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Fairfield vs Mercer Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Mar 2012
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 59-64
0-0 25-30 0-0 34-34
Position#3
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game58.0
Fairfield
USA
vs
Mercer 🏆
USA
Position#1
Record3-0
FormWWW
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game64.0
USACITCIT - Semi-finals
Other2012
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fairfield winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mercer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FairfieldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#18
W
62-60
62
60
+2
A16/03
NIT
Kent State
#8
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H20/03
NIT
Yale
#27
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H14/03
CIT
Manhattan
#13
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H18/03
CIT
Robert Morris
#5
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H21/03
CIT
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
29-31
0-0
33-29
0-0
35-35
0-0
33-37
0-0
26-39
0-0
42-17
0-0
38-37
0-0
31-20
0-0
36-25
0-0
31-36
128.0Avg total
66.8Scored
61.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)68.058.0126.0+10.0100%
Season at home (3)68.058.0126.0+10.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (5)66.861.2128.0+5.680%
Last 5 (5)66.861.2128.0+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)67.566.5134.0+1.050%
vs Weaker (1)69.057.0126.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#24
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H13/03
CIT
Georgia State
#9
W
64-59
64
59
+5
H17/03
CIT
Old Dominion
#7
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A21/03
CIT
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
19-21
0-0
49-39
0-0
28-18
0-0
36-41
0-0
29-34
0-0
50-39
134.3Avg total
70.3Scored
64.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)70.364.0134.3+6.3100%
Season at home (2)66.059.5125.5+6.5100%
Season away (1)79.073.0152.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (3)70.364.0134.3+6.3100%
Last 5 (3)70.364.0134.3+6.3100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)64.059.0123.0+5.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (1)79.073.0152.0+6.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fairfield) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +6.2+6.2Q4: +5.3+5.3
FairfieldMercer
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FairfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#18
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A16/03
NIT
Kent State
#8
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H20/03
NIT
Yale
#27
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H14/03
CIT
Manhattan
#13
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H18/03
CIT
Robert Morris
#5
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H21/03
CIT
66.2Avg total
32.8Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (5)32.833.466.2-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (4)33.834.067.8-0.250%-
Last 30 away (1)29.031.060.0-2.00%-
Last 10 (5)32.833.466.2-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)32.833.466.2-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)35.530.065.5+5.550%-
vs Weaker (1)38.037.075.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#24
L
19-21
19
21
-2
H13/03
CIT
Georgia State
#9
W
28-18
28
18
+10
H17/03
CIT
Old Dominion
#7
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A21/03
CIT
49.7Avg total
25.3Scored
24.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (3)25.324.349.7+1.033%-
Last 30 at home (2)23.519.543.0+4.050%-
Last 30 away (1)29.034.063.0-5.00%-
Last 10 (3)25.324.349.7+1.033%-
Last 5 (3)25.324.349.7+1.033%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)28.018.046.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)29.034.063.0-5.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fairfield) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fairfield wins
0
Mercer wins
No previous meetings.
Fairfieldlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/12HRobert Morris67-61
18/03/12HManhattan69-57
14/03/12HYale68-56
20/03/11HKent State68-72
16/03/11AColorado State62-60
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/12AOld Dominion79-73
17/03/12HGeorgia State64-59
13/03/12HTennessee State68-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fairfield
CIT 2012
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Losses (last 5)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game68.068.0-
Allowed / game58.058.0-
Point differential+10.0+10.0-
Avg total126.0126.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Mercer
CIT 2012
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Losses (last 3)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game70.366.079.0
Allowed / game64.059.573.0
Point differential+6.3+6.5+6.0
Avg total134.3125.5152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State330100%76.064.7+11.3
2 Oakland330100%82.371.7+10.7
3 Fairfield330100%68.058.0+10.0
4 Mercer330100%70.364.0+6.3
5 Robert Morris32167%65.759.3+6.3
6 Loyola Marymnt32167%80.378.0+2.3
7 Old Dominion32167%68.767.0+1.7
8 Rice32167%70.769.3+1.3
9 Georgia State21150%66.553.5+13.0
10 Buffalo21150%77.072.5+4.5
11 USC Upstate21150%64.561.5+3.0
12 Drake21150%69.069.0+0.0
13 Manhattan21150%73.074.0-1.0
14 Weber State21150%75.076.5-1.5
15 Toledo21150%63.566.0-2.5
16 Idaho21150%71.079.5-8.5
17 Coastal Carolina1010%66.068.0-2.0
18 UC Santa Barbara1010%83.086.0-3.0
19 Utah Valley State1010%69.072.0-3.0
20 Louisiana Lafayette1010%63.068.0-5.0
21 CSU Bakersfield1010%69.075.0-6.0
22 North Dakota1010%64.070.0-6.0
23 Indiana State1010%60.067.0-7.0
24 Tennessee State1010%60.068.0-8.0
25 CS Fullerton1010%79.088.0-9.0
26 Albany1010%79.089.0-10.0
27 Yale1010%56.068.0-12.0
28 McNeese State1010%63.076.0-13.0
29 Kent State1010%58.073.0-15.0
30 American University1010%61.078.0-17.0
31 Bowling Green1010%69.086.0-17.0
32 Tennessee Tech1010%43.074.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fairfield02503459
Mercer03003464
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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