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Fenerbahce 2 vs Mersin SK Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 77-85
19-20 21-16 16-20 21-29
Position#10
Record2-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game76.6
vs
Position#1
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game75.0
TurkeyTBLRound 6· Metro Energy Sports Hall
Other2026-27
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mersin SK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fenerbahce 2TurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Balikesir
#15
W
91-90
91
90
+1
91avg 78
H13/04
TBL
Harem Spor
#14
L
70-78
70
78
-8
64avg 78
A18/04
TBL
Konya BBSK
#4
L
80-102
80
102
-22
73avg 78
A30/04
TBL
Konya BBSK
#4
W
98-93 OT
98
93
+5
93avg 78
H03/05
TBL
Konya BBSK
#4
L
63-91
63
91
-28
52avg 78
A06/05
TBL
Balikesir
#14
W
70-69
70
69
+1
67avg 78
A13/09
TBL
Kecioren Baglum
#17
W
86-84
86
84
+2
82avg 78
H20/09
TBL
Final Spor
#6
L
74-75
74
75
-1
76avg 78
A27/09
TBL
CO Basket
#11
L
68-81
68
81
-13
62avg 78
H03/10
TBL
Harem Spor
#2
L
51-74
51
74
-23
37avg 78
A07/10
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
11-25
18-21
39-20
23-21
24-22
18-19
5-16
21-27
11-25
28-29
20-21
24-20
23-24
22-23
17-19
8-22
18-26
24-17
13-26
17-14
19-13
16-20
18-22
19-19
21-19
20-22
26-24
21-9
18-22
14-29
21-15
16-16
9-23
22-25
21-17
16-22
8-15
9-22
18-15
158.8Avg total
75.1Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)69.876.6146.4-6.840%
Season at home (2)77.082.5159.5-5.550%
Season away (3)65.072.7137.7-7.733%
Last 10 (10)75.183.7158.8-8.640%
Last 5 (5)69.876.6146.4-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.187.0166.1-7.933%
vs Similar (18)85.382.7168.0+2.767%
vs Weaker (3)66.354.0120.3+12.3100%
This opponent (Mersin SK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mersin SKTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSK
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#16
L
87-94
87
94
-7
85avg 82
H04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
78-88
78
88
-10
78avg 82
A11/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
L
84-86
84
86
-2
81avg 82
H18/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
L
93-101
93
101
-8
91avg 82
A27/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
86-88
86
88
-2
84avg 82
H02/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
80-90
80
90
-10
79avg 82
A10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
MKE Ankaragucu
#13
W
100-70
100
70
+30
111avg 82
A19/09
TBL
Konya BBSK
#16
W
87-82
87
82
+5
88avg 82
H26/09
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#8
W
81-78
81
78
+3
84avg 82
A04/10
TBL
Gaziantep
#5
W
92-70
92
70
+22
87avg 82
H08/10
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-29
28-25
22-24
12-16
12-20
21-26
23-25
22-17
29-18
18-20
19-21
18-27
18-26
26-25
17-31
32-19
25-29
25-23
18-19
18-17
20-25
13-24
22-17
25-24
38-18
17-23
29-17
16-12
15-26
24-11
24-26
24-19
21-23
23-14
19-23
18-18
27-13
19-15
28-16
18-26
171.5Avg total
86.8Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.075.0165.0+15.0100%
Season at home (2)89.576.0165.5+13.5100%
Season away (2)90.574.0164.5+16.5100%
Last 10 (10)86.884.7171.5+2.140%
Last 5 (5)88.078.0166.0+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)80.290.5170.7-10.215%
vs Similar (11)90.188.0178.1+2.164%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)87.380.3167.7+7.067%
This opponent (Fenerbahce 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
Fenerbahce 2Mersin SK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fenerbahce 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balikesir
#15
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H13/04
TBL
Harem Spor
#14
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A18/04
TBL
Konya BBSK
#4
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A30/04
TBL
Konya BBSK
#4
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H03/05
TBL
Konya BBSK
#4
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A06/05
TBL
Balikesir
#14
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A13/09
TBL
Kecioren Baglum
#17
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H20/09
TBL
Final Spor
#6
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A27/09
TBL
CO Basket
#11
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H03/10
TBL
Harem Spor
#2
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A07/10
TBL
75.8Avg total
35.0Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.842.181.9-2.348%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.842.884.6-1.050%-
Last 30 away (15)37.941.579.3-3.647%-
Last 10 (10)35.040.875.8-5.850%-
Last 5 (5)32.834.467.2-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.644.281.8-6.733%-
vs Similar (18)41.140.781.8+0.461%-
vs Weaker (2)37.545.082.5-7.50%-
This opponent (Mersin SK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mersin SKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#16
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A11/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H18/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A27/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H02/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
MKE Ankaragucu
#13
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A19/09
TBL
Konya BBSK
#16
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H26/09
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#8
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A04/10
TBL
Gaziantep
#5
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H08/10
TBL
87.7Avg total
44.4Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.444.087.4-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.941.588.5+5.467%-
Last 30 away (15)39.946.586.3-6.633%-
Last 10 (10)44.443.387.7+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.438.481.8+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.747.185.8-8.423%-
vs Similar (11)47.442.389.6+5.173%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)46.340.586.8+5.867%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahce 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce 2: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.917.1
50.4%
53.0%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.2
33.3%
33.0%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.713.3
75.1%
71.2%13.3
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mersin SKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mersin SK: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.619.7
58.6%
53.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.6
37.5%
33.0%31.8
🏀 Free throws20.315.0
73.9%
71.2%15.0
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce 2
LLLWWLWLLW
Mersin SK
WWWWLLLLLL
#10
League position
#1
-10.1
Net rating
+2.4
90.1
Offensive rating
102.1
100.2
Defensive rating
99.7
50.2%
Effective FG%
57.5%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
16.8%
Turnover %
16.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.3%
3-point %
37.5%
69.2%
Assist %
83.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence90.1 · 102.1Defence100.2 · 99.7Shooting50.2% · 57.5%3-point %33.3% · 37.5%Ball care16.8% · 16.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Fenerbahce 2   ■ Mersin SK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fenerbahce 2 wins
0
Mersin SK wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/26AHarem Spor51-74
03/10/26HCO Basket68-81
27/09/26AFinal Spor74-75
20/09/26HKecioren Baglum86-84
13/09/26ABalikesir70-69
06/05/26AKonya BBSK63-91
03/05/26HKonya BBSK98-93 OT
30/04/26AKonya BBSK80-102
18/04/26AHarem Spor70-78
13/04/26HBalikesir91-90
Mersin SKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/26HGaziantep92-70
04/10/26AiLab Basketbol81-78
26/09/26HKonya BBSK87-82
19/09/26AMKE Ankaragucu100-70
10/05/26ATrabzonspor80-90
02/05/26HAnadolu Efes86-88
27/04/26AMerkezefendi93-101
18/04/26HBursaspor84-86
11/04/26AEsenler Erokspor78-88
04/04/26HBuyukcekmece87-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce 2
TBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL40%
HomeWL50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game69.877.065.0
Allowed / game76.682.572.7
Point differential-6.8-5.5-7.7
Avg total146.4159.5137.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mersin SK
TBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.089.590.5
Allowed / game75.076.074.0
Point differential+15.0+13.5+16.5
Avg total165.0165.5164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mersin SK440100%90.075.0+15.0
2 Kahramanmaras65183%87.374.3+13.0
3 Harem Spor54180%85.469.0+16.4
4 Goztepe54180%81.472.8+8.6
5 Buyukcekmece54180%80.675.2+5.4
6 Gaziantep64267%78.877.0+1.8
7 iLab Basketbol63350%84.282.3+1.8
8 Final Spor63350%80.381.7-1.3
9 Darussafaka52340%75.080.0-5.0
10 Fenerbahce 252340%69.876.6-6.8
11 MKE Ankaragucu52340%77.694.4-16.8
12 Ankara Kolejliler62433%79.882.5-2.7
13 CO Basket62433%73.785.3-11.7
14 OGM Ormanspor51420%83.283.8-0.6
15 Kecioren Baglum51420%82.285.0-2.8
16 Balikesir51420%72.275.8-3.6
17 Konya BBSK51420%73.681.6-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce 21921162177
Mersin SK2016202985
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