72.3Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)72.368.8141.1+3.678%
Season at home (5)77.467.8145.2+9.6100%
Season away (4)66.070.0136.0-4.050%
Last 10 (9)72.368.8141.1+3.678%
Last 5 (5)71.269.8141.0+1.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)77.270.2147.4+7.080%
vs Weaker (4)66.267.0133.2-0.875%
This opponent (Etimesgut) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -1.1-1.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -1.1-1.1
EtimesgutKerasus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EtimesgutLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ilkler Sehri Usak
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A17/05
TB2L
Kerasus
#5
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A19/10
TB2L
High Touch
#4
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A31/10
TB2L
Karatay Bld.
#9
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H08/11
TB2L
Ilkler Sehri Usak
#19
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A23/11
TB2L
Ciftlikkoy Bld.
#10
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H29/11
TB2L
Istanbul BB
#18
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A06/12
TB2L
ITU
#16
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H13/12
TB2L
Turk Telekom 2
#14
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A22/12
TB2L
Akhisar Belediye
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H27/12
TB2L
72.3Avg total
35.3Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.639.878.4-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.738.278.9+2.571%-
Last 30 away (16)36.841.177.9-4.331%-
Last 10 (10)35.337.072.3-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.034.473.4+4.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.140.480.6-0.356%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)36.439.976.3-3.636%-
vs Weaker (7)41.338.679.9+2.771%-
This opponent (Kerasus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KerasusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Etimesgut
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H19/10
TB2L
Ilkler Sehri Usak
#19
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A26/10
TB2L
Ciftlikkoy Bld.
#10
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H02/11
TB2L
Istanbul BB
#18
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A08/11
TB2L
ITU
#16
W
37-21
37
21
+16
H16/11
TB2L
Turk Telekom 2
#14
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A23/11
TB2L
Akhisar Belediye
#3
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H30/11
TB2L
High Touch
#4
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H21/12
TB2L
Karatay Bld.
#9
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A27/12
TB2L
68.9Avg total
36.9Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)36.932.068.9+4.989%-
Last 30 at home (5)38.830.869.6+8.0100%-
Last 30 away (4)34.533.568.0+1.075%-
Last 10 (9)36.932.068.9+4.989%-
Last 5 (5)38.233.071.2+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)39.234.273.4+5.0100%-
vs Weaker (4)34.029.263.2+4.875%-
This opponent (Etimesgut) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Etimesguttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Etimesgut: 70.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.315.1
49.8%
48.3%30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.3
31.6%
30.7%28.0
🏀 Free throws18.912.2
64.7%
65.5%12.2
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kerasustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kerasus: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.1 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.617.6
50.8%
48.3%35.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.98.3
28.8%
30.7%25.0
🏀 Free throws20.212.3
61.0%
65.5%12.3
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/9 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Etimesgut
LWWWLWLLLL
Kerasus
LWWWWLWWW
#8
League position
#5
-2.4
Net rating
+5.5
94.3
Offensive rating
96.8
96.6
Defensive rating
91.3
48.6%
Effective FG%
47.4%
44.3%
Opp. effective FG%
43.7%
19.9%
Turnover %
19.0%
22.4%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.6%
3-point %
28.8%
88.6%
Assist %
63.5%
40%
Form (last 10/9)
78%

Profile

Offence94.3 · 96.8Defence96.6 · 91.3Shooting48.6% · 47.4%3-point %31.6% · 28.8%Ball care19.9% · 19.0%Off. rebounds22.4% · 28.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/9)40% · 78%
■ Etimesgut   ■ Kerasus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Etimesgut wins
1
Kerasus wins
DateGameScore
19/10/25Kerasus v Etimesgut79-68
Etimesgutlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25HAkhisar Belediye75-82
22/12/25ATurk Telekom 269-58
13/12/25HITU77-73
06/12/25AIstanbul BB76-66
29/11/25HCiftlikkoy Bld.57-59
23/11/25AIlkler Sehri Usak78-76
08/11/25HKaratay Bld.69-77
31/10/25AHigh Touch71-82
19/10/25AKerasus68-79
17/05/25AIlkler Sehri Usak89-91 OT
Kerasuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25AKaratay Bld.64-73
21/12/25HHigh Touch90-85
30/11/25HAkhisar Belediye78-72
23/11/25ATurk Telekom 259-58
16/11/25HITU65-61
08/11/25AIstanbul BB64-77
02/11/25HCiftlikkoy Bld.75-53
26/10/25AIlkler Sehri Usak77-72
19/10/25HEtimesgut79-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Etimesgut
TB2L 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL44%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%25%60%
Points / game71.169.572.4
Allowed / game72.472.872.2
Point differential-1.3-3.2+0.2
Avg total143.6142.2144.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kerasus
TB2L 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%100%50%
Points / game72.377.466.0
Allowed / game68.867.870.0
Point differential+3.6+9.6-4.0
Avg total141.1145.2136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sakarya BB11110100%79.259.9+19.3
2 Akhisar Belediye97278%74.664.9+9.7
3 High Touch97278%77.172.3+4.8
4 Kerasus97278%72.368.8+3.6
5 Corlu118373%72.462.8+9.5
6 Kutahya Bld.117464%71.571.0+0.5
7 Eskisehir BK106460%67.965.0+2.9
8 Karatay Bld.95456%70.070.3-0.3
9 Kecioren Baglum116555%72.069.4+2.6
10 Ege Universitesi116555%69.266.9+2.3
11 Tesvikiye105550%68.869.4-0.6
12 Turk Telekom 2105550%67.768.7-1.0
13 Ciftlikkoy Bld.105550%63.066.4-3.4
14 Egospor115645%69.171.9-2.8
15 Etimesgut94544%71.172.4-1.3
16 Ilkler Sehri Usak93633%71.473.2-1.8
17 ITU103730%68.970.5-1.6
18 Beylikduzu103730%68.472.0-3.6
19 Haznedar Doruk112918%65.475.5-10.2
20 Istanbul BB101910%66.873.9-7.1
21 Sertas Spor110110%0.020.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 21 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Etimesgut1017252375
Kerasus1815171767
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